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Post by adamgregory on Jul 27, 2022 11:53:13 GMT -5
Kevin Durant averaged 30/7/6 on 38/52/91 shooting, averaging 37.2 (!) minutes per game over 55 games last year. He was voted second team all-pro last year and as recently as a year ago carried a bad team to the cusp of the finals while averaging 34/9/4 on 51/40/87 shooting and 40 minutes per game in the playoffs. He’s one of the top 15 or so players of all time (per recent ESPN and Athletic rankings, among others) who projects to be one of the top 10 players in the league next year (and pushing top 5). There is injury risk, but while on the court, he is a clear tier or two above Brown, and the Celtics can give him far more rest than Brooklyn did. In a sport where you need stars to win, as long as he’s healthy in the playoffs, he increases their title odds in the near future by a significant amount. None of the above should be in dispute. Just a question of how much future value you’re willing to give up for present value and how much you weigh the importance of keeping hometown guys. I’d rather take the higher near-term title odds myself. For a 33 year old in the NBA with a significant injury history, "present value" is generous. It's optimistic to expect anything less than a decline from Durant heading into next year, and each year that follows. Historically, trading for an NBA star in this 30's has not been a recipe for success. ESPN loves those trades because it's easy to create an echo chamber out of household names moving teams, but I can't think of a single example in the last 30 years of a similar trade working out. (Maybe you'd lump KG into this category? But he was a big man, 'only' 31, Big Al (the OG) was nothing compared to Jaylen Brown, and KG's stardom indeed declined in his first year with the Celtics and each year that followed.) Brown, on the other hand, has yet to hit his "prime", maybe he does not have any exponential growth left in him, but he has improved every year and I don't think it's unreasonable to believe that he may be the better player months from now. In any case, I can't believe Brad even considered it. You just lost game 6 of the finals, your entire rotation is returning, five of those guys (Tatum, Brown, G. Williams, R. Williams, P. Pritchard) have yet to hit their "prime"; and 2 of those guys, plus a recent addition, are firmly in their prime (Smart, White, Brogdon). Other than Horford and G. Williams, the rotation is signed through the next two years (and half the rotation is signed for the next 3 years). So much pressure to do something, but it is absolutely crazy to think this team, as constructed, has peaked. High level basketball requires a higher level of familiarity than any other major U.S. sport. We have that, and we should ride it. Last thing - last year's Celtics team was my favorite Boston sports team of all time (The other teams that come to mind are the killer-Bees Red Sox teams, the Pedro years Red Sox, the two TE Brady Patriots 10-12, and the Bledsoe years Patriots('94-'96). I would be devastated if this team were broken up, you should be too.
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Post by umassgrad2005 on Jul 27, 2022 15:51:10 GMT -5
Kevin Durant averaged 30/7/6 on 38/52/91 shooting, averaging 37.2 (!) minutes per game over 55 games last year. He was voted second team all-pro last year and as recently as a year ago carried a bad team to the cusp of the finals while averaging 34/9/4 on 51/40/87 shooting and 40 minutes per game in the playoffs. He’s one of the top 15 or so players of all time (per recent ESPN and Athletic rankings, among others) who projects to be one of the top 10 players in the league next year (and pushing top 5). There is injury risk, but while on the court, he is a clear tier or two above Brown, and the Celtics can give him far more rest than Brooklyn did. In a sport where you need stars to win, as long as he’s healthy in the playoffs, he increases their title odds in the near future by a significant amount. None of the above should be in dispute. Just a question of how much future value you’re willing to give up for present value and how much you weigh the importance of keeping hometown guys. I’d rather take the higher near-term title odds myself. Except the Nets didn't make it out of the second round, that's not carried a bad team to cusp of finals. That's the team that looked great round one fell apart when they had injuries. If you're talking about increasing playoffs odds you can't overlook the massive drop from a year ago to this year. This year with no Harden had him playing like Ime would and it wasn't good. He wasn't even able to get his team a single win playing with Irving. A year ago against that super team with no Brown and crap Tatum got us one win. Great player, he's just not like LeBron or other greats that can do it all. I'd take Jimmy Butler over Durant any day of the week, he can do it all. You seem to be praising Durant playoff records and I'm the opposite.
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Post by jodyreidnichols on Jul 27, 2022 19:33:46 GMT -5
With his history, age, injury and games played the past two years along with how he looked in last years playoffs I'm not sure he increases our actual chances even if it was a straight up trade for Brown. To much risk. Even if Brown leaves in two years, pure speculation at this time, it's worth rolling with those that got us to the dance. I’m firmly in the do not trade for KD camp for all the reasons mentioned above, but a straight up Jaylen-for-KD swap absolutely improves their chances. All of their offensive issues would go away, and they wouldn’t lose much defensively. By how much and for how long? Not worth it. Two years of an improving core who we know works well together will never be worth trading for a once great player who has had a major injury after 30 came back and looked very good BUT only when he's played about half the games the past 3 years for a player who at worst is the second best player on your team, AND the other team wants more than Brown too. This is worth discussing for about 2 minutes but inevitably you all should arrive at the same conclusion.
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Post by jodyreidnichols on Jul 27, 2022 20:00:41 GMT -5
Kevin Durant averaged 30/7/6 on 38/52/91 shooting, averaging 37.2 (!) minutes per game over 55 games last year. He was voted second team all-pro last year and as recently as a year ago carried a bad team to the cusp of the finals while averaging 34/9/4 on 51/40/87 shooting and 40 minutes per game in the playoffs. He’s one of the top 15 or so players of all time (per recent ESPN and Athletic rankings, among others) who projects to be one of the top 10 players in the league next year (and pushing top 5). There is injury risk, but while on the court, he is a clear tier or two above Brown, and the Celtics can give him far more rest than Brooklyn did. In a sport where you need stars to win, as long as he’s healthy in the playoffs, he increases their title odds in the near future by a significant amount. None of the above should be in dispute. Just a question of how much future value you’re willing to give up for present value and how much you weigh the importance of keeping hometown guys. I’d rather take the higher near-term title odds myself. I believe you are looking back to much and not forward enough. You acknowledge the injury risk (age decline?) but don't appear to commit to whether or not you'd go through with trading Brown (and more including another starter and additionally pieces and additional picks). I'd return the call if I was Stevens with, "Okay what's you actual offer" and say get back to me and leave it at that. IMHO I'd say an even swap is a likely upgrade for this year but no where near the margin you see and I think the risk beyond next season are so much so that I think there is no upgrade after that. In the end, at least two years with Brown is worth more than the slight upgrade an even swap would be (never-mind the added payroll and all if it's ramifications). Never mind that they want a starter, a rotation piece and multiple picks. Danny did a great job turning old assets into making the Celtics one of the best teams in the league again with assist from Stevens (I'm not attempting to go down that rabbit hole here) why would we do undo the great situation the team is in now for at least two years??? AND we improved alot from last years team by at worst adding two good rotation pieces without giving up any rotation/starters and perhaps gave us the ability to trade one of the guards (loaded with depth) for the teams most ovbious weakness in bigs with an aging Horford and RW3 who we all know comes with his own injury risk. If this team makes any more moves I'd prefer it to be a solid back-up center or a 4/5 combo back-up. I would not be surprised if the team rolls the dice and trades one of our ball handlers during the season for a back-up center.
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Post by philarhody on Jul 27, 2022 20:36:32 GMT -5
Kevin Durant averaged 30/7/6 on 38/52/91 shooting, averaging 37.2 (!) minutes per game over 55 games last year. He was voted second team all-pro last year and as recently as a year ago carried a bad team to the cusp of the finals while averaging 34/9/4 on 51/40/87 shooting and 40 minutes per game in the playoffs. He’s one of the top 15 or so players of all time (per recent ESPN and Athletic rankings, among others) who projects to be one of the top 10 players in the league next year (and pushing top 5). There is injury risk, but while on the court, he is a clear tier or two above Brown, and the Celtics can give him far more rest than Brooklyn did. In a sport where you need stars to win, as long as he’s healthy in the playoffs, he increases their title odds in the near future by a significant amount. None of the above should be in dispute. Just a question of how much future value you’re willing to give up for present value and how much you weigh the importance of keeping hometown guys. I’d rather take the higher near-term title odds myself. Except the Nets didn't make it out of the second round, that's not carried a bad team to cusp of finals. That's the team that looked great round one fell apart when they had injuries. If you're talking about increasing playoffs odds you can't overlook the massive drop from a year ago to this year. This year with no Harden had him playing like Ime would and it wasn't good. He wasn't even able to get his team a single win playing with Irving. A year ago against that super team with no Brown and crap Tatum got us one win. Great player, he's just not like LeBron or other greats that can do it all. I'd take Jimmy Butler over Durant any day of the week, he can do it all. You seem to be praising Durant playoff records and I'm the opposite. “You said you would take Jimmy Butler over Kevin Durant. And for that reason, I’m out.”
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Post by jodyreidnichols on Jul 27, 2022 22:43:33 GMT -5
Smart Brogdon Tatum KD Timelord Fast PP, Gallo and Horford off the bench. Goddamn. Where do you get that line-up, based on what rumor. If you are going to fabricate something base it on anything based on reality, even rumors as long as you note that, otherwise you are pontificating about pontificating, so what's the use?
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Post by jodyreidnichols on Jul 27, 2022 22:46:04 GMT -5
Except the Nets didn't make it out of the second round, that's not carried a bad team to cusp of finals. That's the team that looked great round one fell apart when they had injuries. If you're talking about increasing playoffs odds you can't overlook the massive drop from a year ago to this year. This year with no Harden had him playing like Ime would and it wasn't good. He wasn't even able to get his team a single win playing with Irving. A year ago against that super team with no Brown and crap Tatum got us one win. Great player, he's just not like LeBron or other greats that can do it all. I'd take Jimmy Butler over Durant any day of the week, he can do it all. You seem to be praising Durant playoff records and I'm the opposite. “You said you would take Jimmy Butler over Kevin Durant. And for that reason, I’m out.” So by your own measure if someone if 90% right there wrong for being 10$ wrong. Please clarify your own assessment here.
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Post by GyIantosca on Jul 28, 2022 9:29:22 GMT -5
My god are we getting Durant?
They said the Celtics improved there offer Smart, Brown, 2027 1st, 2 pick swaps. That’s a solid haul,
You know if teams want you that’s a good thing. There never moving Tatum.
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Post by GyIantosca on Jul 28, 2022 9:34:49 GMT -5
Seems like the Nets are simply being scumbags, i highly doubt a Durant deal happens There saying the Nets are worried about a holdout.
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Post by umassgrad2005 on Jul 28, 2022 10:50:39 GMT -5
Except the Nets didn't make it out of the second round, that's not carried a bad team to cusp of finals. That's the team that looked great round one fell apart when they had injuries. If you're talking about increasing playoffs odds you can't overlook the massive drop from a year ago to this year. This year with no Harden had him playing like Ime would and it wasn't good. He wasn't even able to get his team a single win playing with Irving. A year ago against that super team with no Brown and crap Tatum got us one win. Great player, he's just not like LeBron or other greats that can do it all. I'd take Jimmy Butler over Durant any day of the week, he can do it all. You seem to be praising Durant playoff records and I'm the opposite. “You said you would take Jimmy Butler over Kevin Durant. And for that reason, I’m out.” Yes I did he's a team player that fits exactly what Ime wants to do. He's a driver, plays great D, can run an offense while not turning it over and he doesn't foul. He's exactly what this team needs. He's the guy Jmei was describing with Durant, took a not that talented Heat team to finals and almost did it a second time. He was better by advanced stats in the regular season and post season compared to Durant. He could take Tatums role and move Tatum to Browns role, that's not true with Durant. Tatum has more success than Durant running an offense. www.basketball-reference.com/playoffs/NBA_2022_advanced.html#advanced_stats::ws_per_48He was only tops in win shares, offensive plus minus and overall plus minus in the playoffs, while getting the most steals.
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nomar
Veteran
Posts: 11,607
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Post by nomar on Jul 28, 2022 11:56:33 GMT -5
“You said you would take Jimmy Butler over Kevin Durant. And for that reason, I’m out.” Yes I did he's a team player that fits exactly what Ime wants to do. He's a driver, plays great D, can run an offense while not turning it over and he doesn't foul. He's exactly what this team needs. He's the guy Jmei was describing with Durant, took a not that talented Heat team to finals and almost did it a second time. He was better by advanced stats in the regular season and post season compared to Durant. He could take Tatums role and move Tatum to Browns role, that's not true with Durant. Tatum has more success than Durant running an offense. www.basketball-reference.com/playoffs/NBA_2022_advanced.html#advanced_stats::ws_per_48He was only tops in win shares, offensive plus minus and overall plus minus in the playoffs, while getting the most steals. Personally, I’ll take the 50/40/90 guy over the guy who tries really hard and lays bricks. The Celtics need skilled players so they don’t rely on miracle shooting performances from the Grant Williamses of the world to advance in the playoffs. Butler is a great player, but he’s not KD.
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Post by philarhody on Jul 28, 2022 15:31:13 GMT -5
“You said you would take Jimmy Butler over Kevin Durant. And for that reason, I’m out.” Yes I did he's a team player that fits exactly what Ime wants to do. He's a driver, plays great D, can run an offense while not turning it over and he doesn't foul. He's exactly what this team needs. He's the guy Jmei was describing with Durant, took a not that talented Heat team to finals and almost did it a second time. He was better by advanced stats in the regular season and post season compared to Durant. He could take Tatums role and move Tatum to Browns role, that's not true with Durant. Tatum has more success than Durant running an offense. www.basketball-reference.com/playoffs/NBA_2022_advanced.html#advanced_stats::ws_per_48He was only tops in win shares, offensive plus minus and overall plus minus in the playoffs, while getting the most steals. Kevin Durant was the best player in the world for parts of 2022 until he ran out of gas. This was after the Olympics and leading a tire fire in Brooklyn. Kevin Durant is the greatest scoring forward ever. I like Jimmy Butler. He’s a dog. But he isn’t Kevin Durant, and it ain’t that close.
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Post by umassgrad2005 on Jul 28, 2022 15:50:54 GMT -5
Yes I did he's a team player that fits exactly what Ime wants to do. He's a driver, plays great D, can run an offense while not turning it over and he doesn't foul. He's exactly what this team needs. He's the guy Jmei was describing with Durant, took a not that talented Heat team to finals and almost did it a second time. He was better by advanced stats in the regular season and post season compared to Durant. He could take Tatums role and move Tatum to Browns role, that's not true with Durant. Tatum has more success than Durant running an offense. www.basketball-reference.com/playoffs/NBA_2022_advanced.html#advanced_stats::ws_per_48He was only tops in win shares, offensive plus minus and overall plus minus in the playoffs, while getting the most steals. Personally, I’ll take the 50/40/90 guy over the guy who tries really hard and lays bricks. The Celtics need skilled players so they don’t rely on miracle shooting performances from the Grant Williamses of the world to advance in the playoffs. Butler is a great player, but he’s not KD. What is Durant more skilled at than Butler besides jump shooting? We have Tatum, now Gallinari and Brogdon, to go along with the others. I agree on the skill part, it's why Butler is the better fit, overall he's more skilled. His ability to dish assists and score with low turnovers, his ability to play great D without fouling. Butler improves your offense and defense by a large margin.
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Post by umassgrad2005 on Jul 28, 2022 15:59:09 GMT -5
Yes I did he's a team player that fits exactly what Ime wants to do. He's a driver, plays great D, can run an offense while not turning it over and he doesn't foul. He's exactly what this team needs. He's the guy Jmei was describing with Durant, took a not that talented Heat team to finals and almost did it a second time. He was better by advanced stats in the regular season and post season compared to Durant. He could take Tatums role and move Tatum to Browns role, that's not true with Durant. Tatum has more success than Durant running an offense. www.basketball-reference.com/playoffs/NBA_2022_advanced.html#advanced_stats::ws_per_48He was only tops in win shares, offensive plus minus and overall plus minus in the playoffs, while getting the most steals. Kevin Durant was the best player in the world for parts of 2022 until he ran out of gas. This was after the Olympics and leading a tire fire in Brooklyn. Kevin Durant is the greatest scoring forward ever. I like Jimmy Butler. He’s a dog. But he isn’t Kevin Durant, and it ain’t that close. Butler had a better regular season per advanced stats and look at his team. Haha ran out of gas, yeah because he's 33 years old and will be 34. I don't know if he's the greatest scoring forward ever, he's certainly one of the best ones. Yet basketball isn't just about one guy scoring. Durant looks best with Westbrook/Harden running the offense or Curry/Green when all he does is score and he doesn't have to do anything else. We don't have guys like that and trying to play like Tatum in the playoffs was brutal for him, almost one to one assist to TO ratio. Ran out of gas after 55 games. LIke I said day one, if you can get Durant without trading Brown or Tatum go for it. Otherwise hard pass and let's enjoy what could be a dynasty in the making.
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Post by philarhody on Jul 29, 2022 9:46:06 GMT -5
“You said you would take Jimmy Butler over Kevin Durant. And for that reason, I’m out.” So by your own measure if someone if 90% right there wrong for being 10$ wrong. Please clarify your own assessment here. Please clarify your question. Or logic problem. Or whatever is happening here.
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Post by philarhody on Jul 29, 2022 9:51:54 GMT -5
Kevin Durant was the best player in the world for parts of 2022 until he ran out of gas. This was after the Olympics and leading a tire fire in Brooklyn. Kevin Durant is the greatest scoring forward ever. I like Jimmy Butler. He’s a dog. But he isn’t Kevin Durant, and it ain’t that close. Butler had a better regular season per advanced stats and look at his team. Haha ran out of gas, yeah because he's 33 years old and will be 34. I don't know if he's the greatest scoring forward ever, he's certainly one of the best ones. Yet basketball isn't just about one guy scoring. Durant looks best with Westbrook/Harden running the offense or Curry/Green when all he does is score and he doesn't have to do anything else. We don't have guys like that and trying to play like Tatum in the playoffs was brutal for him, almost one to one assist to TO ratio. Ran out of gas after 55 games. LIke I said day one, if you can get Durant without trading Brown or Tatum go for it. Otherwise hard pass and let's enjoy what could be a dynasty in the making. Umass, when you worry that Tatum and Durant don’t provide enough creation by themselves=good take. When you prefer to keep the core/potential dynasty over trading a much younger Brown=good take. When you say Jimmy Butler is better than Kevin Durant=bad take. And none of these things are related.
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Post by umassgrad2005 on Jul 29, 2022 15:59:39 GMT -5
Butler had a better regular season per advanced stats and look at his team. Haha ran out of gas, yeah because he's 33 years old and will be 34. I don't know if he's the greatest scoring forward ever, he's certainly one of the best ones. Yet basketball isn't just about one guy scoring. Durant looks best with Westbrook/Harden running the offense or Curry/Green when all he does is score and he doesn't have to do anything else. We don't have guys like that and trying to play like Tatum in the playoffs was brutal for him, almost one to one assist to TO ratio. Ran out of gas after 55 games. LIke I said day one, if you can get Durant without trading Brown or Tatum go for it. Otherwise hard pass and let's enjoy what could be a dynasty in the making. Umass, when you worry that Tatum and Durant don’t provide enough creation by themselves=good take. When you prefer to keep the core/potential dynasty over trading a much younger Brown=good take. When you say Jimmy Butler is better than Kevin Durant=bad take. And none of these things are related. Per advanced stats he's clearly better, he did things these playoffs Kevin Durant has never done. Durant has never once been tops in playoffs among advanced stats, nevermind a ton of them in one season. I feel I'm looking at the players right now and you're trying to compare careers. It's like with Brown, it's not what he's been, it's what he is going forward. Same with Durant, you aren't getting age 21 to 33 Durant, it's age 34 through age 37 Durant. Butler just had his best playoff run ever with not great talent and Durant just had his worst with equal talent.
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Post by GyIantosca on Jul 29, 2022 17:57:46 GMT -5
You know Durant is unreal but to me it says something that this core can bring a title home. They been playoff bound every year and broke through this year. Don’t forget we won the first 2 games they just looked gassed and Warriors were deeper and experience.
Imagine if Phoenix made it.
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Post by tdog93 on Jul 29, 2022 19:32:07 GMT -5
KD's just not a 3-level scorer anymore; his achilles injury hasn't affected his shot but his explosiveness and success rate on drives to the basket has been declining precipitously since his return. Part of that can be attributed to Brooklyn not having any real bigs to help him out underneath but HoF wings get old just the same as everybody else.
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Post by jmei on Jul 31, 2022 7:32:06 GMT -5
A few scattered thoughts:
- I’m not particularly concerned about Durant’s 2022 playoffs. He was playing the best defensive team in the league with multiple options to throw at him on every play, coming off an unreasonable regular season workload, on a team with major culture/vibe issues, with zero help from his teammates and in a small sample size. You can’t consider the playoffs in isolation; when viewed together with his regular season, I don’t see any real issues. I think Durant is still a top 10 player in the league and one who is especially lethal in the playoffs given his ability to get a ~50% jump shot off against anyone at any time.
- I’m less optimistic about this current core than most of you. I don’t see them as a top three team in the league at the moment (I have the Warriors, Bucks and Clippers ahead of them and the Suns, 76ers and Nuggets in the same tier) and I don’t see them as a perennial title contender as currently constructed. The second half of last season was great fun but it does not erase the issues seen in the first half. Development isn’t linear and you can’t assume that Tatum and Brown take another step forward, especially since the steps get harder from here on up (going from All-Star to best player on a championship team is particularly challenging). Durant has already shown he can do that, which is not something that should be easily dismissed.
- I think Durant ages well. His size and shooting ability give him a high floor in terms of being able to play more PF and C as he gets older and still being able to get off his shot and adding a ton of value as a shot-up shooter (a la Dirk). He doesn’t need to get to the rim to shoot a high percentage and he still draws a lot of fouls. His lack of ball dominance makes him a perfect fit for an ascending Tatum. Injuries are a definite risk, though.
- Durant is an underrated defender with tons of length and versatility. A Tatum/Durant/R. Williams frontcourt with Smart and Brogdon in the backcourt is a long, switchy, versatile lineup.
- Trading for Durant increases the odds that you win one title but probably decreases the odds that you win multiple titles. That’s a tradeoff I’m willing to make.
- With all that said, I’m not willing to give up Smart and I’m only willing to give up one or two near-term picks/swaps. No team can match Brown as an anchor piece in a trade and it’s a close enough call that I’m not giving up the pieces necessary to maximize title odds in the near term (Smart) or giving up the entire future (picks in 2025 and beyond).
- Whether they trade for Durant or not, Rob Williams is the difference between a perennial title contender and merely a good team. If he stays healthy, he has an All-Star level impact on this team.
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Post by prospectguy34 on Jul 31, 2022 12:18:41 GMT -5
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Post by jodyreidnichols on Jul 31, 2022 17:15:39 GMT -5
So by your own measure if someone if 90% right there wrong for being 10$ wrong. Please clarify your own assessment here. Please clarify your question. Or logic problem. Or whatever is happening here. I find this very disingenuous. I'd like to think you could easily figure out that 10$ is a simple typo for 10% considering the rest of the sentence and that % AND $ are a key apart of the keyboard but you would rather utilize any chance you get to attempt to belittle. Be better than that and answer the question, If someone is 90% right because you can knit pick 10% doesn't change their point. I thought you were told to stop this non-sense already??
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Post by jmei on Jul 31, 2022 18:32:13 GMT -5
Please move on. Thanks.
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Post by GyIantosca on Aug 1, 2022 10:04:59 GMT -5
RIP Bill Russell # 6 the best to do it.
I hope the number 6 is retired through the NBA. I usually not like this but what he did and stood for I hate what he went thru . I wish he had great memories living here and I am not that type of person I believe we get persecuted enough even though I have not walked in other peoples shoes. But I wish the past was different with him. I hate that story.
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Post by texs31 on Aug 1, 2022 10:51:09 GMT -5
Bruno Caboclo gets a camp deal
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