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8/6-8/8 Red Sox @ Blue Jays Thread
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Post by vermontsox1 on Aug 6, 2021 6:38:01 GMT -5
8/6 Red Sox (RHP Nathan Eovaldi, 9-6, 3.71, 121.1 IP, 120K:22BB) @ Blue Jays (RHP Alek Manoah, 3-1, 2.47, 47.1 IP, 56K:16BB) 7:07 pm ET, NESN/WEEI 8/7 Red Sox (RHP Nick Pivetta, 8-5, 4.57, 112.1 IP, 126K:49BB) @ Blue Jays (LHP Robbie Ray, 9-5, 3.04, 124.1 IP, 154K:33BB) 3:07 pm ET, NESN/WEEI (Game 1) 8/7 Red Sox (RHP Tanner Houck, 0-2, 2.45, 22.0 IP, 30K:5BB) @ Blue Jays (RHP Jose Berrios, 8-5, 3.31, 127.2, 133K:33BB) 7:07 pm ET, NESN/WEEI (Game 2) 8/8 Red Sox (RHP Garrett Richards, 6-7, 5.21, 105.1 IP, 85K:47BB) @ Blue Jays (LHP Hyun Jin Ryu, 11-5, 3.22, 123.0 IP, 102K:25BB) 1:07 pm ET, ESPN/WEEI MLB StandingsRed Sox Hitting StatsRed Sox Pitching StatsMLB ScoreboardMLB TransactionsA note regarding moderating of the gameday threads in 2021: As the disclaimer has always said, in the past, we have been very liberal in moderating the Gameday threads. They're meant to be a lot less formal than other threads on the forum, so to moderate them the same way would be silly. However, we do ask posters to maintain a certain level of decorum in these threads, and we plan on moderating the Gameday threads a little more actively this season. In particular, we ask that posters refrain from being overly repetitive with their posts (if you've made your point, let it go), refrain from monopolizing the discussion (if you are making more than a couple posts in a row, you probably need to slow down a little bit), and of course, follow the Ground Rules ( link). The point is to make these threads worth participating in and fun for all posters, from our long-time fixtures to people just signing up today. -The Management
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Post by redsoxfan2 on Aug 6, 2021 6:57:10 GMT -5
Pitching match ups aren't awful, but don't like Houck v Berrios and Richards vs anyone. Win 2 steal 1 and that could prove fatal for Toronto. A split isn't all bad, but a series loss or sweep would be catastrophic.
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Post by Guidas on Aug 6, 2021 7:48:33 GMT -5
Pitching match ups aren't awful, but don't like Houck v Berrios and Richards vs anyone. Win 2 steal 1 and that could prove fatal for Toronto. A split isn't all bad, but a series loss or sweep would be catastrophic. For both teams.
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Post by greenmonster on Aug 6, 2021 8:28:10 GMT -5
"We're on to Toronto"
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Post by redsox04071318champs on Aug 6, 2021 8:34:09 GMT -5
With those pitching matchups the Sox would be fortunate to split. If they can tread water during the series without giving away any games, I'd guess you'd have to take it.
Hopefully that's the last Richards start and my guess is we'll see one more Perez start. I really wish we wouldn't.
On paper Toronto might be the most talented team in the division. Up til now they've been the most underachieving team in the division.
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Post by soxfansince67 on Aug 6, 2021 9:41:54 GMT -5
Huge series, will be quite telling - looking mostly to see if the offense can get their heads out of their butt. Having our starters go for some length would be refreshing too. Will they react well to Cora's public lashings about how they've played? We shall see!
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cdj
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Post by cdj on Aug 6, 2021 9:58:55 GMT -5
Seabold and Sale plz
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Post by incandenza on Aug 6, 2021 10:30:54 GMT -5
Pitching match ups aren't awful, but don't like Houck v Berrios and Richards vs anyone. Win 2 steal 1 and that could prove fatal for Toronto. A split isn't all bad, but a series loss or sweep would be catastrophic. For both teams. Matrix of outcomes, IMO:
| Sweep | win 3
| split | win 1
| get swept
| For Boston
| fantastic | great
| good
| bad | terrible
| For Toronto
| great | good | bad | terrible
| season-killer
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Post by alexcorahomevideo on Aug 6, 2021 10:46:14 GMT -5
Who does Ort have to kill in order to get a shot? You have Austin Davis on this team right now...
Him and Munoz could help this team.
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Post by redsoxfan2 on Aug 6, 2021 10:46:18 GMT -5
Matrix of outcomes, IMO:
| Sweep | win 3
| split | win 1
| get swept
| For Boston
| fantastic | great
| good
| bad | terrible
| For Toronto
| great | good | bad | terrible
| season-killer
|
Eh, I think a sweep against both is equally bad. Not only do they move 4 games closer to you, but you have to assume NY, OAK, and TB are winning a few games as well. The rest of the matrix I agree with.
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cdj
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Post by cdj on Aug 6, 2021 10:50:40 GMT -5
Who does Ort have to kill in order to get a shot? You have Austin Davis on this team right now... Him and Munoz could help this team. I imagine you don’t see Davis optioned until Darwinzon gets back
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Post by redsox04071318champs on Aug 6, 2021 10:53:35 GMT -5
Huge series, will be quite telling - looking mostly to see if the offense can get their heads out of their butt. Having our starters go for some length would be refreshing too. Will they react well to Cora's public lashings about how they've played? We shall see! I saw the quote and tone. Cora definitely struck a different tone. At one point he said something to the affect that it doesn't matter if you don't believe in the team or not. The players have to get the job done. It's that simple. It's on them to play better. He noted that they looked slower on the field. I wonder what he had to say behind closed doors. I know that X, Barnes, and Eovaldi were quoted about needing more help on the team and X talked about the urgency to win that last game against TB. I think frustration is setting in. I think there was some disappointment from the players about not getting more help beyond Schwarber, particularly from the pitching side of things. But at some point, they have to get over it and play. I would surmise that was part of Cora's message to the team. Cora did seem like a guy who was kind of ticked off and wasn't in the mood to sugarcoat things. I think he's the right guy to lead this team out of this poorly timed malaise. The hitters gotta hit, but it won't be easy. They'll be facing good pitching staffs in Toronto and Tampa. Cora is probably frustrated with a lot of the chasing outside of the strike zone. Looks like guys are trying to hit HRs with a runner on 3b and less than 2 outs. Earlier in the season the Sox were doing a good job of making contact and that has lessened as the season has gone on and aggressive hitters are having their aggression exploited chasing after pitches, or as Cora says, not controlling the strike zone.
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Post by redsox04071318champs on Aug 6, 2021 10:54:14 GMT -5
Who does Ort have to kill in order to get a shot? You have Austin Davis on this team right now... Him and Munoz could help this team. I imagine you don’t see Davis optioned until Darwinzon gets back I could do without Robles as well.
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Post by manfred on Aug 6, 2021 11:00:48 GMT -5
It feels a bit like we get backup quarterback syndrome around here. Folks thought Duran was the answer, complained about the wait… and now we see maybe the wait was not long enough. Ort? Is he really a huge difference maker? Seabold? The guy threw 16 games in 2019, 0 in 2020, and 5 this year. I am enthusiastic overall, but this notion that he is ready to roll… it is not a forgone conclusion that he is a significant improvement.
God knows I’m not a “trust Bloom” guy, but I think they’d make any moves that seemed highly likely to make them better.
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Post by julyanmorley on Aug 6, 2021 11:08:35 GMT -5
Red Sox are gonna be betting underdogs in all four
Toronto is a good team
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Post by FenwayFanatic on Aug 6, 2021 11:08:54 GMT -5
If the Sox give Pérez a start vs. Tampa they're basically forfeiting that game.
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Post by redsox04071318champs on Aug 6, 2021 11:13:12 GMT -5
It feels a bit like we get backup quarterback syndrome around here. Folks thought Duran was the answer, complained about the wait⦠and now we see maybe the wait was not long enough. Ort? Is he really a huge difference maker? Seabold? The guy threw 16 games in 2019, 0 in 2020, and 5 this year. I am enthusiastic overall, but this notion that he is ready to roll⦠it is not a forgone conclusion that he is a significant improvement. God knows Iâm not a âtrust Bloomâ guy, but I think theyâd make any moves that seemed highly likely to make them better. haha. Yeah, it is like the talkshow thing where somebody complains and says, "Call up that kid from AA. There's no way he could be any worse than the guy we have playing now." So they do and the kid struggles and is even worse than thought possible and the same guy calls up a month later and says, "Why the hell did they call up some green kid from AA?" I guess that could be me with Duran, but still, I'm willing to stick it out with him, or at least until he struggles or Arroyo comes back freeing up Kiké Hernandez to play CF. In a playoff roster, even with him struggling, I'd include him. That speed of his is game altering. And if he does hit, he is capable of going yard, even if he strikes out the rest of the time. But with Perez and Richards, their peripherals are lousy. They've been lousy. Richards is a mess without his sticky stuff and he was borderline with it. Perez has a long track record of being a very mediocre to bad pitcher and a track record of fading out as the season goes on. So the odds that they can improve upon it is good, although it wouldn't shock me if Sale had a really rough outing either his first and/or second time out, but still I'd take my chances with him. I'd take it with Houck. I'd even try out Seabold. He looked good last year and the Sox thought he'd be knocking down the door in May, but injuries held him back, so now it's not so maybe he can come up and help. It would be crazy not to try it knowing full well what you get with Perez and Richards and knowing they can no longer afford to keep running those 2 out there every 5th day. The biggest thing is is the pollanya homers versus the sky is falling chicken littles mentality that goes on, and frankly none of it really matters. Like Cora said, the players are going to play and whatever happens happens. You can only spin it so far. A loss doesn't mean they're eliminated even if it can feel like it and a win doesn't result in the printing of world series tickets, even if it can feel like it. My guess is that they hang onto a Wild Card spot, but I certainly wouldn't be my life on it. Maybe Manfred, you're right after all, and this is an 87 win team. You're closer than I was - I had them pegged at 79 wins. They're playing like a 79 win team right now, but hopefully that changes. A lot has to go right for this team to be serious pennant contenders (not talking just making the wild card), but that's the case for a lot of teams that do get that far. A lot of things have to break right. This Sox team has less margin for error, for sure, but it's possible. But it's also not hard to see how things can spiral the wrong way. This is why they play the games.
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cdj
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Post by cdj on Aug 6, 2021 11:34:29 GMT -5
In fairness I think anybody but Matt Hall would represent an upgrade on this version of Perez. It’s not that I think Seabold will come up and dominate, I just think he could maybe get us 5 average innings
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Post by foreverred9 on Aug 6, 2021 11:38:18 GMT -5
Matrix of outcomes, IMO:
| Sweep | win 3
| split | win 1
| get swept
| For Boston
| fantastic | great
| good
| bad | terrible
| For Toronto
| great | good | bad | terrible
| season-killer
|
Eh, I think a sweep against both is equally bad. Not only do they move 4 games closer to you, but you have to assume NY, OAK, and TB are winning a few games as well. The rest of the matrix I agree with. If the Blue Jays get swept their season is over, if the Sox get swept we can still fight for the wild card. It's clearly worse for the Blue Jays. It still would suck horribly for us to get swept but "terrible" seems to be the right word for it. You might be projecting, in that if we get swept by Toronto that's likely a sign that we're not good and will struggle the rest of the year. That could be true but that's still an assumption on future outcomes. Incandenza is just objectively looking at these three games.
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Post by manfred on Aug 6, 2021 11:54:04 GMT -5
Eh, I think a sweep against both is equally bad. Not only do they move 4 games closer to you, but you have to assume NY, OAK, and TB are winning a few games as well. The rest of the matrix I agree with. If the Blue Jays get swept their season is over, if the Sox get swept we can still fight for the wild card. It's clearly worse for the Blue Jays. It still would suck horribly for us to get swept but "terrible" seems to be the right word for it. You might be projecting, in that if we get swept by Toronto that's likely a sign that we're not good and will struggle the rest of the year. That could be true but that's still an assumption on future outcomes. Incandenza is just objectively looking at these three games. But, Jesus, these *boards* if the Sox get swept….
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Post by redsox04071318champs on Aug 6, 2021 12:04:55 GMT -5
If the Blue Jays get swept their season is over, if the Sox get swept we can still fight for the wild card. It's clearly worse for the Blue Jays. It still would suck horribly for us to get swept but "terrible" seems to be the right word for it. You might be projecting, in that if we get swept by Toronto that's likely a sign that we're not good and will struggle the rest of the year. That could be true but that's still an assumption on future outcomes. Incandenza is just objectively looking at these three games. But, Jesus, these *boards* if the Sox get swept…. It'll be tough, but if the Sox do get swept how does one deny that the Sox are in trouble? If they get swept they do still have time to get straightened out, but if you're of the mind they were overachieving in the first place, it's fair to question whether they can come back. If they get swept they will have frittered away most of a 9.5 game lead over a hated rival who resembled a AAA team a couple of weeks back, a team that loses somebody every day to the Covid list. The Sox have lost a 4.5 game lead over Tampa pretty swiftly. So yeah, there's reason for concern. Hopefully Schwarber, Sale, Houck, Arroyo, Brasier, and maybe even Seabold represent something like the cavalry coming. The other key piece is getting better situational hitting out of the offense. Maybe Cora's message of controlling the strike zone and making contact will finally sink through. I would guess that point has come out during their team meetings. And the big 3 need to heat up and Verdugo needs to turn it up. So there is still hope no matter what. But at the end of the day what will happen, will happen, and there's not a damn thing we can do about it, other than react. They actually have to do it themselves. It is that simple.
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Post by redsoxfan2 on Aug 6, 2021 12:08:32 GMT -5
Well, let's just win game 1 and forgo this conversation.
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Post by incandenza on Aug 6, 2021 12:10:25 GMT -5
The Red Sox are in second place in the division. If they get swept in this series they are guaranteed to... be in second place in the division.
Then Sale comes back during the TB series. Then they get Baltimore at home, and somewhere in there Schwarber arrives.
If they can scratch out two wins in this series that would be great. But nothing can happen in Toronto (save some plague of injuries) that would really be catastrophic.
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Post by bosoxnation on Aug 6, 2021 12:20:57 GMT -5
The Red Sox are in second place in the division. If they get swept in this series they are guaranteed to... be in second place in the division. Then Sale comes back during the TB series. Then they get Baltimore at home, and somewhere in there Schwarber arrives. If they can scratch out two wins in this series that would be great. But nothing can happen in Toronto (save some plague of injuries) that would really be catastrophic. i love the glass is half full mentality!
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Post by benzinger on Aug 6, 2021 12:53:20 GMT -5
We just needed this to be a 100 game season. Sox are out of gas and look it. Management didn’t get the reinforcements that were needed along the way. Still time to turn it around, but not looking good with TOR and NYY closing fast.
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