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2016 Boston Celtics Offseason Thread
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Post by texs31 on May 25, 2016 7:31:04 GMT -5
I agree. I think some REALLY bad decisions are going to be made this offseason (with all that money floating around and a pretty meh Free Agent class). Hope C's aren't one of them.
I'm now leaning towards taking a flier on Bender and then seeing if we can package some other picks (don't touch the future Brooklyn pics) to move up into the lottery for someone who can help now. Since the draft is a muddled mess after the top 2, the next tier and 3rd tier may come down to preferences so you may see someone drop into the late lottery that you wouldn't have expected.
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Post by Don Caballero on May 25, 2016 12:40:19 GMT -5
I'd take The Dragan, Sabonis and Zizic. If even just one of them hits, hey that's awesome and it significantly helps the team. The Celtics really need some good bigs.
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Post by texs31 on May 25, 2016 14:05:37 GMT -5
Avery Bradley just made All Defensive 1st Team.
Jae Crowder (47 votes, 3 1st Team) and Marcus Smart (7 votes, 2 1st Team) also receiving consideration.
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Post by rjp313jr on May 26, 2016 7:48:15 GMT -5
I'm starting to like Murray as a player at 3... Bender or Murray...
I hope they finally use a draft and stash strategy. I'm surprised they haven't already.
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Post by texs31 on May 26, 2016 9:26:11 GMT -5
They have. Just not in the 1st round.
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Post by umassgrad2005 on May 26, 2016 12:54:10 GMT -5
The more i research Bender, the more I like him. At this point I like Murray or Bender. I wouldn't want to be Danny, though choice. Kevin Pelton WARP projection has Bender at #2 only behind Simmons.
With all the picks we have and what to me looks like strong group of international prospects I would look at picking 2-3 of them.
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Post by umassgrad2005 on May 26, 2016 13:18:16 GMT -5
I'd take The Dragan, Sabonis and Zizic. If even just one of them hits, hey that's awesome and it significantly helps the team. The Celtics really need some good bigs. Can't complain about those 3 as I really like all three. Just don't think Zizic lasts to till our 3rd pick. Also if we let Turner walk we need depth at SF and players like Valentine, Bembry, and Prince would add good depth.
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Post by texs31 on May 26, 2016 15:37:21 GMT -5
So often we have seen 2 things happen in the NBA Draft:
1. Someone who wasn't expected to go in the lottery (or, at least, top 16 picks or so - yes, I cherry-picked that number to include Rozier) does
2. Someone who many thought would go higher in the draft drops a bit.
This is especially true when you're looking at a draft that is not considered to be particularly strong or when a bunch of players are grouped together in relative talent (teams start going with need over pure talent).
If we assume that Simmons/Ingram are Tier 1 and, for argument sake, Bender/Murray/Dunn/Brown/Hield, in some order, are Tier 2 (looking at 15 mock drafts updated as of last week, Ellenson is on the outside looking in but, given his "big man" status, he could sneak in). All it takes is one team from pick 8 to, say, 12 to take a flier on someone they love who is ranked lower (if he's as good as he thinks he is, someone could take a flier on Ulis, for example) and that next Tier of Ellenson/Poeltl/Labissiere/Chriss/Davis/Etc becomes attainable for Boston.
Point is, I could easily see them taking Bender and then, if the above happens, packaging 16/23 to move up and get someone who starts to drop a tad. Don't think they have enough to get into Tier 2.
Then again, Tier 3 may be broad enough that they don't have to move up.
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Post by umassgrad2005 on May 26, 2016 16:50:53 GMT -5
I wouldn't put Brown in tier 2 and could see him slipping outside top 10. Sounds like a bigger Tony Allen, yet he has a looong way to go to reach that level of D. It's all potential as he's very raw and lacks basketball skills.
I agree things could get crazy cause after tier 2 the rankings are all over the place. Some sites have Ellenson in mid teens, others top 6\7. So no way I trade 16 and 23 to move up, unless a tier 2 player drops far enough. Talent level is going to be about the same at 10 as it is at 16 and maybe 23.
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Post by texs31 on May 26, 2016 19:59:02 GMT -5
I'm going solely based on the 15 mocks I'm looking at (Ford, DraftExpress, DraftNet, 2 CBS, 4 Basketball Insiders, the primary Bleacher Report draft guy Wasserman, CSNNE, SI, NBA.com, TSN and Fox).
Of those, 67% have him at #4 to Phoenix and another 20% have him going to Denver at 7. Absent of any other information, I'm going with that for now.
I'd also argue that (and this is based on what I read, not what I've seen - never having watched him), his raw skills fit the direction the NBA is going (guys who have the flexibility to cover multiple positions). Also, unlike many raw players who don't currently have basketball skills, apparently he's wicked smaht and is a hard worker (suggesting, in theory, that the basketball aptitude could come quickly).
While I agree, his current skills might not put him in the #2 tier, he's the type of guy teams fall in love with. He could easily be the Swing version of this year's Aaron Gordon.
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Post by texs31 on May 26, 2016 20:07:26 GMT -5
I'd also point out that I'm engaging in these discussions and eager to see what the Celtics do because I have confidence in their abilities to scout and make reasonable (granted, not 100% correct) decisions.
So when "we" say Bender is too much of a wildcard, well I'd like to believe that Boston will do the appropriate level of scouting so that, in their mind (and, no offense, I'm going to trust them more than any of US - including me - on the board), he's not really a wildcard (or not nearly as much as those of us who haven't seen him think).
Similary, while we may look at rankings and mocks, it's quite likely that all of the workouts Boston conducts and all the games they dissect will separate certain prospects over others (especially if it's about guys who fit into the scheme that they're trying to enforce).
So, I wouldn't be surprised if their "tier 3" isn't as wide open as the current draft rankings and mock drafts would suggest. That is why it wouldn't surprise me if they trade up to get "their guy".
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Post by umassgrad2005 on May 26, 2016 23:52:07 GMT -5
Yea Ford has Brown at 8 in his mock and #10 on big board. Says his range is 3 to early 20s. I don't question his Basketball IQ only his Basketball skills. Right now his best skill is driving to basket finishing at rim or drawing fouls. Now everyone says he needs to improve handle and only has one move going to basket, not good for a guy known as a slasher. Poor shooter that had poor ft% also. Seen as good defender yet with his body and athleticism he averaged under one steal and block per game, which is major red flag for me. Put up a very bad PER for a top 10 pick. Also a couple front office people called him worst interview at combine, said he came across as arrogant.
Also the Sun's have TJ at SF and they both have same skill set. I don't get the Brown to Sun's at 4, yet like you said tons of them have him going there.
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Post by umassgrad2005 on May 27, 2016 0:05:05 GMT -5
I agree that Danny has a much better read on Bender then we do. He's seen him play in person, all his games and had talked in person with his coaches and teammates. For me he's a wildcard I just don't have enough information to form a good opinion on him, but agree he's gotta be in play at 3. If Danny feels he's the guy at 3 I won't question it.
I agree all teams will have there own tiers. Heck I'm thinking there is a tier 3 of like 4-6 players after tier 2 and then a big tier 4. The other thing is that year after year teams draft for need or best player. Wouldn't be shocked to see Suns draft Ellenson or Chriss at 4 just because PF is biggest need.
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Post by texs31 on May 27, 2016 5:31:35 GMT -5
Chriss is definitely a guy that teams could fall for. He's raw but his athletic ability could make teams drool.
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Post by texs31 on May 27, 2016 12:02:37 GMT -5
Interesting dynamic to the draft-and-stash guys. You need to sign them before NEXT league year starts since there will likely be a new CBA (and new contract amounts for draft picks).
THIS is the year where draftees have the greatest value (another reason to see more trading with picks - especially from those with many).
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Post by jmei on May 27, 2016 13:36:25 GMT -5
76ers are reportedly exploring trading Okafor and Noel. I think Okafor is the most likely Boston trade target this offseason. Okafor for #3 is in play, but I'm still a little undecided.
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Post by texs31 on May 27, 2016 13:43:42 GMT -5
If it's for not much more than #3, I think I have to be in. I think it's pretty obvious that, despite his flaws, he'd be the #3 pick in this year's draft so . . .
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Post by jmei on May 27, 2016 13:50:53 GMT -5
I think he's for sure better than whoever they would draft at 3 this year, but he comes with one fewer year of cheap team control, which matters. I agree that if it's just for 3, I probably do it, but I have to think about it a little bit.
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Post by umassgrad2005 on May 27, 2016 14:03:31 GMT -5
Sixers fans laugh at getting just #3, think we would need to include a lot more like Smart/Bradley or one of the Nets pick we get over next two years.
For #3 I do it, but if it cost a lot more I'm 50-50 at the moment. Call me crazy but he seems like a young Al Jefferson to me. Can score at will in post, rebounds and plays no D. Now this team could really use a young Big Al but we wouldn't be getting that franchise player, more like a borderline all star.
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Post by pedrofanforever45 on May 27, 2016 14:28:10 GMT -5
Sixers fans laugh at getting just #3, think we would need to include a lot more like Smart/Bradley or one of the Nets pick we get over next two years. For #3 I do it, but if it cost a lot more I'm 50-50 at the moment. Call me crazy but he seems like a young Al Jefferson to me. Can score at will in post, rebounds and plays no D. Now this team could really use a young Big Al but we wouldn't be getting that franchise player, more like a borderline all star. Name a better offer that Philadelphia can get for Okafor that they can get to grow a young core with the number one pick and their young core of the other big men. There is none. Okafor is Boston bound, I'm sick of getting killed because the Celtics get out rebounded in every game that they lose.
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Post by jmei on May 27, 2016 14:38:02 GMT -5
The Sixers aren't going to get a better offer than 3 for Okafor, but they may be just testing the waters and might not be all that motivated to move him.
Okafor is a good offensive rebounder, but he's a pretty mediocre/bad defensive rebounder. What he can do for them is create shots in the half-court, which they certainly could use.
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Post by umassgrad2005 on May 27, 2016 15:07:45 GMT -5
I don't think it's fair to say they couldn't get a better offer, we know nothing about what they have been offered. I will say this I would take Okafor over Ingram and rated him #2 in this draft and you could debate if he should be #1 over Simmons.
The #3 pick in this draft has a lot less value then the #3 pick in last year's draft had. I would think at Minimum it's # 3 and players like Rozier and Hunter.
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wcp3
Veteran
Posts: 3,860
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Post by wcp3 on May 31, 2016 7:50:12 GMT -5
So ... Durant.
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Post by texs31 on May 31, 2016 9:15:02 GMT -5
Ugh
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Post by chavopepe2 on May 31, 2016 9:35:57 GMT -5
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