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Post by burythehammer on Aug 24, 2015 6:17:54 GMT -5
65+ power bat. showing great pull power and above average oppo power. his swing fits well with fenway park. will strike out a lot. solid glove at 1B. 50 runner, which is pretty good for his position. 75+ Bat Flip. I don't know if it's just the poor quality of the .gif but I've never seen someone do a swing/bat-flip in one continuous motion like that.
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Post by burythehammer on Aug 23, 2015 18:05:09 GMT -5
Yoan Moncada since 7/3: .350/.440/.586, 12.4% BB%, 16.6% K%, .236 isoP, 31 SB-3CS Mike Trout in A-ball: .358/.452/.514, 12.9% BB%, 15.0% K%, .156 isoP, 45 SB-9 CS Just saying. Trout was 18.
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Post by burythehammer on Aug 23, 2015 16:40:37 GMT -5
I assumed he meant "the best college bat available at our pick", because otherwise no, not even close.
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Post by burythehammer on Aug 23, 2015 10:26:49 GMT -5
I hope you're wrong. Kopech is exactly the kind of guy they should be willing to move.
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Post by burythehammer on Aug 23, 2015 7:42:46 GMT -5
I dunno, Betts and Bogaerts were pretty good too.
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Post by burythehammer on Aug 22, 2015 16:16:00 GMT -5
This team is 3rd in MLB in runs and 8th in OPS??!! . Can't wait for the "All that came in meaningless games after the season was already over" rationalizations this offseason.
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Pedroia
Aug 21, 2015 15:26:32 GMT -5
Post by burythehammer on Aug 21, 2015 15:26:32 GMT -5
I don't understand the obsession with moving Mookie back to second base. Especially with people outside of this forum who'd never heard of him before he moved to the outfield. He's a really good outfielder and still has the potential to be even better.
And then what happens in two years when Moncada is ready? We move Mookie back to the OF? I thought we learned our lesson about jerking around your franchise players with Xander last year.
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Post by burythehammer on Aug 21, 2015 13:02:20 GMT -5
Eric, I disagree with you often, but I pretty much agree with your entire list and the reasoning presented. Guerra and Margot in particular are guys I've been thinking about as trade bait most of this year.
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Post by burythehammer on Aug 21, 2015 10:58:42 GMT -5
Avila upon being named as replacement for Dombrowski: “One thing I will bring different is expanded analytics,” Avila said. “I will tell you that I feel that we have a ways to go to catch up with the industry. We have been making some strides, but we’ll fast-forward a little bit and add to that department.
“You’ll see a big difference there.”
This from a guy who was hired by Dombrowski and worked alonside him for a decade, seems a little perverse for him to just make this stuff up. I think what's difficult for posters who have expressed skepticism (and they should be skeptical) about the characterization of Dombrowski as "old-school" or "anti-analytics", is it goes against everything that we knew (face it, we thought we knew) about Henry. And I can offer no insight there, and I honestly don't get it. But it's not just the result of sloppy, lazy journalists chasing an easy narrative. There is evidence, and not unreasonable inference that this is who he is. And I am very skeptical that Dombrowski has some preternatural ability to evaluate talent and predict the future that doesn't require filtering it through some scientific method, which he apparently doesn't subscribe to. And he could do some long-term, permanent damage if left unchecked Dombrowski was asked about Porcello during his EEI interview the other day, and during the course of his answer he said something like, "Rick was a guy you could expect to get 12-15 wins from." I don't think Dave Dombrowski is incompetent. I don't think he's going to fail. I think we could very well be in for a period of sustained success. I just don't like the fact that we have a GM (President, whatever) who will talk about Pitcher Wins like they mean something, even if he ultimately knows better. I laugh at other teams who have guys like that running the show. Now that's us. I was always proud of the fact that we had people like Theo and Ben in charge. Again, I admit that it very well may not even matter wrt the team's success, but I still don't have to like it as a fan.
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Post by burythehammer on Aug 20, 2015 12:31:24 GMT -5
Since nobody else here has the balls to answer this question, I'll answer it. I'm not sold on Manuel Margot. I look at him and see a right handed version of Engel Beltre with slightly better plate discipline - a fourth outfielder type, if he sticks at all. Beltre at AA at 21: .231 .285 .300 .584 Margot at AA at 20: .249 .299 .381 .680 Beltre's career K% in the minors is 18%. Margot's is 11%. I'm not the biggest Margot fan either but he's just a way, way better hitter than Beltre ever was.
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Post by burythehammer on Aug 19, 2015 15:01:36 GMT -5
His numbers have taken a downturn, but it seems to me like Devers has hit a bit of a wall. How many 18 year olds in the world play a 100 game baseball season? Don't forget, Xander didn't go to Greenville until June (?) and only ended up playing 72 games that season. That's almost thirty fewer than Devers has and the season's not over yet. I fully expect him to come early next year and rake in Salem.
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Post by burythehammer on Aug 19, 2015 14:52:44 GMT -5
The season's over in a couple weeks. It really doesn't matter at this point.
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Post by burythehammer on Aug 19, 2015 14:51:33 GMT -5
Don't forget Maybin and Miller. The raw, toolsy outfielder and the flamethrower. Obviously he got a Hall of Fame talent in return, but still.
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Post by burythehammer on Aug 19, 2015 14:37:59 GMT -5
Even if that were true, and I stress if, the occasional PH appearance/start at DH interspersed throughout a ten year career is a lot different than doing what David Ortiz does, DHing day in and day out and just about never seeing the field.
The reason Hanley is a good candidate to DH is that he's a very good hitter who's been a terrible fielder at every position he's ever played, and likely getting worse. That's the only reason and it's a pretty good one.
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Post by burythehammer on Aug 19, 2015 14:21:08 GMT -5
I would caution you to judge executives (baseball or otherwise) on their public statements. They have absolutely no incentive to tell the media what they really think. Which means it's just as likely that Dombrowski might have even less use for analytics than he let on.
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Post by burythehammer on Aug 19, 2015 14:15:36 GMT -5
You're really taking Gammons out of context there. First of all, he wasn't saying it would take all of those guys to get Gray, nor was he saying it would be a good idea. And you make it sound like he's reporting that and not just spitballing.
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Post by burythehammer on Aug 19, 2015 14:11:30 GMT -5
I thought his answer on the cleaning house question, basically said there's already a great infrastructure in place and it'd be dumb to blow it up, was believable and encouraging.
His answer to the analytics question...ehh, not so much.
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Post by burythehammer on Aug 19, 2015 10:41:21 GMT -5
I think there's a significant difference between a guy like Dombrowski (who will exercise final decision-making authority over all personnel decisions, à la Friedman in LA or Theo in Chicago) I think we're sort of saying the same thing. I just think a guy like you are describing is very likely to clean house and bring in his own people. That's what Friedman and Theo did, isn't it?
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Post by burythehammer on Aug 19, 2015 10:18:43 GMT -5
]I don't know that I would be so confident that he's going to clear house. His first order of business was to offer Ben Cherington the opportunity to stay on as GM. By all accounts, that was a genuine offer, and it's not something Dombrowski would do (or agree with ownership that he would do) if he wants to come in and remake the organization in his image. So then why did Cherington decide to leave? He said he has no problem, and in fact expects, to have a boss. So they hire someone to be his boss, and he quits? Why else would he do that unless it was clear to him that there would be wholesale changes and a philosophical shift that he wouldn't fit well with?
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Post by burythehammer on Aug 19, 2015 9:52:10 GMT -5
I don't think that, obviously. But I do think he's a guy who's been around baseball for a very, very long time, and this is his show now, and he is going to bring in people who he knows/has worked with/is comfortable with, even if it means letting talented people go. That's all I'm saying. Not even saying that makes him a bad executive, that's pretty much what anyone would do. That's what you get when you hire a guy like Dombrowski. The problem I have here is more with ownership than anything.
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Post by burythehammer on Aug 19, 2015 9:39:48 GMT -5
Speaking of Romero, and correct me if I'm wrong, but the Tigers were one of the least active teams on the international market under Dombrowski. Anyone wanna take a shot at spinning that positively for me? That Illitch's fault too?
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Post by burythehammer on Aug 19, 2015 9:35:31 GMT -5
To put it another way, Dombrowski never had great farm systems in Detroit.
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Post by burythehammer on Aug 19, 2015 9:28:49 GMT -5
FTHW, I think you're underestimating the size of the change that's going here. Guys like Eddie Romero are in all likelihood gone. This is a total house cleaning job. Dombrowski is going to bring in a likeminded GM such as Wren or O'Dowd and together they're going to build an entirely new front office. This is exactly the sort of thing that FTHW mentioned in his post about jumping to conclusions and pre-judging things that haven't yet happened. Maybe Romero will follow Cherington, maybe he likes working for Boston, maybe Dombrowski wants to promote him, maybe there's another team behind door #4 who wants to offer him a scouting director job... it's way too early to say what is going to happen. So lock the thread then. If the only acceptable discourse is "Well let's just wait and see, nobody knows what will happen!" then what's the point of discussing it? You're right. Nobody knows. Or we could continue giving our educated opinions and yes, speculations, on what may happen based on evidence and the precedent with these kinds of situations. Call it "jumping to conclusions" if it makes you feel better, but I was responding to the specific argument by FTHW that it's misleading to say DD never built good farm systems because he now has a tremendous scouting/player development operation already in place. My response to that is that I believe that's all likely gone, so it is in fact instructive to look at DD's track record with respect to building a farm system.
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Post by burythehammer on Aug 19, 2015 9:19:36 GMT -5
FTHW, I think you're underestimating the size of the change that's going here. Guys like Eddie Romero are in all likelihood gone. This is a total house cleaning job. Dombrowski is going to bring in a likeminded GM such as Wren or O'Dowd and together they're going to build an entirely new front office. Eddie Romero is arguably the best in the business. Cleaning house is one thing, but I think he could be an exception as he would be many peoples' top choice if they were starting from scratch. Maybe. And he could also choose to leave out of loyalty to Ben, who gave him his job. We'll see, but I wouldn't hold my breath on any significant members of the front office remaining. It's already been reported that all of Ben's "lieutenants" are gone.
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Post by burythehammer on Aug 19, 2015 9:14:32 GMT -5
One argument for not trading them is that he's very likely to be worth his contract once Papi retires and he becomes the full-time DH. His career numbers as a PH and DH are great, suggesting he has the skill to sit and not get cold What it suggests is that he has 150 PA combined as a DH/PH.
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