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Post by burythehammer on May 31, 2015 15:59:30 GMT -5
I can't tell if the guy that wrote that is just being bearish because he's 18 or he really thinks a plus hit tool with 20+ home runs translates into an average major leaguer. To be fair, at first base, that's not much better than an average major leaguer, especially since he's likely to be a bad baserunner and might be below-average defensively even at 1B. Think 2014 Adam LaRoche (26 home runs, .259/.362/.455, but just 1.6 fWAR (-5 UZR)) or 2013 Prince Fielder (25 home runs, .279/.362/.457, but just 2.3 fWAR (-5 UZR)). Fair enough, but those guy weren't just "below average" defensively and running the bases, they were among the worst at their position in those years. I think if you're a plus hit (which I guess we assume as a proxy for OBP for our purposes) with 20+ home runs, even at first base, you have to be just plain bad at defense and base-running to not run at least a 3 WAR, which is not superstar but definitely above average.
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Post by burythehammer on May 31, 2015 15:39:56 GMT -5
Nice try, but I never said being an average major leaguer was a bad thing. My point was that the guy's description, to me, did not describe an average major leaguer. If he had said, "I'm not as high on Devers' bat as other people seem to be", that would've made perfect sense to me.
But while we're at it, every player in the majors is "one of the best baseball players alive." Hell, you could you include the entire minor leagues if we're talking relative to the earth's population. Jose Vincio is one of the 150 best shortstops alive!
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Post by burythehammer on May 31, 2015 4:37:25 GMT -5
I can't tell if the guy that wrote that is just being bearish because he's 18 or he really thinks a plus hit tool with 20+ home runs translates into an average major leaguer.
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Post by burythehammer on May 30, 2015 19:49:12 GMT -5
Right-handed to boot.
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Post by burythehammer on May 30, 2015 4:28:41 GMT -5
I don't mean to insult anyone, I just think that's a more accurate term than "fans" or "defenders." I would never call a guy like him a bust this soon, but the reality is you have to squint pretty hard to see anything to get excited about. That's all I'm sayin. And as I type I see some BP guy on twitter who watched him tonight tabbed him as a potential 4/5 starter. That wouldn't be the end of the world to me, lest anyone think I have unrealistic expectations. I'm not sure he has any "fans" or "defenders," That's what I meant.
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Post by burythehammer on May 29, 2015 21:52:24 GMT -5
I don't think anyone is seriously saying literally promote him today. But if he's still raking like this by the All-Star break? Wouldn't shock me at all.
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Post by burythehammer on May 29, 2015 21:32:45 GMT -5
I don't want to set the apologists off, Then a good start is to not refer to them as "apologists." I don't mean to insult anyone, I just think that's a more accurate term than "fans" or "defenders." I would never call a guy like him a bust this soon, but the reality is you have to squint pretty hard to see anything to get excited about. That's all I'm sayin. And as I type I see some BP guy on twitter who watched him tonight tabbed him as a potential 4/5 starter. That wouldn't be the end of the world to me, lest anyone think I have unrealistic expectations.
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Post by burythehammer on May 29, 2015 20:38:14 GMT -5
Chalk up another one for Ball. I don't want to set the apologists off, but is it too much to ask that that 7th overall pick have one single start in a year and half that could be described as dominant? Even non prospects run into a couple great outings now and again.
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Post by burythehammer on May 28, 2015 16:41:21 GMT -5
A lot of Sox prospect talk on the most recent BA podcast, but Josh Norris (I think?) in particular raves about Moncada, who he saw in person for his debut. Badler mentions that Buxton might be the only prospect in baseball who grades out better just on pure tools.
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Post by burythehammer on May 27, 2015 13:14:13 GMT -5
You guys realize what the odds are at this point of Devers having anything close to Pablo Sandoval's career, right?
Yeah it's not the most exciting comp in terms of ceiling (though the guy didn't mention ceiling) but you guys are making it sound like he comped him to Delmon Young.
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Post by burythehammer on May 25, 2015 17:17:30 GMT -5
I really think Asuaje will be a productive MLB player. I agree. For another team, though.
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Post by burythehammer on May 19, 2015 5:44:21 GMT -5
Apparently the Drive are selling Moncada t-shirts. I must have one.
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Post by burythehammer on May 18, 2015 13:07:57 GMT -5
If Moncada fails I think it could spell doom for US/Cuba relations.
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Post by burythehammer on May 15, 2015 10:48:45 GMT -5
Are you trying to tell me Alex Speier is a superior journalist to Pete Abe?
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Post by burythehammer on May 14, 2015 11:57:48 GMT -5
For reference's sake, Xander Bogaerts was assigned to Greenville on June 9 in 2011 out of XST. So, while I expect to see Moncada before then, we could have about another four weeks before I start to wonder what's going on. Clearly Moncada is being held back to avoid a rash of "He's ahead of Bogaerts at this stage" columns, tweets, posts and or call in discussions. I know you're kidding but Moncada would literally have to be in the big leagues by August to be on the same track as Bogaerts.
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Post by burythehammer on May 11, 2015 18:10:06 GMT -5
So piping in crowd noise is a 5th round pick and (maybe) deflating footballs is a 1st + 4th round pick? Is it just me or do they make this stuff up as they go along? Troy Vincent says he factored in Spygate when deciding the punishment. I wonder if he factored in that his teams were 0-5 against Tom Brady with a combined score of 137-67. Might as well have let Marshall Faulk decide the penalty.
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Post by burythehammer on May 8, 2015 20:55:41 GMT -5
For something to be "unusual" wouldn't there have to be many examples of similar situations in the past? Moncada's case arguably unique.
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Post by burythehammer on May 3, 2015 17:51:02 GMT -5
The idea of a Devers-Moncada 3-4 combo makes me want to move to South Carolina.
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Post by burythehammer on Apr 28, 2015 20:25:22 GMT -5
I know the streak is a big deal but it's not even remotely as significant as what Mookie did last year with his 71 consecutive games streak being on base Streaks are not significant. They're for fun. We can debate which was more fun when Margot's ends. I agree with your point in the sense that Mookie's may be more unlikely.
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Post by burythehammer on Apr 24, 2015 7:46:37 GMT -5
Yeah I'm talking about like color TV era.
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Post by burythehammer on Apr 24, 2015 7:37:46 GMT -5
Looked it up for the 1997 expansion draft and wikipedia says: Be interesting to see which 15 players the Red Sox would protect. And then which players they would protect after each round. So an expansion draft for for the 2016 season would take place in November 2015 and would autoprotect players drafted in 2014 and this June and players 18 or younger when signed in 2013, based on above rules. Betts Bogaerts Ramirez Swihart Owens Margot Rodriguez Moncada Johnson Kelly Miley Porcello Vazquez Castillo Pedroia Dunno if that is too youth-heavy. Sandoval would prob get selected but I'm fine with that. Nava, Holt, Buchholz probably. God I'm just imagining the frenzy of hot takes we'd have to endure if they left Ortiz off of the protected list. Looking at the 1997 draft it's amazing how poorly both teams ended up doing. Whoever would end up running these two new hypothetical teams would undoubtedly be way, way smarter and have access to so much more (relevant) information than the Rays and Dbacks did, an expansion draft in this era would be much more fascinating.
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Post by burythehammer on Apr 24, 2015 7:31:23 GMT -5
How long do we have to wait before Fangraphs or somebody does the research and tells us what the longest no-strikeout streaks are at various levels?
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Post by burythehammer on Apr 24, 2015 7:22:38 GMT -5
That is a classic Trey Ball stat line, I have to say.
Williams Jerez so far: 17k 3bb 1 HR in 11.2 innings
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Post by burythehammer on Apr 21, 2015 17:53:22 GMT -5
Manuel Margot Watch: now 37 PAs without striking out. This is arguably more impressive than Mookie's on base streak. Getting to that point, anyway. However, he's also walked only once.
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Post by burythehammer on Apr 16, 2015 13:14:19 GMT -5
Congrats man.
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