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Post by James Dunne on Aug 9, 2017 12:43:40 GMT -5
The one worry I have with Barnes in a Miller-type situation is that he's been much more effective coming in with clean innings. Of course, it's a bit of a chicken-and-an-egg thing, right? He's been used more recently in clean innings (all but four times since June 1), so is that a reason for his effectiveness or just one of those fun correlation-doesn't-equal-causation events?
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ericmvan
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Post by ericmvan on Aug 9, 2017 14:37:37 GMT -5
The one worry I have with Barnes in a Miller-type situation is that he's been much more effective coming in with clean innings. Of course, it's a bit of a chicken-and-an-egg thing, right? He's been used more recently in clean innings (all but four times since June 1), so is that a reason for his effectiveness or just one of those fun correlation-doesn't-equal-causation events? A similar concern is that his overall effectiveness is less K-reliant and more GB-reliant. That plays great in a clean inning, because it takes three cheap hits to score a run. It's a net plus in any DP situation. In other men-on situations, it's riskier. He's not a good match-up for 2nd and 3rd and nobody out -- too high a chance that two runs score on a good pitch and ordinary swing. The thing is, you don't have to use him blindly. He's a perfect guy to enter a 1-run game in the 7th or even the 6th after the starter gives up a 1B or BB to the leadoff hitter. I believe they've got a good batter / pitcher matchup model and that Farrell has been using it (the stats back that up). It will help to have Barnes amenable to the occasional relief-ace appearance, even if he often just pitches a clean 7th or 8th.
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