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7/25-7/28 Red Sox vs. Guardians Series Thread
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Post by Underwater Johnson on Jul 28, 2022 20:50:38 GMT -5
Franchy has never played first base before. He is learning the position on the fly, and not very well. Chaim should have had a better plan in place if Casas wasn't going to be ready. Carpenter chose the Yankees because they offered him a Major League contract, nobody else did I think the plan was Dalbec until Casas was ready. And tbh that would have been fine had Casas not gotten injured. Just didn’t work out. They were never going to invest serious money or assets into 1B with Casas waiting in the wings. That was definitely the plan but with 20/20 hindsight, they should have probably signed someone like Josh Bell and worked around him if both Dalbec and Casas if they both turned out to be productive big leaguers.
Here's a possible breakdown: Let's say you estimated before the season that there was a 60% chance that Dalbec would be a productive major leaguer, including injury risk, and a 40% chance for Casas. The chances that both would be productive big leaguers would be 24%. Dalbec only would be 36%. Casas only would be 16% (and not until the second half) and the chance that neither being productive big leaguers would be 24%.
If you look at it that way, it was only a 24% chance that neither would work out (and a 40% chance that Bobby wouldn't work out in the first half). So they could've signed Carpenter but they kind of did do that, except his name was Travis Shaw. Maybe they should've signed Carpenter (with 20/20 hindsight) after Shaw busted but he was only available for a week in late May and it appears they didn't want to give him a guaranteed major league contract (he had a .581 OPS last year but was hitting well at AAA Round Rock).
So now Carpenter has a 223 OPS+ for the MFYs and I think I've figured out what they're doing: corked bats.
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ericmvan
Veteran
Supposed to be working on something more important
Posts: 9,008
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Post by ericmvan on Jul 28, 2022 20:52:59 GMT -5
Kutter allowed 6.6 expected hits. He gave up 5 hard-hit likely hits and only the homer wasn't an out. If Bello can get that kind of karma tomorrow ...
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Post by redsox04071318champs on Jul 28, 2022 20:59:41 GMT -5
Well they've played 100 games and they're officially a 50-50 proposition.
So glass half empty, they've been disappointing. They're not even the 6th best team in a 15 league team
Glass half full, they're a great last place team. Most last place teams play .400 ball rather than .500 ball.
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Post by incandenza on Jul 28, 2022 21:01:11 GMT -5
I think the plan was Dalbec until Casas was ready. And tbh that would have been fine had Casas not gotten injured. Just didn’t work out. They were never going to invest serious money or assets into 1B with Casas waiting in the wings. That was definitely the plan but with 20/20 hindsight, they should have probably signed someone like Josh Bell and worked around him if both Dalbec and Casas if they both turned out to be productive big leaguers.
Here's a possible breakdown: Let's say you estimated before the season that there was a 60% chance that Dalbec would be a productive major leaguer, including injury risk, and a 40% chance for Casas. The chances that both would be productive big leaguers would be 24%. Dalbec only would be 36%. Casas only would be 16% (and not until the second half) and the chance that neither being productive big leaguers would be 24%.
If you look at it that way, it was only a 24% chance that neither would work out (and a 40% chance that Bobby wouldn't work out in the first half). So they could've signed Carpenter but they kind of did do that, except his name was Travis Shaw. Maybe they should've signed Carpenter (with 20/20 hindsight) after Shaw busted but he was only available for a week in late May and it appears they didn't want to give him a guaranteed major league contract (he had a .581 OPS last year but was hitting well at AAA Round Rock).
So now Carpenter has a 223 OPS+ for the MFYs and I think I've figured out what they're doing: corked bats.
Sign *who* like Josh Bell? Dan Vogelbach for $1 million would have been genius, it's true, and kudos to you if you were calling for that before the season started. Your other options were Yoshi Tsutsugo, Greg Bird, and Colin Moran. Unless you wanted to sign Freddie Freeman or Anthony Rizzo, in which case there'd be 30 consecutive gameday threads of people complaining about Bloom going into the season with no better option than Arroyo at 2B.
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Post by incandenza on Jul 28, 2022 21:02:19 GMT -5
My order of preference for this series: 1. Red Sox sweep 2. Red Sox win 3-1 3. Indians sweep 4. Indians win 3-1 5. Series split
ADD: Or whatever they're called, lol. One of these years I'll get it down...
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Post by soxfansince67 on Jul 28, 2022 21:25:59 GMT -5
Xander hitting the ball hard - Bobby, Kutter. Nice game, important win.
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Post by bosoxnation on Jul 28, 2022 21:36:32 GMT -5
Since 2015. Most hits in 0-2 count. Most homers in 0-2 count. The same player. My guy X. Clutch!
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Post by Soxfansince1971 on Jul 28, 2022 22:52:30 GMT -5
I think the plan was Dalbec until Casas was ready. And tbh that would have been fine had Casas not gotten injured. Just didn’t work out. They were never going to invest serious money or assets into 1B with Casas waiting in the wings. That was definitely the plan but with 20/20 hindsight, they should have probably signed someone like Josh Bell and worked around him if both Dalbec and Casas if they both turned out to be productive big leaguers.
Here's a possible breakdown: Let's say you estimated before the season that there was a 60% chance that Dalbec would be a productive major leaguer, including injury risk, and a 40% chance for Casas. The chances that both would be productive big leaguers would be 24%. Dalbec only would be 36%. Casas only would be 16% (and not until the second half) and the chance that neither being productive big leaguers would be 24%.
If you look at it that way, it was only a 24% chance that neither would work out (and a 40% chance that Bobby wouldn't work out in the first half). So they could've signed Carpenter but they kind of did do that, except his name was Travis Shaw. Maybe they should've signed Carpenter (with 20/20 hindsight) after Shaw busted but he was only available for a week in late May and it appears they didn't want to give him a guaranteed major league contract (he had a .581 OPS last year but was hitting well at AAA Round Rock).
So now Carpenter has a 223 OPS+ for the MFYs and I think I've figured out what they're doing: corked bats.
I honestly would not be surprised if the Yankees were corking bats.
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Post by blizzards39 on Jul 28, 2022 23:46:16 GMT -5
That was definitely the plan but with 20/20 hindsight, they should have probably signed someone like Josh Bell and worked around him if both Dalbec and Casas if they both turned out to be productive big leaguers.
Here's a possible breakdown: Let's say you estimated before the season that there was a 60% chance that Dalbec would be a productive major leaguer, including injury risk, and a 40% chance for Casas. The chances that both would be productive big leaguers would be 24%. Dalbec only would be 36%. Casas only would be 16% (and not until the second half) and the chance that neither being productive big leaguers would be 24%.
If you look at it that way, it was only a 24% chance that neither would work out (and a 40% chance that Bobby wouldn't work out in the first half). So they could've signed Carpenter but they kind of did do that, except his name was Travis Shaw. Maybe they should've signed Carpenter (with 20/20 hindsight) after Shaw busted but he was only available for a week in late May and it appears they didn't want to give him a guaranteed major league contract (he had a .581 OPS last year but was hitting well at AAA Round Rock).
So now Carpenter has a 223 OPS+ for the MFYs and I think I've figured out what they're doing: corked bats.
I honestly would not be surprised if the Yankees were corking bats. It’s a supersuit. it it either works wonders or really fu$&s a guy up. Carpenter it worked for. Gallo not so much. But there is rarely an in between.
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Post by Underwater Johnson on Jul 29, 2022 1:19:26 GMT -5
That was definitely the plan but with 20/20 hindsight, they should have probably signed someone like Josh Bell and worked around him if both Dalbec and Casas if they both turned out to be productive big leaguers.
Here's a possible breakdown: Let's say you estimated before the season that there was a 60% chance that Dalbec would be a productive major leaguer, including injury risk, and a 40% chance for Casas. The chances that both would be productive big leaguers would be 24%. Dalbec only would be 36%. Casas only would be 16% (and not until the second half) and the chance that neither being productive big leaguers would be 24%.
If you look at it that way, it was only a 24% chance that neither would work out (and a 40% chance that Bobby wouldn't work out in the first half). So they could've signed Carpenter but they kind of did do that, except his name was Travis Shaw. Maybe they should've signed Carpenter (with 20/20 hindsight) after Shaw busted but he was only available for a week in late May and it appears they didn't want to give him a guaranteed major league contract (he had a .581 OPS last year but was hitting well at AAA Round Rock).
So now Carpenter has a 223 OPS+ for the MFYs and I think I've figured out what they're doing: corked bats.
Sign *who* like Josh Bell? Dan Vogelbach for $1 million would have been genius, it's true, and kudos to you if you were calling for that before the season started. Your other options were Yoshi Tsutsugo, Greg Bird, and Colin Moran. Unless you wanted to sign Freddie Freeman or Anthony Rizzo, in which case there'd be 30 consecutive gameday threads of people complaining about Bloom going into the season with no better option than Arroyo at 2B. I guess I thought Bell was a FA last offseason but he was in his last year of arb. Shoulda traded for him.
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jimoh
Veteran
Posts: 4,111
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Post by jimoh on Jul 29, 2022 5:23:09 GMT -5
That was definitely the plan but with 20/20 hindsight, they should have probably signed someone like Josh Bell and worked around him if both Dalbec and Casas if they both turned out to be productive big leaguers.
Here's a possible breakdown: Let's say you estimated before the season that there was a 60% chance that Dalbec would be a productive major leaguer, including injury risk, and a 40% chance for Casas. The chances that both would be productive big leaguers would be 24%. Dalbec only would be 36%. Casas only would be 16% (and not until the second half) and the chance that neither being productive big leaguers would be 24%.
If you look at it that way, it was only a 24% chance that neither would work out (and a 40% chance that Bobby wouldn't work out in the first half). So they could've signed Carpenter but they kind of did do that, except his name was Travis Shaw. Maybe they should've signed Carpenter (with 20/20 hindsight) after Shaw busted but he was only available for a week in late May and it appears they didn't want to give him a guaranteed major league contract (he had a .581 OPS last year but was hitting well at AAA Round Rock).
So now Carpenter has a 223 OPS+ for the MFYs and I think I've figured out what they're doing: corked bats.
Sign *who* like Josh Bell? Dan Vogelbach for $1 million would have been genius, it's true, and kudos to you if you were calling for that before the season started. Your other options were Yoshi Tsutsugo, Greg Bird, and Colin Moran. Unless you wanted to sign Freddie Freeman or Anthony Rizzo, in which case there'd be 30 consecutive gameday threads of people complaining about Bloom going into the season with no better option than Arroyo at 2B. I thought Brad Miller, a LHH who can play 1b and some other positions, would have been a decent complement to Dalbec—but he’s been a complete disaster this year.
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