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Post by brentl on Dec 4, 2012 16:16:42 GMT -5
Sox have been off to a solid start an everything we have been hearing is good imo. But this Victorino offer has to be bogus looking at the team an the things they have said an done so far makes no sense to overpay for a declining OF. With Brentz, Bradly Jr close to big leagues an Ells an Gomes an Kalish already in the OF an Bogaerts a possible addition so many better ways to go then Vic for anything more then 2 an 20. which is still to much money.
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Post by templeusox on Dec 4, 2012 16:24:28 GMT -5
That's a pretty negligent offer for Victorino. Is it so beneath the current FO regime to find creative solutions to problems? Throwing 10+ million dollars at middle-of-the-road FA's was a hallmark of the mid-00's Yankees.
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Post by sibbysisti on Dec 4, 2012 16:25:52 GMT -5
The money is crazy. But Angel Pagan got 40m for four; B.J. 75m for five. Seems absurd, but that's the going rate.
The brass probably feels that Kalish needs a lot of time to re-hab and get swings. His shoulder was obviously a problem to us who saw him on his Sept. call-up. At least a half season at Pawtucket.
If Ells doesn't sign an extension, Victorino is a Plan B in CF until JBJ is ready.
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nomar
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Post by nomar on Dec 4, 2012 16:27:03 GMT -5
I hope Cleveland wins the Victorino sweepstakes. Three years is too much. Would've rather gave Pagan 4/$41M to come here.
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Post by nexus on Dec 4, 2012 16:27:55 GMT -5
Understood on the multiple elite players, and that's where I was factoring in luck coming into play. So a Cody Ross gets hot and provides that other hitter complementing Posey. And completely agree with the rest of the roster being solid, but it still lacks that one hitter (I'm not counting on 37/38-year old Ortiz being that force, but that's just me). It's more likely that Ellsbury or Pedroia or Ortiz provides that second bat, but each comes with their own "if". I love each of those guys on this team, but my comfort level with relying on them as "the guy" in the lineup makes me uneasy. But there are, what? 5-8 players in baseball who qualify as "the guy"? And none are really obtainable. Most are either a. locked up forever or b. would cause followers of this site to burst into tears after learning who's going the other way. 2007 was a great example of the team I hope the Red Sox are looking to build in 2013. No one with the exception of Ortiz was considered a superstar. Ramirez was good but not great by this time. Lowell, Pedroia, and Ramirez were really the only above average guys at their respective positions. Ellsbury's late season emergence certainly helped too. But the common theme for that particular team was their ability to get on base. This is why I prefer 5 Swisher's mixed in with one or two above/below average offensive players. Allocate smart money towards guys like Napoli and Swisher who drive pitchers crazy. Spend the rest firming up the rotation. I promise this will always be a solution that equates to wins.
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Post by beasleyrockah on Dec 4, 2012 16:30:05 GMT -5
Do the Red Sox plan on only facing left handed pitching this season? It might be a good idea to grab an outfielder who can hit righties.
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Post by fenwaythehardway on Dec 4, 2012 16:31:10 GMT -5
Gordon Edes: Dodger source on Victorino: "Just tremendous in the clubhouse for us, got on guys, a real leader, but the decline [in skills] starting" I really do not want to pay for an OF with declining skills. Especially if he locks up the RF position for three years. Well, if he helps, he's coming off a year that was pretty much in line with his career averages minus a little BABIP. His power was down a tick too but that's not really how you would expect his decline to manifest itself. He did steal 39 bases in 45 attempts which suggests he's still pretty spry...
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Post by sarasoxer on Dec 4, 2012 16:34:24 GMT -5
Nick Cafardo reports the Red Sox are the front runners for Victorino. Offered 3 for 38.. this has a feeling it could drop any minute and definitely tonight. RE Yuck. Gordon Edes: Dodger source on Victorino: "Just tremendous in the clubhouse for us, got on guys, a real leader, but the decline [in skills] starting" I really do not want to pay for an OF with declining skills. Especially if he locks up the RF position for three years. Well, this would have to be the off-season of a poor free agent pool. Here's a guy whose stats have dropped consistently for 3 years, hit .245 last season with 2 Hrs. in 200+ at bats and who is going to get $13M/yr for 3 years. So, I suppose that the going rate for Cody Ross is $15M/yr? ? The world is indeed flat.
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Post by bluechip on Dec 4, 2012 16:34:29 GMT -5
I would rather Nick Swisher at 16 million or Hamilton at 25. I really want no part of Victorino at anything over two years or 10 million dollars per year. If the Indians want to sign him for 3/38 thats their prerogative.
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Post by Matt Huegel on Dec 4, 2012 16:41:31 GMT -5
Well, this would have to be the off-season of a poor free agent pool. Here's a guy whose stats have dropped consistently for 3 years, hit .245 last season with 2 Hrs. in 200+ at bats and who is going to get $13M/yr for 3 years. So, I suppose that the going rate for Cody Ross is $15M/yr? ? The world is indeed flat. I think you're looking at the last three stat lines on his page as three different seasons. .245 is what he hit after being traded to the Dodgers. Overall he hit .255/.321/.383 with 11 HRs, 39 steals last season. And 2011 was a career year for him, hitting .279/.355/.491/.847 with 17 home runs and 16 triples. He was 13th in MVP voting that season. I agree it's probably too much money, just correcting the comment about his last three seasons.
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Post by jdb on Dec 4, 2012 16:46:45 GMT -5
Seems like a bit much but if its keeps our 44th pick and our prospects in our system its probably worth it. Its like they took Crawford out of LF and put him in the more spacious RF. Good D, speed, better arm but not a great obp. Maybe he rebounds close to his 2011 form and we get a deal and maybe in year 3 he is 4th OF.
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Post by Don Caballero on Dec 4, 2012 16:59:55 GMT -5
Do not sign Victorino Ben, for crying out loud.
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Post by redsox04071318champs on Dec 4, 2012 17:07:52 GMT -5
What an awful waste of $37.5 - $39 million to sign Shane Victorino. He's not a very good player. You can't stick him in the middle of the lineup which is where they would truly need another LH batter. I much rather have seen the Sox give Hamilton 4 years $100 million, instead of Victorino. Victorino is fading from being a decent player. Hamilton would be fading from being an elite player. His decline in my opinion would take longer to occur.
My guess is we'll get a mediocre year out of Victorino this year and we'll be begging for the Dodgers or somebody to take this smaller albatross contract off our hands.
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Post by templeusox on Dec 4, 2012 17:08:15 GMT -5
It's a sloppily run team. Plain and simple. The first hint was last year's draft, which they only found out about hours before it began. Victorino's signing is the laziest, most uncreative move since they splurged on Lugo.
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wcp3
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Post by wcp3 on Dec 4, 2012 17:13:12 GMT -5
Great Napoli signing+crappy Victorino contract=mediocrity.
Glad to see nothing's changed.
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Post by stevedillard on Dec 4, 2012 17:29:51 GMT -5
Alex Speier @alexspeier Sox have agreed with Victorino on 3yr deal
This is a bargain, according to Sabermetrics. Victorino is an elite fielder who was worth $14.7 million last year according to Fangraphs.
The leaders in f-WAR over the last two seasons among FA COF'ers are:
Shane Victorino - 9.2 Melky Cabrera - 8.8 Josh Hamilton - 8.4
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Post by fenwaythehardway on Dec 4, 2012 17:47:38 GMT -5
That's a pretty negligent offer for Victorino. Is it so beneath the current FO regime to find creative solutions to problems? Throwing 10+ million dollars at middle-of-the-road FA's was a hallmark of the mid-00's Yankees. Considering how dead set you are against trading prospects, how exactly would you like them to get "creative"?
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Post by jmei on Dec 4, 2012 17:49:37 GMT -5
Reminder: all discussion specific to Victorino should go in that thread.
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Post by fenwaythehardway on Dec 4, 2012 18:01:16 GMT -5
I agree it's probably too much money, just correcting the comment about his last three seasons. We really need to adjust our expectations in that regard. Money is pouring into the game right now, and while some of that money had been flowing to the draft and the international market, the league has put a stop to that now. And combined with everyone signing their young, elite talent now, there's more and more money chasing after weaker and weaker free agents. We can't think of a $40m deal today the same way we thought about it five years ago.
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Post by Guidas on Dec 4, 2012 18:13:32 GMT -5
So generally speaking, Sox just spent their off season signing 3 guys (Gomes, Ross and Victorino) who profile as platoon players, and one guy, Napoli, who is on the wrong side of 30 and has a limited skill set, and paid a premium for at least 3 of them.
Ben Cherrington looks more and more like J. P. Ricciardi every minute.
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Post by grandsalami on Dec 4, 2012 18:18:35 GMT -5
BC says to NOT rule out them signing another OF'er which in my mind means ells is gone
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Post by bluechip on Dec 4, 2012 18:25:00 GMT -5
BC says to NOT rule out them signing another OF'er which in my mind means ells is gone With the prices being paid for Upton, Pagan, and now Victorino, Now is absolutely the time to sell Ellsbury.
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Post by elguapo on Dec 4, 2012 18:42:50 GMT -5
Solid pattern of paying for preferred free agent targets that don't require forfeiting a draft pick -- I bet they turn their attention to starting pitching, starting with Anibal Sanchez.
And now they have complete freedom to trade Ellsbury & Saltalamacchia (and even a Lester later on) without creating gaping holes in the roster.
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Post by MLBDreams on Dec 4, 2012 19:03:57 GMT -5
BC says to NOT rule out them signing another OF'er which in my mind means ells is gone I'd be surprise if BC is resigning Cody Ross for less than 3 yr/25 as he desired for and putting Gomes into the bench as 4th OF or they'll trade Ellsbury immediately for SP after Gomes/Victorino/Ross is set up as Opening Day outfielders.
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Post by sarasoxer on Dec 4, 2012 19:10:24 GMT -5
Well, this would have to be the off-season of a poor free agent pool. Here's a guy whose stats have dropped consistently for 3 years, hit .245 last season with 2 Hrs. in 200+ at bats and who is going to get $13M/yr for 3 years. So, I suppose that the going rate for Cody Ross is $15M/yr? ? The world is indeed flat. I think you're looking at the last three stat lines on his page as three different seasons. .245 is what he hit after being traded to the Dodgers. Overall he hit .255/.321/.383 with 11 HRs, 39 steals last season. And 2011 was a career year for him, hitting .279/.355/.491/.847 with 17 home runs and 16 triples. He was 13th in MVP voting that season. I agree it's probably too much money, just correcting the comment about his last three seasons. Matt, thank you. You are correct and I erred. No excuse, but I had just returned from fishing in the Gulf of Mexico and, (rarest of occasions) even catching. My spouse was in my ear to clean the fish and wash the boat as I composed the post. Clearly I am not a walk & chew guy. (To add insult, she is a "damn Yankee" fan!). All said then, things do not seem as horrible as I first envisioned with Victorino and his fortune. I still think it's a lot of bucks, the product of our terrible season, once in a lifetime financial cache, and the slim pickens' in FA. Cody Ross is probably very much a goner. Put Salty in that category too. Ells has lost some leverage and maybe he can return some prospects for us in trade. I still think that Lester could find a new home. At the very least, we are movin' & shakin'.
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