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Post by gregblossersbelly on Jun 4, 2015 23:54:49 GMT -5
My plan was to put Mookie at 3b. Some posters said he didn't have the arm. Yeah right. And, if Mookie flopped, just go with Holt. I did like the Hanley signing. I thought he'd try to play the field. I figured he'd end up at DH. Just not this soon.
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Post by gregblossersbelly on Jun 4, 2015 21:16:45 GMT -5
Right now the Sox would have the fifth pick in the draft! I would put Masterson, and Kelly in the bullpen. I would consider releasing Masterson and calling up Johnson. Another benefit of that. If Kelly looks good in the pen, you can deal Koji at the deadline. Taz/Kelly/Barnes can takes turns closing.
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Post by gregblossersbelly on Jun 4, 2015 20:15:12 GMT -5
Can we please move ortiz out of the three hole in the lineup? He may need some quality bench time in order to rediscover his ability to hit anything other than a fastball. Three or four months should do the trick! He really needs to sit against lefties. Slide Hanley to DH. Maybe, when Victorino comes back we'll start to do that. Helps the offense and defense.
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Post by gregblossersbelly on Jun 4, 2015 20:08:57 GMT -5
Schwarber is 18 months older than Margot. And, absolutely raking in AA. We won't do that type of trade. But, I'd love to get him. Anyone forget Sam Travis in High A? Why would u deal a SP with ability for another "doesn't have a position" type prospect. We already have to many one dimensional players on the ML roster. Schwarber is another one.. Schwarber looks like the type of bat you can build your line-up around. He was the 4th overall pick last year and has dominated minor league pitching since. Was BA's 19th overall prospect headed into the season. Will prob be around 10 in mid-season because of promotions and drop-offs. He'll be in the bigs shortly. Sam Travis. I didn't forget about him. Not enough pop.
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Post by gregblossersbelly on Jun 4, 2015 20:04:52 GMT -5
Trey Ball dealing and looking to save the day. I know 4 bb's. But, 6ip 2h 0r 0er 4 bb 2k
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Post by gregblossersbelly on Jun 4, 2015 19:19:29 GMT -5
Going back to the original post, it's dumb to suggest that there is no chance Margot could be better than Schwarber. There is so much fluctuation in baseball and especially in prospect projections. In 2011 Montero and Domonic Brown were ranked by BA in the top 5 prospects, while Anthony Rizzo was ranked 75th. You can go through the history of the BA prospect lists to get a general sense of how these players are ranked and how that changes over time. But I guess that would make us all homers. www.baseballamerica.com/today/prospects/rankings/top-100-prospects/all-time Another aspect of this is youth. Schwarber is a lot more polished. Margot has consistently been very young for his level. Of course, youth carries risk...but it seems like prospect evaluations often fail to take youth/level "stress" into account. Eduardo Rodriguez is a great example. In AA at just 20, with a full year at 21, he dropped down some boards (50s in preseason 2014, 60s-70s preseason 2015 despite a pretty impressive finish to 2014 and quite good overall numbers in AA for his age). Young players offset their risk with the fact that they're still in the steep part of the learning curve. Rodriguez was knocked for "OK" command and a middling slider...both of which he's improved upon substantially. Margot has a lot of time (3 years, really) to get to the majors and still be more or less average age as a rookie. That's three years for two levels, presuming he finishes the year at Salem, which may be overly conservative. Margot's 55 FV could easily be higher if he shows AA success, thus raising his floor. Schwarber is 18 months older than Margot. And, absolutely raking in AA. We won't do that type of trade. But, I'd love to get him.
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Post by gregblossersbelly on Jun 4, 2015 18:17:33 GMT -5
Can someone explain to me how we shouldn't blame Farrell again? If so I instruct you to watch this game. You know the one where we've had 4 horrible baserunning mistakes, atrocious defense all around and just piss poor fundamentals along with horrific bullpen management. We absolutely have one of the worst 5 managers in the league in our dugout. Yup. Farrell shouldn't have signed Hanley and Tubby.
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Post by gregblossersbelly on Jun 4, 2015 16:27:09 GMT -5
The continued inability of the Red Sox pitching staff to field their position is so incredibly frustrating. At some level, it represents a failing by the coaching staff to adequately prepare their players. Throwing to bases should not be this difficult. How the heck is that on the coaching staff? It's up to each player to be able to do their job. It's MLB, not Legion Ball!
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Post by gregblossersbelly on Jun 4, 2015 15:39:07 GMT -5
Hit em where they ain't.
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Post by gregblossersbelly on Jun 4, 2015 15:37:36 GMT -5
Swihart's gotta get Mookie over to third there Yeah, but when you've got a soft-tossing lefty. I don't mind my RH hitters taking a hack at him.
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Post by gregblossersbelly on Jun 4, 2015 15:24:56 GMT -5
Hitting .500 with RISP. So, we got that going for us.
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Post by gregblossersbelly on Jun 4, 2015 14:57:33 GMT -5
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Post by gregblossersbelly on Jun 4, 2015 14:46:56 GMT -5
E-Rod's next start at BALTIMORE should be interesting.
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Post by gregblossersbelly on Jun 4, 2015 14:04:51 GMT -5
It's great to hear the good reports on his defense. Because, he's putting up a heck of a slash line for anyone in the Sally, let alone a 19yr old shortstop. 295/354/510/864. A .510 Slug pct is an eye opener. I think he'll finish the year as our 4th best positional prospect behind; Moncada, Devers and Margot. Right now he's behind Marrero and Chavis. Swihart won't be eligible. Buster Olney will have traded him by next year's Future Games.
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Post by gregblossersbelly on Jun 4, 2015 13:58:08 GMT -5
I agree. I think he'll go to AAA when Masterson comes off the DL. If Kelly struggles, we'll probably give Masterson another crack or two before he gets DFA'd. I don't see any reason to even pitch Masterson above Wright anymore personally. He'll be bullpen bound if he even comes back up at all. I'm not saying I would do that. I think the front office will. If Kelly struggles, I'd bet Masterson gets the call before Johnson or Wright.
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Post by gregblossersbelly on Jun 4, 2015 13:47:07 GMT -5
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Post by gregblossersbelly on Jun 4, 2015 13:39:57 GMT -5
I think Wright leaves the rotation. I don't think they bail on Kelly this early in the season. I agree. I think he'll go to AAA when Masterson comes off the DL. If Kelly struggles, we'll probably give Masterson another crack or two before he gets DFA'd.
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Post by gregblossersbelly on Jun 4, 2015 10:45:17 GMT -5
Great GM's make bad draft picks. We need to get over this. One thing I look for is to see if our GM goes back to the same profile. Over-age HS player. In a poor-weather climate. Seems like Chavis is a bit of a resemblance to the Ball pick. He has an outstanding hit tool. But, isn't much of an athlete. And, was an older hs kid.....hmmm I hope BC picks a college kid this year and he gets canned after the season. Kopech appears to be a great prospect, but he's a long way away from helping. Enough of the high school projects. I'm not sure I understand the argument for a quick to the majors prospect. The big league team has as much youth currently on its roster or close to it than I can remember. And the positions without a young 20 something have guys with multi-year contracts. This seems like the perfect time to look to sacrifice more immediate results for more long term value. Not so much for a quicker path to the majors. More that the front office has a better feel what he can become. The high school options don't seem like good gambles this year. Though, Ian does like the Tucker kid.
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Post by gregblossersbelly on Jun 4, 2015 10:23:59 GMT -5
Great GM's make bad draft picks. We need to get over this. One thing I look for is to see if our GM goes back to the same profile. Over-age HS player. In a poor-weather climate. Seems like Chavis is a bit of a resemblance to the Ball pick. He has an outstanding hit tool. But, isn't much of an athlete. And, was an older hs kid.....hmmm I hope BC picks a college kid this year and he gets canned after the season. Kopech appears to be a great prospect, but he's a long way away from helping. Enough of the high school projects.
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Post by gregblossersbelly on Jun 4, 2015 8:47:15 GMT -5
Well, we're at the 1/3 point of the season. After starting out 7-3 and being a -4 in run differential thru 10 games. We've gone 17-27 since then. .386 ball over 44 games. With a - 42 run differential. That's a non-playoff team. It's really hard to see enough improvement to make a playoff push. I hope the youngsters continue to improve. The vets stay healthy enough to deal a couple of them for future assets.
I don't see us being contenders over the next 2-3 years. It doesn't appear that we have an elite starting pitcher. Or, an elite player. Papi is winding down. While very good, Pedey isn' the type who can carry a team. I don't want to trade any prospects for immediate help in the hopes we turn this season around. Ain't happening IMO. If we trade prospects for a high caliber player who will be around 4-5 years. That's fine. Just don't know if that type of player is available.
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Post by gregblossersbelly on Jun 3, 2015 12:53:05 GMT -5
I want Schwarber as a 1b. We can draft a CF next week as good as Margot. Benintendi. Manny is 5'10" 180lbs. At best he's a decent CF prospect. Which we don't need. We haven't developed a power bat like Schwarber since Mo Vaughn.
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Post by gregblossersbelly on Jun 3, 2015 12:22:37 GMT -5
For Schwarber, I'd give them Buchholz and Margot. I'd want another decent prospect from them if they pick up Buck's options. I've given up on the next 2-3 years. Not just this year. It's going to take; Mookie, Xander, Swihart and Castillo time to become productive players. You know it's possible that Schwarber is never as valuable as Buchholz is right now and that Margot is better? That is one insane trade idea. LOL at Margot being better than Schwarber. Only a Red Sox homer would say such a thing. Margot wouldn't have an OPS over 1000 in any league. Many posters on this site really over-rate our prospects. I'll remind when Clay starts to struggle or gets injured again too.
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Post by gregblossersbelly on Jun 3, 2015 12:01:29 GMT -5
For Schwarber, I'd give them Buchholz and Margot. I'd want another decent prospect from them if they pick up Buck's options. I've given up on the next 2-3 years. Not just this year. It's going to take; Mookie, Xander, Swihart and Castillo time to become productive players. I would have to think about that proposal...that's probably a good trade for both teams. If the Sox are still struggling come July, I might do it. I'm sure Eric still has Theo's number. We'll have to get him on it.
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Post by gregblossersbelly on Jun 3, 2015 11:50:01 GMT -5
I'm one of the Clay bashers. But, he has pitched well this year. And, taken the ball every turn. Here's his line if you subtract that disastrous outing in NY. 3-5 2.77 era 65 ip 56 h 22 R 20 ER 16 BB 67 K I think we're 3-4 years from being a true contender. I'd deal him in the right plan. Looks like a good LH bat is the biggest thing we're missing. I wonder if Clay and one of our really good prospects could get Schwarber. www.baseball-reference.com/minors/player.cgi?id=schwar001kylWait...you want to trade a guy who's pitching like a #3 (or 2, if you drop the NY start), who has team-friendly options and a currently team-friendly contract, **plus** a really good prospect, for another really good prospect? I like the idea of getting Schwarber, but how good of a prospect are you planning to give up? Trading Buchholz all but concedes this year. For Schwarber, I'd give them Buchholz and Margot. I'd want another decent prospect from them if they pick up Buck's options. I've given up on the next 2-3 years. Not just this year. It's going to take; Mookie, Xander, Swihart and Castillo time to become productive players.
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Post by gregblossersbelly on Jun 3, 2015 7:26:19 GMT -5
Now, if Clay continues this renaissance, I have no idea what you're talking about. Buchholz the last 2 games: 3.15 xFIP. Buchholz the entire season: 3.11 xFIP. He's been pitching consistently at the same level. I'm one of the Clay bashers. But, he has pitched well this year. And, taken the ball every turn. Here's his line if you subtract that disastrous outing in NY. 3-5 2.77 era 65 ip 56 h 22 R 20 ER 16 BB 67 K I think we're 3-4 years from being a true contender. I'd deal him in the right plan. Looks like a good LH bat is the biggest thing we're missing. I wonder if Clay and one of our really good prospects could get Schwarber. www.baseball-reference.com/minors/player.cgi?id=schwar001kyl
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