SoxProspects News
|
|
|
|
Legal
Forum Ground Rules
The views expressed by the members of this Forum do not necessarily reflect the views of SoxProspects, LLC.
© 2003-2024 SoxProspects, LLC
|
|
|
|
|
Forum Home | Search | My Profile | Messages | Members | Help |
Welcome Guest. Please Login or Register.
5/28-5/30 Red Sox vs. Blue Jays Series Thread
|
|
Post by kingofthetrill on May 28, 2018 14:25:22 GMT -5
I feel like we've had more triples in the last 15 minutes than occur in most games.
|
|
|
|
Post by soxfansince67 on May 28, 2018 14:25:29 GMT -5
Even in a blow out, Hembree finds a way to infuriate. It's like he has no idea where the pitch is going - until he grooves it.
|
|
|
|
Post by pedrofanforever45 on May 28, 2018 14:25:48 GMT -5
Cora should have quit while he was ahead with Hembree. Man he's mediocre.
|
|
|
|
Post by soxfansince67 on May 28, 2018 14:26:11 GMT -5
Cora should have quit while he was ahead with Hembree. Man he's mediocre. Mediocre...you are being kind. |
|
bosox
Veteran
Posts: 2,117
|
Post by bosox on May 28, 2018 14:28:32 GMT -5
Including the ball that JBJ caught, Hembree has given up some hard hit balls today.
|
|
|
|
Post by manfred on May 28, 2018 14:31:19 GMT -5
I have to assume Hembree is first out on the roster if they need a spot. He is utterly unreliable. I’d rather see Buttrey or Maddux.
|
|
|
|
Post by pedrofanforever45 on May 28, 2018 14:34:02 GMT -5
Including the ball that JBJ caught, Hembree has given up some hard hit balls today. He gives up hard hit balls in mostly every appearance. |
|
radiohix
Veteran
'At the end of the day, we bang. We bang. We're going to swing.' Alex Verdugo
Posts: 6,518
|
Post by radiohix on May 28, 2018 14:50:29 GMT -5
I'm expecting JBJ to get hawt pretty soon. He hit an oppo-field double against Archer and hit a sharp flyball to deep LF against Snell last night... These are usually good signs. JBJ is getting HAWT: 7-22 with 4 XBH and 3 BBs |
|
|
|
Post by kingofthetrill on May 28, 2018 14:51:16 GMT -5
Great inning by Wright. How often do we win a game AND not have to use Barnes/Kelly/Kimbrel?
|
|
|
|
Post by chrisfromnc on May 28, 2018 14:51:31 GMT -5
Very quick clean inning for Steven Wright. Pomeranz can probably hear him breathing down his neck.
|
|
|
|
Post by soxfansince67 on May 28, 2018 14:53:38 GMT -5
Nice to have Wright right again. Hembree should be dead last in the depth chart at this point. Would rather have Walden Poyner Workman Scott Martin or Maddox on the staff
|
|
|
|
Post by chrisfromnc on May 28, 2018 15:03:10 GMT -5
Nice easy win.
|
|
radiohix
Veteran
'At the end of the day, we bang. We bang. We're going to swing.' Alex Verdugo
Posts: 6,518
|
Post by radiohix on May 28, 2018 15:15:03 GMT -5
Heath Hembree:
FIP 3.36
xFIP 3.38
K/9 11.9
Hector Velazquez:
FIP 4.10
xFIP 4.48
K/9 6.14
Don't let Velazquez low BABIP and unsastainable LOB% fool you guys!
He has options and what he brings to the team (multiple innings relief) can be done by Wright, when Thornburg gets back HV should be the one heading to Pawtucket.
|
|
|
|
Post by awall on May 28, 2018 18:23:13 GMT -5
I was lucky enough to be at the game today, along with my boys and wife. That JBJ catch was sick. We were in pavilion box 13 so we had a great view of how high and hard that ball was hit. I was thinking to myself, “I wonder if he can get there? “ No possible way he can get there.” “Holy crap, he got there!!!”
|
|
|
|
Post by bluechip on May 28, 2018 18:37:02 GMT -5
Very quick clean inning for Steven Wright. Pomeranz can probably hear him breathing down his neck. Jalen Beeks also has 13.32 k/9ip, 2.55 bb/9ip and 2.40 xfip in 49.1 AAA innings. |
|
|
|
Post by telson13 on May 28, 2018 19:13:20 GMT -5
Heath Hembree: FIP 3.36 xFIP 3.38 K/9 11.9 Hector Velazquez: FIP 4.10 xFIP 4.48 K/9 6.14 Don't let Velazquez low BABIP and unsastainable LOB% fool you guys! He has options and what he brings to the team (multiple innings relief) can be done by Wright, when Thornburg gets back HV should be the one heading to Pawtucket. I agree that Hembree has had some “bad luck,” and anyone here could prob tell you I’m generally a booster, if not necessarily a “fan.” But one thing FIP/xFIP don’t account for is the quality of contact he gives up. That’s kind of always been an issue for him, and despite some trends the past couple of years in a positive direction (including O/Z-swing and contact data that suggest he’s gotten better at fooling hitters), he really needs to figure out a way to reduce the hard contact. I’m in no rush to dump him, and i think he’ll regress towards those fielding-independent numbers, but it’s an ongoing problem. Maybe a cutter would help. Idk. Luckily, Kelly especially and Barnes to a large degree have been very good to excellent. |
|
|
|
Post by telson13 on May 28, 2018 19:33:59 GMT -5
Heath Hembree: FIP 3.36 xFIP 3.38 K/9 11.9 Hector Velazquez: FIP 4.10 xFIP 4.48 K/9 6.14 Don't let Velazquez low BABIP and unsastainable LOB% fool you guys! He has options and what he brings to the team (multiple innings relief) can be done by Wright, when Thornburg gets back HV should be the one heading to Pawtucket. FWIW, though, my sense is that Velazquez, who pitches to contact and relies on the splitter, is a guy who’s probably going to be a regular FIP-beater, because his K rates have always been low. The strand rate issue can’t be explained well beyond luck to this point, but I do think he’s a better pitcher than the FIP/xFIP suggest. Actually, since this just convinced me to look rather than trust my (totally unreliable anecdotal memory), Hembree has given up a shockingly low “hard” contact rate...under 20%. His “medium” rate has been high at over 60%, so I’m sure that a lot of that perception of hard contact isn’t really that hard. Plus, his SwStr rate is a sky-high 15.6%, which is terrific. And it’s driven by an O-swing that continues to climb (excellent 38%, while O-contact continues to drop, to **only 48.8%**. His zone % is lower, but it’s not really hurting him because batters are swinging more and missing more at stuff outside the zone. All of which is to say, “bad” Hembree appears to largely be an illusion comprised of some bad luck, some untimely mistakes, and probably some very bad INF defense (as his GB rate is a terrific career-high 49%). Better INF defense and some regression tell me he’s a prime candidate to look a lot better in short order. |
|
|
|
Post by telson13 on May 28, 2018 19:40:57 GMT -5
And one more thing I can’t resist because I’m so excited about it: Benintendi is heating up in a big way. He’s flirting with .300/.400/.500, and his SLG is boosted by a bunch of doubles and triples, which is nice to see. I’ll take .300 with 40 doubles, 15 triples, and only 20-25 HR any day over .275/25/2/35 any day. Mostly for aesthetics (cuz TTO bores me), but more because it suggests to me that the hit tool development is showing up. With 8 SB/0 CS, he’s looking like he’s on the verge of becoming the above-average-across-the-board player we’d hoped. His further ascendancy adds a very dangerous element to this offense.
|
|
|
|
Post by pedrofanforever45 on May 28, 2018 20:25:14 GMT -5
And one more thing I can’t resist because I’m so excited about it: Benintendi is heating up in a big way. He’s flirting with .300/.400/.500, and his SLG is boosted by a bunch of doubles and triples, which is nice to see. I’ll take .300 with 40 doubles, 15 triples, and only 20-25 HR any day over .275/25/2/35 any day. Mostly for aesthetics (cuz TTO bores me), but more because it suggests to me that the hit tool development is showing up. With 8 SB/0 CS, he’s looking like he’s on the verge of becoming the above-average-across-the-board player we’d hoped. His further ascendancy adds a very dangerous element to this offense. Yeah the extra muscle and weight in the off-season is finally paying off. That homerun to the opposite field was probably a double last year without the added muscle. |
|
ericmvan
Veteran
Supposed to be working on something more important
Posts: 8,962
|
Post by ericmvan on May 28, 2018 21:09:13 GMT -5
And one more thing I can’t resist because I’m so excited about it: Benintendi is heating up in a big way. He’s flirting with .300/.400/.500, and his SLG is boosted by a bunch of doubles and triples, which is nice to see. I’ll take .300 with 40 doubles, 15 triples, and only 20-25 HR any day over .275/25/2/35 any day. Mostly for aesthetics (cuz TTO bores me), but more because it suggests to me that the hit tool development is showing up. With 8 SB/0 CS, he’s looking like he’s on the verge of becoming the above-average-across-the-board player we’d hoped. His further ascendancy adds a very dangerous element to this offense. .244 / .331 / .390 (142 PA) through May 8 .377 / .458 / .754 (83 PA) since
He's now in the top 30 for wRC+ among qualifiers, with 139. And look at this WPA leaderboard: 2.60 Mookie Betts 2.30 Andrew Benintendi 1.80 Travis Shaw 1.77 Jed Lowrie 1.68 Jean Segura 1.62 Asdrubal Cabrera 1.60 J.D. Martinez 1.57 Mike Trout
There's now a bigger gap between 2 and 3 than 1 and 2. Both are huge. And what do the first four guys have in common?
If you look at WPA / PA, Mitch Moreland's going to be top 15 or so.
Drifting off-topic a bit, I'm confident that Xander will be a force sooner than later. The biggest X factor that could make this a top-to-bottom scary lineup is Devers.
|
|
ericmvan
Veteran
Supposed to be working on something more important
Posts: 8,962
|
Post by ericmvan on May 28, 2018 21:20:12 GMT -5
I'm expecting JBJ to get hawt pretty soon. He hit an oppo-field double against Archer and hit a sharp flyball to deep LF against Snell last night... These are usually good signs. JBJ is getting HAWT: 7-22 with 4 XBH and 3 BBs Actually 7/23 with 2 BB. .304 / .360 / .522 in his last 7 G / 25 PA (starting May 20). He looks immensely better, too.
The team has only averaged 4.43 RS/G in these games, so he's not fattening up on crap pitching, either.
|
|
|
|
Post by incandenza on May 28, 2018 23:39:09 GMT -5
Benintendi is heating up in a big way. He’s flirting with .300/.400/.500 Goin' for the Pham! |
|
|
|
Post by chrisfromnc on May 29, 2018 14:32:12 GMT -5
No Mookie again. I'll start to panic pretty soon.
1. Benintendi, LF 2. Bogaerts, SS 3. Moreland, 1B 4. Martinez, DH 5. Devers, 3B 6. Pedroia, 2B 7. Holt, RF 8. Leon, C 9. Bradley, CF
Porcello, P |
|
|
|
Post by pedrofanforever45 on May 29, 2018 14:40:34 GMT -5
No Mookie again. I'll start to panic pretty soon.
1. Benintendi, LF 2. Bogaerts, SS 3. Moreland, 1B 4. Martinez, DH 5. Devers, 3B 6. Pedroia, 2B 7. Holt, RF 8. Leon, C 9. Bradley, CF
Porcello, P Swihart still isn't getting that many plate appearances either, regardless of the Hanley DFA. |
|
|
|
Post by Chris Hatfield on May 29, 2018 14:59:24 GMT -5
No Mookie again. I'll start to panic pretty soon.
1. Benintendi, LF 2. Bogaerts, SS 3. Moreland, 1B 4. Martinez, DH 5. Devers, 3B 6. Pedroia, 2B 7. Holt, RF 8. Leon, C 9. Bradley, CF
Porcello, P Swihart still isn't getting that many plate appearances either, regardless of the Hanley DFA. This is the fifth game post-Ramirez and he's started two of them. That's progress. He wasn't going to go from not playing ever to becoming a full-time starter just because Hanley's gone. |
|
|
