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Post by vermontsox1 on Jun 5, 2018 21:39:27 GMT -5
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Post by vermontsox1 on Jun 5, 2018 21:42:11 GMT -5
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Post by Mike Andrews on Jun 6, 2018 8:26:00 GMT -5
So my "total gut check" bonus predictions for rounds 1-10 look like this right now:
1 Triston Casas $2,700,000 (slightly overslot) 2 Nick Decker $1,100,000 (slightly overslot) 3 Durbin Feltman $600,000 (slightly overslot) 4 Kole Cottam $125,000 (below slot, but he's a top 500 guy, big school, good stats) 5 Thad Ward $311,800 (slot, but I could also see him getting $175k on par with what Zach Schellinger last year) 6 Devlin Granburg $75,000 (senior but considered a top senior sign, on par with what top senior sign Hunter Schryver got from TB from 2017) 7 Jarren Duran $189,900 (slot) 8 Elih Marrero $10,000 (junior, maybe gets a touch more than the $5k standard senior sign) 9 Brian Brown $5,000 (standard senior sign) 10 Grant Williams $5,000 (standard senior sign)
That would leave the club with an aggregate of roughly $860k to spend over the $125k per pick threshold on Day 3 guys. That's some decent coin. As is the case every year, this is total gut check (no insider information) and could be way off. I'll start a Draft Signing Thread and post my full initial predictions tonight or tomorrow morning.
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Post by vermontsox1 on Jun 6, 2018 8:47:26 GMT -5
Potential overslot targets today:
Mitchell Parker (met with Red Sox reps - Tennessee commit) Brady Allen (interest from Red Sox - South Carolina commit) Sean Guilbe (private workout - Tennessee commit)
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Post by ramireja on Jun 6, 2018 9:24:19 GMT -5
Two previous Red Sox selections still available and likely to be picked today:
Austin Bergner - RHP - UNC (Draft eligible sophomore we selected in 2016) Oraj Anu - OF - George Wallace CC (We selected last year)
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Post by coachmac on Jun 6, 2018 9:57:44 GMT -5
Mike- does your number include the 5 % overage permitted with no penalty? Too lazy to do the math myself.
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Post by Mike Andrews on Jun 6, 2018 10:36:30 GMT -5
Yes
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Post by mckeonam on Jun 6, 2018 11:12:20 GMT -5
Two previous Red Sox selections still available and likely to be picked today: Austin Bergner - RHP - UNC (Draft eligible sophomore we selected in 2016) Oraj Anu - OF - George Wallace CC (We selected last year) Carson Teel could also go again. He was a 37th round pick by the Red Sox last year
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Post by vermontsox1 on Jun 6, 2018 11:16:58 GMT -5
Red Sox take Nick Northcut, HS RHP. Gonna be an overslot guy. They announced him as a 3B.
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Post by vermontsox1 on Jun 6, 2018 11:17:33 GMT -5
Ranks:
BA: 69 PG: 73 MLB: 81
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Post by ramireja on Jun 6, 2018 11:18:31 GMT -5
Thats a big pick!
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Post by 1toolplayer on Jun 6, 2018 11:18:44 GMT -5
Red Sox take Nick Northcut, HS RHP. Gonna be an overslot guy. They announced him as a 3B. Interesting he was named as a RHP. Many believe he is a better hitter than SP prospect.
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Post by vermontsox1 on Jun 6, 2018 11:18:56 GMT -5
BA write-up:
Notes: School: Mason (Ohio) HS Ht: 6-0 | Wt: 200 | B-T: R-R | Commit/Drafted: Vanderbilt Scouting Report: Northcut would be an impressive two-way player if he gets to Vanderbilt, but he could easily go in the top three rounds this June thanks to his impressive power and feel for hitting. A third baseman with a high-maintenance body that will need to be kept in check as he develops, Northcut is old for the high school class, but possesses plus power with some evaluators giving him future 70-grade power. Northcut has more than enough arm to handle third base—he reaches the low 90s on the mound—and also has quick reactions and soft hands despite lacking more than short-area quickness. With a chance to stick at third base and provide solid defense at the position, Northcut’s bat looks even more intriguing as one of the more powerful prep hitters who didn’t show much swing and miss during the showcase circuit.
MLB write-up:
Scouting grades: Hit: 50 | Power: 50 | Run: 20 | Arm: 60 | Field: 50 | Overall: 45
One of the better two-way talents in the 2018 Draft class, Northcut has a fastball that peaks in the low 90s and a promising breaking ball. He shows even more promise as a hitter, enough to get selected as early as the third round. Whether that will be high enough to lure him away from a Vanderbilt commitment remains to be seen.
Northcut's quick right-handed swing with loft and his strength combine to generate impressive raw power, which he showed off by finishing second in the home run derby at the Perfect Game All-American Classic last August. He lets his pop come naturally and uses the entire field, showing the potential to hit for average as well. He has a track record of performing well against top competition on the showcase circuit, starring on the loaded Canes Baseball travel team.
While Northcut is a well below-average runner, he moves well enough to make plays at third base. His hands and arm strength are assets, and he could become a solid defender if he can improve his agility. He'll have to maintain the conditioning of his thick frame to remain at the hot corner.
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Post by RedSoxStats on Jun 6, 2018 11:18:59 GMT -5
Another huge power kid
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Post by ramireja on Jun 6, 2018 11:20:22 GMT -5
I'm a little surprised that no Top 200 guys went off the board in Round 11 until Blaze Alexander in the pick before ours (to AZ), and then Northcut to us. Love it.
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Post by vermontsox1 on Jun 6, 2018 11:28:21 GMT -5
12: Red Sox take Chase Shugart, RHP from Texas. Announced him as a reliever.
Ranked #294 by BA.
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Post by vermontsox1 on Jun 6, 2018 11:29:21 GMT -5
BA write-up:
Notes: School: Texas Ht: 5-10 | Wt: 180 | B-T: L-R | Commit/Drafted: Never Drafted Scouting Report: After a solid summer in the Cape Cod League, Shugart was poised to prove to scouts that he could start, as he was slated to move into the Longhorns rotation after two years in the bullpen. The move to the rotation hasn’t gone as smoothly as Shugart hoped. He’d touched 96-97 in shorter stints, but it’s dropped to 89-93 mph as a starter. His fastball and his 81-84 mph slider and 73-75 mph curve have proven more hittable than expected in longer outings. As a reliever both played up a little more, but starting has allowed him to use a playable changeup as well. He struggles at times to get his fastball down in the zone, and without much plane on the pitch, it’s hittable up in the zone even when it has solid velocity. Shugart already faced draft headwinds because he’s a 5-foot-10 righthander, and he’s yet to prove he can stick in the rotation in pro ball.
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Post by cotuitfan on Jun 6, 2018 11:30:49 GMT -5
Happy Cotuit Fan! Nice kid
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Post by vermontsox1 on Jun 6, 2018 11:31:33 GMT -5
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Post by RedSoxStats on Jun 6, 2018 11:40:53 GMT -5
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Post by vermontsox1 on Jun 6, 2018 11:40:53 GMT -5
13: Red Sox take Dylan Hardy, OF from South Alabama.
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Post by vermontsox1 on Jun 6, 2018 11:41:21 GMT -5
Ranked #492 by BA:
Notes: School: South Alabama Ht: 5-11 | Wt: 175 | B-T: R-R | Commit/Drafted: Never Drafted Scouting Report: Hardy has been the Jaguars’ leading hitter in each of the last two years. He is an aggressive hitter and takes advantage of his above-average speed with his approach at the plate. Listed at 5-foot-11, 175 pounds, he is undersized but packs some juice in his bat. Hardy has the speed to handle center field but plays left field in deference to Travis Swaggerty. That makes for a tough profile, but a team that values his speed and hitability could see him in a mold similar to previous South Alabama standout Cole Billingsley.
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Post by vermontsox1 on Jun 6, 2018 11:43:34 GMT -5
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Post by manfred on Jun 6, 2018 11:53:18 GMT -5
Is it just me or do the Red Sox seem to draft an inordinately high number of sub-6’ players?
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Post by vermontsox1 on Jun 6, 2018 11:53:29 GMT -5
14: Red Sox take Nicholas Lucky, 2B from Cocalico HS.
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