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Post by bookiemetts on Jul 12, 2015 22:55:41 GMT -5
Found video of Moncada's homer if people are interested. Dude's been raking recently.
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Post by bookiemetts on Jul 1, 2015 23:54:21 GMT -5
Johnson is a better present player than Harris, and the way the market is going, Orlando was likely to match any offer (which means you just tied up your cap space for the first days of free agency for nothing). He is also a better player than Lopez or Koufos and offers similar rim protection (his career 3.8% block percentage is comparable to Lopez's 4.1% and Koufos' 4.2%). PER is a woefully inadequate stat as a one-stop-shop stat. I've already discussed all the reasons why Johnson is much, much better than his PER. I would rather get no players then get Johnson, like I've said before give Mickey minutes that is what's better long term. Also career block % is a joke with Johnson as his blocks have declined for two straight years to almost half of what they were. His ankles are horrible, you are not getting the player Johnson used to be.
Do you really think that Harris's RPM wouldn't improve playing on the Celtics with Brad Stevens as his coach?
We just spent half our cap space on a player that has a way lower RPM then Olynk and almost the same as Sullinger. I will give you that he does have a better RPM then Bass, but he is not as good offensively either. Wow 12 million on a maybe slight upgrade over Bass overall.
You still think this knowing that the second year isn't guaranteed and Danny can ship him out easily if he's injured or bad? That second year he doesn't even need to be good to be valuable as a trade piece with the cap going up and teams opening their wallets on free agents. As far as Mickey goes, there's a pretty high chance that he's just bad. Lots of 2nd rounders end up doing literally nothing, and Johnson is an established NBA player and by all accounts a great teammate.
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Post by bookiemetts on Jul 1, 2015 22:45:00 GMT -5
Can anyone tell me what Craig Breslow's role on this team is? 8.1 IP in May, 6.2 IP in June, none today... you'd think he's a LOOGY. But then on the season he's faced 76 RHB and 45 LHB. He didn't even get in the game today. Got a lot of "mop up" relievers on the team lol.
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Post by bookiemetts on Jun 30, 2015 17:31:00 GMT -5
Any bets on how long until Shane hits the DL again? I'll put the over/under at 2 weeks to start off.
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Post by bookiemetts on Jun 28, 2015 12:42:22 GMT -5
De Aza looking to get out of Boston. For a team looking for a decent 4th OF he's really not that bad and can play all the OF spots. So... the assumption is he has some sort of timeline drawn out that says start hitting extra base hits here? Haha no that was a joke. I was more alluding to the point that Ben could move him and it might be a little easier now than a few weeks ago.
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Post by bookiemetts on Jun 28, 2015 12:33:12 GMT -5
De Aza looking to get out of Boston. For a team looking for a decent 4th OF he's really not that bad and can play all the OF spots.
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Post by bookiemetts on Jun 28, 2015 12:30:43 GMT -5
If I were a young pitcher I would love to be drafted by the Rays. Their pitcher development is almost unbelievable.
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Post by bookiemetts on Jun 27, 2015 14:30:31 GMT -5
It's hard especially because it's hard to attract superstar free agents to Boston. Basically Danny's got an extremely difficult job to rebuild, and I think the only way is to get lucky with the draft.
I think it's for the better that he didn't trade all the picks, cause the draft is kind of a crapshoot. The more shots at a good player, the higher the chance of getting a Paul George, Kawhi Leonard or Jimmy Butler type.
Also take a look at RJ Hunter's highlights. Dude makes some "eff you" shots and it's awesome.
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Post by bookiemetts on Jun 26, 2015 0:21:05 GMT -5
Rozier pick is pretty surprising honestly, but maybe Danny saw something. I really thought they would move up. Absolute dream scenario would have been to trade with Charlotte and pick up Winslow at 9.
But now that I look at it, if they picked Hunter at 16 and Rozier at 28, I think there wouldn't be as much negativity about the pick for some reason. The Thornton pick is just weird, and he may not make the roster. Danny still may have something planned though.
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Post by bookiemetts on Jun 24, 2015 23:57:27 GMT -5
I know this has been said before, but Clay's hair may be the most disgusting thing ever shown on live tv. Nice outing though for him tonight. Lived with a lot of hits. Hopefully the injuries aren't too serious.
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Post by bookiemetts on Jun 23, 2015 23:58:53 GMT -5
You see Ford's magic ability to turn back time and edit his mock drafts to be closer to actual performance?
Anyways, assuming the Cs move up in the draft I'd be very happy with any one of WCS, Hezonja, Stanley Johnson or Winslow, in no order really, just depends where they pick and who's available. I'd obviously be ecstatic with one of the top tier talents, but it's pretty unrealistic to expect that kind of trade. I'd also be ok with trading the picks for Cousins. Anyone have any favorites for 2nd round picks we haven't seen yet?
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Post by bookiemetts on Jun 23, 2015 23:43:50 GMT -5
The following gives a pretty good picture of this team's offensive struggles: Position
| | wRC+ | | MLB rank | C |
| 59
|
| 26 | 1B |
| 83 |
| 28 | 2B |
| 127 |
| 4 | SS |
| 100 |
| 7 | 3B |
| 94 |
| 16 | RF |
| 52 |
| 30 | CF |
| 113 |
| 6 | LF |
| 93 |
| 16 | DH |
| 96 |
| 11 (AL only) |
With the injuries to the catchers you could expect this issue. Even with Vazquez healthy, we wouldn't really even care about his offense really. Right field has been a literal black hole. 1B has also been horrible, all of which is pretty easy to see. But going forward, we should expect some improvement going forward, especially next year. The best hitting positions on the team should be around and productive for a while including Mookie, Xander and Dustin. CVaz and Swihart should improve with experience, and I think Sandoval and Hanley may still turn it around this season, not that they're horrible offensively. Napoli will be gone next year so whatever they choose to do there should be an improvement, and they should be able to upgrade RF pretty easily, whether through Castillo or JBJ.
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Post by bookiemetts on Jun 20, 2015 8:30:43 GMT -5
Except in this example, the coin has no knowledge of what happened in previous tosses, like a batter would. We don't really know what's going on in a player's head during at-bats or how their body is feeling. Consecutive at-bats are not entirely independent events, and do not occur in the same, controlled environment over and over. I won't pretend to know anything about whether the streak hitting is true, but just pointing a few things out. The thing is, just because you think "hey I got a couple of hits last game, I'm sure I'll get a hit here today" ... doesn't actually help you get a hit. If you believe otherwise, bring the evidence. I didn't just mean that it's, "I'm sure I'll get a hit today", I was thinking more like, "It's been working when I stand here in the batter's box against these types of pitchers" type of thinking. It isn't just a mental thing, players are learning the pitchers and may be adjusting their approach or swing. Edit: And I'm not saying that streaks can't be caused by random variation, but it is possible that there's a little something else going on.
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Post by bookiemetts on Jun 19, 2015 21:07:49 GMT -5
You say this as if it were some special property of baseball. It's not - it's inherent to any Bernoulli experiment. If you toss a coin 10 times you are exactly as likely to get HHHHHTTTTT as you are to get HTHTHTHTHT. Or, for that matter, HHHHHHHHHH. Except in this example, the coin has no knowledge of what happened in previous tosses, like a batter would. We don't really know what's going on in a player's head during at-bats or how their body is feeling. Consecutive at-bats are not entirely independent events, and do not occur in the same, controlled environment over and over. I won't pretend to know anything about whether the streak hitting is true, but just pointing a few things out.
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Post by bookiemetts on Jun 19, 2015 9:33:32 GMT -5
Lately Mookie Betts has looked a lot like, well, Mookie Betts. Yeah he's 10 for 18 in his last 7 days and is hitting .300 for the month of June so far. He's still hitting a lot of popups though.
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Post by bookiemetts on Jun 16, 2015 23:15:31 GMT -5
I'm happy with how BC handles the development process. I seriously question his acumen on roster building and identifying major league talent. Errors on the MLB level can hamstring you with bad contracts. A bad draft pick is no biggie. Not to single you out, but I really disagree with this. While drafting is a crapshoot, the amazing thing is that the Sox got almost nothing out of the 2007-2011 drafts despite spending lots of overslot money. That has created organizational holes that the RS have not been able to fix. I don't know man I agree with greg here. It's a huge crapshoot, even in the top rounds. Of the first 64 picks in the '07 draft, there's probably only 15 legitimate MLB players, and only 4 really good players (David Price, Josh Donaldson, Jason Heyward, Todd Frazier, maybe Matt Wieters), although Stanton, Freddie Freeman and Jordan Zimmermann were picked in the 2nd round. Doing the same for the 2008 draft, there's maybe 16 actual MLB players and only like 2 stars (Buster Posey and Gerrit Cole, who wasn't even signed that year) and none really in the 2nd round. I can give them a pass somewhat on the drafting when only about 25% of the high draft picks end up with some positive value in the majors, and maybe only 5% become all star candidates. I know this is a really simple, quick look, but I'm sure there's some better stuff out there on the web.
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Post by bookiemetts on Jun 16, 2015 21:39:56 GMT -5
Cecchini's line makes me sad
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Post by bookiemetts on Jun 16, 2015 17:32:03 GMT -5
Let's try this again Mookie a HR shy of the cycle... I would say you're some sort of wizard if it happened haha
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Post by bookiemetts on Jun 16, 2015 16:34:45 GMT -5
Mookie hits a lot of balls in that area of the park. I wonder if a little bit more muscle would turn those fly balls into wall balls.
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Post by bookiemetts on Jun 15, 2015 19:32:31 GMT -5
I was curious and looked into Porcello's splits a little bit more. In the first time through the lineup, batters are triple slashing .216/.252/.353 But in the second time through the order, they're putting up a .313/.364/.505 Then it goes to a slightly more respectable .291/.344/.465 for the third time. His strikeout rate is also 3x higher when facing batters for the first time in a game.
I've never really looked at this stat much so I don't know how it compares to other pitchers and he's only got about 100 PA for each category, but that's pretty significant. I wonder if it's a pitch selection thing or if his stuff isn't great when hitters get to see more pitches. Guys like Kelly and Clay have the opposite problem.
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Post by bookiemetts on Jun 14, 2015 22:43:56 GMT -5
I wish the MLB had an online video system similar to the NBA. For those not familiar with it, they have a system where you can go to the box score, and click on a player's particular stats and watch videos corresponding to their particular plays. They've got everything. You can watch all the shots a player takes or all of their turnovers; if it shows up as a stat in the box score you can watch it.
If they had this in baseball then you could easily go straight to the ABs you want to watch: Xander, Mookie, Swihart, Pedey...etc. without watching all the other crap in between. It could also be done so you could see all the fielding chances of each player.
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Post by bookiemetts on Jun 12, 2015 18:16:45 GMT -5
I think we agree. I wasn't knocking the decision to put X in the 3 spot. To Farrell's credit, he's trying different things to try and get the team going. The fact that X is there shows what a crap lineup we have. The guy we were counting on to be the leadoff hitter has disappointed, the four guys who were going to constitute a fearsome middle have been disappointments and the $70 million Cuban import has contributed little. Haha oh ok I thought you were being sarcastic for some reason.
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Post by bookiemetts on Jun 12, 2015 18:09:41 GMT -5
Xander looking real nice in the 3 spot with his 2 HRs, .100 ISO and .395 slg. He's actually got the 3rd highest slg and wRC+ of anyone in the lineup tonight. Who would you like to put there instead? As much as we dump on Farrell it's hard to construct a legit lineup when most of your veterans and best hitters are severely underperforming.
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Post by bookiemetts on Jun 9, 2015 22:26:15 GMT -5
You'll want to check his numbers. Everyone has trouble with Gonzalez. This year, his WHIP is down, and his strikeouts up. Good K/BB ratio, and very good H/9. He's a quick take, so giving a guy like that a wider strike zone is bound to work to his advantage. I think he's made himself into the best starter in that rotation. Yeah I've never really looked into him very much. His career FIP is 4.60 but his career ERA is 3.46, I think cause he gives up a fair bit of dingers. Definitely a good, valuable pitcher though.
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Post by bookiemetts on Jun 9, 2015 21:56:00 GMT -5
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