2024 MLB Draft

thegoodthebadthesox
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2024 MLB Draft Jul 15, 2024 8:10:46 GMT -5 via mobile Chris Hatfield, James Dunne, and 7 more like this

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Post by thegoodthebadthesox on Jul 15, 2024 8:10:46 GMT -5

Aug 9, 2023 16:01:30 GMT -5 thegoodthebadthesox said:

New leader in the clubhouse for my personal preference of first round pick in 2024 is Braden Montgomery, who just committed to Texas A&M in the portal out of Stanford, and who I will now get to see ~20-25 times in person next season. Non-zero chance A&M has the two best outfielders in college baseball next year between Montgomery and rising sophomore Jace LaViolette (who will likely not be on the board by the time the Sox pick in 2025, and something will have gone very very wrong if he is).

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James Dunne
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2024 MLB Draft Jul 15, 2024 10:43:54 GMT -5 Chris Hatfield, tjb21, and 10 more like this

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Post by James Dunne on Jul 15, 2024 10:43:54 GMT -5

Jun 10, 2024 8:35:54 GMT -5 James Dunne said:

Speaking as an expert with several certifications in both medicine and baseball drafting, the first 11 teams should definitely take Braden Montgomery off of their board. So if you're reading this post, scouting directors for the teams with the top 11 picks, definitely do not draft him. Free advice.

For real though, I don't want to diminish how much the injury sucks for him and the A&M team. Terrible and really painful looking, but I can't imagine it's the sort of thing that would make teams leery of picking him.

You're all welcome.

Oregon Norm Global Moderator Senior Moderator Scouting the Cactus League Posts: 6,598	2024 MLB Draft Jul 15, 2024 10:49:44 GMT -5 via mobile James Dunne, tjb21, and 1 more like this Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Member Give Gift Back to Top Post by Oregon Norm on Jul 15, 2024 10:49:44 GMT -5 Great call! Your advice was taken to heart. (Do not get hurt patting yourself on the back...)

adiospaydro2005 Veteran Posts: 1,529	2024 MLB Draft Jul 15, 2024 11:51:46 GMT -5 via mobile Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Member Give Gift Back to Top Post by adiospaydro2005 on Jul 15, 2024 11:51:46 GMT -5 Why are there still competitive balance picks at this point? How is it fair that teams like the Orioles get extra picks?

Guidas
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2024 MLB Draft Jul 15, 2024 11:54:00 GMT -5 tjb21 likes this

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Post by Guidas on Jul 15, 2024 11:54:00 GMT -5

Amazing that two top 5-10 players made it to the Sox - and they had the smarts to grab them - two years in a row. It really shows how evaluations and preference differer from team-to-team.

Yet another huge unexpected win for the good guys!

You can put your boots in the oven, but that don't make 'em biscuits.

julyanmorley
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2024 MLB Draft Jul 15, 2024 12:00:42 GMT -5 0ap0 likes this

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Post by julyanmorley on Jul 15, 2024 12:00:42 GMT -5

Jul 15, 2024 11:51:46 GMT -5 adiospaydro2005 said:

Why are there still competitive balance picks at this point? How is it fair that teams like the Orioles get extra picks?

Gotta get enough poverty teams to agree to every CBA

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oleary25
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2024 MLB Draft Jul 15, 2024 12:05:17 GMT -5 via mobile tjb21 likes this

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Post by oleary25 on Jul 15, 2024 12:05:17 GMT -5

Jul 11, 2024 13:20:30 GMT -5 oleary25 said:

Cade ObberMueller Iowa LHP. He’s a guy who stood out to me. I’m paraphrasing what’s on mlb draft website. He’s ranked 214 on mlb draft players. He has a low 90’s fastball tops out at 96 apparently has a lot of sink and run. His slider sweeps and has a lot of movement Low 80’s. They grade his slider as a 60. Change up low 80’s with sink. Overall he has poor control. Which leads them to believe he be a relief pitcher. Also his height is 5’11 160 lbs which is another reason they are projecting him as a reliever. However if he can put on some size he and can refine his control he maybe a good starter. He could be very effective Walker Janek # 24 prospect in an interview said he was the hardest pitcher he faced all year. His mechanics remind me of a Miniature Rich Hill. Even he is a reliever from what I’ve seen from the side arm action seems effective and hitters will have a hard time making hard contact.

- I gave a break down on July 11i also called Moore top 10 deal and Seaver King top 10

Last Edit: Jul 15, 2024 12:06:42 GMT -5 by oleary25

0ap0
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2024 MLB Draft Jul 15, 2024 12:45:59 GMT -5

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Post by 0ap0 on Jul 15, 2024 12:45:59 GMT -5

Jul 15, 2024 12:00:42 GMT -5 julyanmorley said:

Jul 15, 2024 11:51:46 GMT -5 adiospaydro2005 said:

Why are there still competitive balance picks at this point? How is it fair that teams like the Orioles get extra picks?

Gotta get enough poverty teams to agree to every CBA

Right. MLB practice isn't about being fair, it's about whatever compromise you can get out of a couple dozen owners and the MLBPA.

oleary25 Rookie Posts: 176	2024 MLB Draft Jul 15, 2024 14:04:27 GMT -5 Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Member Give Gift Back to Top Post by oleary25 on Jul 15, 2024 14:04:27 GMT -5 Do 4 year juniors have much leverage being picked for slot values?

bentossaurus
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2024 MLB Draft Jul 22, 2024 16:06:48 GMT -5 tjb21, kingstephanos, and 1 more like this

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Post by bentossaurus on Jul 22, 2024 16:06:48 GMT -5

Jul 14, 2024 21:10:53 GMT -5 bentossaurus said:

I am very late to the party here, but got tangled with the EURO final and eventual celebrations.

I've been trying to finalise a Sox draft board for a few weeks now, and even though I didn't manage to give it the last touches and cull/crosscheck with the latest projections, I'm relatively pleased. Think the talent at the top of the draft is definitely on hitters, but the depth lies on pitchers, and particularly HS pitchers.

If I could pick a guy to fall it would be:
JJ Wetherholt SS West Virginia #7 Cardinals

At pick #12 I would be happy with:
Brody Brecht RHP Iowa #38 Rockies
Konnor Griffin SS/OF Florida HS #9 Pirates
Braden Montgomery OF Texas A&M #12 Red Sox That's a bingo!
Christian Moore 2B Tennessee #8 Angels
Bryce Rainer SS California HS #11 Tigers

If they're still there at #50 I'd pick:
Carson Benge OF Oklahoma State #19 Mets
Jurrangelo Cijntje SP Mississippi State #15 Mariners
Theo Gillen MI Texas HS #18 Rays
Luke Holman RHP LSU #71 Reds
Walker Janek C Sam Houston #28 Astros
Ryan Johnson RHP Dallas Baptist #74 Angels
Jonathan Santucci LHP Duke #46 Mets
William Schmidt RHP Louisiana HS Not drafted
Ryan Sloan RHP Illinois HS #55 Mariners
Ryan Waldschmidt OF Kentucky #31 Diamondbacks

My day 2 targets would be:
Myles Bailey 3B Florida HS #589 White Sox
Charlie Bates SS California HS Not drafted
Tyler Bell SS Illinois HS #66 Rays
Griffin Burkholder Virginia HS #63 Phillies
Conrad Cason RHP/SS Georgia HS #237 Red Sox
Chris Cortez RHP Texas A&M #45 Angels
Bryce Cunningham RHP Vanderbilt #53 Yankees
Kyle DeBarge SS Louisiana-Lafayette #33 Twins
Khadiw Diaw C Loyola Marymount #96 Twins
Braylon Doughty RHP California HS #36 Guardians
Zach Duenas RHP Western Kentucky Not drafted
Nathan Fleweling C Alberta HS #94 Rays
Connor Foley RHP Indiana #164 Diamondbacks
Ryan Forcucci RHP UC San Diego #101 Astros
Anderson French C Pennsylvania HS Not drafted
Connor Gatwood RHP Alabama HS #562 Angels
David Hagaman RHP West Virginia #133 Angels
Owen Hall RHP Oklahoma HS #49 Tigers
Chase Harlan 3B Pennsylvania HS #98 Dodgers
Dasan Hill LHP Texas HS #69 Twins
Thatcher Hurd RHP LSU #89 Yankees
Jeremiah Jenkins 1B Maine #418 Giants
Jacob Jenkins-Cowart OF East Carolina #244 Marlins
Gage Jump LHP LSU #73 A's
Johnnny King LHP Florida HS #95 Blue Jays
Kellon Lindsey SS Florida HS #23 Dodgers
Aiden May RHP Oregon State #70 Marlins
Kash Mayfield LHP Oklahoma HS #25 Padres
Brock Moore RHP Oregon (Senior) #213 Mariners
Marcus Morgan RHP Iowa #282 Phillies
Tyson Neighbors RHP Kansas #118 Padres
Joey Oakie RHP Iowa HS #84 Guardians
Ryan Prager LHP Texas A&M #81 Angels
Eddie Rynders 3B Wisconsin HS #112 Pirates
Mason Russell LHP Arizona HS #599 Reds
Grant Shepardson RHP Colorado HS #155 Marlins
David Shields LHP Virginia HS #41 Royals
Levi Sterling RHP California HS #37 Pirates
Joseph Sullivan OF South Alabama #223 Astros
Jared Thomas 1B Texas #42 Rockies
Payton Tolle LHP TCU #50 Red Sox
Dax Whitney RHP Idaho HS Not drafted
Carson Wiggins RHP Oklahoma HS Not drafted

At their projected slots I would certainly pass on:
Kaelen Culpepper SS Kansas State
Vance Honeycutt OF North Carolina
Seaver King 3B Wake Forest
Nick Kurtz 1B Wake Forest
Malcolm Moore C Stanford
Wyatt Sanford SS Texas HS
Cam Smith 3B Florida State
James Tibbs III OF Florida State
Tommy White 1B LSU

I like to do a post-mortem of the draft in the way John Sickels used to do every year, and with hindsight draft as if I was the Sox, and without bonus considerations. If I like the Sox pick, I take it even if not where I'd have it.

So the bentossaurus 2024 Draft top 15 rounds are:

#12 Braden Montgomery
#50 Ryan Sloan
#86 Nathan Fleweling
#115 Zack Ehrhard
#148 Tyson Neighbors
#177 Blake Aita
#207 Will Turner
#237 Conrad Cason
#267 Marcus Morgan
#297 Mason Russell
#327 Connor Gatwood
#357 Brady Tygart
#387 Jeremiah Jenkins
#417 Myles Bailey
#447 Zach Duenas

Last Edit: Jul 22, 2024 16:08:33 GMT -5 by bentossaurus

Post by thegoodthebadthesox on Jul 15, 2024 8:10:46 GMT -5

Post by James Dunne on Jul 15, 2024 10:43:54 GMT -5

Post by Oregon Norm on Jul 15, 2024 10:49:44 GMT -5

Post by adiospaydro2005 on Jul 15, 2024 11:51:46 GMT -5

Post by Guidas on Jul 15, 2024 11:54:00 GMT -5

Post by julyanmorley on Jul 15, 2024 12:00:42 GMT -5

Post by oleary25 on Jul 15, 2024 12:05:17 GMT -5

Post by 0ap0 on Jul 15, 2024 12:45:59 GMT -5

Post by oleary25 on Jul 15, 2024 14:04:27 GMT -5

Post by bentossaurus on Jul 22, 2024 16:06:48 GMT -5