SoxProspects News
|
|
|
|
Legal
Forum Ground Rules
The views expressed by the members of this Forum do not necessarily reflect the views of SoxProspects, LLC.
© 2003-2024 SoxProspects, LLC
|
|
|
|
|
Forum Home | Search | My Profile | Messages | Members | Help |
Welcome Guest. Please Login or Register.
2019-20 Boston Celtics Season
|
Post by rjp313jr on Dec 13, 2019 10:15:29 GMT -5
I get the Tatum criticism but this is what we want. We want him to get a little cocky and aggressive. Maybe it’s the coach in me but people over-react. Development is a process. Yes, he’s been bad the last couple nights from a production standpoint. Bigger picture though, it’s been good. You want him getting aggressive. You want him feeling like he’s the man. There was one drive last night where he Bricked a short pull up that was half floater because he rushed it. It was almost like he was surprised how open he had made himself for the release and he “felt” a contest where there wasn’t one. A veteran calmly pulls up from the 7 feet away and knocks it down. The young guy throws a brick at the back of the rim. He had a few like that. He will go back and watch tape and at some point get it. Don’t complain, you want him to take most of these shots. I completely disagree. The great ones don't shoot their teams out of games. We don't want him cocky, aggressive, and feeling like "the man" when it means he is the only player on the team forcing shots. Well this isn’t true. Every great player has some bad nights and “shoots their team out of games”... Also, Tatum isn’t a great player... yet. That’s the point. Development is a curve and if you expect production to come before confidence you’ll be waiting a long time.
|
|
|
Post by philarhody on Dec 13, 2019 10:50:21 GMT -5
I completely disagree. The great ones don't shoot their teams out of games. We don't want him cocky, aggressive, and feeling like "the man" when it means he is the only player on the team forcing shots. Well this isn’t true. Every great player has some bad nights and “shoots their team out of games”... Also, Tatum isn’t a great player... yet. That’s the point. Development is a curve and if you expect production to come before confidence you’ll be waiting a long time. When Andrew Wiggins was 21 he averaged 24 points on almost 20 shots a game with two assists a game. When Paul George was 21 he averaged 17 points on less than 15 shots with 4 assists a game. George was the better, more efficient player then and he is now. You can look at every great wing and see that they don't force shots. Especially mid range shots that they cannot make. This year on a good offensive team, Tatum is averaging almost 18 shots a game while barely shooting 40 percent from the field. I like some of the things I've seen from Tatum this year. But his being "aggressive" by settling for bad midrange shots is not one of them. It's a cause for concern, not applause.
|
|
ianrs
Veteran
Posts: 2,451
|
Post by ianrs on Dec 13, 2019 11:18:18 GMT -5
Completely agreed. It would be one thing if Tatum was "the guy" on a team but he's got 3 borderline all stars surrounding him. Given that, his offensive play has been selfish and forced, not selectively aggressive like it should be.
Of course hes still only 21 and crazy talented, so plenty of time to improve, but I think Tatum has been overrated offensively so far.
To be fair, his defense is really good and underrated IMO.
|
|
|
Post by rjp313jr on Dec 13, 2019 12:05:58 GMT -5
No one is arguing Tatum is beyond criticism, but it’s almost like people want the perfect guy right away. He needs to figure it out. People complain he’s too passive or too aggressive. Can’t have it both ways.
Also, complaint about his mid-range seems odd to me. His percentage of midrange has gone down to just 20% of his shots this year when last year it was almost 27%. Those have been replaced completely by 3 pointers.
|
|
|
Post by voiceofreason on Dec 13, 2019 13:05:16 GMT -5
He is growing and learning and that just takes time and reps. How different does JB look this year? Better than most expected he would and Tatum has even more upside most would agree. Stevens system is all about making the best basketball play so I am confident he will get there. He is showing signs and not really taking many bad shots, they just aren't falling.
But yes the 5 for 20 nights along the way are hard to watch. Many stars have them, check out Russell Westbrooks 3pt%, under 30% for the past 3 years and a career .305. A FG% of 42% isn't so great when putting up 20+ shots a night.
|
|
|
Post by voiceofreason on Dec 13, 2019 13:12:05 GMT -5
It will be interesting to see how the shots are divvied up when they are all healthy and rolling.
|
|
|
Post by Don Caballero on Dec 13, 2019 15:52:05 GMT -5
Brad Stevens continues to be completely incompetent at managing end of game situations. Was outcoached by Brett Brown and has been a below average coach this season. How so? Brad doesn't have many big men options to counter Brown going big and even so he did a good job getting Kanter some extended run. A random great shooting night by trash like Mike Scott isn't something you could realistically plan for. I think Brad has been doing a really good job with the team this year, they play smart on offense, defend hard and resort to f*ckball far less than they did last season. As frustrating as we get following a couple of losses, it's important to not lose perspective. This is still a young team that had to deal with some unfortunate injuries. Like RJP said, Tatum being atrocious will happen here and there. He's not a finished product and neither is the team. However, they have a strong record and are a Top 10 team in the league both in offense and defense efficiency, which is all you can ask for frankly.
|
|
|
Post by umassgrad2005 on Dec 13, 2019 16:06:52 GMT -5
I don't get the Tatum criticism overall, espically the mid-range crap. He's learning how to become a scorer and it's going to take time. He's 21 years old. Most players like him play on crappy teams and no one notices anything. He just needs to find the middle ground and it will happen.
Bigger issue has been D without Williams and Smart. This team won't be very good trying to just outscore other teams.
Plus our bench hasn't been great. Which is a big issue because Stevens uses his whole bench.
|
|
wcp3
Veteran
Posts: 3,862
Member is Online
|
Post by wcp3 on Dec 13, 2019 17:33:00 GMT -5
I think two things can be (and are) true - Tatum has taken a major leap forward this year, but he still has some bad habits to work out.
I would attribute his low FG% partially to poor shot selection, but also to his poor finishing ability around the rim. But to me, it’s a positive overall that he’s getting to the rim whenever he wants, and I don’t think either of those things will be an issue a year from now.
Some of the criticism in this thread is fair, but it’s hard for me to pay much attention to any comparisons between Tatum and Wiggins. He’s miles ahead of Wiggins as a player.
|
|
|
Post by voiceofreason on Dec 14, 2019 9:46:41 GMT -5
I think two things can be (and are) true - Tatum has taken a major leap forward this year, but he still has some bad habits to work out. I would attribute his low FG% partially to poor shot selection, but also to his poor finishing ability around the rim. But to me, it’s a positive overall that he’s getting to the rim whenever he wants, and I don’t think either of those things will be an issue a year from now. Some of the criticism in this thread is fair, but it’s hard for me to pay much attention to any comparisons between Tatum and Wiggins. He’s miles ahead of Wiggins as a player. Exactly, and he along with GH, JB and Kemba all have the ability to get to the rim. At some point the FG%s will improve along with the offensive efficiency. They are getting better at dishing off the drive and breaking down the D. As good as they have been they have a lot of room to improve on both sides of the ball and from most of the roster. They could use a run of good health also.
|
|
|
Post by philarhody on Dec 14, 2019 13:32:59 GMT -5
Some of the criticism in this thread is fair, but it’s hard for me to pay much attention to any comparisons between Tatum and Wiggins. He’s miles ahead of Wiggins as a player. Wiggins as a 21 year old was a more efficient player than Tatum this season. If you look at players like Kawhi and George, you'll see they were low usage, efficient players on talented teams at the same age. Right now Tatum has a Kobe Bryant/Kyrie force it mentality despite plenty of talent around him. That's what scares me
|
|
|
Post by philarhody on Dec 14, 2019 13:37:59 GMT -5
I don't get the Tatum criticism overall, espically the mid-range crap. He's learning how to become a scorer and it's going to take time. He's 21 years old. Most players like him play on crappy teams and no one notices anything. He just needs to find the middle ground and it will happen. Bigger issue has been D without Williams and Smart. This team won't be very good trying to just outscore other teams. Plus our bench hasn't been great. Which is a big issue because Stevens uses his whole bench. Good point about the defense. One of the issues with the "mid-range crap" is the effect it has on defense. A missed mid-range shot or attempt at the rim is more likely to lead to points going the other way than a three point attempt. This is part of why Hayward has been so good because he is money inside the paint while still efficient from 3. This team has the ponies to compete this year. But might lose Hayward in the off-season and then could be in real trouble.
|
|
|
Post by umassgrad2005 on Dec 14, 2019 16:47:50 GMT -5
Phil you seem to be missing the point, Danny and Brad have clearly asked Tatum to become more aggressive. Likely feeling that this team will need that come playoff time and they are likely right. We are only a quarter of the way through the season, let's not act like Tatum can't improve. Going back to his career rate at the rim would change a ton.
I think most people are missing the point on mid-range shots. Last year Tatum took a lot of iso long two pointers. Litterally the worst shot in Basketball. Those are what people wanted him to turn into three pointers. They don't want him to eliminate mid-range shots all together. Against the Sixers he didn't take any of those. He missed a ton of threes and shots at the free throw line. I have zero issue with that shot selection, he can make those shots.
I have no clue why we are comparing Tatum to Wiggins. Wiggins played like Irving, tons of balls dominating iso and no D. Tatum is taking a lot of shots, but he's not doing a ton of ball stopping anti team play iso. More like quick drives to the basket and he's playing very good D.
|
|
|
Post by voiceofreason on Dec 15, 2019 10:58:05 GMT -5
Like I said, most of his shots come within the flow of the game and are not bad shots he just hasn't been hitting. How many layups has he missed this year, how easy has it been for him to get to the rim, how many bad shots a game 2. He will do what JB is starting to do also, the game will slow down for them over the next season and that is when the C's will be ready to contend. Four star players playing together and A mini DG in Smart to bring the defensive intensity when needed.
When was the last time a team had 4 guys average 20 points/game each and play tough D?
|
|
|
Post by rjp313jr on Dec 15, 2019 13:32:49 GMT -5
Like I said, most of his shots come within the flow of the game and are not bad shots he just hasn't been hitting. How many layups has he missed this year, how easy has it been for him to get to the rim, how many bad shots a game 2. He will do what JB is starting to do also, the game will slow down for them over the next season and that is when the C's will be ready to contend. Four star players playing together and A mini DG in Smart to bring the defensive intensity when needed. When was the last time a team had 4 guys average 20 points/game each and play tough D? Well next year we will have to see if Robyn wants to stay.
|
|
|
Post by voiceofreason on Dec 16, 2019 8:15:58 GMT -5
Well if he doesn't come back what does that do to their cap and ability to spend it on another player. I don't know all of the rules on cap space and all that goes along with it.
Also with his problems since joining the C's what is his value? Does he sign LT for less AAv?
The NBA salaries have gotten out of control in my opinion. Chris Paul with a AAV over 40 million for his age 34, 35, 36 seasons is a curse for any team. Every guy who looks like he could be a star gets close to max $ before even he produces like one. I guess it is just a sign of how much money is being generated but when you max out on the wrong guys you screw the team. Jaylen is looking great this year but that is a fat contract he got before actually putting up the numbers, JS
|
|
|
Post by texs31 on Dec 16, 2019 8:38:45 GMT -5
If Hayward opts out (and the release his hold) the Max Boston could get to would be around 17M. The number would depend on:
Kanter Opt out Guarantees for Theis/Green Team Option for Semi RFA Hold for Wanamaker Draft Picks - Where Bos/Mil end up and where/if they get the Memphis pick
Correction- it would be around 16m as I didn't account for an incomplete roster charge (the max amount they could have requires all of the above are renounced and we don't get the Mem pick - we'd be short a body).
|
|
|
Post by texs31 on Dec 16, 2019 8:53:13 GMT -5
Like I said, most of his shots come within the flow of the game and are not bad shots he just hasn't been hitting. How many layups has he missed this year, how easy has it been for him to get to the rim, how many bad shots a game 2. He will do what JB is starting to do also, the game will slow down for them over the next season and that is when the C's will be ready to contend. Four star players playing together and A mini DG in Smart to bring the defensive intensity when needed. When was the last time a team had 4 guys average 20 points/game each and play tough D? I'm going to assume you mean "capable of averaging 20pts a game" bc: 1. Walker (23.1), Tatum (20.6), Brown (19.3) and Hayward (17.5) are not all averaging 20ppg 2. When all 4 have been healthy (5 games), Hayward has averaged under 16 ppg. So even if they did, it would likely be bc there are large gaps where only 3 of them are active for games.
|
|
|
Post by voiceofreason on Dec 16, 2019 9:25:14 GMT -5
Like I said, most of his shots come within the flow of the game and are not bad shots he just hasn't been hitting. How many layups has he missed this year, how easy has it been for him to get to the rim, how many bad shots a game 2. He will do what JB is starting to do also, the game will slow down for them over the next season and that is when the C's will be ready to contend. Four star players playing together and A mini DG in Smart to bring the defensive intensity when needed. When was the last time a team had 4 guys average 20 points/game each and play tough D? I'm going to assume you mean "capable of averaging 20pts a game" bc: 1. Walker (23.1), Tatum (20.6), Brown (19.3) and Hayward (17.5) are not all averaging 20ppg 2. When all 4 have been healthy (5 games), Hayward has averaged under 16 ppg. So even if they did, it would likely be bc there are large gaps where only 3 of them are active for games. At one point this year they were all within 1 pt of 20, given the limited time together I don't think it is out of reach. What they need to have is a FG% over 46 with a 3FG% over 38 between them, that is when they will be tough to beat. Their is a lot of room for improvement, it is possible.
|
|
|
Post by texs31 on Dec 16, 2019 10:06:22 GMT -5
Games Played Together (sorry, it's actually 6 games):
Game 1: Walker (12), Brown (8), Hayward (25), Tatum (21) Game 2: Walker (22), Brown (25), Hayward (15), Tatum (25) Game 3: Walker (32), Brown (19), Hayward (9), Tatum (15) Game 22: Walker (22), Brown (20), Hayward (14), Tatum (19) Game 23: Walker (44), Brown (18), Hayward (9), Tatum (16) Game 24: Walker (29), Brown (8), Hayward (19), Tatum (15).
So they've actually only had 1 game where even 3 players got over 20PPG. Now that's not to say that they would all have to play together all the time for your statement to be true. That's definitely not my point here. But this trend would certainly suggest the decreased likelihood that 4 20PPG scorers will happen.
To further the point, in the 6 games played together:
- 1 of the 4 took fewer than 10 shots in 3 of them. - 1 took exactly 10 2 times - 1 took 12 once
So 1 player of the 4 is clearly deferring when they are all active for the same game. That trend is likely to continue as they play together more (it would be very difficult for it not too).
So while the real point is that they have 4 guys who are capable of scoring at a high clip (even if not yet consistently), the fact that (at one point) they had 4 so close to 20PPG is more contextual than historical.
|
|
|
Post by rjp313jr on Dec 16, 2019 11:09:22 GMT -5
Well if he doesn't come back what does that do to their cap and ability to spend it on another player. I don't know all of the rules on cap space and all that goes along with it. Also with his problems since joining the C's what is his value? Does he sign LT for less AAv? The NBA salaries have gotten out of control in my opinion. Chris Paul with a AAV over 40 million for his age 34, 35, 36 seasons is a curse for any team. Every guy who looks like he could be a star gets close to max $ before even he produces like one. I guess it is just a sign of how much money is being generated but when you max out on the wrong guys you screw the team. Jaylen is looking great this year but that is a fat contract he got before actually putting up the numbers, JS They saved money by extending Jaylen early. The team has a history of not extending players early in their rookie deals and letting the restricted market set their price. Chris Paul is over paid, but he was part of a trade and extend deal where Houston was in a spot where they had no cap space but needed another star to play with Harden. It probably would have paid off too his Paul didn’t pull his hamstring in that Golden State series a couple years ago. He’s also still really good. He’s over-paid but still a great player just not on the level he was.
|
|
|
Post by voiceofreason on Dec 16, 2019 11:41:11 GMT -5
Given this talk about contracts and age, last summer when Al left I wasn't that unhappy as I didn't want the C's to hamstring themselves by giving him too much for too long. Which the Sixers did, now they have spent all their space on 4 guys with little left over for anyone else. They have a great core for now but their hands are tied if everything doesn't go right, like can Embiid stay healthy or how much does AL fall off. Al's deal isn't terrible but part of me is glad Danny sees things the same way, especially with Boston having JB and JT for the long run.
A few years from now when they are in their prime is when this team should be peaking. Other than Lebron most guys fall off in their 30's. On top of that considering the money has grown so much how many of these rich guys will be motivated to give it their all as they age? At some point complacency becomes a factor for many living that life style.
|
|
|
Post by rjp313jr on Dec 16, 2019 12:23:36 GMT -5
Given this talk about contracts and age, last summer when Al left I wasn't that unhappy as I didn't want the C's to hamstring themselves by giving him too much for too long. Which the Sixers did, now they have spent all their space on 4 guys with little left over for anyone else. They have a great core for now but their hands are tied if everything doesn't go right, like can Embiid stay healthy or how much does AL fall off. Al's deal isn't terrible but part of me is glad Danny sees things the same way, especially with Boston having JB and JT for the long run. A few years from now when they are in their prime is when this team should be peaking. Other than Lebron most guys fall off in their 30's. On top of that considering the money has grown so much how many of these rich guys will be motivated to give it their all as they age? At some point complacency becomes a factor for many living that life style. The thing with the NBA is you have to spend money at certain times and if you don’t you loose that ability. Signing Al was smart because the Sixers would have had cap space again to do something with it. The only real argument is would they have been better signing 2 lessor players instead of Al. Like for the Celtics, overpaying Hayward on an extension makes sense because there is no cap space to be had between Walker, Brown and Tatums next deal. So what are you going to do? Stand on principal over 5-7m a year and get nothing for it? The Sixers issue is they have no young guys or draft capital anymore so they’ll have to really draft well to add some depth. It’s doable - Ainge is good at finding role players and depth guys in the draft.
|
|
|
Post by voiceofreason on Dec 16, 2019 12:35:16 GMT -5
Your point on resigning GH is why I asked about cap space if they didn't sign him. I might be living in a dream world but I hope GH embraces the C's and his coach and signs a reasonable extension, taking into consideration he didn't do much for 2 years of it.
|
|
|
Post by voiceofreason on Dec 17, 2019 9:05:01 GMT -5
Ok who would have ever predicted the Bucks 18 game winning streak would end at home to a Dallas team playing their first game with out Doncic? And what does that wednesday game look like now for the C's?
That is one hell of an upset. But the Bucks had no idea what to expect from that team playing wo him, they just decided to chuck up a bunch of 3's and then hit them. Good example as to how important hitting the 3 ball is in this era.
|
|
|