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Post by taftreign on Apr 28, 2015 23:04:30 GMT -5
Rizzo with his 6th steal of the season. Can that be right? Who saw that coming?
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Post by taftreign on Apr 24, 2015 12:03:33 GMT -5
If we're going to debate Fulmer who is a starter but some say he ends up a releiver then I may as well throw out the name Tyler Jay. 6-1, 185 lb LHP from Illinois who is being used in the pen as a late inning reliever but many believe he can start. Throws a mid 90's FB and a power curveball both of which he can locate reasonably well. His third pitch is a developing change up which he has to throw little in relief. Could be a possibility at 7 if the team can also save $750,000 to $1,000,000 on the budget which would be the relative price, $2.84 to $2.54 million, of around the 14th through 16th pick. With no 2nd rounder this would allow the team to push the 3rd round pick value of $742,400 up to $1.5 or $1.75 million in the instance an upside prospect falls or spread around the savings to get a few better quality players 3 through 5.
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Post by taftreign on Apr 23, 2015 7:30:20 GMT -5
Law is pretty obtuse about him being a projected reliever. All it takes is one team who doesn't think that. And there are a lot more opinions than just Keith Law's. Don't interpret my posting to mean I take Keith's opinion as gospel. He clearly ranks him as a pure reliever. I think that's close minded when Fulmer has shown the ability to throw at least three average and above pitches with strong results. The reliver label appears to mainly focus on his delivery. Fulmer makes it work though with no injury concerns. And it's not as if a players mechanics can't be altered. Now this also doesn't mean he would necessarily be my pick at 7. Their are other quality options including Bregman, Funkhouser, Allard, Nikorak, Tucker and Plummer.
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Post by taftreign on Apr 22, 2015 14:18:00 GMT -5
For reference Klaw has Fulmer listed as the 43rd best draft prospect or in other terms a second rounder.
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Post by taftreign on Apr 20, 2015 23:19:19 GMT -5
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Post by taftreign on Apr 19, 2015 15:09:53 GMT -5
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Post by taftreign on Apr 16, 2015 22:55:54 GMT -5
Maybe due diligence on Fulmer or more a draft and follow. They drafted him once in 2012 and didn't sign him but clearly liked him.
Watching the video I wondered if his foot positioning is his standard while throwing from the windup. Can't tell if there is anyone on but doesn't appear to glance towards any runners. Stands on the first base side of the rubber but with his feet both pointing towards third base similar to what you would expect while throwing from the stretch.
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Post by taftreign on Apr 15, 2015 23:06:06 GMT -5
We know of Dansby Swanson and Alex Bregman both SEC high round 1 hitters. Another SEC hitting prospect who hasn't been ranked nearly as highly who I am intrigued by is Arkansas CF Andrew Benintendi. Currently BA's #97 draft prospect. While only 5' 10" or 5' 11" he has really shown the ability to drive the ball, currently sitting at 13 HRs while playing a premium defensive position (although I can't say at what level). He offers a speed element swiping 12 in 15 attempts and has 25 BB to 20 K.
At this point I imagine he doesn't last until Bostons third round pick and appears to be a bit of a stretch as a first round deal cutter.
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Post by taftreign on Apr 11, 2015 18:48:47 GMT -5
I don't think 7th is high for him. I expect he'll rank in the top 10 or close to it when people start updating their rankings, don't know where Law had him. But beyond rankings as has been noted the separation at the top are not that pronounced so it's just a matter how teams evuate him. Law has him (Nikorak) ranked 10th.
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Post by taftreign on Apr 8, 2015 22:55:33 GMT -5
In case you forgot, Adrian Gonzalez is a "playa". 3 HRs in 3 Nights. And unfortunately for me the guy who I considered but didn't select as curent or ex Boston player receiving the most MVP votes. #regret Make it 5 in 3 nights! En Fuente!
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Post by taftreign on Apr 8, 2015 21:29:22 GMT -5
In case you forgot, Adrian Gonzalez is a "playa". 3 HRs in 3 Nights.
And unfortunately for me the guy who I considered but didn't select as curent or ex Boston player receiving the most MVP votes. #regret
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Post by taftreign on Apr 8, 2015 20:46:06 GMT -5
Hard to hit it out on a cold rainy night like tonight. Any other day that's a HR.
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Post by taftreign on Apr 5, 2015 13:34:34 GMT -5
1. How many games will the Red Sox win in 2015? (points +/-1 either way) 90
2. Who will win AL MVP? Mike Trout
3. Who will win AL Cy Young? Chris Sale
4. Who will win AL Rookie of the Year? Taijuan Walker
5. Who will win the World Series? St. Louis Cardinals
6. Which current or ex-Red Sox player/prospect will get the most MVP vote points in 2015? Anthony Rizzo
7. Which player on the current roster will start the most games for Boston after Porcello, Buchholz, Miley, Masterson, and Kelly? Steven Wright
8. Who is the first player to be added to the 25-man roster on or after April 15? (players coming off the DL do not count). Rusney Castillo
9. Who is the first player to earn a permanent promotion after the season starts? (from any level to any level - not just to Boston - but excluding rehab re-assignments or call-ups from XST) Yoan Moncada
10. Name one player the Red Sox will draft in 2015. Brady Aiken
Red Sox minor league system only
11. Which pitcher has the most wins? Brian Johnson
12. Most strikeouts? Henry Owens
13. Which hitter hits the most home runs? Bryce Brentz
14. Best OPS? (min 200 PAs) Rafael Devers
15. Most stolen bases? Danny Mars
16. Who will be voted the Offensive POY as voted by the SP Community? Manuel Margot
17. Pitcher of the Year? Eduardo Rodriguez
18. Breakout POY? Michael Chavis
19. Comeback POY? Trey Ball
20. Which prospect will make the biggest jump in the SoxProspects rankings? Trenton Kemp
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Post by taftreign on Mar 31, 2015 14:24:25 GMT -5
Obviously no info but something to look forward to when it comes out. How can he have reliable information as to who the Red Sox will pick at #7 unless you know which six prospects are going to be drafted ahead of them? My answer to this question allows for two main possibilities. One being they will select Aiken because they believe his injury will drop him to the 7 pick within a fairly significant probability. The second being they will look to make a deal with a prospect that may otherwise not be a top 10 pick to save money and target specific players in round 3 or later. Generally speaking when you have a high pick you want a premium prospect ( my thoughts as well), but I think you could make an argument that the premium prospects are very limited in this draft. It is logical if they see a top tier of 4 or 5 players (Rogers, Tate, Kirby, Aiken etc . .) and a very large second tier of say 10 to 15 players it would be wise to select the player that they believe gives them as much upside while saving the money for others. Under this rationale it would be quite plausible for their to be true reliable information as to who the front office and scouting department has their site set on. Just for giggles outside of the normal Aiken, Kirby, Tate, Funkhouser type of players being discussed on this board who would be that prospect you would be most willing to make a predraft moneysaving deal with? For me I could see C Chris Betts, Wilson HS of Calif, as one target. From the pitching perspective I look towards RHP Mike Nikorak, Stroudsburg HS of PA.
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Post by taftreign on Mar 27, 2015 20:51:36 GMT -5
AL EAST 1. Boston 2. Baltimore 3. Toronto 4. New York 5. Tampa Bay
AL CENTRAL 1. Cleveland 2. Detroit 3. Chicago 4. Kansas City 5. Minnesota
AL WEST 1. Seattle 2. Los Angeles 3. Oakland 4. Houston 5. Texas
NL EAST 1. Washington 2. Miami 3. New York 4. Atlanta 5. Philadelphia
NL CENTRAL 1. St. Louis 2. Pittsburgh 3. Chicago 4. Milwaukee 5. Cincinnati
NL WEST 1. Los Angeles 2. San Diego 3. San Francisco 4. Colorado 5. Arizona
AL Wildcard 1: Baltimore AL Wildcard 2: Los Angeles
NL Wildcard 1: Miami NL Wildcard 2: Pittsburgh (Closely edging out the Cubs)
Best record in MLB: Washington Best record in the other league: Seattle
Worst record in MLB: Philadelphia Worst record in the other league: Texas
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Post by taftreign on Mar 16, 2015 21:44:31 GMT -5
Are we doing a prediction contest this year?
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Post by taftreign on Mar 7, 2015 15:02:12 GMT -5
JBJ got a hit on a line drive single earlier in the game and Craig reached base in his 3 PAs so far. Not huge, but good to see following their struggles last year. Allen Craig finishes off his day with an RBI ground rule double. Great news!
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Post by taftreign on Mar 1, 2015 18:14:26 GMT -5
I think we all know what's going to happen. The new CBA will include an international draft for the 2017 season. The Red Sox will never again be able to sign a player of Moncada's talent level and probably not a player as talented as Acosta or Espinoza either. That's why the Red Sox need to go out and spend whatever it takes to sign Yadier Alvarez by July 2. There aren't that many 18 year olds that are as talented as he is and those that are are long gone in the draft before the Sox pick. If Alvarez manages to get a waiver to sign before July 2, the Sox need to make an aggressive offer. Gotta think the Dodgers would be livid if he was granted a waiver. They passed on Moncada for next year's pool, a major part (I'm assuming) of which was Alvarez. Then to have Alvarez go this year as well, that'd be rough. I'm sure they already have handshake deals with other players, but still. This depends. It is quite possible that if a waiver is granted it may not be resolved until the end of April or mid way through May or even closer to the July 2 date. Even if it was immediately LA once again can offer more money than all others with the caveat that he has to wait to sign until after July 2. For Moncada he wanted to sign and get into camp to increase his odds of reaching the Majors faster. We don't know that this is the case with Alvarez and it doesn't preclude the Dodgers from being involved. For Alvarezs agent having Boston, NYY, LAA and all others involved is best for getting max value for his client and if the Dodgers offer 5 mil more he may be inclined to sign after July 2. Now for the Dodgers having Alvarez wait definitely eliminates Boston, NYY, LAA and TB for certain which is ideal to keep down the effective cost. Waiting doesn't effect the presence of the Cubs or the Rangers as they can still offer a deal like the Dodgers where he has to sign after July 2.
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Post by taftreign on Feb 27, 2015 16:13:49 GMT -5
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Post by taftreign on Feb 24, 2015 12:10:14 GMT -5
I think a different issue is whether having invested a lot into one asset, and not having a second round pick, they try to diversify the risk by going "signable" at #7, and allocating more for the #3 and #4 picks (like the Cubs did with the catcher in 2013) I actually think it would be the reverse. The team has landed a first round caliber talent with high ceiling and has a chance to add a second which is a very unusual opportunity rivaled by only what Houston can do this draft or what Arizona did a few years back but both at the expense of not signing a prospect the year prior. What is available in the 3rd round and beyond is much more risky and/or lacks the same ceiling. But perhaps the greatest argument for selecting the best available at 7 is the Boston system has such great depth. The farm system is in a position now to add as many high end high ceiling prospects they can get even at the expense of raising the general level of depth.
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Post by taftreign on Feb 23, 2015 14:42:15 GMT -5
I can understand how having to pay 30 million upfront would make some of the lower revenue teams hesitant to get involved not because they don't have the money but because putting a large portion of payroll on a riskier commodity is more crippling for those teams if he fails but the MLB teams also can pay the salary portion of the 30 million off over 3 years so this is not all a one year hit. Boston could easily pay Moncada 2 or 3 mil this season, eliminating some of the "he's making a much much greater amount of money vs the other minor leaguers" argument and pay 14 mil or so per year the next two spreading out the annual financial hit and directing the next two seasons of international budget towards his salary. And for the record I don't buy the argument that the lower revenue teams cannot compete financially. Perhaps not to the level of the $150+ mil budgets but when a team has a $40 or $45 mil payroll I am sympathetic to the fans of those teams. Granted the Dodgers $320 mil annual TV revenue is an outlier but Arizonas new TV deal is estimated to be North of $100 mil annually. This is in addition to whatever amount the teams share in national TV revenue and revenue sharing dollars from luxury tax spending. I 'm sure there are a few teams still riding out inferior TV contracts that hinder their financial swagger but should not struggle to field a 60+ mil dollar payroll. I for one don't think baseball needs a salary cap but instead a salary floor. But I digress. If anyone wishes to further this discussion I would recommend doing so in a separate thread so not to derail this one.
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Post by taftreign on Feb 23, 2015 10:13:54 GMT -5
So my new future prospect dream team looks like:
C Swihart 1B Devers 2B Chavis SS Bogaerts 3B Moncada LF Castillo CF Margot RF Betts DH Travis
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Post by taftreign on Feb 23, 2015 9:49:38 GMT -5
I'm pleasantly surprised to see this terrific news this morning.
Two related questions I have regarding signing Moncada.
Did MLB's ruling that restricted Alvares from signing until July 2 effect how aggressive Boston was in bidding on Moncada or were they independent decisions?
Also, how much if at all does this increase the probability of trading an existing prospect for starting pitching now or down the road?
I'd like to think each decision is determined on its own value maximizing merits but humans are influenced by external factors so you never know.
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Post by taftreign on Feb 23, 2015 8:14:24 GMT -5
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Post by taftreign on Feb 21, 2015 21:29:49 GMT -5
My fav hitter this year is Ian Happ. Went 3/5 yesterday with a double and is 2/2 today. He may not be the perfect profile but he can really hit. Underwhelming hitting draft this year. Not deep at the top for sure. Still there is Dansby Swanson who carries a lead off hitter profile from the SS position and I will be paying close attention to the HS field mostly focused on Trenton Clark of Richland HS.
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