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2016 Boston Celtics Offseason Thread
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Post by chavopepe2 on Jun 21, 2016 7:23:57 GMT -5
Sounds like Noel is the guy Danny wants. Makes sense given the idea that Stevens would love a lineup of 4 shooters and a rim protector/ rim runner. Would think Noel not enough for 3 though, right? I guess Boston could try and squeeze more picks out and then use then to creep back up the draft. Yea word is talks are intensifying because Philly really wants that 3rd pick to draft Dunn. If that's the case Danny should play chicken and insist on Noel basically straight up for the 3rd pick. Eh, I don't think Noel is worth pick 3. I hope there would be more coming back in that case.
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Post by jmei on Jun 21, 2016 8:24:30 GMT -5
There's not really much in the way of sweeteners on Phlly's roster, though. Maybe Stauskas, but he hasn't shown much. The Sixers could also throw in 24 or 26 in this year's draft, but I don't know how much that really appeals to Ainge (he likes assets, but he's well aware that they can't actually make all of these picks).
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Post by texs31 on Jun 21, 2016 8:57:43 GMT -5
If it's 24 and/or 26, Danny COULD start packaging them to eek back up into the late lottery. Obviously, it's a lot of moving pieces but, in 2013, Utah received #9 in exchange for #14 and #21. If Boston had 16, 23, 24/26 and 31 they (in theory) could make incremental steps to get to around 8.
Now, I would NEVER predict such a thing bc it's so many moving parts and requires multiple teams to play ball but that's a theoretical way they could use a large number of picks (it's also where the value in the middle of the draft could help them).
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tjb21
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Post by tjb21 on Jun 21, 2016 9:51:37 GMT -5
Did everyone forget the Atlanta series when we couldn't score for long stretches of time? Okafor would most certainly help in that regards and help open up our 3 point shooters. In regular season a fast paced run and gun offense works we!l. In playoffs teams slow down pace and you need to be able to score in half court offense, which we really struggled with. That trade makes a lot of sense for both teams in my opinion. Let's take a look at the numbers on Okafor: On 315 post-up possessions, he scored 0.85 points per possession, with was the 54.7th percentile. He can certainly score in the post, but his TS% is 53.6, so let's not get carried away.. It's extremely tough to build a team around his skill-set in this league. When you add in the face that Okafor is one of the worst defensive players in the league, he likely isn't the answer to any question on Boston's roster. Now Noel... he's interesting. Going to cost so much once his deal is up, but I think they Philly would likely need to throw in a little more to make the deal work -- as others have said, not sure what/who. Robert Covington would likely be too much for them.
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Post by tjb21 on Jun 21, 2016 9:54:12 GMT -5
I'm hoping for Bender, and packaging a few picks to move up into the mid-lottery to nab Brown. He might be available around #9.
Starting to talk myself into him. He sort of has the feel/questions Mudiay did/does. Could be really good, could never shoot, shoes signs of brilliance, etc
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Post by rjp313jr on Jun 21, 2016 10:08:53 GMT -5
Yea word is talks are intensifying because Philly really wants that 3rd pick to draft Dunn. If that's the case Danny should play chicken and insist on Noel basically straight up for the 3rd pick. Eh, I don't think Noel is worth pick 3. I hope there would be more coming back in that case. I think he's worth the pick more the Okafor
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Post by texs31 on Jun 21, 2016 10:50:36 GMT -5
I like Noel better but I wonder if the league perception agrees with us (especially since you only have him for 1 year before you'll need to pony up for him as an RFA)
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Post by tjb21 on Jun 21, 2016 10:53:00 GMT -5
Twitter chatter...
@probballdraft: "Boston has discussed 3 and a contract for Khris Middleton. Danny Ainge wants to add a scorer."
I really like Middleton a lot, hoping we can get a little more value out of the 3, like swapping the #16 and #10 picks. This looks like the type of deal I figured Danny would make. I'd be content.
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Post by rjp313jr on Jun 21, 2016 10:58:09 GMT -5
How is he defensively?
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Post by cto94 on Jun 21, 2016 11:12:23 GMT -5
Middleton (at least before he signed his extension last year) rated super high by ESPN's RPM especially defensively. The only question I have is if we were going to do that, who are we dealing? The 3rd pick doesn't really make sense for him- he's a 2/3 and our backcourt is crowded, and we have Crowder on the wing, so unless one of bradley/crowder is moved, what do we do there? I'd rather flip crowder for him straight up and maybe get a pick back, given that Crowder is effectively just as good and making half the money. Otherwise you just have another player in front of Smart, which is not what you want in my mind. Setting all that aside, I still wouldn't really like that deal- Middleton doesn't really have the upside to be worth the 3rd pick. We need to swing for the fences for the moment, given the youth/upside that's already on the roster and the picks we have, so if you can't get someone who is a serious upgrade on one our starters and might inhibit the younger guys' development, I don't think you do it
Would absolutely not give Philly the 3rd pick for anything they have on their roster right now. Maybe if we could get the lakers pick next year (which is top-2 protected) and figure out some way of moving up into the mid-late lottery I'd consider it, but none of their young guys have been overly impressive. There's no way Okafor is worth it in the modern NBA- he's basically young Al Jefferson with noticeable character concerns, and maybe not even the chance to be as good a defender (not that big Al is much of one). Nerlens would be a good fit, but not for the third pick- he's in his 4th year now and was the 6th pick in his own draft, why would we give up 3 for a rental who's not certain to move the needle much?
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Post by rjp313jr on Jun 21, 2016 11:31:38 GMT -5
I'm not advocating for Middleton because I don't know enough About him but to say this roster is over crowded with 2/3 wing players is false. First, you need to assume if they deal for Middleton then Turner is effectively gone so right there you have your roster and playing time opening.
Also, Today's NBA is not defined by 1-2-3-4-5 like it used to be and Stevens is a coach that embraces this. I ask about Middletons defense because if he's a good long defender then he can fit by guarding multiple positions. Crowder is, despite his lack of height, a versatile defender that can guard multiple spots including "4s". Heck even Marcus Smart guarded Milisap well down low in the playoffs late in that series.
In today's NBA you can run a lineup with 4 of these 5 on the court Thomas, Smart, Bradley, Crowder and Middleton assuming Middleton is a good versatile defender.
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Post by chavopepe2 on Jun 21, 2016 12:23:36 GMT -5
I'm a big Middleton fan. He would be a great get for this team.
If we draft I like Dunn, and I think there is some separation after him.
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Post by texs31 on Jun 21, 2016 12:28:34 GMT -5
I'm leaning towards Dunn myself. If for no other reason, Philly/Sacramento/Chicago seem to be obsessed with him. Take him and try to make a deal. Otherwise, be happy with a guy who might be as good as Smart defensively but a better pure PG.
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tjb21
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Post by tjb21 on Jun 21, 2016 12:52:34 GMT -5
Middleton (at least before he signed his extension last year) rated super high by ESPN's RPM especially defensively. The only question I have is if we were going to do that, who are we dealing? The 3rd pick doesn't really make sense for him- he's a 2/3 and our backcourt is crowded, and we have Crowder on the wing, so unless one of bradley/crowder is moved, what do we do there? I'd rather flip crowder for him straight up and maybe get a pick back, given that Crowder is effectively just as good and making half the money. Otherwise you just have another player in front of Smart, which is not what you want in my mind. Setting all that aside, I still wouldn't really like that deal- Middleton doesn't really have the upside to be worth the 3rd pick. We need to swing for the fences for the moment, given the youth/upside that's already on the roster and the picks we have, so if you can't get someone who is a serious upgrade on one our starters and might inhibit the younger guys' development, I don't think you do it Would absolutely not give Philly the 3rd pick for anything they have on their roster right now. Maybe if we could get the lakers pick next year (which is top-2 protected) and figure out some way of moving up into the mid-late lottery I'd consider it, but none of their young guys have been overly impressive. There's no way Okafor is worth it in the modern NBA- he's basically young Al Jefferson with noticeable character concerns, and maybe not even the chance to be as good a defender (not that big Al is much of one). Nerlens would be a good fit, but not for the third pick- he's in his 4th year now and was the 6th pick in his own draft, why would we give up 3 for a rental who's not certain to move the needle much? Yeah, Crowder isn't near the player. I think he's being severely overrated by fans -- but maybe that's normal. We'd have to add a decent amount to Crowder for that swap to happen. If you haven't had a chance to see Middleton play, you've missed out. He is really good. I have no idea why Milwaukee would want to trade him.
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Post by umassgrad2005 on Jun 21, 2016 13:15:48 GMT -5
Did everyone forget the Atlanta series when we couldn't score for long stretches of time? Okafor would most certainly help in that regards and help open up our 3 point shooters. In regular season a fast paced run and gun offense works we!l. In playoffs teams slow down pace and you need to be able to score in half court offense, which we really struggled with. That trade makes a lot of sense for both teams in my opinion. Let's take a look at the numbers on Okafor: On 315 post-up possessions, he scored 0.85 points per possession, with was the 54.7th percentile. He can certainly score in the post, but his TS% is 53.6, so let's not get carried away.. It's extremely tough to build a team around his skill-set in this league. When you add in the face that Okafor is one of the worst defensive players in the league, he likely isn't the answer to any question on Boston's roster. Now Noel... he's interesting. Going to cost so much once his deal is up, but I think they Philly would likely need to throw in a little more to make the deal work -- as others have said, not sure what/who. Robert Covington would likely be too much for them. He was a rookie playing on a very bad team. Let's not act like he won't get better. Players like Big Al and Brook Lopez were both seen as similar players all offense no D, over time both got better defensively.
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Post by umassgrad2005 on Jun 21, 2016 13:21:20 GMT -5
Eh, I don't think Noel is worth pick 3. I hope there would be more coming back in that case. I think he's worth the pick more the Okafor No way you trade #3 for Noel and Philly has nothing to add to balance it out.
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Post by umassgrad2005 on Jun 21, 2016 13:27:31 GMT -5
Twitter chatter... @probballdraft: "Boston has discussed 3 and a contract for Khris Middleton. Danny Ainge wants to add a scorer." I really like Middleton a lot, hoping we can get a little more value out of the 3, like swapping the #16 and #10 picks. This looks like the type of deal I figured Danny would make. I'd be content. Now that's a good deal. Middleton is a very underrated player that was worth more wins than Butler last year. His win share was 14th in NBA last year, Butler was 16th.
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tjb21
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Post by tjb21 on Jun 21, 2016 13:41:20 GMT -5
After looking at that hypothetical deal, I think I was wrong.
Boston would likely have to add more to the #3 pick in a deal for Middleton.
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Post by jmei on Jun 21, 2016 14:01:28 GMT -5
Middleton is a decent enough player, but the third pick is a lot to give up for a guy who is more solid starter than star. He's a good shooter, but he's not a guy who creates his own offense. He's more a low-usage catch-and-shoot type than someone who can run secondary pick-and-rolls or get to the hoop with any regularity. While he doesn't have any glaring weaknesses, he also doesn't particularly contribute as a defender, rebounder or distributor.
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Post by philarhody on Jun 21, 2016 14:30:57 GMT -5
How about this for a hypothetical...
Boston sends the number 3 pick, the number 16 pick, avery bradley, and the 2018 Brooklyn pick to Philadelphia in exchange for this year's #1 pick.
Philadelphia ends up with their starting backcourt of the future, Boston ends up with their Superstar and still keeps a playoff nucleus and draft assets. Who says no first?
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Post by texs31 on Jun 21, 2016 14:39:43 GMT -5
Philly is taking Simmons for the very reason you state Boston wanting him. He's a superstar in the making and there is no reason for Philly not to take him.
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Post by umassgrad2005 on Jun 21, 2016 15:05:05 GMT -5
Middleton is a decent enough player, but the third pick is a lot to give up for a guy who is more solid starter than star. He's a good shooter, but he's not a guy who creates his own offense. He's more a low-usage catch-and-shoot type than someone who can run secondary pick-and-rolls or get to the hoop with any regularity. While he doesn't have any glaring weaknesses, he also doesn't particularly contribute as a defender, rebounder or distributor. So you think we can get a star at #3? If so who do you think that player is? I think your views of Middleton are a little off. While not a star, he's much better than solid starter. Advanced numbers show him as a top 20 player for the last two years and he's 24 years old. He can also play both SG and SF. While his defensive numbers went down last year, they were very good the year before.
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tjb21
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Post by tjb21 on Jun 21, 2016 15:17:33 GMT -5
Bender likely has the 2nd highest potential of anyone in the draft. I typically try not to evaluate prospects by their absolute ceiling, since it's rare any of them hit it.
Still think he can be better than Middleton, but it will take a few years to know. He's my clear third best prospect on the board, the drop off after Simmons is more than the drop from Bender to the next fellow for me. Some have Bender above Ingram, I'm not there yet.
I'd trade the #3 for Khris.
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Post by umassgrad2005 on Jun 21, 2016 15:52:34 GMT -5
For me if we keep pick it's Murray if you want a safe pick that has a ceiling that is fairly high or if you want a swing for the fences pick you take Bender. I think some people are getting way to high on Dunn. I think he will be a solid PG in this league, but far from a star. People seem to forget that he is a senior and a year older than Marcus Smart that has two years in NBA already.
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Post by philarhody on Jun 21, 2016 16:23:00 GMT -5
For me if we keep pick it's Murray if you want a safe pick that has a ceiling that is fairly high or if you want a swing for the fences pick you take Bender. I think some people are getting way to high on Dunn. I think he will be a solid PG in this league, but far from a star. People seem to forget that he is a senior and a year older than Marcus Smart that has two years in NBA already. Dunn is also a better player than Smart in every single category.
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