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Boston Celtics 2016-17 Season Discussion
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Post by rjp313jr on May 22, 2017 16:09:10 GMT -5
Zizic is a pretty good rebounder. Plus he can shoot. He may fit the system better than a one dimensional veteran.
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Post by umassgrad2005 on May 22, 2017 16:24:59 GMT -5
Ainge traded all assets to win a title in 2008, and he tried to trade a HOFer (Ray) multiple times to try to win a second one. I think most people around the league know he's willing to make win-now moves when it makes sense, so this whole narrative is kinda silly. He didn't trade all his assets, he kept Rondo for example. Also in 2008 he built a team that was clearly one of the best if not best in league. Getting Hayward and then making smaller win now moves doesn't do that. Does Ainge use future assets to try and win now when it most likely doesn't get you a title? He didn't this year and adding Hayward while really helping you, doesn't get you to the Cavs or Warriors level in my opinion. So the narrative is anything but silly.
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Post by umassgrad2005 on May 22, 2017 16:29:50 GMT -5
You know what happens when GMs listen to agents and players? You get Cleveland before LeBron left. That has nothing to do with agents, that was 100% on LeBron. They are doing the exact same thing again. They have a great team, but the bottom half of roster is all Vets and no good young players.
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Post by rjp313jr on May 22, 2017 16:52:42 GMT -5
I just think the timeline of keeping the picks is off. Adding Hayward and keeping this group together plus hitting on the picks can possibly give you a contender in 2 years.
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wcp3
Veteran
Posts: 3,860
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Post by wcp3 on May 22, 2017 17:35:04 GMT -5
Ainge traded all assets to win a title in 2008, and he tried to trade a HOFer (Ray) multiple times to try to win a second one. I think most people around the league know he's willing to make win-now moves when it makes sense, so this whole narrative is kinda silly. He didn't trade all his assets, he kept Rondo for example. Also in 2008 he built a team that was clearly one of the best if not best in league. Getting Hayward and then making smaller win now moves doesn't do that. Does Ainge use future assets to try and win now when it most likely doesn't get you a title? He didn't this year and adding Hayward while really helping you, doesn't get you to the Cavs or Warriors level in my opinion. So the narrative is anything but silly. So your counter is that he traded all but one asset (who wasn't that highly regarded at the time)? You just made my case. The Celtics will be competing against Utah for Hayward, not Golden State or Cleveland. They have to convince him that the Celtics+Hayward+the #1 has a better shot at contending than Utah+Hayward staying. I don't think he's going anywhere, but they can make a pretty good case.
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Post by umassgrad2005 on May 22, 2017 18:29:10 GMT -5
I just think the timeline of keeping the picks is off. Adding Hayward and keeping this group together plus hitting on the picks can possibly give you a contender in 2 years. Sure it could, but that means Brown and Fultz develop very fast. My personal opinion of Brown is that he takes a slow development curve. Just remember Smart, everyone thought he was a future star after his rookie year. To be fair Smart had a better rookie year in my opinion than Brown. Now Brown is totally different, but he is also more raw. Look at Smart last night. Man those two shots he got off after being fouled just stood out for me. They were heady plays, the type of thing Smart needs to take his game to another level. How quickly Brown can develop things like that will be key to how long it takes him to develop. Fultz may develop faster, he sure seems more skilled. We really won't know till he plays in NBA though. The other thing to remember is roster fit and that impact. Getting Hayward pushes out Crowder, its not like you are replacing Brown with Hayward. Same thing with Fultz he is going to push out Bradley, Thomas or Smart. Not all upgrades are the same.
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Post by umassgrad2005 on May 22, 2017 18:37:14 GMT -5
He didn't trade all his assets, he kept Rondo for example. Also in 2008 he built a team that was clearly one of the best if not best in league. Getting Hayward and then making smaller win now moves doesn't do that. Does Ainge use future assets to try and win now when it most likely doesn't get you a title? He didn't this year and adding Hayward while really helping you, doesn't get you to the Cavs or Warriors level in my opinion. So the narrative is anything but silly. So your counter is that he traded all but one asset (who wasn't that highly regarded at the time)? You just made my case. The Celtics will be competing against Utah for Hayward, not Golden State or Cleveland. They have to convince him that the Celtics+Hayward+the #1 has a better shot at contending than Utah+Hayward staying. I don't think he's going anywhere, but they can make a pretty good case. No my counter was simple Danny doesn't trade assets usually unless it makes us a true title contender. With the exception being the Thomas trade. I'm not going to look it up but there was also Tony Allen. It doesn't really matter, because 2008 and 2017 just aren't the same. Heyward is like getting Allen, but without a KG your not a true title contender against Cavs and Warriors. Those are just elite teams and you would need another great player to be at there level. So does Danny make trades to improve knowing it most likely doesn't get them a title?
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Post by bookiemetts on May 22, 2017 21:55:57 GMT -5
Personally I think the number 1 pick right now is being undervalued a little, and I want to make the case that the Celtics should keep the pick and select Fultz. Right now Fultz is for the most part a consensus #1 pick. Going back to 1979 there have only been 6 guards taken #1 (5PGs), with 0 busts --> Every one is an all-star or will be one in the future (Wiggins) and 3 are MVPs Here they are with their rookie year stats: Player | PPG | RPG | APG | Andrew Wiggins | 16.9 | 4.6 | 2.1 | Kyrie Irving | 18.5 | 3.7 | 5.4 | John Wall | 16.4 | 4.6 | 8.3 | Derrick Rose | 16.8 | 3.9 | 6.3 | Allen Iverson | 23.5 | 4.1 | 7.5 | Magic Johnson | 18.0 | 7.7 | 7.3 |
I think it's highly likely Fultz will be just as good his rookie year and has a very high chance of becoming a franchise, multiple time all-star. Sure his counting stats might not be as high because he's actually being drafted by a team that's not garbage, but I will continue... Now the 2 people most talked about are Paul George and Jimmy Butler. To trade for either of those players, the other teams will ask for the #1 pick and other assets. I think it's pretty clear that George will leave after 1 year and therefore is not worth it. Now Butler on the other hand, will have 3 years remaining at about 18.5M salary and is already a great player averaging 23.9/6.2/5.5. By making this trade it's likely you will have a better team next year and maybe the year after if it takes Fultz a while to develop. However, I think the Celtics would not be good enough to beat the Cavs after this trade anyway as the Cavs are currently constructed. The only way this can happen is with a major injury on the Cavs, and I think if a major injury did occur, the team will already be good enough to contend with them to make the finals. So: I think the Celtics should take Fultz, as it gives them a chance at a legit franchise player with a chance to be an MVP candidate in a few years. Also, I don't think it's unreasonable to suspect that Fultz will develop very fast. Looking at the players in that list, they all start out as good players and are all-stars within 2-3 years.
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Post by rjp313jr on May 23, 2017 6:32:56 GMT -5
I just think the timeline of keeping the picks is off. Adding Hayward and keeping this group together plus hitting on the picks can possibly give you a contender in 2 years. Sure it could, but that means Brown and Fultz develop very fast. My personal opinion of Brown is that he takes a slow development curve. Just remember Smart, everyone thought he was a future star after his rookie year. To be fair Smart had a better rookie year in my opinion than Brown. Now Brown is totally different, but he is also more raw. Look at Smart last night. Man those two shots he got off after being fouled just stood out for me. They were heady plays, the type of thing Smart needs to take his game to another level. How quickly Brown can develop things like that will be key to how long it takes him to develop. Fultz may develop faster, he sure seems more skilled. We really won't know till he plays in NBA though. The other thing to remember is roster fit and that impact. Getting Hayward pushes out Crowder, its not like you are replacing Brown with Hayward. Same thing with Fultz he is going to push out Bradley, Thomas or Smart. Not all upgrades are the same. I say this because I don't think you need the rookies to necessarily be stars at that point to win. There are a million different permutations of what can happen developmentally but the pieces just have to fit and be better than now. Obviously adding Hayward alone is the biggest change. Another reliable scorer who can create and have a reliable 3 point shot, is the most important thing this team needs. Fultz and Jaylen should be able to help this team over what they have today in both those areas. Rebounding is another issue for this squad. Fultz and Jaylen both project to be good rebounders for their positions. Jaylen we saw that ability this year. Fultz is 6'5ish with 6'10 wing span. Reports are Zizic is a great rebounder as well. Give him a year to get acclimated and in year 2 you are upgrading our Amir Johnson spot with a guy who can actually move, rebound and shoot. Then if next years draft unfolds how the expectation is, we should be drafting another 4/5 big with high upside in the top 3. Lots of ifs with the above but also none of them crazy. But like your last post shows cashing in the young guys doesn't give the team a great shot of winning now, destroys the prospect of winning later and I think the 2018 win upgrade ignores he fact that in 2019 we may have been better with the rookies and development over adding s Jimmy Butler. One other part of basketball that's very underrated is team continuity. Good players who play together for years becomes exponentially more effective as a group. Adding some young kids that can develop into shooting rebounding and defensive roles and expand from there could make this team better equipped to beat the Cavs sooner than making a big trade.
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Post by thebogeyman on May 23, 2017 7:30:21 GMT -5
What is the incentive to trade before the draft? If I am DA, I tell Chicago that I am holding the pick until free agency. Once I see what happens in free agency, maybe I will trade Fultz.
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Post by rjp313jr on May 23, 2017 8:35:28 GMT -5
What is the incentive to trade before the draft? If I am DA, I tell Chicago that I am holding the pick until free agency. Once I see what happens in free agency, maybe I will trade Fultz. The argument would be that even if the teams wanted Fultz if you wait until free agency then the teams have do e the bulk of their free agency plan without Fultz and if they had him then they would have done things differently, such as even maybe trading other veterans etc.
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Post by thebogeyman on May 23, 2017 9:08:31 GMT -5
What is the incentive to trade before the draft? If I am DA, I tell Chicago that I am holding the pick until free agency. Once I see what happens in free agency, maybe I will trade Fultz. The argument would be that even if the teams wanted Fultz if you wait until free agency then the teams have do e the bulk of their free agency plan without Fultz and if they had him then they would have done things differently, such as even maybe trading other veterans etc. Eh, that is a risk I am willing to take if I am Danny. There are a few good PGs in FA this year, but they cost big bucks, and a young stud will always have a ton of value. If not from the Bulls, there will be someone else.
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Post by rjp313jr on May 23, 2017 9:11:10 GMT -5
What's your incentive to waiting if you are the Celtics?
It seems like maybe you want to see if they get Hayward then maybe make a trade for Butler if they do? Or is it if they miss? If it's the if they get Hayward then go all in route what exactly are you going to trade for Butler to get the money to work? I think you may be surprised how much you will have to strip off this team to add both Hayward and Butler... I think it would be a terrible move.
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Post by rjp313jr on May 23, 2017 9:16:39 GMT -5
www.celticsblog.com/2017/3/3/14792150/boston-celtics-max-free-agent-2017Just a refresher on the cap situation. If he takes $300,000 less we can keep Bradley and Crowder. Then use them to get a big, maybe a guy like Favors as they would need a SF. That makes more sense then getting more draft picks for Crowder or Bradley. We already have too many, we need more Vets to help us win now. We just would need to balance the roster. It would mean no Yabu though. Given what they had been saying after he came to the US, I was assuming Yabu to Boston was a lock (of course, what is said by teams should be taken with a grain of salt). One nitpick of that article is that it mentions the empty roster spot charge but doesn't connect it with the idea that, because of it and Jackson's guarantee, it actually saves money against the cap to keep him. A small but important detail (not that it renders the article useless by any means). Was thinking more about this... the Celtics should be able to move him easily if they want by giving a team say 2 second round picks for Jackson and one second round pick and you solve this "issue".
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Post by thebogeyman on May 23, 2017 10:13:25 GMT -5
What's your incentive to waiting if you are the Celtics? It seems like maybe you want to see if they get Hayward then maybe make a trade for Butler if they do? Or is it if they miss? If it's the if they get Hayward then go all in route what exactly are you going to trade for Butler to get the money to work? I think you may be surprised how much you will have to strip off this team to add both Hayward and Butler... I think it would be a terrible move. If you get Hayward, Butler is redundant. If you don't get Hayward, maybe the Butler trade is worth it (though I personally wouldn't make that trade). I am in no rush to deal the top pick though.
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Post by umassgrad2005 on May 23, 2017 10:24:16 GMT -5
Rip that's were we differ on opinions. I see the biggest need as a rim protecting rebounding big. With our second biggest need being another go to scorer. I also don't see 3 point shooting as a need. Our starting 5 has 4 good 3 point shooters, only Johnson is not one. With Horford and KO you always have a big that can shoot on floor for the most part. I'm so sick of watching guys get easy layups in the paint. The Bulls, Wiz and now Cavs have all done it. No one fears Horford, Johnson or KO.
I am high on Zizic, I think he can help. The question is to what level? I also don't think he's a great defender and certainly not a great shoot blocker. It's why I'm in love with Jordan Bell. He's athletic, can rebound, block shoots and is just an overall great defender. That's what this team needs. If you go Vet route it's a player like Chandler.
I'm not trading Fultz for Butler. Main reason even if you get Hayward and Butler I'm not sure you can win a title having to beat the Cavs and Warriors. It would need to be a Anthony Davis type player. You add Hayward and David to our team and I like our chances against Cavs and Warriors. That's like getting your KG, a do everything big, that fills your biggest need and is an elite player. Now that's just not happening, so I'm not trading Fultz. Nevermind I think Butler is a lower tier superstar. Look at what pg13 did against Cavs. He kept every game close, in a way I just don't think Butler can. Very good player, just not enough to challenge the LeBrons, KDs and Curry's of the world.
I also think chemistry is this teams biggest value right now. The thing is you have no clue what adding all these players will do to that. Nevermind the ones you most likely have to trade away. Say what you want about Crowder but he's the ultimate team first guy like Smart. He does a bunch of little things to help you win. He's a very heady basketball player. Brown for example isn't that way right now. The Celtics play team Basketball, when they do it well they can beat anyone. Just look at the second half of the last game. That's were I think Brown is going to need a bunch of time to develop. He's a very smart guy, but his basketball IQ is not what you would think it should be for a guy like him. Right now his game is 100% based of his physical skills.
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Post by umassgrad2005 on May 23, 2017 13:38:55 GMT -5
Cameron Oliver PF Nevada is another guy I would target in 2nd round. Good rebounder, shot blocker, can shoot and is a very good athlete. The second round of this draft looks very deep with all the underclassmen declaring.
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Post by rjp313jr on May 23, 2017 19:56:19 GMT -5
I don't understand why LeBron isn't just taking over the game...
Nice shot Jonas
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Post by rjp313jr on May 23, 2017 20:06:50 GMT -5
Jaylen Browns ability to finish at the rim has improved exponentially this season. It seems to be slowing down for him. Great body control....
Let the mush begin
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Post by rjp313jr on May 23, 2017 20:07:48 GMT -5
Hopefully Jerebko doesn't play anymore
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Post by pedrofanforever45 on May 23, 2017 20:33:48 GMT -5
Are the Celtics actually winning?!!!
Holy smokes, wasn't expecting that.
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Post by rjp313jr on May 23, 2017 21:07:24 GMT -5
Not for long but it's been a good effort
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Post by umassgrad2005 on May 23, 2017 21:22:09 GMT -5
Omg Irving is having a game. What a shot.
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wcp3
Veteran
Posts: 3,860
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Post by wcp3 on May 23, 2017 21:29:07 GMT -5
Crowder gets taken out shooting a 3 - no call.
Then a horrendous makeup call two plays later.
Refs are morons.
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Post by rjp313jr on May 23, 2017 21:32:21 GMT -5
That LeBron move was so illegal
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