SoxProspects News
|
|
|
|
Legal
Forum Ground Rules
The views expressed by the members of this Forum do not necessarily reflect the views of SoxProspects, LLC.
© 2003-2024 SoxProspects, LLC
|
|
|
|
|
Forum Home | Search | My Profile | Messages | Members | Help |
Welcome Guest. Please Login or Register.
4/23-4/25 Red Sox @ Guardians Series Thread
|
Post by wildsox on Apr 22, 2024 20:18:50 GMT -5
We could probably get Goldschmidt for free right now. Lol. He’s fallen off bad in StL
|
|
|
Post by slam761 on Apr 22, 2024 21:33:37 GMT -5
I'm pretty sure that Ref could manage 1B as well or better than Kavadas, and probably contribute more on offense. Once O'Neill comes back, he's a 5th outfielder and thus more or less available for that role. Refsnyder is absolutely useless against RHP though. I like him, but he really can't be playing 1B every day.
|
|
|
Post by notstarboard on Apr 22, 2024 21:50:32 GMT -5
I'm pretty sure that Ref could manage 1B as well or better than Kavadas, and probably contribute more on offense. Once O'Neill comes back, he's a 5th outfielder and thus more or less available for that role. Refsnyder is absolutely useless against RHP though. I like him, but he really can't be playing 1B every day. 254 wRC+ so far against them this year In 2023 he had a 31 wRC+ against RHP over 98 PA. In 2022 he had a 124 wRC+ against RHP over 104 PA. So far Dalbec has a -16 wRC+ against RHP and Reyes has a a -8 wRC+ against RHP... For now I'll take my chances to see which version of Refsnyder shows up this year. If Casas misses major time, maybe you look at acquiring someone, but Refsnyder is the best healthy 1B on the roster against LHP and RHP.
|
|
ericmvan
Veteran
Supposed to be working on something more important
Posts: 8,933
|
Post by ericmvan on Apr 23, 2024 3:46:05 GMT -5
Much that is mind-boggling has happened this year, but I think this takes the cake.
No, it's not that the Sox are the 8th best team in MLB according to B-Ref's SRS (schedule-adjusted run differential) even though neither Devers nor Casas is are in our top 12 in bWAR. That's the runner-up.
You might guess that Kutter Crawford leads all MLB starter in bWAR. But who has been the top reliever?
Yup ... Justin Slaten.
|
|
|
Post by thegoodthebadthesox on Apr 23, 2024 7:56:59 GMT -5
Refsnyder is absolutely useless against RHP though. I like him, but he really can't be playing 1B every day. 254 wRC+ so far against them this year In 2023 he had a 31 wRC+ against RHP over 98 PA. In 2022 he had a 124 wRC+ against RHP over 104 PA. So far Dalbec has a -16 wRC+ against RHP and Reyes has a a -8 wRC+ against RHP... For now I'll take my chances to see which version of Refsnyder shows up this year. If Casas misses major time, maybe you look at acquiring someone, but Refsnyder is the best healthy 1B on the roster against LHP and RHP. Dang, based on my limited understanding of exactly how wRC+ worked I did not know it was possible to go in the negative lol
|
|
|
Post by manfred on Apr 23, 2024 9:42:56 GMT -5
Rob Refsnyder has half of Verdugo’s bWAR… in 4 games. And he is 4th in Sox OF bWAR behind Duran, Abreu, and O’Neill. Seems like Breslow knew what he was doing when he jettisoned AV.
(OTOH, I note Masa has the same oWAR as Kenley Jansen. Kind of tough to have a DH whose value is the same as a guy who never bats).
|
|
|
Post by ematz1423 on Apr 23, 2024 9:49:26 GMT -5
Rob Refsnyder has half of Verdugo’s bWAR… in 4 games. And he is 4th in Sox OF bWAR behind Duran, Abreu, and O’Neill. Seems like Breslow knew what he was doing when he jettisoned AV. (OTOH, I note Masa has the same oWAR as Kenley Jansen. Kind of tough to have a DH whose value is the same as a guy who never bats). Yoshida probably will have the rest of the year to flip the script but if he doesn't then I don't really know what they do with him? At his current production he's not worthy of a 40 man roster spot none the less an MLB roster spot. I suppose it's too early right now to speculate but I wouldn't be all that surprised to see him DFA'd this offseason. Hopefully he turns it around and this thought becomes moot.
|
|
|
Post by incandenza on Apr 23, 2024 9:57:50 GMT -5
Rob Refsnyder has half of Verdugo’s bWAR… in 4 games. And he is 4th in Sox OF bWAR behind Duran, Abreu, and O’Neill. Seems like Breslow knew what he was doing when he jettisoned AV. (OTOH, I note Masa has the same oWAR as Kenley Jansen. Kind of tough to have a DH whose value is the same as a guy who never bats). I don't know that we need the daily updates on Yoshida's WAR. It's just not a very useful stat for DHs, I think; fangraphs is apparently planning to overhaul their positional adjustment, with DH set for the biggest change. Last season Justin Turner had only 1.0 WAR, but most people seemed satisfied with his performance.
And for what it's worth, he does have a 162 wRC+ and .923 OPS in his last 7 games.
|
|
|
Post by asm18 on Apr 23, 2024 10:03:46 GMT -5
Cora was talking with Brian Barrett on "Off The Pike" - said that for now that we will see "alot of Bobby" at first base. Seems to be prioritizing defense and hopes Bobby runs into some bombs. Also possible we might see Hamilton at 2B more with Ceddanne entrenched at SS, and that "Willy is going to play", including against lefties...
|
|
|
Post by scottysmalls on Apr 23, 2024 10:06:57 GMT -5
Dalbec at 1B has the potential to stack up 2023-Kiké levels of negative WAR in a short time. Rooting for him though.
|
|
|
Post by manfred on Apr 23, 2024 10:08:21 GMT -5
Rob Refsnyder has half of Verdugo’s bWAR… in 4 games. And he is 4th in Sox OF bWAR behind Duran, Abreu, and O’Neill. Seems like Breslow knew what he was doing when he jettisoned AV. (OTOH, I note Masa has the same oWAR as Kenley Jansen. Kind of tough to have a DH whose value is the same as a guy who never bats). I don't know that we need the daily updates on Yoshida's WAR. It's just not a very useful stat for DHs, I think; fangraphs is apparently planning to overhaul their positional adjustment, with DH set for the biggest change. Last season Justin Turner had only 1.0 WAR, but most people seemed satisfied with his performance.
And for what it's worth, he does have a 162 wRC+ and .923 OPS in his last 7 games.
Sigh. Not daily. But I will make sure to date any future comment on Masa to insure proper spacing. Of course WAR is not the best measure, and I do not advocate DHing Jansen. I was more serious about the OF… I have complained for the last 5 years about an inferior OF, and here it is, the strength of the team. Exciting! Side note: I’ve been against moving Rafaela to SS, but when O’Neil returns, it is the best option if only to ensure the best OF (though I’m not sure of the defensive alignment).
|
|
|
Post by asm18 on Apr 23, 2024 10:15:29 GMT -5
Cora was talking about Kenley - that Bailey and the pitching crew having been working with him to clean up his delivery, and that the "characteristics of the cutter have been the best they've been in the last two years." That matches the pitch modeling metrics:
HE'S WASHED
|
|
nomar
Veteran
Posts: 10,825
|
Post by nomar on Apr 23, 2024 10:16:24 GMT -5
I don't know that we need the daily updates on Yoshida's WAR. It's just not a very useful stat for DHs, I think; fangraphs is apparently planning to overhaul their positional adjustment, with DH set for the biggest change. Last season Justin Turner had only 1.0 WAR, but most people seemed satisfied with his performance.
And for what it's worth, he does have a 162 wRC+ and .923 OPS in his last 7 games.
Sigh. Not daily. But I will make sure to date any future comment on Masa to insure proper spacing. Of course WAR is not the best measure, and I do not advocate DHing Jansen. I was more serious about the OF… I have complained for the last 5 years about an inferior OF, and here it is, the strength of the team. Exciting! Side note: I’ve been against moving Rafaela to SS, but when O’Neil returns, it is the best option if only to ensure the best OF (though I’m not sure of the defensive alignment). Not only that, but given that any SS will be an offensive black hole, 2B has been (hopefully Grissom will help that), and now 1B will be too, I’m not sure you want to lock both of those in and have Rafaela occupying another spot. They need to score runs to win games. Just play Rafaela at SS and let O’Neill, Duran, Abreu, and Yoshida play daily.
|
|
|
Post by incandenza on Apr 23, 2024 10:25:18 GMT -5
Sigh. Not daily. But I will make sure to date any future comment on Masa to insure proper spacing. Of course WAR is not the best measure, and I do not advocate DHing Jansen. I was more serious about the OF… I have complained for the last 5 years about an inferior OF, and here it is, the strength of the team. Exciting! Side note: I’ve been against moving Rafaela to SS, but when O’Neil returns, it is the best option if only to ensure the best OF (though I’m not sure of the defensive alignment). Not only that, but given that any SS will be an offensive black hole, 2B has been (hopefully Grissom will help that), and now 1B will be too, I’m not sure you want to lock both of those in and have Rafaela occupying another spot. They need to score runs to win games. Just play Rafaela at SS and let O’Neill, Duran, Abreu, and Yoshida play daily. Yeah, I've come around on this, with Duran looking pretty good in CF and now the Casas injury.
Still wouldn't mind sitting Abreu with Ceddenne in CF against lefties. Any recent word on Romy Gonzalez or did he pass the event horizon of the Red Sox SS black hole, lost to oblivion?
|
|
|
Post by scottysmalls on Apr 23, 2024 10:27:09 GMT -5
If we care about Rafaela we should not play him at shortstop, just given the curse and all.
|
|
|
Post by philsbosoxfan on Apr 23, 2024 11:05:43 GMT -5
If we care about Rafaela we should not play him at shortstop, just given the curse and all. I believe Rafaela has a 60 grade in curse breaking. It's a skill. A lesser grade and he would have been involved in the O'Neil/Devers collision.
|
|
|
Post by soxin8 on Apr 23, 2024 12:44:08 GMT -5
Not only that, but given that any SS will be an offensive black hole, 2B has been (hopefully Grissom will help that), and now 1B will be too, I’m not sure you want to lock both of those in and have Rafaela occupying another spot. They need to score runs to win games. Just play Rafaela at SS and let O’Neill, Duran, Abreu, and Yoshida play daily. Yeah, I've come around on this, with Duran looking pretty good in CF and now the Casas injury. Still wouldn't mind sitting Abreu with Ceddenne in CF against lefties. Any recent word on Romy Gonzalez or did he pass the event horizon of the Red Sox SS black hole, lost to oblivion?
Regarding Romy, this was a few days ago but it doesn't sound like it will be this series anyway. www.cbssports.com/fantasy/baseball/news/red-soxs-romy-gonzalez-suffers-setback/Also haven't heard any updates on him from Cora in the pregame which is probably not a great sign for an imminent return.
|
|
|
Post by bosoxnation on Apr 23, 2024 13:08:38 GMT -5
I think its time to call up Niko Kavadas and give him a look until Casas is back. Pablo at first just isn't it. I think Niko is ready for a backup 1st/DH role. All his numbers this year in the 15 games he's played shows he' ready for a shot.
|
|
shagworthy
Veteran
My neckbeard game is on point.
Posts: 1,507
|
Post by shagworthy on Apr 23, 2024 13:16:09 GMT -5
Non-Baseball related but I was invited to my 7 year old son's PE Class... We need start putting adderall in the drinking water the same way we add fluoride. Those kids were in a state of perpetual motion.
|
|
|
Post by 0ap0 on Apr 23, 2024 13:22:49 GMT -5
The kids have too much energy so you want to pump them full of amphetamines? 👀
|
|
shagworthy
Veteran
My neckbeard game is on point.
Posts: 1,507
|
Post by shagworthy on Apr 23, 2024 13:30:01 GMT -5
The kids have too much energy so you want to pump them full of amphetamines? 👀 Lol.. I want them on task. My PE teacher as a kid was sort of like a drill instructor. The PE teacher today had the patience of Job. It was like herding kittens.
|
|
|
Post by oldfaithful2019 on Apr 23, 2024 13:44:25 GMT -5
I think its time to call up Niko Kavadas and give him a look until Casas is back. Pablo at first just isn't it. I think Niko is ready for a backup 1st/DH role. All his numbers this year in the 15 games he's played shows he' ready for a shot. Do it today. Hamilton is expendable or Valdez I guess. If O'Neil is not ready today he can take Hieneman's place. There is no long term risk to burning a Kavadas option and maybe he can convince Cora that there is a better choice than Bobby D right at hand.
|
|
|
Post by itinerantherb on Apr 23, 2024 13:45:37 GMT -5
Many here seem MUCH higher on Kavadas than I am, but maybe I'm missing something. To those who want to see him called up, what about his Dalbecian strike out numbers in Portland and Worcester make you think he'll be better than Dalbec? I can see the plate discipline, but that's got to be more than offset by worse base running and defense.
|
|
|
Post by asm18 on Apr 23, 2024 13:56:42 GMT -5
The one time being on base really did a number on Heineman's hammy
|
|
|
Post by asm18 on Apr 23, 2024 13:57:59 GMT -5
Uhhhh
Rafaela SS, Duran CF, O’Neill DH, Abreu LF, Refsnyder RF, Valdez 2B, Wong C, Dalbec 1B, Reyes 3B
|
|
|