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Post by lostinnewjersey on Oct 24, 2023 22:48:51 GMT -5
So the World Series pits a 5 seed against a 6 seed -- Rob Manfred's dream matchup.
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Post by ephus on Oct 24, 2023 22:53:04 GMT -5
So the World Series pits a 5 seed against a 6 seed -- Rob Manfred's dream matchup. You’re looking at this all wrong, man. This is a chance to put Tony Womak in the booth with 1984 Olympian Oddibe McDowell. Be legendary.
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Post by incandenza on Oct 24, 2023 22:58:53 GMT -5
The Diamondbacks had a -15 run differential in the regular season. Looks like the last World Series champion with a negative run differential was the 1987 Twins, at -20.
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Post by ephus on Oct 24, 2023 23:04:08 GMT -5
The Diamondbacks had a -15 run differential in the regular season. Looks like the last World Series champion with a negative run differential was the 1987 Twins, at -20. But who is their Kent Hrbek? Their Danny Gladden? Who is their Al Newman?!?!
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Post by Oregon Norm on Oct 24, 2023 23:04:41 GMT -5
It is a crapshoot people. How many times have posters pointed that out on the site? Get to the playoffs and anyone can rise to the top of the heap. If the best teams win 60% of the time including against mediocre competition, the odds are reduced when good teams face each other. So the probability in a 7 game series, while not a tossup, is close to it. Arizona and Texas are not deadbeats. Their timely hitting and their relievers proved that.
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Post by grandsalami on Oct 24, 2023 23:27:10 GMT -5
Phillies came home with a 3 to 2 lead. Managed only 3 runs
2-17 with runners in scoring position
Nick Castellanos Trea Turner, Bryce Harper were 0-23 these last 2 games at home
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Post by manfred on Oct 24, 2023 23:34:42 GMT -5
Phillies came home with a 3 to 2 lead. Managed only 3 runs 2-17 with runners in scoring position Nick Castellanos Trea Turner, Bryce Harper were 0-23 these last 2 games at home None of that matters if Kimbrel didn’t kill them.
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Post by grandsalami on Oct 25, 2023 0:01:24 GMT -5
Phillies came home with a 3 to 2 lead. Managed only 3 runs 2-17 with runners in scoring position Nick Castellanos Trea Turner, Bryce Harper were 0-23 these last 2 games at home None of that matters if Kimbrel didn’t kill them. Kimbrel almost killed the sox a every sox fan on earth if not for an improbable catch by AB
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Post by grandsalami on Oct 25, 2023 0:01:26 GMT -5
Phillies came home with a 3 to 2 lead. Managed only 3 runs 2-17 with runners in scoring position Nick Castellanos Trea Turner, Bryce Harper were 0-23 these last 2 games at home None of that matters if Kimbrel didn’t kill them. Kimbrel almost killed the sox a every sox fan on earth if not for an improbable catch by AB
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Post by bojacksoxfan on Oct 25, 2023 5:50:17 GMT -5
For reference for the ALCS teams. Devers was our WAR leader at 3.1 WAR. The D-Backs had 5 players with more WAR than that The Rangers had 4 players with more WAR than that The Phillies had 6 players with more WAR than that The Astros had 6 players with more WAR than that We have quite the gap to fill over the next two years in terms of improving our roster Sure, but how many 1.5 WAR players on contracts with surplus value did they have?
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Post by scottysmalls on Oct 25, 2023 9:11:11 GMT -5
Follow up to the earlier discussion on how playoff performance affects contract value, Castellanos was terrible in the NLCS (-12.3% cWPA). I think it's fair to ding the contract's overall worth for him being especially bad when it mattered most (not to say it makes the contract a worse proposition, that depends on how predictive you think the clutch stuff is, but the value they got from him is definitively worse).
Schwarber is in the opposite boat he was awesome and has generally been awesome in the playoffs.
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Post by incandenza on Oct 25, 2023 9:24:05 GMT -5
Follow up to the earlier discussion on how playoff performance affects contract value, Castellanos was terrible in the NLCS (-12.3% cWPA). I think it's fair to ding the contract's overall worth for him being especially bad when it mattered most (not to say it makes the contract a worse proposition, that depends on how predictive you think the clutch stuff is, but the value they got from him is definitively worse). Schwarber is in the opposite boat he was awesome and has generally been awesome in the playoffs. I think the way to incorporate playoff value into contract evaluations would be to award a premium for guys who do relatively better against better pitching, which of course there is more of in the playoffs. (This is something the Red Sox, incidentally, have been good at; Devers in particular comes to mind.) That is probably more predictive than whether or not they happen to go on a hot streak in the playoffs - those stats, as Castellanos shows, can turn around in a hurry in such small sample sizes.
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Post by jerrygarciaparra on Oct 25, 2023 9:30:18 GMT -5
it's baseball. its the way they set it up. but i don't have to like it. Would have rather seen the Star power play in the WS, i have kind of gotten used to that over the last 50 years.
Great news for the Boston connection, though. Happy for them.
Sidebar: maybe it shows just how healthy the league is for teams like this to make the WS. it wouldn't be good for just the same teams all the time and there should be a place for smaller markets in the league showcase. Maybe, i need to change.
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Post by grandsalami on Oct 25, 2023 11:11:20 GMT -5
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Post by asm19 on Oct 25, 2023 11:12:25 GMT -5
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Post by incandenza on Oct 25, 2023 11:55:46 GMT -5
Crazy thing in this video is how a bunch of fans start leaving while the ball is still in the air.
They're Philadelphians. They know.
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