SoxProspects News
|
|
|
|
Legal
Forum Ground Rules
The views expressed by the members of this Forum do not necessarily reflect the views of SoxProspects, LLC.
© 2003-2024 SoxProspects, LLC
|
|
|
|
|
Forum Home | Search | My Profile | Messages | Members | Help |
Welcome Guest. Please Login or Register.
2018 Patriots/NFL offseason thread
|
Post by rjp313jr on Apr 9, 2018 7:37:14 GMT -5
Right now my dream scenario for the Patriots in this draft is:
23: Mason Rudolph (QB) 31: Connor Williams (OT) 43: Rashaan Evans (LB) 63: Derrius Guise (RB)
I know it’s unlikely they even make all 4 of those picks in their spots.
|
|
|
Post by oilcan73 on Apr 9, 2018 8:11:35 GMT -5
Right now my dream scenario for the Patriots in this draft is: 23: Mason Rudolph (QB) 31: Connor Williams (OT) 43: Rashaan Evans (LB) 63: Derrius Guise (RB) I know it’s unlikely they even make all 4 of those picks in their spots. I don't think Guise will be around at #63, but I think the other 3 are possible. I still think one or more of the first 4 picks gets traded down to pick up a 4th rounder. There is just no way BB will want to sit out the draft from round 3 to round 6. I think he picks an OT at #23 and then trades down with a team like Tampa Bay who might want to jump up to grab a RB like Guice, giving NE a 4th or 5th rounder to go along with their 2nd. I would love Evans at #43, or another EDGE or LB who is athletic and can run and cover. I think NE has to get more athletic, younger and faster.
|
|
|
Post by jimed14 on Apr 9, 2018 8:48:03 GMT -5
There is talk that Josh Rosen drops out of the top 5 and if he does, the Pats could be in play to trade up with #23 and #31. The Pats are reportedly interested in Rosen.
|
|
|
Post by umassgrad2005 on Apr 9, 2018 11:45:17 GMT -5
There is talk that Josh Rosen drops out of the top 5 and if he does, the Pats could be in play to trade up with #23 and #31. The Pats are reportedly interested in Rosen. The Patriots are being linked to almost every QB. Same story about Mayfield, they love him and will trade up for him. Then linked to Rudolph and Jackson. I won't rule anything out with Bill, just find it hard to believe he'd trade that much for a risky player. As one reporter put it, would they really trade multiple first round picks for a QB after trading Jimmy for pick number 43? In a way Rosen reminds me of Ryan Mallett and Jimmy Clausen in that he has character issues. He could very well drop in the draft. What his College coach said is almost unheard of.
|
|
|
Post by umassgrad2005 on Apr 9, 2018 13:06:00 GMT -5
I struggle with picking a mock this year. Have no idea about a QB, OT could be a major need or a smaller one based on Garcia, same with DE and Rivers. Flowers and Mason are both free agents after next year. Also McCourty salary is getting very high, for a good not great safety. LB is a need, but you do get Hightower back and I'm a big Van Noy fan. You could use a CB long-term. In general this team has more needs than normal.
If you want to do a dream draft,
23. Justin Reid S- He just seems like a great prospect. Could also see Evans here or Landry, I just question there size. Bill likes bigger LBers and DEs. Seems like a very safe pick and he has all pro upside. I struggle to find the right fit at 23 unless someone drops.
31. Trade down into mid second round for a 2nd, 3rd and 5th round pick.
43. Duke Ejiofor DE
Traded for 2nd round pick- Brain O'Neill OT
63. Kyle Lauletta- you could insert one of many QBs here like Like Falk, Mike White and Chase Litton.
Mid third round pick- Josey Jewell LB - A smaller LB, but just great value, like if you got Evans at pick #43.
95. Carlton Davis CB
Trade the 5th rounder and a 6th to move into late 4th round to take Josh Adams RB
Use the 6th and 7th round picks to target a guard/center, another LB, WR or maybe even a 2nd QB because this class is so good.
|
|
|
Post by jimed14 on Apr 9, 2018 14:57:31 GMT -5
I know people rag on Walter Football, but there's still a lot of useful information there. This is their mock for the Pats: Rd. 1, Pk. 23 D.J. Moore, WR, Maryland The Patriots just acquired this pick in the Brandin Cooks trade - click the link for grades for each team - so they could use the selection to either trade for Odell Beckham Jr. or select a receiver. The rising D.J. Moore makes sense. Pick change; previously Courtland Sutton, WR Rd. 1, Pk. 31 Kolton Miller, OT, UCLA Nate Solder signed with the Giants. It wasn't a surprise that the Patriots opted not to keep him. Solder is obviously very talented, but he's had severe injury problems over the past several seasons, so he was too risky to give a big contract to, despite what the Giants just did. Regardless, the Patriots need a new blind-side protector. Rd. 2, Pk. 11 Mike Hughes, CB, Central Florida Malcolm Butler is certainly gone after being inexplicably benched for the entire Super Bowl. Jason McCourty was brought in to replace him, but he's just a temporary solution. Rd. 2, Pk. 31 Josey Jewell, OLB/ILB, Iowa The Patriots desperately need help at linebacker, as the injury-prone Dont'a Hightower is their only viable starter at the position. Rd. 3, Pk. 31 Kyle Lauletta, QB, Richmond Jimmy Garoppolo and Jacoby Brissett are both gone, so the Patriots need a new young quarterback to eventually replace Tom Brady. Rd. 6, Pk. 2 Chase Edmonds, RB, Fordham The Patriots will likely be in the market for a new running back, as both Dion Lewis and Rex Burkhead are set to hit free agency. Rd. 6, Pk. 36 Joseph Noteboom, OT, TCU The Patriots are going to lose multiple tackles in free agency, so a couple of new additions make sense. Read more at www.walterfootball.com/mocks/nfl/2018/New-England-Patriots#svdZSjHiwlgpYQih.99
|
|
|
Post by rjp313jr on Apr 9, 2018 16:09:11 GMT -5
I’ve seen Milner as low as 3rd round just today in PFF. Not that i care just interesting how all over the place he is.
|
|
|
Post by umassgrad2005 on Apr 9, 2018 18:49:32 GMT -5
That PFF mock is very good for us, Goedert TE, Oliver CB, Evans LB, Lauletta QB and Miller OT. I won't complain about that. Just a long shot that Evans is there in the 2nd and almost no chance Miller is there end of third round unless he gets Red Flagged.
Miller is like Soldier from a size point of view. Had injury issues for two years, 2017 was his only healthy year, but he was very good. Then he set the combine on fire,testing off the charts. Basically he needs to add strength and stay healthy. First round seems high, too much risk for my taste, late third seems criminally low. Most likely a guy that gets overdrafted because it's a weak OT class and he tested off the charts.
I always watchout for those guys that have a huge swings after the combine, either up or down. My three draft magazine rate him 2nd, 3rd and 4th round, each one is different. So when I hear Kiper say he could go top 15 I shake my head. He's overvaluing the combine and overlooking that he only had one year where he stayed healthy and played at a high level. He's the exact opposite of Orlando Brown Jr. who was rated a first round pick by all three magazines, then had a horrible combine. Now he's a 2nd, 3rd, heck one mock had him in the 4th round. I just value a college players body of work over a workout without pads on.
|
|
|
Post by umassgrad2005 on Apr 9, 2018 18:53:01 GMT -5
I know people rag on Walter Football, but there's still a lot of useful information there. This is their mock for the Pats: Rd. 1, Pk. 23 D.J. Moore, WR, Maryland The Patriots just acquired this pick in the Brandin Cooks trade - click the link for grades for each team - so they could use the selection to either trade for Odell Beckham Jr. or select a receiver. The rising D.J. Moore makes sense. Pick change; previously Courtland Sutton, WR Rd. 1, Pk. 31 Kolton Miller, OT, UCLA Nate Solder signed with the Giants. It wasn't a surprise that the Patriots opted not to keep him. Solder is obviously very talented, but he's had severe injury problems over the past several seasons, so he was too risky to give a big contract to, despite what the Giants just did. Regardless, the Patriots need a new blind-side protector. Rd. 2, Pk. 11 Mike Hughes, CB, Central Florida Malcolm Butler is certainly gone after being inexplicably benched for the entire Super Bowl. Jason McCourty was brought in to replace him, but he's just a temporary solution. Rd. 2, Pk. 31 Josey Jewell, OLB/ILB, Iowa The Patriots desperately need help at linebacker, as the injury-prone Dont'a Hightower is their only viable starter at the position. Rd. 3, Pk. 31 Kyle Lauletta, QB, Richmond Jimmy Garoppolo and Jacoby Brissett are both gone, so the Patriots need a new young quarterback to eventually replace Tom Brady. Rd. 6, Pk. 2 Chase Edmonds, RB, Fordham The Patriots will likely be in the market for a new running back, as both Dion Lewis and Rex Burkhead are set to hit free agency. Rd. 6, Pk. 36 Joseph Noteboom, OT, TCU The Patriots are going to lose multiple tackles in free agency, so a couple of new additions make sense. Read more at www.walterfootball.com/mocks/nfl/2018/New-England-Patriots#svdZSjHiwlgpYQih.99It's a very useful sight in my opinion. I use it all the time. The more information the better, they give some detailed information in the player rankings pages. It's well thought out and it's like the only full 7 round mock draft.
|
|
|
Post by rjp313jr on Apr 9, 2018 18:56:06 GMT -5
Evans could go all over the place. He’s a fit guy so some teams won’t even draft him and the others could have bigger needs or another player they like more. Happens all the time with linebackers like him. Think Justin Houston his draft. Same goes for a guy like Miller. That’s why I don’t really care about rankings too much when guys get drafted. Comes down to fit and can he play at the end of the day. You never know when a guy will or won’t be taken.
|
|
|
Post by rjp313jr on Apr 10, 2018 4:28:54 GMT -5
I wouldn’t rule out a guard early in the draft (top 3 rounds). Shaq Mason is in his last year, guys a beast, but still struggles a bit from time to time with pass production. Guard salaries have gone thru the roof and there’s no way they are going to pay him. He’s going to cash in at 10-12+ a year most likely.
|
|
|
Post by rjp313jr on Apr 10, 2018 4:40:45 GMT -5
If you have BR... check out the write up on Nic Shimonek the QB from Texas Tech... if they don’t get one of the guys we’ve already talked about in rounds 1 or 2, he’s an intriguing mid/late draft take. There’s an Iowa connection there too.
|
|
|
Post by umassgrad2005 on Apr 10, 2018 12:26:47 GMT -5
Evans could go all over the place. He’s a fit guy so some teams won’t even draft him and the others could have bigger needs or another player they like more. Happens all the time with linebackers like him. Think Justin Houston his draft. Same goes for a guy like Miller. That’s why I don’t really care about rankings too much when guys get drafted. Comes down to fit and can he play at the end of the day. You never know when a guy will or won’t be taken. Why is Evans a fit guy? Per scouting reports he could be best served in a 3-4 to take advantage of his pass rushing skills, but he can play in a 4-3. He can play the run and pass very well. He's a modern day LBer. Unless there are red flags I don't know about I would be shocked if teams removed him from their draft boards. Not sure why you compare him to Houston, they are nothing a like. Evans is more like Hightower than Houston. Overall I get your point, David Harris would be a better example though. I won't say it can't happen, but Evans getting to mid second round is unlikely. Take that PFF mock, if things unfold that way I'm not sure they pick Goedert at 23 over Davenport, Vander Esch, Edmunds and Evans. Frankly that's a dream scenario for me. Bill has been running the 3-4 with safeties, he has to want some true LBers. It's a very interesting mock, that is nothing like all the other mocks. They have Hurst at #4. Talent wise that's not crazy, but he was red flagged at combine for a heart issue. They have Josh Allen going 40th, which I think could happen but still seems unlikely. They have Barkley going 8th and Landry going before Chubb, with Chubb falling to 10th. Overall it's a unique mock because it's based on the pff grading scale and not based on what teams are valuing the players at.
|
|
|
Post by umassgrad2005 on Apr 10, 2018 12:31:56 GMT -5
I wouldn’t rule out a guard early in the draft (top 3 rounds). Shaq Mason is in his last year, guys a beast, but still struggles a bit from time to time with pass production. Guard salaries have gone thru the roof and there’s no way they are going to pay him. He’s going to cash in at 10-12+ a year most likely. Deep group of guards, would be a perfect position to target later. Hence the trade down and get picks in the 3-5 rounds. They really like Karras, he's started games for us. They will most likely target a guard at some point. I wouldn't pay Mason 10-12 million, we don't even use him in a way for him to be worth that. We'd have to turn into a run first team to take full advantage of his strength. He's a mauler in the run game, yet were a pass first team.
|
|
|
Post by umassgrad2005 on Apr 10, 2018 12:46:15 GMT -5
If you have BR... check out the write up on Nic Shimonek the QB from Texas Tech... if they don’t get one of the guys we’ve already talked about in rounds 1 or 2, he’s an intriguing mid/late draft take. There’s an Iowa connection there too. bleacherreport.com/articles/2768325-combine-afterthought-nic-shimonek-could-be-the-secret-qb-star-of-the-2018-draftThe draft is filled with guys just like him. Which is why I wouldn't mind taking two QBs. Let them battle with Hoyer in camp. Given our long-term need it seems smart to hedge our bets. I can't think of a better way to spend a 6th or 7th round choice. This draft is loaded at QB.
|
|
|
Post by rjp313jr on Apr 10, 2018 13:36:54 GMT -5
Evans could go all over the place. He’s a fit guy so some teams won’t even draft him and the others could have bigger needs or another player they like more. Happens all the time with linebackers like him. Think Justin Houston his draft. Same goes for a guy like Miller. That’s why I don’t really care about rankings too much when guys get drafted. Comes down to fit and can he play at the end of the day. You never know when a guy will or won’t be taken. Why is Evans a fit guy? Per scouting reports he could be best served in a 3-4 to take advantage of his pass rushing skills, but he can play in a 4-3. He can play the run and pass very well. He's a modern day LBer. Unless there are red flags I don't know about I would be shocked if teams removed him from their draft boards. Not sure why you compare him to Houston, they are nothing a like. Evans is more like Hightower than Houston. Overall I get your point, David Harris would be a better example though. I won't say it can't happen, but Evans getting to mid second round is unlikely. Take that PFF mock, if things unfold that way I'm not sure they pick Goedert at 23 over Davenport, Vander Esch, Edmunds and Evans. Frankly that's a dream scenario for me. Bill has been running the 3-4 with safeties, he has to want some true LBers. It's a very interesting mock, that is nothing like all the other mocks. They have Hurst at #4. Talent wise that's not crazy, but he was red flagged at combine for a heart issue. They have Josh Allen going 40th, which I think could happen but still seems unlikely. They have Barkley going 8th and Landry going before Chubb, with Chubb falling to 10th. Overall it's a unique mock because it's based on the pff grading scale and not based on what teams are valuing the players at. I wasn’t comparing Houston to him as a player. I was just making the point of a linebacker who fell. They always do... or i should say there are always linebackers who fall that grade out higher. Hightower is a fit guy. Sure he can play in almost any defense but he’s worth less in a lot of them. And by off their draft board i just mean in a high range. Virtually everyone with a high grade would fit on any team at the right price.
|
|
|
Post by umassgrad2005 on Apr 10, 2018 15:20:41 GMT -5
Why is Evans a fit guy? Per scouting reports he could be best served in a 3-4 to take advantage of his pass rushing skills, but he can play in a 4-3. He can play the run and pass very well. He's a modern day LBer. Unless there are red flags I don't know about I would be shocked if teams removed him from their draft boards. Not sure why you compare him to Houston, they are nothing a like. Evans is more like Hightower than Houston. Overall I get your point, David Harris would be a better example though. I won't say it can't happen, but Evans getting to mid second round is unlikely. Take that PFF mock, if things unfold that way I'm not sure they pick Goedert at 23 over Davenport, Vander Esch, Edmunds and Evans. Frankly that's a dream scenario for me. Bill has been running the 3-4 with safeties, he has to want some true LBers. It's a very interesting mock, that is nothing like all the other mocks. They have Hurst at #4. Talent wise that's not crazy, but he was red flagged at combine for a heart issue. They have Josh Allen going 40th, which I think could happen but still seems unlikely. They have Barkley going 8th and Landry going before Chubb, with Chubb falling to 10th. Overall it's a unique mock because it's based on the pff grading scale and not based on what teams are valuing the players at. I wasn’t comparing Houston to him as a player. I was just making the point of a linebacker who fell. They always do... or i should say there are always linebackers who fall that grade out higher. Hightower is a fit guy. Sure he can play in almost any defense but he’s worth less in a lot of them. And by off their draft board i just mean in a high range. Virtually everyone with a high grade would fit on any team at the right price. Per Walter football Houston was rated 28th second to last mock, they then dropped him to 74 in the final mock. He dropped because he failed a drug test at combine. He was then taken at pick 70. He didn't just drop for no reason and he's the last type of guy that drops. If anything Rush LBers/DEs usually rise on draft day.
|
|
|
Post by rjp313jr on Apr 10, 2018 17:40:10 GMT -5
Forgot about his failed drug test. Evans can still go anywhere from mid first to mid second. I’d be fine if they took him anywhere in there and it wouldn’t surprise me if he were available for any of the picks nor would it shock me if he went top 15.
|
|
|
Post by umassgrad2005 on Apr 11, 2018 11:34:25 GMT -5
After reading about 20 scouting reports on Evans, sign me up. While some see an ILB, most see a guy that could play just about anywhere at LB. He did play OLB, ILB and even DE at Alabama. A guy that loves to deliver big hits, yet can run with TEs and RBs. Has great sideline to sideline speed. PFF is knocking his coverage abilities because his grade was lower, yet it was lower because Alabama would use Evans to cover slot WRs. Something that just doesn't happen in the NFL much.
Gotta say he sure seems like a premium prospect in this class. A guy that almost everyone agrees is a true first round talent. Given the current need in the NFL for LBers like Evans, I still think it's unlikely he falls to mid second round. Free agency showed the need, coverage LBers got paid, true old school inside LBers like Preston Brown didn't get paid much.
|
|
|
Post by umassgrad2005 on Apr 11, 2018 11:40:04 GMT -5
Jordan Matthews got only a million dollars for a contract. Which is very surprising, given his past production that he got basically what Niklas got. Which means we still have around 5-6 million from the savings of trading Cooks to spend. Lots of good free agents still available.
|
|
|
Post by rjp313jr on Apr 12, 2018 8:54:40 GMT -5
They had Connor Williams in for a workout. I can dream they can get him and Evans until they don’t.
|
|
|
Post by umassgrad2005 on Apr 12, 2018 13:47:09 GMT -5
|
|
|
Post by umassgrad2005 on Apr 12, 2018 14:16:13 GMT -5
ESPN has an article projecting how this years QBs likely taken in top 100 picks will do. Mayfield tops the list by far bust rate of 29.3% elite rate of 28.2%. He's in the top 10 all-time, that includes Rivers, Palmer, McNabb, Wilson, Manning, Mariota, Leftwhich, Rodgers, and Roethlisberger using there QBASE system. It's an impressive list overall.
Allen bust 62.7% elite 5%
Darnold bust 51.9% elite 4.1%
Rosen bust 46.9% elite 10.4%
Jackson bust 46.2% elite 8.5%
Rudolph bust 54.2% elite 5.6%
Lauletta bust 56% elite 5.4 %
Falk bust 54.5% elite 7.6%
Very interesting results. One note Darnold is heavily penalized for only being a two year starter, because they don't do well historically. He would be rated a lot better if he was a 3 year starter. You would think most of the top guys would be closer to Mayfield than Falk, but they aren't. Falk having the 4th best chance of being elite is also highly interesting. Basically it shows you why us trading way up in the draft would be crazy.
|
|
|
Post by jimed14 on Apr 12, 2018 14:47:32 GMT -5
Mayfield being 6' tall makes it a lot tougher for him to reach elite. He won't be getting any taller. Of course there are exceptions like Brees and Wilson, but it's just that much harder to get there. If he were 6'4", he'd be the biggest hyped QB since Luck.
|
|
|
Post by rjp313jr on Apr 13, 2018 11:47:29 GMT -5
Cowboys just cut Dez... I’m going to say pass for the Patriots, even though they have the cap room because I don’t want to pay him 10m. If his number was only like 7-8 then I’d be good with it.
|
|
|