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Post by tjb21 on Nov 26, 2014 14:59:42 GMT -5
I mean I still think they'll spend at or near the luxury tax regardless, so I guess I'd say the extra $75M from their "profits" or "bank account" as opposed to their MLB spending pool. It's an educated guess, but I would still expect them to spend towards the limit, much like they did when they posted $50M for Dice-k, since if I'm not mistaken, that didn't count towards the tax limit either It doesn't count against the cap, but it comes from somewhere. It's a little naive to think that John Henry is willing to just spend significantly more money on the team out of his fierce desire to compete. If that was true, they'd have spent more in the IFA market in the last ten years (they've been more of a middle-of-the-road team in that realm historically, spending far less than teams like the Yankees and the Rangers) and spent more on payroll (if ownership didn't care about turning a profit, they could have regularly spent above the luxury tax in the last few years a la the Dodgers or Yankees). There are opportunity costs for every dollar spent on Monacada. Apparently I'm bad at the quoting function... but this is spot on^.
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Post by tjb21 on Nov 26, 2014 14:58:20 GMT -5
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Post by tjb21 on Jun 5, 2014 14:04:44 GMT -5
This is the least amount of knowledge I've had going into the draft since I started visiting this site.
Can't wait to read the hate on the first 3 picks though. I'm easily amused.
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Post by tjb21 on Oct 14, 2013 9:18:54 GMT -5
Not sure if this was intentional, but on the 2014 Projected Roster, under the Pawtucket Starting Pitchers sub-column, it says "RS" next to Acquisition.
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Post by tjb21 on Oct 4, 2013 12:23:37 GMT -5
I doubt that Salty would sign a deal like that. He can probably get 4 years $50 million or something like that on the open market. There isn't much catching to be had and he's younger than most free agent catchers. That makes him pretty valuable to other teams in need of catching. I wouldn't expect him to be thrilled with a 3/$25million or 4/$35 million package. He'll get a qualifying offer from the Sox. No doubt about it, but my guess is that it will be the Sox giving him 4 years and $50 million. I don't see him getting that many years/dollars from Boston, especially with the young guys coming up in the system. Think he could re-sign, but I don't think for those amounts. He should get the QO, and it could depress his external market a little. My guess is he signs elsewhere for around your listed price.
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Post by tjb21 on Oct 4, 2013 12:15:24 GMT -5
sure is quiet in here......calm before the storm? I think most people are trying to get their work done early. This has been a really fun year.
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Post by tjb21 on Sept 12, 2013 9:53:02 GMT -5
I really don't think he's had enough work at 1b to get enough judgement of his abilities on that. Less than 10G total at the MLB level, -0- in the minors. It's why I'd like to see him play the position exclusively during ST. If a guy like Napoli can barely play it? Then a guy like Nava, Gomes, maybe even Lavarnway can learn to. Have mentioned this before here, but George Scott in his last couple of seasons played 1b with a balloon belly and even made the basic moves around the bag. Nava can move, as long as he has any reactions to grounders, line drives he should do ok and ST could determine that. My thoughts. You realize Napoli has been the best 1B in baseball according to UZR this year right?
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Post by tjb21 on Sept 10, 2013 14:55:59 GMT -5
1. Xander Bogaerts 2. Jackie Bradley 3. Garin Cecchini 4. Henry Owens 5. Matt Barnes 6. Allen Webster 7. Anthony Ranaudo 8. Blake Swihart 9. Trey Ball 10. Deven Marrero
11. Brandon Workman 12. Christian Vazquez 13. Drake Britton 14. Mookie Betts 15. Brian Johnson 16. Teddy Stankiewicz 17. Bryce Brentz 18. Rafael Devers 19. Ty Buttrey 20. Manuel Margot
21. Jon Denney 22. Cody Kukuk 23. Alex Wilson 24. Dan Butler 25. Pat Light 26. Daniel McGrath 27. Wendell Rijo 28. Jamie Callahan 29. Michael Almanzar 30. Simon Mercedes
31. Alex Hassan 32. Myles Smith 33. Tzu-Wei Lin 34. Luis Diaz 35. Henry Ramos 36. Nick Longhi 37. Sean Coyle 38. Corey Littrell 39. Keury De La Cruz 40. Sergio Gomez
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Post by tjb21 on Sept 4, 2013 14:18:21 GMT -5
I wouldn't count on him pitching that much, but if there are significant injuries, and his turn in the rotation lines up decently well, I could see him getting 10-15 starts. Workman, AR, Barnes, RDLR, Wright might be getting starts too, that's the main reason I think 20 is to many to assume prior to the season.
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Post by tjb21 on Aug 27, 2013 13:47:08 GMT -5
Brings lots of speed for a September call-up. I like the potential late inning pinch-runner move.
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Post by tjb21 on Aug 22, 2013 13:10:33 GMT -5
This kid is starting to show all star type characteristics. Have to imagine he'll be a top 10 spec in our system sooner rather than later. I don't see him being top 10 in the system anytime soon (barring a major trade(s) gutting the system). If that happens (in-addition to), XB, JBJ, Webster, Britton, RDLR, and Workman all losing their prospect eligibility early in 2014, THEN I could potentially see it. He's 24th right now on this site, so I don't think he's necessarily close to Top 10 level in the near future. Not a knock on him, I think he's a fine prospect, there are just a lot of more talented kids in the system ahead of him right now IMO.
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Post by tjb21 on Aug 21, 2013 10:31:00 GMT -5
Guys like Ellsbury, Ortiz and Pedroia are slumping. You won't keep those guys down all season, it just won't happen. Ortiz 1st Half: .317/.402/.606 Ortiz 2nd Half: .336/.409/.517 So he has a higher average and OBP in the second half, and lost .089 points in Slugging. Wouldn't call that a slump. The other two, yes. Pedroia much more severe than Jacoby, and he (Dustin) has basically lost all his power the last month and a half.
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Post by tjb21 on Aug 19, 2013 8:31:45 GMT -5
I think one of the 6 "established" starters will get dealt. There is a ton of AAA depth to start the season and Owens could potentially be up towards the end of the year.
One of the starters will be worth more as a trade chip IMO.
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Post by tjb21 on Aug 19, 2013 8:28:28 GMT -5
Looks fairly lucky to face these opposing starters.
Now Timmy will throw a CG 3 hitter. Sorry, ahead of time.
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Post by tjb21 on Aug 14, 2013 14:13:19 GMT -5
Garza was traded mid-season, so he can't be offered a QO.
I would RATHER have Ellsbury than a draft pick, but that's not what the trade off is.
I would RATHER have Drew over a pick, but the same principle applies.
With the prospects ready to go behind these guys, and the contract Ellsbury is going to demand, I don't think there is a better choice than to let both of them walk, and I really do think Drew turns the offer down. If Drew does accept, he's a good trade chip before/during the season. Win/Win.
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Post by tjb21 on Aug 12, 2013 8:33:32 GMT -5
Yes.
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Post by tjb21 on Aug 9, 2013 8:49:07 GMT -5
Let me take the 1B options first: ..... My preference would be to sign Beltran to a 1/13 contract, if available, platoon Nava/Carp/Gomes at 1B/4th OF/5th OF/2nd DH and keep Holt as the utility infielder. I agree with most of what you said above (I have Morse at 1B because he is god awful everywhere else). My overall point was that there are several options, some better and some worse, which don't look so bad next to giving Napoli $14mil a year. If Beltran is in LF at 13mil/1yr with a platoon at 1B - I would be quite content. I would love Beltran as an option, but only if they don't have to give up a 1st rounder for him. I'm not sure if he will be offered a QO tho.
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Post by tjb21 on Aug 8, 2013 12:47:54 GMT -5
It logically doesn't make sense (to me) to give Salty 3/$33 over a QO.
I don't see that happening, but we'll see.
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Post by tjb21 on Aug 8, 2013 9:24:36 GMT -5
Salty: I would. Honestly I think it will be a moot point and he'll wind up re-signing for 3 years and about $33 million or something like that. That would be them the time until Vazquez is ready and perhaps Swihart below him. I'd much rather have him back on the 1 yr $14ish million contract, then 3/$33 million.
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Post by tjb21 on Aug 7, 2013 14:14:27 GMT -5
1. Ball 2. Johnson 3. Stank 4. Buttrey 5. Callahan 6. Kukuk
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Post by tjb21 on Aug 6, 2013 13:10:22 GMT -5
Red Sox rank in OPS by batting spot among AL Teams: 5: 7th 6: 3rd 7: 1st 8: 4th 9: 5th Carp should see more playing time against right-handers, sure. But the idea that the bottom half of the Red Sox lineup is some sort of black hole just doesn't hold up. A .770 OPS from a player in the bottom third is fantastic. We're still spoiled from the days of Bill Mueller batting 8th. Ya, but they don't LOOK the part!
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Post by tjb21 on Aug 5, 2013 12:57:05 GMT -5
Drew....no. Was happy when he signed but he was a bridge to X or Iglesias at the beginning of the year, and next year X should be a go. They can trade Drew for a good return if he accepts the QO (and if the Sox don't want him to take away playing time from Xander). Do you not like that option or no?
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Post by tjb21 on Aug 2, 2013 9:06:18 GMT -5
I think all 6 current starters will be available to be talked about.
It is early to speculate on who it will be, but if they're trying to have the best staff, Dempster gets moved. If they're trying for a big return, I could see Felix/Lester being moved in a bigger deal.
Whatever happens, BC has an incredible amount of assets at his disposal, especially with Peavy/Lester almost guaranteed to get QO's after next year. It's a envious spot to be in.
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Post by tjb21 on Jul 31, 2013 12:51:54 GMT -5
I think Drew is a lock now that Iglesias is gone. If he signed (don't think he would), he's insurance if one of WMB and Xander struggles, and they could still trade him anyway. If he goes elsewhere, they'd still need some kind of insurance at 3b and SS. Can't see the Sox counting on the kids to be full time players. Don't think Cecchini will be contributing until the end of 14 or 15. Agreed, I actually thought there was a good chance he would get the QO before the trade of Jose. I don't see a big downside to offering it to him.
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Post by tjb21 on Jul 31, 2013 12:38:11 GMT -5
I'm so sick of Buchholz, please trade him this offseason. Smart
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