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2018 Boston Celtics offseason
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Post by umassgrad2005 on Jun 27, 2018 18:17:44 GMT -5
www.spotrac.com/nba/boston-celtics/cap/So after Williams deal we have about 13 million. You move Morris, you still need to replace him even if you clear all his salary. So lets say like 17 million at that point. If you assume Baynes is at that 5.2 million, you can't give Smart 12 to 15 million even after trading Morris. You have to leave enough to at least add one player in case of injury, or if you call up two way guys. I'm ok with this though because Smart is a 10 million a year type player and that might be given him a little bit extra. So if you want to keep Smart hope no one goes after him, because without trading Morris even a full mid-level deal takes us over the luxury line. While I wouldn't mind a long-term deal at 10 million a year, I don't see Smart taking it. He wants mega bucks in his eyes. Nevermind when you start talking 15 million a year you might be able to resign Rozier for close to that. At the same time you can't gut this team when you want to win championships over the luxury taxes that are surely coming. I don't see how we stay under next year unless Irving leaves. Those picks and Irvings new deal make that impossible.
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Post by rjp313jr on Jun 27, 2018 18:20:28 GMT -5
Irving can't get the super max because he was traded. His deal next year will be a max level deal, not super max. Sorry I described it wrong. They (Kyrie and Davis) signed Tier two maximum extensions (not super max) during their rookie contracts. A team can only have one of these players on their roster acquired by trade.
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Post by rjp313jr on Jun 27, 2018 18:26:02 GMT -5
www.spotrac.com/nba/boston-celtics/cap/So after Williams deal we have about 13 million. You move Morris, you still need to replace him even if you clear all his salary. So lets say like 17 million at that point. If you assume Baynes is at that 5.2 million, you can't give Smart 12 to 15 million even after trading Morris. You have to leave enough to at least add one player in case of injury, or if you call up two way guys. I'm ok with this though because Smart is a 10 million a year type player and that might be given him a little bit extra. So if you want to keep Smart hope no one goes after him, because without trading Morris even a full mid-level deal takes us over the luxury line. While I wouldn't mind a long-term deal at 10 million a year, I don't see Smart taking it. He wants mega bucks in his eyes. Nevermind when you start talking 15 million a year you might be able to resign Rozier for close to that. At the same time you can't gut this team when you want to win championships over the luxury taxes that are surely coming. I don't see how we stay under next year unless Irving leaves. Those picks and Irvings new deal make that impossible. The Celtics will be tax payers just maybe not this season. The non taxpayer MLE is projected to be under 9m. They can give that to Marcus if Baynes is at 5.2 and they deal Morris.no? Side note: Wanamaker was a one year vet minimum from what I heard.
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Post by umassgrad2005 on Jun 27, 2018 19:50:46 GMT -5
Irving can't get the super max because he was traded. His deal next year will be a max level deal, not super max. Sorry I described it wrong. They (Kyrie and Davis) signed Tier two maximum extensions (not super max) during their rookie contracts. A team can only have one of these players on their roster acquired by trade. Where are you getting this information? I've seen so many Davis to Boston rumors and trade offers by legit NBA reporters and have never heard this once. For just that second deal? Meaning after next year its ok If Irving signs a new deal. It makes little sense, its not even full max deals, those are what 25%? I could see a team not allowed to get more than two guys under super max deals, the max a team can give. I just don't get this rule. It would apply to a crap load of players and teams.
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Post by umassgrad2005 on Jun 27, 2018 20:15:01 GMT -5
www.spotrac.com/nba/boston-celtics/cap/So after Williams deal we have about 13 million. You move Morris, you still need to replace him even if you clear all his salary. So lets say like 17 million at that point. If you assume Baynes is at that 5.2 million, you can't give Smart 12 to 15 million even after trading Morris. You have to leave enough to at least add one player in case of injury, or if you call up two way guys. I'm ok with this though because Smart is a 10 million a year type player and that might be given him a little bit extra. So if you want to keep Smart hope no one goes after him, because without trading Morris even a full mid-level deal takes us over the luxury line. While I wouldn't mind a long-term deal at 10 million a year, I don't see Smart taking it. He wants mega bucks in his eyes. Nevermind when you start talking 15 million a year you might be able to resign Rozier for close to that. At the same time you can't gut this team when you want to win championships over the luxury taxes that are surely coming. I don't see how we stay under next year unless Irving leaves. Those picks and Irvings new deal make that impossible. The Celtics will be tax payers just maybe not this season. The non taxpayer MLE is projected to be under 9m. They can give that to Marcus if Baynes is at 5.2 and they deal Morris.no? Side note: Wanamaker was a one year vet minimum from what I heard. I just don't see them being a tax paying team this year. I would be really shocked if they started that one year early, given the numbers the Warriors face. I was running the math to see if a long-term Smart deal would stop them next year. Cap is rumored to go way up next year, would account for most of Irvings increase. Those picks would be a huge problem, along with having to move on from so many players. I'd have to get more information, and take a guess on which picks they get. Highly unlikely, but you have to at least think about it. Yes they will he a tax team, but they will wait as long as they can before they are one. Yea like I said, no Morris and you can go to 10 plus million depending how close you want to go to the line. With Morris you can't match a full mid-level deal without going over. I don't see how you can do a 12 to 15 million a year deal this year without going over. I like Smart, but are you starting the tax early for him? I wouldn't do it for Smart, this year.
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Post by rjp313jr on Jun 27, 2018 20:24:38 GMT -5
Sorry I described it wrong. They (Kyrie and Davis) signed Tier two maximum extensions (not super max) during their rookie contracts. A team can only have one of these players on their roster acquired by trade. Where are you getting this information? I've seen so many Davis to Boston rumors and trade offers by legit NBA reporters and have never heard this once. For just that second deal? Meaning after next year its ok If Irving signs a new deal. It makes little sense, its not even full max deals, those are what 25%? I could see a team not allowed to get more than two guys under super max deals, the max a team can give. I just don't get this rule. It would apply to a crap load of players and teams. www.espn.com/nba/story/_/id/23529024/biggest-nba-free-agency-trade-extension-decisions-every-teamGo to The Celtics section. Note: The Celtics cannot acquire a player like Anthony Davis because of the Rose rule. Boston is allowed to trade for only one player (Kyrie Irving) that was signed with the Rose rule. This is better tho: www.barstoolsports.com/boston/i-didnt-know-i-hated-the-derrick-rose-rule-until-todayIt sounds like it can be possible once one of them is on a different contract the more I read about it. So unless something drastic happened and Davis was traded this year (unlikely) it shouldn’t be an issue. But how many weird clauses can one CBA have?
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Post by rjp313jr on Jun 27, 2018 20:27:19 GMT -5
The Celtics will be tax payers just maybe not this season. The non taxpayer MLE is projected to be under 9m. They can give that to Marcus if Baynes is at 5.2 and they deal Morris.no? Side note: Wanamaker was a one year vet minimum from what I heard. I just don't see them being a tax paying team this year. I would be really shocked if they started that one year early, given the numbers the Warriors face. I was running the math to see if a long-term Smart deal would stop them next year. Cap is rumored to go way up next year, would account for most of Irvings increase. Those picks would be a huge problem, along with having to move on from so many players. I'd have to get more information, and take a guess on which picks they get. Highly unlikely, but you have to at least think about it. Yes they will he a tax team, but they will wait as long as they can before they are one. Yea like I said, no Morris and you can go to 10 plus million depending how close you want to go to the line. With Morris you can't match a full mid-level deal without going over. I don't see how you can do a 12 to 15 million a year deal this year without going over. I like Smart, but are you starting the tax early for him? I wouldn't do it for Smart, this year. No I’m not starting the tax early. In my earlier post, I tried to say if they got him for one year this year at his QO then I would be fine with a 12-15m contract next because I made an assumption they are a tax paying team next year no matter what. (Assuming a Kyrie max extension)
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Post by voiceofreason on Jun 28, 2018 7:17:53 GMT -5
The Celtics will be greatly affected by future salary cap increases, obviously. Hopefully revenues continue to climb with the cap following suit. This is projecting an increase of about 6 million/yr. basketball.realgm.com/nba/info/salary_cap
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Post by voiceofreason on Jun 28, 2018 8:55:37 GMT -5
Based on those projections that would be an extra 20 million dollar player at the same time Tatum needs to be signed.
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Post by rjp313jr on Jun 28, 2018 10:03:03 GMT -5
The Spurs should trade Leonard to the Lakers but make them trade Ball, Ingram, Kuzma and Hart plus a 2023 unprotected first round pick.
Tell them to go screw if they don’t want the deal, which I’m guessing the Lakers wouldn’t do but make them be stupid if they are going to get Leonard.
Then the Spurs would promptly deal Ball for something else because Pop won’t want him around.
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Post by Don Caballero on Jun 28, 2018 11:54:00 GMT -5
The Spurs should trade Leonard to the Lakers but make them trade Ball, Ingram, Kuzma and Hart plus a 2023 unprotected first round pick. Tell them to go screw if they don’t want the deal, which I’m guessing the Lakers wouldn’t do but make them be stupid if they are going to get Leonard. Then the Spurs would promptly deal Ball for something else because Pop won’t want him around. Ingram alone would be an amazing return for the Spurs, getting Kuzma on top of that would be almost evil.
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Post by umassgrad2005 on Jun 28, 2018 11:54:47 GMT -5
Based on those projections that would be an extra 20 million dollar player at the same time Tatum needs to be signed. Irving will get like a 13 million raise and Brown could get a 20 plus million raise before Tatum deal is ever signed. The cap won't come close to rising enough to really help us avoid the luxury tax problems that are coming. Nevermind if you pay Smart or Rozier. Plus the salary of the picks we own.
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Post by umassgrad2005 on Jun 28, 2018 12:13:29 GMT -5
The Spurs should trade Leonard to the Lakers but make them trade Ball, Ingram, Kuzma and Hart plus a 2023 unprotected first round pick. Tell them to go screw if they don’t want the deal, which I’m guessing the Lakers wouldn’t do but make them be stupid if they are going to get Leonard. Then the Spurs would promptly deal Ball for something else because Pop won’t want him around. If they are truly talking trade with Lakers again than they didn't get any other good offers. So they don't really have much choice. I wouldn't give that up for Leonard, it guts that team. I might offer Ingram and Kuzma but I would make the Spurs take Deng so I could keep Randle. Reports say the Celtics made an offer, but the only one I've seen that makes any sense doesn't make any sense. That was Smart sign and trade, Morris, Yabu, Semi, Nader and Rozier. Plus a pick I'm sure, that just makes zero sense. Takes away all your guard depth and Irving insurance to get another wing. Trading Hayward makes sense, but would be a PR nightmare and might mean you can't get anymore free agents to sign here. Maybe Irving? Frankly I just don't see how a Leonard trade makes sense for us.
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Post by umassgrad2005 on Jun 28, 2018 12:33:26 GMT -5
Based on those projections that would be an extra 20 million dollar player at the same time Tatum needs to be signed. At the end of the day, don't these increases just translate into larger max contracts and an upswing in FA costs? How much of that money ends up being "extra"? One other question, how do these increases impact draft signings? Do draft salaries go up when the the cap does or are they fixed? Brown got 4.7 million and Tatum got 6.7 million, both were number 3 picks just one year a part. You get extra money, for example Irving gets an extra 30% of the increase. That still leaves the other 70% next year of the increase. When you're talking about six to ten million its just not a lot of money. Not when all the players contracts go up every year.
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Post by rjp313jr on Jun 28, 2018 14:10:08 GMT -5
Latest from Woj
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Post by voiceofreason on Jun 28, 2018 14:41:07 GMT -5
Based on those projections that would be an extra 20 million dollar player at the same time Tatum needs to be signed. Irving will get like a 13 million raise and Brown could get a 20 plus million raise before Tatum deal is ever signed. The cap won't come close to rising enough to really help us avoid the luxury tax problems that are coming. Nevermind if you pay Smart or Rozier. Plus the salary of the picks we own. No shit, we all know that but if the luxury tax goes up by 20+ million over the next 3/4 years that helps the C's ability to keep the core together. And Brown isn't getting a 20+ million dollar raise, he makes about 6 and his next deal isn't going to be for 26.
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Post by umassgrad2005 on Jun 28, 2018 15:14:21 GMT -5
Irving will get like a 13 million raise and Brown could get a 20 plus million raise before Tatum deal is ever signed. The cap won't come close to rising enough to really help us avoid the luxury tax problems that are coming. Nevermind if you pay Smart or Rozier. Plus the salary of the picks we own. No shit, we all know that but if the luxury tax goes up by 20+ million over the next 3/4 years that helps the C's ability to keep the core together. And Brown isn't getting a 20+ million dollar raise, he makes about 6 and his next deal isn't going to be for 26. I don't think keeping the core together has ever been a question, it's the role players like Smart, Rozier and Baynes types. The tax hits a rate of $2.50 for every dollar over after 3 years. Meaning Smart even at 10 million a year, would cost you 35 million. 25 million in tax, 10 million in salary. Even in the first years it's $1.50 per dollar over. So as early as next year, Smart at even 10 million, could cost you 25 million total. Using that chart you provided Brown would be able to earn over 28 million on a max level deal. If he doesn't look like a future max guy to you I don't know what to tell you. He sure does to me after watching the playoffs. He's exactly the type of young high upside guy teams target on deep teams hoping they can pry him away. Think Porter on the Wiz, yet Brown is way a head of him already in his development. What do you think you'll get him to sign for?
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Post by voiceofreason on Jun 28, 2018 15:42:34 GMT -5
Brown is a restricted fa in 2 years. What is the max this year for the restricted fa's coming off of rookie deals? I don't see how it goes up to over 28 million in 2 years. Embiid just signed for less than 20 for 4 years, wasn't that a max deal?
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Post by umassgrad2005 on Jun 28, 2018 15:54:24 GMT -5
Embiids deal is 5 years 146.5 million and could reach 178 million with incentives. They put in an out clause due to his injuries that only puts them on the hook for 84 million if he gets injured again. Which is what you must be thinking about.
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Post by voiceofreason on Jun 28, 2018 17:05:09 GMT -5
Embiids deal is 5 years 146.5 million and could reach 178 million with incentives. They put in an out clause due to his injuries that only puts them on the hook for 84 million if he gets injured again. Which is what you must be thinking about. I just found that online. Before I googled his deal as I knew it was pretty recent, the numbers were totally different. I thought players could only reach those numbers further into their careers. I stand corrected. Another thing in regards to the C's core is what will their stats look like and how does that affect their values? I can see Hayward, Brown and Tatum all averaging 16-18. Kyrie around 23/24 and Horford around 12/14. Tatum and Browns numbers will be suppressed by team ball, does that affect contract values? Those 5 guys should lead the team in minutes and be good for almost a 90 point average between them. Is that crazy? Ok maybe 85, but that will be crazy, whats important is the efficiency and I expect that to be really good.
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Post by umassgrad2005 on Jun 28, 2018 17:29:19 GMT -5
As RJP pointed out the NBA CBA is crazy, just when you figure it out after years of learning the rules, they change it.
A player coming off his rookie deal can get 3 types of max deals. A max 4 year deal as a restricted free agent, a full 5 year max from his team or a 5 year max under the Rose exception. The Rose exception is like the super max but for younger players getting their 2nd contracts. Allows you to increase the final year from 25% to 30% if the players are truly elite. The other big difference is the raises per year you can give a player you resign versus as a free agent. It's why Porters deal looks small compared to Embiids. Porter was signed to an offer sheet, Embiid was resigned by the team. You can save money that way, but it upsets the players. The Jazz did it with Hayward and some think its why he left.
I don't think it hurts Tatum or Brown. Like you said it should make them crazy efficient and teams know talent. Players like Harden and Porter got max deals after being buried on deep teams. Most teams lock up players like that as soon as they can. We can hope we get some hometown discounts, but I wouldn't expect it. Players like LeBron and Paul have spent their entire careers helping make sure that doesn't happen. We now have a generation thats all about making every last cent and having as much power as possible.
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Post by rjp313jr on Jun 28, 2018 19:40:05 GMT -5
It’s official. Sports Illustrated has the worst NBA coverage out there. It’s beyond pathetic at this point.
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Post by umassgrad2005 on Jun 28, 2018 20:09:36 GMT -5
Why? Hayward to Pacers rumor because we have to trade someone ?
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Post by rjp313jr on Jun 28, 2018 20:25:52 GMT -5
Why? Hayward to Pacers rumor because we have to trade someone ? Among other things but yea that was the last straw.
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Post by voiceofreason on Jun 29, 2018 5:00:04 GMT -5
As RJP pointed out the NBA CBA is crazy, just when you figure it out after years of learning the rules, they change it. A player coming off his rookie deal can get 3 types of max deals. A max 4 year deal as a restricted free agent, a full 5 year max from his team or a 5 year max under the Rose exception. The Rose exception is like the super max but for younger players getting their 2nd contracts. Allows you to increase the final year from 25% to 30% if the players are truly elite. The other big difference is the raises per year you can give a player you resign versus as a free agent. It's why Porters deal looks small compared to Embiids. Porter was signed to an offer sheet, Embiid was resigned by the team. You can save money that way, but it upsets the players. The Jazz did it with Hayward and some think its why he left. I don't think it hurts Tatum or Brown. Like you said it should make them crazy efficient and teams know talent. Players like Harden and Porter got max deals after being buried on deep teams. Most teams lock up players like that as soon as they can. We can hope we get some hometown discounts, but I wouldn't expect it. Players like LeBron and Paul have spent their entire careers helping make sure that doesn't happen. We now have a generation thats all about making every last cent and having as much power as possible. Thanks for taking the time to explain, the cba has more loopholes than the old tax code.
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