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jodyreidnichols
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Post by jodyreidnichols on Aug 13, 2017 21:44:33 GMT -5
Man he's chocking right now
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jodyreidnichols
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Post by jodyreidnichols on Aug 13, 2017 21:43:44 GMT -5
Has anyone tracked how many favorable calls the yanks have had regarding balls/strikes?
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jodyreidnichols
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Post by jodyreidnichols on Aug 13, 2017 21:42:18 GMT -5
Barnes needs to pitch low leverage situations only
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jodyreidnichols
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Post by jodyreidnichols on Aug 13, 2017 21:40:23 GMT -5
Judge gets a hit and we have to see it six times
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jodyreidnichols
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Post by jodyreidnichols on Aug 13, 2017 19:54:05 GMT -5
I'm going to pick a bone with Jessica Mendoza here, a pitcher does not need to be "historic" to be an MVP. That's just silly. Is Altuve having a historic season? She's historically bad
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jodyreidnichols
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Post by jodyreidnichols on Aug 13, 2017 19:53:24 GMT -5
Saw Harper's injury and the weather is being blamed. What about the material and thickness of the base itself?
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jodyreidnichols
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Post by jodyreidnichols on Aug 13, 2017 19:35:48 GMT -5
How many strikes has the ump given the Yanks already?
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jodyreidnichols
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Post by jodyreidnichols on Aug 13, 2017 8:44:33 GMT -5
By the way, page 15 of this thread makes for fun re-reading. It's a huge turn off.
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jodyreidnichols
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Post by jodyreidnichols on Aug 13, 2017 8:38:32 GMT -5
Workman is probably deserving of the 8th inning role. Showing good speed and movement lately. Looks to be throwing a heavy ball. Also, i'll admit that I was wrong about Pomeranz. He is probably the 2nd best starter on the Red Sox. Pomeranz has been ridiculous, but even early on this year he had some testy starts. I was on the bandwagon early, then nearly jumped off, then my faith was restored, shaken a bit, then I got back to square one: his stuff is awesome and he should be pretty great. Even last year when he had nothing you could see glimpses of greatness with how funky his pitches moved. It's funny how much his trade reminds me of Kimbrel's, as in it looked like a heavy overpay early, then some good value, then back to overpay and now it's looking like a good deal. More than anything it's a cautionary tale about not judging trades too early. I recently read how overwhelming the trades have been in favor of Ddom so far in regards to WAR although to be fair it should be as he traded proven commodities for future stock. Then again that is the basis of many trades. Like or hate his trades he often attains top level talent. His track records indicates he's very good at making trades. I don't know what the consensus is regarding building the farm. It's to bad Ben did not stay on board when Ddom was hired, although if I was him I'd of left too.
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jodyreidnichols
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Post by jodyreidnichols on Aug 11, 2017 9:39:02 GMT -5
Honestly, I wasn't wrong about anything I said in that paragraph. Pedrioa is on his way to to a season that's worth 2-3 fWAR. Which is twice the amount of fWAR that Kole Coulhoon has been worth (not a good trade prediction). Pedrioa has been worth more than Kole every year besides 2014. I'm not going to get into a argument with you in the Chavis thread about Pedrioa. It doesn't honestly matter in the first place. 'Honestly' you are acting like David Price doubling down after he's been exposed. You directly contradicted yourself that is a fact and not an opinion. Calhoun was never what this was about, it was an example of 1 piece in a trade for Pedroia not 'Pedrioa'. Years ago when Mookie was knocking on the door we had a shortage of OF'ers and Mookie was a second baseman, my proposed deal (was more than Kole btw) was an attempt to cover 2 birds with 1 stone AND again that is not the point. You are in red below. -Predicting that a player in his 30's will get injured isn't all that impressive.
-Pedrioa isn't actually limited on the field when he does play [he just needs more time off,
You appear to have a very 'selective' memory as you said the opposite a mere seven month ago. You clearly talked out of both sides of your mouth and that is why I have issues with you. Either be consistent or admit Mea Culpa. See the post below with your responses in red. He's actually had surgery nearly every year of his career, mostly off-season. I predicted several years ago that he's likely to be more injury prone because he plays all out diving for balls when the team is up ten in the ninth and he was on the wrong side of 30.Edit: He actually had surgery on his knee this offseason a few days after the season ended. I don't share your pessimistic view of Pedrioa. I just saw Adrian Beltre literally get better into his mid 30's and he plays just like Pedrioa. I don't see how that factors into injury risk. I'm no more worried of Mookie getting injured than I am with Pedrioa than I am with anyone else with this roster. Injuries are such a random variance, there's no way of knowing or trying to predict it. If I'm a betting man, I'm betting on Pedrioa and the Sox are too. So really that's all that matters to me. Pedrioa is a rock.
For one your Beltre comparison has no merit other than you want it to. Beltre "improved" because he left the worst stadium for him as a hitter, Seattle. I actually mentioned years before the Sox acquired him that they should trade for him how he'd be a perfect fit at Fenway and successfully argued against about 30 people over on SoSH about that. Pedrioa has had surgery nearly every year (mostly off-season) he's played and his style of play, balls out, and body size does not make that a good recipe from staying away from more injuries ESPECIALLY as he'll turn 34 during this season. You can make any point you want but you cannot refute that.All apologies to the board in making the point here, should this continue I'll take it to the throw down forum. To me being accountable for your actions and words means something.
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jodyreidnichols
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Post by jodyreidnichols on Aug 10, 2017 12:48:26 GMT -5
Who could have predicts Pedroia physical limitations and increasing injuries? Myself and a few others several years ago. Chavis is very likely not going to second. -Chavis is actually a really good candidate to move to second base. -Predicting that a player in his 30's will get injured isn't all that impressive.-Pedrioa isn't actually limited on the field when he does play [he just needs more time off, aka a good utility man backing him up (Eduardo Nunez for example)]. You appear to have a very 'selective' memory as you said the opposite a mere seven month ago. You clearly talked out of both sides of your mouth and that is why I have issues with you. Either be consistent or admit Mea Culpa. See the post below with your responses in red. pedrofanforever45 Avatar Jan 17, 2017 at 4:23am pedrofanforever45 said: jodyreidnichols Avatar Jan 16, 2017 at 6:14pm jodyreidnichols said: He's actually had surgery nearly every year of his career, mostly off-season. I predicted several years ago that he's likely to be more injury prone because he plays all out diving for balls when the team is up ten in the ninth and he was on the wrong side of 30. By 34 YO decline is normal no way around it, you must have grown up in the steroid era to believe otherwise. I also said he'd likely have 1 more good year in him and I fear we just saw it. I wanted to trade him a few years ago for Kole Calhoun and relief pitching. Kole is a similar hitter to Pedroia plays very good D in right and we'd have had Betts at second. But he was "healthy" last year and that gives me hope.
Edit: He actually had surgery on his knee this offseason a few days after the season ended.I don't share your pessimistic view of Pedrioa. The Angels also would never do the trade YOU wanted to do. I just saw Adrian Beltre literally get better into his mid 30's and he plays just like Pedrioa. I don't see how that factors into injury risk. I'm no more worried of Mookie getting injured than I am with Pedrioa than I am with anyone else with this roster. Injuries are such a random variance, there's no way of knowing or trying to predict it. The Sox will be more careful of Pedrioa and will give him DH time and plenty of days off. I know they will monitor him very closely going forward.Mookie also had knee surgery too but I don't see you bringing that up either. This has nothing to do with steriods. I already mentioned that I think he would take a decline defensively with a little less range in the future but I always think his bat will play in Fenway.Like Jimed said, it wouldn't be a big surprise that he would be worth 4-5 WAR the next couple of years of the contract then 2-3 WAR the rest of the way. I bet he ends up being worth at least 75% of the contract when it comes to dollars per WAR. I could care less about that if he wins a championship the next 2-3 years and is a big part of it.It's no coincidence that every time that Pedrioa is playing well in a season, that the Sox make the playoffs that year (2007-2009), (2013), (2016). If I'm a betting man, I'm betting on Pedrioa and the Sox are too. So really that's all that matters to me. Pedrioa is a rock.Well its obvious you have your blinders on. For one your Beltre comparison has no merit other than you want it to. Beltre "improved" because he left the worst stadium for him as a hitter, Seattle. I actually mentioned years before the Sox acquired him that they should trade for him how he'd be a perfect fit at Fenway and successfully argued against about 30 people over on SoSH about that. Pedrioa has had surgery nearly every year (mostly off-season) he's played and his style of play, balls out, and body size does not make that a good recipe from staying away from more injuries ESPECIALLY as he'll turn 34 during this season. You can make any point you want but you cannot refute that. I have a Pedroia signed Helmet I won at a silent auction so it's not like I'm not a fan just a realist, try that on for size.
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jodyreidnichols
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Post by jodyreidnichols on Aug 10, 2017 5:27:29 GMT -5
I don't know why there's so much first base talk with Chavis. Yes there's a immediate need there, but I see the Sox spending money at first base or I see them making a trade at that position in the future. The Sox should be trying to transition Chavis to second base. Pedrioa's knees are a major long term risk going forward and Dombrowski has even acknowledged this when Pedrioa hit the DL. Pedrioa's knees are taking away his durability, power, and maybe his range too. Pedrioa is going to need to DH a lot in the future and he's going to need a lot of rest too. Sticking Chavis at second base can help Pedrioa in the future (transition him to a part time role or DH role) and would be beneficial to the Sox depth at the position with Pedrioa being a huge question mark long term at second base. A very valid point. Like all of this. I have wondered since last fall how much pedy still has in the tank. He plays so very hard all the time, time has to take it's toll. Who could have predicts Pedroia physical limitations and increasing injuries? Myself and a few others several years ago. Chavis is very likely not going to second.
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jodyreidnichols
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Post by jodyreidnichols on Aug 6, 2017 9:41:28 GMT -5
But Brown + a potential Top 5 pick for the improvement between Isaiah and Kyrie?? I just think those assets should be used to improve on something we don't have anything close to. If that isn't available, I'd rather bank on the young guys (including Brown) improving and/or wait until something IS available. I don't think Isaah will be Isaah next year, due to the hip. I'm not sure if I'm sold on Brown too (though he does have the talent to turn into a superstar, I admit). Irving is a superstar and is controllable and he's 25. IF IT is not IT next year it would be because of the hip and therefore a deal would not happen because the med reports would catch it.
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jodyreidnichols
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Post by jodyreidnichols on Aug 6, 2017 9:30:07 GMT -5
We only get Lakers pick if it's 2-5. Right now I would say you might have a 20% chance at getting that pick. Heck that might be high. The Lakers have added a lot of talent. Now injuries could happen, maybe the players don't gel or something like that happens. With other teams tanking, the Lakers just don't look that bad. They also want to win to attract free agents next year. Then if you don't get the Lakers pick we get the Kings the following year. The Kings have done a decent job adding talent. Give that team two years to Gel add another lottery pick next year. They don't look like a bottom 5 team to me. Again they would have no reason to tank. They also added a bunch of Vets. I almost think Danny out smarted himself here. We are going to get a lottery pick most likely, but it sure looks like it could be more in the range of 7-10, not top 5 pick. With next years class I would rather have had a top 8 or 9 Lakers pick than hoping the Kings suck in 2019. So for me the Nets pick is something I don't trade, I would trade the Lakers pick in the right deal. Is Irving the right deal? That is a very hard question. He is an upgrade over Thomas going forward. He still has upside. He can still improve his D for example. Thomas is maxed out. So you have to at least look at making a trade. I wouldn't trade Brown and the Lakers pick, along with Thomas though. Nevermind the salaries don't match. Thomas, Brown and let's say Yabu for Irving. I might do that. Maybe add a late first round pick if that's what it takes. The only thing is that Irving has to want to play in Boston. If he leaves in two years it could be bad. How could Danny predict that far in the future on wether to get 2-8 rather than 2-5, maybe he tried and couldn't get that either way he still deserves and "A" for the hoarding of draft picks.
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jodyreidnichols
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Post by jodyreidnichols on Aug 1, 2017 21:51:17 GMT -5
Fan F'in tastic we needed that!
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jodyreidnichols
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Post by jodyreidnichols on Aug 1, 2017 21:47:58 GMT -5
Some fans should have their 'cards' revoked
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jodyreidnichols
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Post by jodyreidnichols on Aug 1, 2017 21:47:18 GMT -5
Nailed it
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jodyreidnichols
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Post by jodyreidnichols on Aug 1, 2017 21:46:03 GMT -5
Let's hope that dumb rule strike three passed ball cancel out the other dumb rule
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jodyreidnichols
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Post by jodyreidnichols on Aug 1, 2017 21:40:23 GMT -5
Regardless if they lose how can someone who calls themselves a fan have no hope?
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Post by jodyreidnichols on Aug 1, 2017 21:22:28 GMT -5
Can you explain in any kind of detail why you believe they cannot make a deep playoff run. They haven't won a series since July 5, and have been ineffective against very good and average starting pitchers over the last month. They are 5-38 in games where they score 3 runs or fewer. Along with having problems scoring, they are among the worst HR-hitting teams in baseball in a year where homers have been up league-wide. They have run into more outs than any other team in baseball. Their defense is mediocre. They are poorly managed. That's off the top of my head. I see alot of opinions and very few facts. They've won the WS with Farrell before rendering that point moot. The offense has been streaky, you don't need to hit HR's to win as the link I recently provided showed that 4 of the last 5 WS winners did not have one guy who hit more than 30 and of those 4 teams they only had 7 players with more than 20 HR's. They had the best record in baseball for about a month. They have the 2nd best rotation and the 2nd best bullpen in the AL for the best staff in the AL and they are getting reinforcements in Reed, Kelley, Price and possibly Smith. They have arguably the best defensive OF in the game, a GG 1B and 2B man. They replaced the blackhole at 3rd. I asked for reasons why they cannot not what you provided. Edit: and they are in first place despite everything.
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jodyreidnichols
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Post by jodyreidnichols on Aug 1, 2017 20:38:42 GMT -5
How bad has Hanley become with men on base. It like he's attempting to knock in 5 with one swing.
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Post by jodyreidnichols on Aug 1, 2017 20:37:37 GMT -5
Nunez is my favorite player. Extend this man for another 5 years. With the flexibility he brings by being able to play many positions and Pedey going on the DL from an ongoing condition I hope people realize how good a trade Nunez is.
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Post by jodyreidnichols on Aug 1, 2017 20:05:27 GMT -5
That's an incredible catch by Jackson An incredible catch that should still be a HR. I know it's not MLB rules its just a stupid rule if you need to leave the field to make the catch it's a HR. In any other sport dems the rules. Just like baseball calls it a foulpole but if you hit it it's fair, therefore it should be a fairpole.
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Post by jodyreidnichols on Aug 1, 2017 11:59:07 GMT -5
So I went through and broke things down by team. As of this morning, simply going by Baseball-Ref's WAR calculation, Pomeranz is 31st in the league among starters. Only eight teams have gotten better performance from their #2 starter (and two teams, Washington and Arizona, have a third-best starter having a better season). There are ten teams who have zero starters having a better year than Pomeranz. I don't like to get too deeply into the #1 vs. #2 vs. #3 stuff, but Pomeranz has been better than the median second-best starter. He's good. If your expectations for what a #2 starter are different than that, those are your expectations and not current baseball reality. And I'll note that I used B-Ref because it's runs-allowed measure allows us to simply look at their performance retroactively without trying to take into account predictive. Fangraphs actually rates Pomeranz very slightly higher rank wise, and both systems give him a WAR of 2.2 on the season. The 2.2 is 0.2 over his first 7 starts and 2.0 over his last 14. That's bWAR, estimated. But fWAR has to be similar, as he went from a 110 FIP- to 76. The latter would rank 16th or 17th in MLB. Eric, in support of this have you looked at last season for Pomeranz? His first start aside (13 days between starts after the trade) and up to Sept. when he clearly ran out of gas, check out how well he pitched, despite the masses (fed by many in the media) believing he pitched terribly.
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Post by jodyreidnichols on Aug 1, 2017 11:54:55 GMT -5
So I went through and broke things down by team. As of this morning, simply going by Baseball-Ref's WAR calculation, Pomeranz is 31st in the league among starters. Only eight teams have gotten better performance from their #2 starter (and two teams, Washington and Arizona, have a third-best starter having a better season). There are ten teams who have zero starters having a better year than Pomeranz. I don't like to get too deeply into the #1 vs. #2 vs. #3 stuff, but Pomeranz has been better than the median second-best starter. He's good. If your expectations for what a #2 starter are different than that, those are your expectations and not current baseball reality. And I'll note that I used B-Ref because it's runs-allowed measure allows us to simply look at their performance retroactively without trying to take into account predictive. Fangraphs actually rates Pomeranz very slightly higher rank wise, and both systems give him a WAR of 2.2 on the season. In evaluating did you factor in NL compared to AL line-ups etc?
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