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Post by gregblossersbelly on Jun 16, 2015 17:53:05 GMT -5
Yup, we could have had Donaldson, Stanton and Price for those uber prospects.
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Post by gregblossersbelly on Jun 16, 2015 13:24:02 GMT -5
The template is there on how to win. Abover-average production at every position. Don't think we can do it until we get Hanley out of LF and at DH. Plus, we'll need Mookie and Swihart/Vazquez to take their game to that level. Gonna be hard to do next year. Maybe, they'll be doing it by 2017. Pedey should still be good. Xander should be even better. Hanley ok at DH. Though overpaid. Even Sandoval is bearable on a good team. Need a 1b and a couple of corner of's. Not sure Castillo will be able to do it. Maybe, Benintendi and Margot will be ready by late 2017. A cheap line-up like that should allow a good GM to spend his money on starting pitching. E-Rod and Brian Johnson or Henry Owens are your lefties. Porcello is your 3. Need a 1 or 2 depending on how good E-Rod is. And, another good righty. Will have to get one in a trade and maybe sign one as a free agent. Definitely, doable.
I haven't even mentioned; Moncada, Devers and Guerra.
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Post by gregblossersbelly on Jun 16, 2015 11:31:26 GMT -5
Resting Pedey today. Giving Hanley another day off.
Holt 2B, Betts CF, Ortiz DH, Bogaerts SS, Sandoval 3B, Napoli 1B, De Aza LF, Swihart C, Castillo RF, Miley LHP.
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Post by gregblossersbelly on Jun 16, 2015 11:07:44 GMT -5
I'm happy with how BC handles the development process. I seriously question his acumen on roster building and identifying major league talent. Errors on the MLB level can hamstring you with bad contracts. A bad draft pick is no biggie.
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Post by gregblossersbelly on Jun 16, 2015 10:50:39 GMT -5
Light's K-Rate in Salem last year was 4.5 57 k's in 115 innings. Good news for Trey Ball and his 5.7 k rate this year.
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Post by gregblossersbelly on Jun 16, 2015 9:40:35 GMT -5
The Dodgers might be able to use Clay and Koji. I know we won't get Seager or Urias. Not familiar with the rest of their system. m.mlb.com/prospects/2015?list=laTeach a man to fish ... Link not working. Bait fell off the hook.
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Post by gregblossersbelly on Jun 16, 2015 9:30:22 GMT -5
We're half a game back of the no. 3 overall pick and gaining on the Brewers at no. 2. It's always good to have a goal. We can probably reach it if we deal Buchholz.
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Post by gregblossersbelly on Jun 16, 2015 7:52:14 GMT -5
The Dodgers might be able to use Clay and Koji. I know we won't get Seager or Urias. Not familiar with the rest of their system.
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Post by gregblossersbelly on Jun 16, 2015 6:44:27 GMT -5
My positive thought for the day. At least Arkansas lost. Their season is over. One day closer to Benny Baseball.
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Post by gregblossersbelly on Jun 15, 2015 19:55:44 GMT -5
Mookie should have been pulled out of the game for that.
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Post by gregblossersbelly on Jun 15, 2015 16:01:23 GMT -5
The lineup is in. I'm guaranteeing a win.
Pedroia 2B, Holt RF, Ramirez LF, Ortiz DH, Bogaerts SS, Sandoval 3B, Napoli 1B, Betts CF, Leon C, RHP Porcello.
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Post by gregblossersbelly on Jun 15, 2015 15:35:50 GMT -5
So, what's the point of trading them if we're getting no tax relief? Napoli isn't blocking anyone and Shane isn't healthy. Both are gone when the season is over. I don't see how this fixes anything. I think the idea is that another team might be willing to give up something prospect-wise for a subsidized Napoli or Victorino. Right see what you can get for Buccholz. When Theo balks, you say. Hey, we'll throw in 2x champion Victorino for ya. We'll even pay him. In the sales vernacular, it's a way of over-coming an objection.
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Post by gregblossersbelly on Jun 15, 2015 14:10:36 GMT -5
Napoli and Victorino won't get anything. But, could be sweeteners in a deal. Buchholz + Vic to a team like the Cubbies. Or, Koji + Nap to Pittsburgh. We'd have to pay all of Vic or Nap's salary.
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Post by gregblossersbelly on Jun 15, 2015 11:40:50 GMT -5
We're headed into bumpy waters. Need to ride this one out. Might have to toss a few deck-chairs to keep this puppy afloat. I'm thinking Buchholz and Koji. Can add a lesser prospect if we're getting a good return. Or, giving them Victorino if he's healthy or Napoli if he straightens it out a little. With us eating all of the money.
Someone might even want a guy like Miley. We basically have his replacement in AAA don't we? Brian Johnson.
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Post by gregblossersbelly on Jun 15, 2015 10:25:11 GMT -5
Hanley will be a DH by 2018. It's possible that we could have an OF of; Mookie, Benintendi and Margot. Probably depends on how good Castillo and JBJ are doing as well. One of the draft guys compared Andrew to Kotsay on draft night. FWIW. We really don't know what we have in any of our OF prospects. I hope we get them playing time before we deal them too soon. A la Reddick. By the time Benintendi is ready, we should know what we have. Spring 2018.
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Post by gregblossersbelly on Jun 15, 2015 9:50:17 GMT -5
Hanley can't play LF, but he'd make a great DH. He's got a spot in our team for a long time. Sandoval is another story. He's overpaid and doesn't have the bat for positional flexibility. But the FA market for 3B is horrible next year, and I wouldn't expect Moncada or Devers to be ready to play 3B until 2017 at the earliest, so selling low on Sandoval goes from ill-advised to completely detrimental right there. We're not going to trade either of them. Moncada and Devers are in Low-A. They need 2+ years after this year. 2018 at the earliest. No sense in wasting a rookie contract on someone who isn't ready. It's throwing away a cost-controlled year. Something we're doing with regularity.
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Post by gregblossersbelly on Jun 15, 2015 5:57:03 GMT -5
Arkansas plays Miami at 3p EST ON ESPN2. More Benny Ball!!
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Post by gregblossersbelly on Jun 14, 2015 18:59:17 GMT -5
We're debating whether or not it's worth it to trade Clay Buchholz. My argument is that it's probably not worth it, because he's unlikely to fetch more in a trade than he'd be worth to the Red Sox. Adding another piece to the equation isn't suddenly going to make Buchholz much more appealing to a trade partner, especially since the Red Sox don't really have that many other pieces. I don't think we're going to be any good next year either. That's why I'd deal him. Mookie and Swihart aren't going to turn into Trout and Posey this off-season. We basically have one position open. First base. Hard to see us becoming an offensive juggernaut over-night.
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Post by gregblossersbelly on Jun 14, 2015 18:57:46 GMT -5
Some Cubs fans suggested a Buchholz for Baez swap last week. Sign me up. I was thinking more along the lines of Buchholz for Schwarber, and then go all in on David Price. Note: that's not to say Scwarber is sufficient compensation for Buchholz; it's just that given the two teams' current situations, it is a more reasonable starting point. I suggested Schwarber a couple of weeks ago. We don't have a bat like his in our system. I think he can move to 1b. He's about on the brink of being ready. Doubt they trade him. I'd consider Buchholz and Margot for Schwarber and a good pitching prospect from them. With Benintendi on board, just don't see Margot playing for us.
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Post by gregblossersbelly on Jun 14, 2015 18:54:32 GMT -5
Those were his age 25, 26, and 27 seasons. This is his age 28 season. I don't think it's age-related decline. We're talking about a player with a unique body type and skill set (doing damage with balls out of the strike zone), I think the decline could be unique also. I'm going to try that Unique Body Type Line. I'll let you guys know how it works.
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Post by gregblossersbelly on Jun 14, 2015 18:51:48 GMT -5
I'm going to look on the bright side of this disastrous season. There are a lot of examples in other sports where decent teams inexplicably or because of injuries got high picks they probably shouldn't have. Parlayed it into premier talent.
San Antonio - D. Robinson turned em around. He gets hurt for a year and they suck. Might have returned sooner. Win lottery vs CELTICS and get Tim Duncan.
Pittsburgh Penguins - Were turning the corner. Made playoffs in 89 with Mario Lemieux. Miss by a point in 90 and because of dumb NHL slotting system end up with Jaromir Jagr.
It shouldn't have taken teams like; Pittsburgh, Baltimore and Washington so long to turn it around in baseball. And, because it did. They got premium packs while they were already stockpiling talent.
I just hope we can get a power pitcher at the top of next year's draft.
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Post by gregblossersbelly on Jun 14, 2015 18:26:47 GMT -5
About the only guys I'm definitely keeping are; Pedroia, Bogaerts, E-Rod, Tazawa, Mookie and Swihart. Willing to deal everyone else. Of course, we're stuck with Hanley and Tubby because of their contracts. They aren't going anywhere. I would like to bring Ortiz back for a swan song next year with the note to him that he's hitting against righties only. Hanley will DH against lefties.
There isn't a great team out there. Literally, every team that makes the playoffs has a shot. Meaning there are 12-15 contenders.
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Post by gregblossersbelly on Jun 14, 2015 18:19:28 GMT -5
Trey Ball has set a new Salem sox high 15.2 consecutive scoreless innings Ball out after 4 innings: 4IP 2H 0R 3BB 3K; 6GO/2AO Not as good as the last time (3 BB), but a solid outing. As for Owens, I'm actually pretty happy with his season so far, if the reports are accurate. He's deliberately de-emphasizing his CH for his CB and SL, and he's not getting his head bashed in. That's pretty good development work. He has less control over those pitches, so he'll walk more guys doing this than he would going with his normal pitching pattern. There was a thunderstorm in Salem. Ball went out to start the 5th. Walked the leadoff hitter and he was a couple of pitches into the 2nd batter when they delayed the game. In his last 6 starts, he's given up 0 runs 4x, 1 run once and 4 in the other. I'm hoping Eric comes by with some statistical correlation that indicates he's about to become Sandy Koufax www.milb.com/player/index.jsp?sid=milb&player_id=640441#/career/R/pitching/2015/ALL
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Post by gregblossersbelly on Jun 14, 2015 18:13:13 GMT -5
Let's compare: Clay Buchholz (age 30): 2.5 years of team control, (prorated) $12m, $13m club option, $13.5m club option Past three years: 466.2 IP, 3.99 ERA, 3.52 FIP, 3.78 xFIP Past year: 199.1 IP, 4.47 ERA, 3.30 FIP, 3.51 xFIP Jeff Samardzija (age 29): 1.5 years of team control, (prorated) $5.3m, arb3 ($9.8m) Past three years: 537.2 IP, 3.68 ERA, 3.51 FIP, 3.39 xFIP Past year: 208.1 IP, 4.10 ERA, 3.77 FIP, 3.52 xFIP Matt Garza (age 28): 3 years of team control, arb1, arb2, arb3 ($6m, $9.5m, $10.3m) Past three years: 592.1 IP, 3.86 ERA, 4.24 FIP, 4.29 xFIP Past year: 204.2 IP, 3.91 ERA, 4.42 FIP, 4.31 xFIP R.A. Dickey (age 38): 4 years of team control, $5m, $12m, $12m, $13m Past three years: 616.2 IP, 2.95 ERA, 3.55 FIP, 3.64 xFIP Past year: 233.2 IP, 2.73 ERA, 3.27 FIP, 3.27 xFIP The big difference is with regards to innings pitched, and Buchholz has generally been worse on the field as well (Garza is the exception, but that is another one of those outlier deals that was widely panned at the time). The point is well taken that there might always be a team out there willing to overpay and that teams have done just that, but I think Buchholz is legitimately a step down from those three, and I'd expect the offers the Red Sox get for him to reflect that. If a team out there is willing to overpay with a top-30-type prospect/young player at a position of need (1B, SP, maybe 3B or corner outfield) or multiple top-75-type prospects? Of course I'd consider it. I'm just skeptical that that sort of offer is out there. Are we debating who the better pitcher is? Or, whether we can get a good return if we deal Clay? Ya know, most trades aren't 1 for 1. We have other pieces that can be added to assist a contender.
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Post by gregblossersbelly on Jun 14, 2015 15:20:31 GMT -5
If Zimmerman goes to an AL Team, he won't be worth it. Price has Dodgers written all over him. Go ahead and sign Cueto if you want. Gonna cost 200m. Awfully risky for a team that is a long way from contending.
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