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Post by foreverred9 on Aug 8, 2021 15:12:42 GMT -5
It's also worth noting that this roster was constructed to be an 85-win team not a 95-win team. In a sense we're evaluating some of these offseason moves now in light of being a 95-win team rather than an 85-win team, which is changing the goalposts.
With that said, the goalposts need to be moved to evaluate the deadline. At least as of August 8th... Dalbec manning first base and Richards/Perez in the rotation can't be the 95-win roster. But we all see the bet being made and how those three come off the roster, it's coming soon.
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Post by foreverred9 on Aug 8, 2021 14:24:09 GMT -5
So frustrating, everyone knew 3rd time through the order would be a struggle.
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Post by foreverred9 on Aug 7, 2021 22:06:55 GMT -5
The bats are due to break out, let's hope it happens tomorrow to cover what Richards will give up and then we can leave Toronto with a split.
This has been really tough watching the past two weeks, but I still refuse to believe the team for the rest of the year is what we've seen the past 13 games and not the team we saw play the first 100 games. Time to break out of this rut!
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Post by foreverred9 on Aug 7, 2021 9:42:21 GMT -5
When I was in high school I could name the starting nine, a couple starters and a handful of relievers from all 30 teams off the top of my head. Growing up and getting a job tend stop fix that. Give this a try: www.sporcle.com/games/lineupquizzes/redsoxThere's a clear drop in my knowledge right when I graduated and got a job.
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Post by foreverred9 on Aug 7, 2021 6:07:23 GMT -5
Which also happens to be tied for the system lead with Nishioka and Cannon.
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Post by foreverred9 on Aug 6, 2021 20:11:19 GMT -5
DOB: "Two down, we've been saying this for what feels like a half an hour.
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Post by foreverred9 on Aug 6, 2021 20:05:03 GMT -5
Sometimes you just get three straight doubles out of the bottom of the order without anyone hitting the ball hard You and I are watching a different game. Those 3 were hit well, 2 of the three were xBA of 0.920 and the third was right down the line, all of which the batters were right on top of the pitch. ADD: agree they weren't hard hit, but they got barrel on the ball. Tough, tough inning but typical for the recent stretch. JDM squandering the bases loaded and Eovaldi not being able to be the shut down starter we've needed.
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Post by foreverred9 on Aug 6, 2021 11:43:05 GMT -5
Miguel Bleis hit his first career home run, maybe? The box score shows up under today’s affiliate games but says it was played yesterday. Maybe finished a suspended game or something. Bleis is hitting .353 with a 1.038 OPS in a small sample size so far. He’s only struck out one time in 17 at bats. Yeah, I think it was the completion of the suspended game from yesterday. Makes sense, they hadn't announced the makeup date last night but the only remaining day they play at KC was where they moved the second game of yesterday's double header, so I was suspected they just finish the first game today at Boston.
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Post by foreverred9 on Aug 6, 2021 11:38:18 GMT -5
Matrix of outcomes, IMO:
| Sweep | win 3
| split | win 1
| get swept
| For Boston
| fantastic | great
| good
| bad | terrible
| For Toronto
| great | good | bad | terrible
| season-killer
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Eh, I think a sweep against both is equally bad. Not only do they move 4 games closer to you, but you have to assume NY, OAK, and TB are winning a few games as well. The rest of the matrix I agree with. If the Blue Jays get swept their season is over, if the Sox get swept we can still fight for the wild card. It's clearly worse for the Blue Jays. It still would suck horribly for us to get swept but "terrible" seems to be the right word for it. You might be projecting, in that if we get swept by Toronto that's likely a sign that we're not good and will struggle the rest of the year. That could be true but that's still an assumption on future outcomes. Incandenza is just objectively looking at these three games.
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Post by foreverred9 on Aug 5, 2021 21:03:00 GMT -5
Salem put up 7 runs in the bottom of the 6th to take a 9-0 lead, but Kwiatkowski and Fernandez gave those runs back in the top of the 7th. Fernandez is still in for the 8th, bases currently loaded for Lynchburg.
ADD: He got out of it with a lineout double play turned by Yorke.
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Post by foreverred9 on Aug 5, 2021 20:53:18 GMT -5
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Post by foreverred9 on Aug 5, 2021 12:24:22 GMT -5
Mayer batting 3rd and playing SS in game 2. Tyler Miller also making his debut, batting 5th and playing 3B. Gabriel Jackson starting. Walked in his first at bat.
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Post by foreverred9 on Aug 5, 2021 9:37:11 GMT -5
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Post by foreverred9 on Aug 4, 2021 17:45:24 GMT -5
To be fair, it's the 31st of March, which is just one day earlier than their start date this year. The season typically has started around 4/1 give or take a few days.
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Post by foreverred9 on Aug 4, 2021 11:24:26 GMT -5
Its weird to me everyone is worried about Schwarber when the most obvious problem is Pérez and Richards. Cora as well actually. They’ve both been hammered for like a month plus. Cora keeps leaving them in way too long, bringing them back out for another inning where they inevitably give up at least one run after getting out of a jam the previous inning where they clearly lost it. This happens basically every Richards start. Yeah the offense is in a funk but they’ll snap put of it. As near as I can tell, Perez' only real problem is that he's been giving up the dingers lately (29% HR/FB rate in his last 6 starts). Is that due to mechanical or fatigue issues or is it just bad luck that's primed for regression? Though hmm, he also has a career high Hard Hit%.
Richards, meanwhile, has not looked like a major league pitcher since the sticky stuff crackdown.
I feel like Perez is reverting towards his expected numbers. The problem is that while he's reverting, ERod has still not done the opposite, so it makes the staff as a whole not look great. Eovaldi not giving us a shut down start this week didn't help either, this was the week we really needed a strong outing to hold back the tide. My concern right now is that since June 1st this team has a pythag of 0.500, with 263 runs scored to 262 runs against. They had been squeezing out wins with their comeback heroics to stay on their 0.600 pace, but the magic seems to have run out. This will be their first 10-game stretch all season not at 5-5, 6-4, or 7-3.
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Post by foreverred9 on Aug 3, 2021 22:15:17 GMT -5
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Post by foreverred9 on Aug 3, 2021 10:57:08 GMT -5
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Post by foreverred9 on Aug 2, 2021 18:12:18 GMT -5
Agreed, one thing that's certain is that Bloom makes managing the 40-man roster stressful. Have we ever had 20 pages worth of discussion on the 40-man roster before?
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Post by foreverred9 on Aug 2, 2021 17:12:43 GMT -5
This may be a dumb question, but I will ask it anyway - what is the point of a 40 man roster? Why not just have a 26 man roster and the rest of them are minor leaguers? I don't really understand its purpose. Well it's been around for 100+ years so there's that answer. But more specifically, what I would say is that it gives teams the flexibility to carry a taxi squad of players while at the same time giving the players flexibility to find a new home if they can't stay on the 40-man. Otherwise there'd be no repercussions if the teams wanted to send someone to the minors.
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Post by foreverred9 on Aug 2, 2021 16:51:14 GMT -5
I guess a downside of analytics is that it increases the challenge at managing the PR game. In the past they would have rolled Houck out for 5 or 6 innings, he'd get hit around in the later innings, pick up a "he can't get out of the 5th/6th" tag, and people would be frustrated with him.
Now they know exactly what to do to maximize his value this year, pull him before the damage is done, but his stats now scream that he's too good to only pitch 3 innings per game, which then gets the PR chatter going around they don't know what they are doing. It's like a virtuous-to-vicious cycle all in one.
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Post by foreverred9 on Aug 1, 2021 23:06:29 GMT -5
They are updated monthly, you're just looking at the rankings history page where the "season opening" rankings were from 5/3. The main page has "July 2021" listed for the rankings.
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Post by foreverred9 on Aug 1, 2021 22:32:21 GMT -5
I'd add my uninformed speculation that they likely knew all along that Jud wanted 3M and Hickey wanted 1M. It wouldn't surprise me if their initial offers were close to 2.1M (slot + 5%) for Fabian and 400k (slot) for Hickey with the hopes of splitting the difference and play hardball with Niko at 125K. 2.4M for Fabian and 0.7M for Hickey would have worked.
Once Fabian dropped out, there really wasn't an incentive to negotiate with Hickey and thus he got his 1M. His agents knew the Sox lost any bargaining power once Fabian dropped out. Same goes for Niko.
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Post by foreverred9 on Jul 30, 2021 7:21:05 GMT -5
I decided to sleep on this trade in hopes I feel better in the morning, and to be honest I feel a bit better. I don't like the trade that much still. I feel if we were going to dangle aldo as trade bait we could have gone after a guy with more control. Along with that Schwarber is going to be used at multiple positions, but he has never been played that way really. A little concerning but I trust the Red Sox are confident in their ability to get him, Kiké, Renfroe, and Verdugo in the lineup. What gets me excited about this trade is that the Red Sox have made it clear they are okay with going past the cap now. It open up a lot more options, like the Hosmer + a prospect move everyone is talking about. Should be an interesting day. Aldo being on the DL for the past 6 weeks with elbow problems is not the same value as what we think of when we see the #8 prospect in the system. I'm not sure he could have been dangled for something big, although you could imagine that he was a part of the Scherzer offer and when that fell through they knew Washington really liked him. Taking a step back and removing the names, they got an All-Star for a low A prospect on the DL. That's pretty good value.
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Post by foreverred9 on Jul 28, 2021 22:58:10 GMT -5
Strong candidate for Player of the Month.
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Post by foreverred9 on Jul 28, 2021 21:08:02 GMT -5
The stolen base/caught stealing numbers on the player stat pages are incorrect. I found this to be the case with Duran, Jimenez and Devers (but not Casas or Chavis). The player profile pages appear to be correct (they don't match the stat pages). Some of the older years need a cleanup in the SB/CS metrics, which will happen soon. Definitely over the offseason. 2021 should be good, we shifted from the old source to the new source that MLB provides, which is a lot cleaner.
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