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Post by freddysthefuture2003 on Sept 7, 2022 14:07:31 GMT -5
Pretty interesting, only prospectlive has Bitoni in their top 30 currently. BA, Fangraphs, and MLB pipeline have no mention of him Bitonti is 17th on BA’s last updated 2023 MLB Draft list. I don’t think MLB pipeline has a complete list yet but Bitonti is a known commodity as he has played in every summer showcase/tournament so I’m pretty sure he’ll be in there somewhere once they do. www.baseballamerica.com/rankings/top-2023-mlb-draft-prospects/Interesting, I pulled up their 2023 too early mock from July 20th. Didn't realize there was an update. Getting Cam Collier vibes with age and skill set
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Post by vermontsox1 on Sept 7, 2022 20:00:55 GMT -5
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Post by iakovos11 on Sept 7, 2022 20:10:49 GMT -5
And he's (currently, at least) a SS from California. Who'd have thunk?
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Post by vermontsox1 on Sept 19, 2022 10:33:47 GMT -5
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Post by freddysthefuture2003 on Sept 19, 2022 10:52:17 GMT -5
Pretty similar to ProspectLives when it comes to batters, they definitely have differing opinions on pitchers
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Post by vermontsox1 on Sept 21, 2022 12:08:36 GMT -5
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Post by vermontsox1 on Sept 26, 2022 7:54:33 GMT -5
With ten games to go, the Red Sox look likely to pick/have pick odds between 12 and 16 (although still in play for picks 6 through 18). As of this morning, the Sox are at 13. The odds at 13 break down as follows: 1st - 0.9% 2nd - 1.0% 3rd - 1.2% 4th - 1.4% 5th - 1.7% 6th - 2.0% 13th - 71.9% 14th - 18.7% 15th - 1.2% 16th - >0.0% 17th - >0.0% www.tankathon.com/mlb/pick_odds
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Post by greatscottcooper on Sept 26, 2022 8:36:23 GMT -5
When is the actual draft lottery? I'd imagine they'd want teams to be able to scout in the spring knowing where they're picking.
Also, I clicked on the tankathon link, and after 2 tries I got the #3 pick!!!
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Post by vermontsox1 on Sept 26, 2022 8:45:42 GMT -5
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bigmarty58
Rookie
2011 Pancreatic Cancer Survivor - One of the lucky ones
Posts: 162
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Post by bigmarty58 on Sept 26, 2022 8:50:48 GMT -5
A top six pick would help take the sting away from this season. Odds look to be in the 12-15 range.
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Post by ancientsoxfogey on Sept 26, 2022 9:15:36 GMT -5
Now just to clarify, the order set by the lottery is for the first round only, correct? If the Sox finished 13th from the bottom in the standings but lucked into, say, the #3 pick in the lottery, they'd pick 3rd in round 1 and 13th in every round thereafter. Is that right?
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Post by vermontsox1 on Sept 26, 2022 9:41:28 GMT -5
Now just to clarify, the order set by the lottery is for the first round only, correct? If the Sox finished 13th from the bottom in the standings but lucked into, say, the #3 pick in the lottery, they'd pick 3rd in round 1 and 13th in every round thereafter. Is that right? Correct. The lottery is only for the first round selection.
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Post by orion09 on Sept 26, 2022 9:53:49 GMT -5
With ten games to go, the Red Sox look likely to pick/have pick odds between 12 and 16 (although still in play for picks 6 through 18). As of this morning, the Sox are at 13. The odds at 13 break down as follows: 1st - 0.9% 2nd - 1.0% 3rd - 1.2% 4th - 1.4% 5th - 1.7% 6th - 2.0% 13th - 71.9% 14th - 18.7% 15th - 1.2% 16th - >0.0% 17th - >0.0% www.tankathon.com/mlb/pick_oddsIt’s weird that they have a small shot at picks 1-6 but no shot at picks 7-12. You’d think they would do it proportionally the whole way down
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Post by julyanmorley on Sept 26, 2022 10:13:23 GMT -5
With ten games to go, the Red Sox look likely to pick/have pick odds between 12 and 16 (although still in play for picks 6 through 18). As of this morning, the Sox are at 13. The odds at 13 break down as follows: 1st - 0.9% 2nd - 1.0% 3rd - 1.2% 4th - 1.4% 5th - 1.7% 6th - 2.0% 13th - 71.9% 14th - 18.7% 15th - 1.2% 16th - >0.0% 17th - >0.0% www.tankathon.com/mlb/pick_oddsIt’s weird that they have a small shot at picks 1-6 but no shot at picks 7-12. You’d think they would do it proportionally the whole way down They were fighting over the exact number of lottery slots during the CBA. Seemed kind of silly to me too
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Post by foreverred9 on Sept 26, 2022 19:33:30 GMT -5
With ten games to go, the Red Sox look likely to pick/have pick odds between 12 and 16 (although still in play for picks 6 through 18). As of this morning, the Sox are at 13. The odds at 13 break down as follows: 1st - 0.9% 2nd - 1.0% 3rd - 1.2% 4th - 1.4% 5th - 1.7% 6th - 2.0% 13th - 71.9% 14th - 18.7% 15th - 1.2% 16th - >0.0% 17th - >0.0% www.tankathon.com/mlb/pick_oddsIt’s weird that they have a small shot at picks 1-6 but no shot at picks 7-12. You’d think they would do it proportionally the whole way down The reason is that they are only giving out the first 6 picks via lottery. So the reason why they could be anywhere from 13th to 17th is that some teams below them could win one of those 6 spots and push us down a spot (or more, which is unlikely) in the order.
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Post by kingofthetrill on Sept 27, 2022 1:04:18 GMT -5
I can only imagine where we could have been had we given up trying to compete and tanked like I had been saying we should have been doing since the deadline. Hope the pride was worth it.
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Post by greatscottcooper on Sept 27, 2022 7:29:01 GMT -5
I can only imagine where we could have been had we given up trying to compete and tanked like I had been saying we should have been doing since the deadline. Hope the pride was worth it. picking 11th instead of 13 maybe.
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Post by freddysthefuture2003 on Sept 27, 2022 7:54:13 GMT -5
I can only imagine where we could have been had we given up trying to compete and tanked like I had been saying we should have been doing since the deadline. Hope the pride was worth it. picking 11th instead of 13 maybe. This. How many games have Nate and JD actually won you since the deadline?
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Post by alexcorahomevideo on Sept 27, 2022 8:29:48 GMT -5
picking 11th instead of 13 maybe. This. How many games have Nate and JD actually won you since the deadline? Yeah given how bad JD has been and Nate being injured I could see the opposite happening. Maybe 14th or 15th because of the players who would take the roster spots.
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Post by incandenza on Sept 27, 2022 10:15:05 GMT -5
JD Martinez has a 90 wRC+ since the all star break. Eovaldi has a 4.50 ERA in 12 innings pitched.
Come to think of it, I don't know why the "we should have surrendered when we were 2 games out of a wild card spot by trading the veterans" argument always focuses on these two. Wacha was probably the only trade chip of any real value (other than Bogaerts and Vazquez).
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Post by Chris Hatfield on Sept 27, 2022 10:25:30 GMT -5
JD Martinez has a 90 wRC+ since the all star break. Eovaldi has a 4.50 ERA in 12 innings pitched. Come to think of it, I don't know why the "we should have surrendered when we were 2 games out of a wild card spot by trading the veterans" argument always focuses on these two. Wacha was probably the only trade chip of any real value (other than Bogaerts and Vazquez). Because those were the two they could've moved to get under the CBT. That said, draft thread.
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Post by incandenza on Sept 27, 2022 10:58:56 GMT -5
JD Martinez has a 90 wRC+ since the all star break. Eovaldi has a 4.50 ERA in 12 innings pitched. Come to think of it, I don't know why the "we should have surrendered when we were 2 games out of a wild card spot by trading the veterans" argument always focuses on these two. Wacha was probably the only trade chip of any real value (other than Bogaerts and Vazquez). Because those were the two they could've moved to get under the CBT. That said, draft thread. Yes that's one argument, but the context here is someone suggesting they should have played as poorly as possible to help their draft position. And others have definitely made the argument that they should have sold off at the deadline in order to add prospects.
But also I think trading Wacha and not adding Pham would've gotten them close to the CBT, no?
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Post by vermontsox1 on Sept 27, 2022 11:24:55 GMT -5
As Chris noted, let's keep this thread to draft talk please.
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Post by lostinnewjersey on Sept 27, 2022 12:33:49 GMT -5
Two years ago, I was all over the tankathon, rooting for them to end up with the second pick, then the third, and then finally the fourth. As it happened, it didn't matter -- they would have taken Marcelo Mayer in any of those positions.
This year I don't care. The difference between 12th and 14th is negligible, especially because Bloom has shown he's not following anybody else's draft board. I was surprised (not in a good way) by the Yorke pick, and again (but this time in an okay way) by the Romero pick. In 2023 I'll be surprised if they make a conventional top 20 pick in the first round. They really seem to want to spread the money around in the draft.
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Post by julyanmorley on Sept 27, 2022 12:41:37 GMT -5
#13 pick is on a hot streak lately
Chris Sale, Trea Turner, Brandon Nimmo, Hunter Renfroe, Josh Lowe, Andrew Painter, Zach Neto since 2010
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