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Post by bosoxnation on Jun 4, 2024 22:07:01 GMT -5
I would cry if we took another 2B in Round 1. I would puke. Awful use of resources. Doubtful Yorke or Romero make it. Might as well make it a hat trick. Explain? You don't think Romero would make it?! He's got arguable the sweetest swing in the whole system. He's got what 200 professional ABs and you are writing him off? I'm so confused.
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jimoh
Veteran
Posts: 4,172
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Post by jimoh on Jun 5, 2024 6:53:57 GMT -5
I would cry if we took another 2B in Round 1. could be a power hitting cf
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Post by bos834 on Jun 5, 2024 7:20:29 GMT -5
I would puke. Awful use of resources. Doubtful Yorke or Romero make it. Might as well make it a hat trick. Explain? You don't think Romero would make it?! He's got arguable the sweetest swing in the whole system. He's got what 200 professional ABs and you are writing him off? I'm so confused. Is the doubt because of the talent level of Yorke or Romero? Or could it potentially be due to their path being blocked? (Grissom, Story/Mayer being moved to 2nd, Meidroth, maybe Valdez? Paulino if he can hit LHP? Just throwing that out there...
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Post by gregblossersbelly on Jun 5, 2024 7:55:19 GMT -5
Even if Yorke/Romero make it to MLB. Their skill set is very replaceable. Why spend a 1st Round pick on something you can buy at Dollar General? I want to use my 1st round pick on Talent. Doesn’t ensure success. But, if that talent makes it. You have something. If Romero makes it? No biggie.
Answer this. If the Red Sox are high on Yorke/Romero, why did they trade for Vaughn Grissom? Yorke/Romero aren’t moving to another position.
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Post by James Dunne on Jun 5, 2024 8:04:53 GMT -5
Answer this. If the Red Sox are high on Yorke/Romero, why did they trade for Vaughn Grissom? Yorke/Romero aren’t moving to another position. I feel like you've been around here long enough to know that's not how this works. The Red Sox signed Trevor Story while they had Marcelo Mayer and still had Xander Bogaerts. They signed Pablo Sandoval when they had Rafael Devers. They traded for Vaughn Grissom because they liked the value and they needed help in the short term, and the more good players an organization has, the better. I don't know enough about Christian Moore to say one way or the other if he's the guy, but eliminating him because they've drafted guys at the same position who didn't work out (who, for the record, haven't yet not worked out, to use a double negative) is a bad approach. You all sound like the people who said the Lions shouldn't draft Calvin Johnson because of Charles Rogers. I mean, Moore hit 29 homers this year, he's a very different player than Mikey Romero.
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Post by bentossaurus on Jun 5, 2024 8:05:57 GMT -5
I would cry if we took another 2B in Round 1. I would puke. Awful use of resources. Doubtful Yorke or Romero make it. Might as well make it a hat trick. Would you all react so viscerally if we drafted Bazzana or Wetherholt? They are second basemen after all.
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Post by ematz1423 on Jun 5, 2024 8:06:05 GMT -5
How are Yorke and Romero comparable other than being HS picks. Romero was drafted as a SS, his write-up on this page said some evaluators believed he would be able to stick at the position. If you want to say don't select 2nd base only guys in the first round then I can see that rationale but I don't get lumping Romero into that.
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Post by James Dunne on Jun 5, 2024 8:07:52 GMT -5
Also, Mikey Romero is still playing about 70% shortstop, making his inclusion in this narrative even more confusing to me.
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Post by gregblossersbelly on Jun 5, 2024 8:19:34 GMT -5
Also, Mikey Romero is still playing about 70% shortstop, making his inclusion in this narrative even more confusing to me. Our scouting report says that he’s potentially an average big league shortstop. Potentially average. Not floor. I just drafted a SS 4th overall, the year before. Then spent 150m on Story. I don’t believe many in Sox organization see him as our future SS.
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Post by thegoodthebadthesox on Jun 5, 2024 8:27:28 GMT -5
Feels like people are looking a lot at the position value with Christian Moore and not the fact that he has a 3 year track record of hitting in the SEC and slashed .378/.449/.780 with 29 homers this year. Even if he's just a second baseman, there's a very real chance his bat will play anywhere! There's also enough precedent within this very organization (Duran, Mookie, Campbell) to think he may have a shot at playing the outfield.
I'm not saying I want him to be the pick, but this doesn't feel like the positional value battle to fight, especially with some of these awful arguments being made about Romero.
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Post by thegoodthebadthesox on Jun 5, 2024 8:33:19 GMT -5
Also being overlooked in the Christian Moore discussion is if that's being considered his absolute ceiling, he'd almost certainly be below slow, and potentially well below. So yeah if you wanna throw a fit over a guy who may just be a bat-first second baseman you can choose to do so, but the flip side of that pick may be high school pitchers in the next two rounds as a result.
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Post by bentossaurus on Jun 5, 2024 9:04:15 GMT -5
Also, Mikey Romero is still playing about 70% shortstop, making his inclusion in this narrative even more confusing to me. Our scouting report says that he’s potentially an average big league shortstop. Potentially average. Not floor. I just drafted a SS 4th overall, the year before. Then spent 150m on Story. I don’t believe many in Sox organization see him as our future SS. If half your first round picks turn out to be average MLB shortstops you'd be the greatest drafting team ever.
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cdj
Veteran
Posts: 15,781
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Post by cdj on Jun 5, 2024 9:05:19 GMT -5
You don’t draft for need in baseball, these guys are usually a minimum of 2/3 years away….sometimes 5+ if they’re a high schooler. Tons of crap changes in that time. You pick the best players and when they get to the high minors you can deal them if they’re blocked
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Post by James Dunne on Jun 5, 2024 9:11:38 GMT -5
"Potential average big league shortstop" = "This is a very good baseball player"
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Post by nonothing on Jun 5, 2024 9:15:55 GMT -5
2nd baseman are almost always the bottom of the skill totem pole. If you are playing 2B in college, it is because somebody on your team is a better fielder than you are at SS or CF -- and you are not even in MLB yet -- where players are even more athletic and need to be even more defensively skilled. Drafting people without the potential to be a frontline SP or a C, SS or CF in round 1 is stupid -- unless the player has a 60 grade hit or power tool and they play elsewhere.
There is not enough data or insight into a pre-professional player to like the floor enough of a kid without potential premium position or premium tool talent to warrant using a round 1 pick on them. You can find kids who play well at their level but don't have future MLB-level talent all over the draft.
If you have a pick in the top 15 at least, the pick should be based on the player's ceiling. And at 2B, the ceiling is determined by excellent defense (typically from a SS who moves to 2B as a professional) + excellent offense. If you think a guy is a a likely 30+ HR 2B, maybe it's a discussion. But without shifts, your 2B needs to play excellent defense because it benefits your entire pitching staff. Or conversely, a not great or poor 2B robs value from your pitching staff.
I don't have a comment on whether Romero will stick at SS or not -- but I do believe the above to be true on a probabilistic value basis, which is how teams have to make decisions. So I would really prefer we not select a 2B in Round 1.
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Post by pedroelgrande on Jun 5, 2024 9:23:31 GMT -5
It’s not even draft night yet and we already have people puking. Prepare for the unexpected. The Red Sox are picking right where there is a cut off and the next ten names might be interchangeable and could go in any order I think this might be a year they do a “savings” strategy.
As for Christian Moore you guys know nothing about the player other than reading he plays 2B.
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briam
Veteran
Posts: 1,189
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Post by briam on Jun 5, 2024 11:27:35 GMT -5
Not all drafted players need to make a career in Boston either, if he develops into a 45/50 FV guy and gets dealt for a big league piece, that’s a win too. Just get and develop talent then figure it out.
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Post by 0ap0 on Jun 5, 2024 13:21:04 GMT -5
Not all drafted players need to make a career in Boston either, if he develops into a 45/50 FV guy and gets dealt for a big league piece, that’s a win too. Just get and develop talent then figure it out. It's true, but man; so few prospects ever get traded. The asymmetry of information makes it really hard to think you're getting a good deal. "No, we swear, we love the kid -- he'll be a star. We just don't have a spot for him" is difficult for anyone to take a face value.
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Post by wOBA Fett on Jun 5, 2024 13:29:15 GMT -5
Chase Burns looks like a future #1 and Yesavage looks like a future #3. If Yesavage can increase his velocity, it's a different profile. No disrespect just wondering how you came to this conclusion? A 6 foot 4 beast with 4 plus pitches and his best pitch is a sweeper. Seems like someone who not only fits our team but reminds me alot of our current ACE Houck. I think hes the perfect fit for us and if he's there and we pass I'll be absolutely heartbroken lol I'm no Ian Cundall but I watched him pitch and he was 93-95 on his fastball with decent secondaries that will probably make him a solid mid-rotation starter for a long time. His biggest problem was the speed difference between his slider and curve were almost identical so MLB hitters will either get an low 90s fastball or mid 80s breaking ball. If his fastball were upper 90s, he'd have an easier time working off the fastball and his secondaries would look much different. His MLB pipeline profile also checks out on mid-rotation upside. I reserve my #1 starter label for electric stuff that I'll know when I see it. I also 100% hope they draft Yesavage.
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Post by nonothing on Jun 5, 2024 14:05:45 GMT -5
It’s not even draft night yet and we already have people puking. Prepare for the unexpected. The Red Sox are picking right where there is a cut off and the next ten names might be interchangeable and could go in any order I think this might be a year they do a “savings” strategy. As for Christian Moore you guys know nothing about the player other than reading he plays 2B. Don't need to. If he grades out nearly equivalently to a potential frontline college starter, for example, you take the starter and develop that guy the way you want. This isn't rocket science -- and there is a reason to draft somewhat around needs over the next 3 yrs when you have the position player pool we have. If you have a pick in the top 6 and there are clear talent differences, then you draft for talent. Where we will pick, there are likely to be multiple players who grade similarly. Going for 2B then makes no sense, unless you think your main job in the draft is to take a college 2B and pour your resources into developing somebody else's CF -- if you think we is capable there. I don't think you draft at #12 in Round one to develop somebody for another team, hoping you can package the guy for an ace when you can just try to draft and develop one from the same spot.
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Post by scottysmalls on Jun 5, 2024 14:08:32 GMT -5
It’s not even draft night yet and we already have people puking. Prepare for the unexpected. The Red Sox are picking right where there is a cut off and the next ten names might be interchangeable and could go in any order I think this might be a year they do a “savings” strategy. As for Christian Moore you guys know nothing about the player other than reading he plays 2B. Don't need to. If he grades out nearly equivalently to a potential frontline college starter, for example, you take the starter and develop that guy the way you want. This isn't rocket science -- and there is a reason to draft somewhat around needs over the next 3 yrs when you have the position player pool we have. If you have a pick in the top 6 and there are clear talent differences, then you draft for talent. Where we will pick, there are likely to be multiple players who grade similarly. Going for 2B then makes no sense, unless you think your main job in the draft is to take a college 2B and pour your resources into developing somebody else's CF -- if you think we is capable there. I don't think you draft at #12 in Round one to develop somebody for another team, hoping you can package the guy for an ace when you can just try to draft and develop one from the same spot. This is a weirdly strong take for taking a pitcher over a hitter who grades equally when all of the historical data suggests hitters are better bets in the draft.
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Post by bettsonmookie on Jun 5, 2024 14:21:01 GMT -5
Don't need to. If he grades out nearly equivalently to a potential frontline college starter, for example, you take the starter and develop that guy the way you want. This isn't rocket science -- and there is a reason to draft somewhat around needs over the next 3 yrs when you have the position player pool we have. If you have a pick in the top 6 and there are clear talent differences, then you draft for talent. Where we will pick, there are likely to be multiple players who grade similarly. Going for 2B then makes no sense, unless you think your main job in the draft is to take a college 2B and pour your resources into developing somebody else's CF -- if you think we is capable there. I don't think you draft at #12 in Round one to develop somebody for another team, hoping you can package the guy for an ace when you can just try to draft and develop one from the same spot. This is a weirdly strong take for taking a pitcher over a hitter who grades equally when all of the historical data suggests hitters are better bets in the draft. I understand the "don't draft for need" cliche, but this seems to be one of those rare times where if something close to BPA fits your need, you do it. The Sox system is quite paradoxical. Overall, they are regarded quite well. But overwhelmingly, their top talent does not include near-to-MLB starters. College arms (and players, overall) are more polished today and seem to be capable of climbing the ranks faster than what has been the historic norm. Teel is approx 1 year removed from his draft-day and is clearly ready for AAA. This is beginning to seem more like a norm than an exception when dealing with the top tier of college talent. Whoever they get at 12 should be of a similar caliber. Yesavage, Hagen Smith, etc. could realistically be part of the 2026 rotation. With the club quite literally having every offensive position covered for the next 5+ years, I would be extremely frustrated to see them draft another bat if a similarly rated college starter is available at 12.
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Post by scottysmalls on Jun 5, 2024 14:33:23 GMT -5
Personally, I would be more frustrated if their plans for succeeding in 2026 rely on a 2024 draft pick being part of the rotation (or really, any part of the equation at all).
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Post by thegoodthebadthesox on Jun 5, 2024 14:34:49 GMT -5
This is a weirdly strong take for taking a pitcher over a hitter who grades equally when all of the historical data suggests hitters are better bets in the draft. I understand the "don't draft for need" cliche, but this seems to be one of those rare times where if something close to BPA fits your need, you do it. The Sox system is quite paradoxical. Overall, they are regarded quite well. But overwhelmingly, their top talent does not include near-to-MLB starters. College arms (and players, overall) are more polished today and seem to be capable of climbing the ranks faster than what has been the historic norm. Teel is approx 1 year removed from his draft-day and is clearly ready for AAA. This is beginning to seem more like a norm than an exception when dealing with the top tier of college talent. Whoever they get at 12 should be of a similar caliber. Yesavage, Hagen Smith, etc. could realistically be part of the 2026 rotation. With the club quite literally having every offensive position covered for the next 5+ years, I would be extremely frustrated to see them draft another bat if a similarly rated college starter is available at 12. It's not a cliche, it's just common sense. Using Kyle Teel as an example kind of goes against your point, because catcher feels like much less of a need now than it did when he was drafted. So even if a draft pick's development time is lessened, it's still a great enough period of time where your needs can change drastically.
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Post by bettsonmookie on Jun 5, 2024 14:39:42 GMT -5
I understand the "don't draft for need" cliche, but this seems to be one of those rare times where if something close to BPA fits your need, you do it. The Sox system is quite paradoxical. Overall, they are regarded quite well. But overwhelmingly, their top talent does not include near-to-MLB starters. College arms (and players, overall) are more polished today and seem to be capable of climbing the ranks faster than what has been the historic norm. Teel is approx 1 year removed from his draft-day and is clearly ready for AAA. This is beginning to seem more like a norm than an exception when dealing with the top tier of college talent. Whoever they get at 12 should be of a similar caliber. Yesavage, Hagen Smith, etc. could realistically be part of the 2026 rotation. With the club quite literally having every offensive position covered for the next 5+ years, I would be extremely frustrated to see them draft another bat if a similarly rated college starter is available at 12. It's not a cliche, it's just common sense. Using Kyle Teel as an example kind of goes against your point, because catcher feels like much less of a need now than it did when he was drafted. So even if a draft pick's development time is lessened, it's still a great enough period of time where your needs can change drastically. Cliches are cliche for a reason, because often times, they are true. I just think this is a scenario that falls into the other side of it. The point with Teel is the speed of his ascension. Top NCAA players seem to be more MLB ready today than they have been over the past decade or two. If there is a chance to take a top college arm that can climb the ladder quickly, and instead they take a "BPA MIF" @ 12 with the system currently constructed the way it is, it will add even more pressure to acquire SP via trade or FA, which both carry immense risk and cost.
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