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Post by Chris Hatfield on Jun 8, 2023 11:15:16 GMT -5
You're underestimating the NBA shot clock. Unless you really like dribbling that is.
Something flying under the radar is that AAA is playing with two different sets of strike zone rules right now. T-Th get have ABS, F-Su hey use the challenge system. I really want to see splits - Elly De La Cruz for example had drastic strikeout splits based on the system.
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Post by Chris Hatfield on Jun 8, 2023 10:22:21 GMT -5
That and the 42% chase rate in June probably. He did bring it down to 40% this month (so, presumably, about 38% in May) but only Alfaro, Jimenez, Montero and Lugo have chased outside the zone more.
He's also struggled against velocity, although that wasn't an issue last year. I feel like that might be where the weather thing is showing up?
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Post by Chris Hatfield on Jun 8, 2023 10:12:38 GMT -5
Nice to see Arias in the lineup
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Post by Chris Hatfield on Jun 6, 2023 15:19:32 GMT -5
Aquaman nickname is gonna be available soon (Vince Chase in Entourage was Aquaman before Jason Mamoa). Smoke Jumper is another decent Entourage-based nickname. "Sucky Boyfriend in Devil Wears Prada" and "Where you been the last decade" don't have great rings to them. I can’t unsee “Sucky Boyfriend in Devil Wears Prada” lol It's no Tiger Death House though.
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Post by Chris Hatfield on Jun 6, 2023 14:55:51 GMT -5
Here's the thing.
Yorke HAS to hit. Arguably has to be a plus hitter. And while the slash line is solid, his in-zone whiff rate (among the highest in the system believe it or not) and the accompanying reports indicate some issues below the surface that I, at least, worry about moving up.
Rafaela, OTOH, brings defense and speed to the table. How much does he need to hit to be, say, Harrison Bader?
I think it's close and there's a big gap between them and Bleis. I wouldn't quibble with preferring Yorke (James does). Just saying the argument for Rafaela at 3. Honestly, if Anthony starts lifting the ball he probably passes both.
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Post by Chris Hatfield on Jun 5, 2023 23:28:39 GMT -5
Agreed, mop up and long relief will be what Murphy gets (if he gets in a game). I absolutely do not see him getting the start. Paxton Bello Whitlock Houck Crawford IMO, there is your current starting 5. Sure, that works as a rotation. But to implement that rotation there is still a need for an additional starter, once, Wednesday. Why bring him up if that is not what he is going to do. None of the pitchers in the pen are so bad that a swap is needed with a poorly performing AAA starter . After that start, he can be last guy in the pen until Sherif can come back. Ort probably gets sent down to make room for Murphy. Thursday but point stands.
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Post by Chris Hatfield on Jun 5, 2023 16:10:38 GMT -5
Yeah keep in mind they needed a 40-man move later in the week for Duvall anyway. With how much work the bullpen is getting it wasn't gonna be a pitcher. Thursday's starter is TBD and might be Dermody on a one-start-and-DFA situation.
Honestly, if Abreu's hamstring injury isn't bad, I wonder if he's played himself onto the depth chart.
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Post by Chris Hatfield on Jun 5, 2023 16:01:46 GMT -5
DSL Blue wins on a walk-off passed ball. Yoiber Ruiz ended up going 1-1 with 5 walks. Cespedes was removed in the 5th inning. Something to monitor. The way they made 2 subs in the 5th for guys who'd hit last inning made it seem perhaps planned. We'll see though.
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Post by Chris Hatfield on Jun 4, 2023 19:45:58 GMT -5
Andrew Pinckney looks like a solid prospect. Best RF arm in college baseball (by a long shot) and a developing hit tool with power. Wonder how high he gets drafted. Lol. www.soxprospects.com/players/pinckney-andrew.htmPerhaps best known for an ill-advised interview he did on the way out in which he shit-talked free organization and basically blamed everyone but himself for his not getting any playing time at the end.
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Post by Chris Hatfield on Jun 4, 2023 8:27:26 GMT -5
The specific reporting is that they offered him more than he wound up getting. Not sure what else you would want them to do. He miscalculated what he'd get on the market elsewhere and the Red Sox couldn't wait. The reporting I've seen has been pretty uns pecific, not specific. I haven't seen a story with numbers or a named source. (Same caveat I've posted on here before: I easily could have missed the stories because so much information flies.) That's why I was purposely restrained in my post. I don't know everything that happened. If he and his agent came in Scott Boras style, pounding the table and demanding five years and $100M or something ridiculous like that, then the Red Sox were right to give a hard no and move on. I left it at "I wish they could have found a way" because that expresses my sentiment. www.masslive.com/redsox/2023/05/mlb-notebook-reviewing-some-what-might-have-been-moves-for-red-sox-mcadam.html
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Post by Chris Hatfield on Jun 3, 2023 13:03:40 GMT -5
A: Wacha signed in February of this year. So you can say that all 29 GM who did not sign him Should be questioned about their decision making Nate already has 74 innings pitched. He is going to blow past (the amount of innings pitched this season) than any season he had with the Sox (injuries not withstanding) I didn't blast the Red Sox FO in that post for not signing Wacha or Eovaldi. In fact, I wasn't pining for a Wacha return last off-season. Eovaldi, yeah, I think they should have extended themselves to sign him. I'm aware of the speculation that they offered him a nice deal early in the off-season that he turned down, but I wish they had found a way. The specific reporting is that they offered him more than he wound up getting. Not sure what else you would want them to do. He miscalculated what he'd get on the market elsewhere and the Red Sox couldn't wait.
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Post by Chris Hatfield on Jun 3, 2023 8:20:30 GMT -5
I'm not terribly worried about Skenes' pitch count yesterday - he had 7 days of rest and that was his season high. He's typically been between 94 and 111 with 2 (now 3) outliers, and in his last outing he only lasted 88 pitches in 3.2 innings.
Keep in mind, pitching once a week, guys have more bullets than pros in a 5-day rotation. It's when college coaches do the 150+ nonsense that it's borderline criminal.
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Post by Chris Hatfield on Jun 1, 2023 15:41:56 GMT -5
Jhostynxon Garcia to Salem with Bleis hitting the IL
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Post by Chris Hatfield on Jun 1, 2023 13:09:58 GMT -5
Alfaro has opted out. Sox have 24 hours to promote him or lose him. He's a good hitter. Would he be worse than Schwarbs in the outfield? Or first base? 48 hours, fyi. No chance he's added. Cora basically said as much yesterday. I don't think it would make sense to make the 40-man move to get him on. As it is, Duvall (also needs 40-man move), Arroyo, and Chang are, in theory, close. They already have some tough roster decisions to make. Alfaro wouldn't survive them without a catcher injury.
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Post by Chris Hatfield on Jun 1, 2023 13:03:29 GMT -5
one thing I’ll regret is that we will never have a photo op with both Aquamen. Glad I'm not the only one who thought of this.
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Post by Chris Hatfield on Jun 1, 2023 11:32:28 GMT -5
Stephen Scott promotion coming? I think so once Alfaro is gone officially. Then they just activate Marrero from the dev list.
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Post by Chris Hatfield on Jun 1, 2023 11:31:43 GMT -5
When do we see Yorke get moved up? I know health is probably his biggest goal this year, but he is crushing AA. For like a month and a half after a terrible season last year in part due to injury. Most of the position players promoted so far had significant experience at their level last year (Hickey, Mayer, Koss to the extent that's a promotion instead of an "OK we have room now" thing). Meidroth was an older draftee not being challenged so he's a bit unique. Rosario is whatever - I'm starting to think that was just a situation where he was the best guy to backfill for Hickey in Greenville and make room for Lira. Anyway, point is, I would let Yorke cook in Portland for another month at least. See teams another time, etc.
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Post by Chris Hatfield on Jun 1, 2023 11:23:04 GMT -5
Also, in Louisville, I'll drink to this pitching matchup: Murphy vs. Stoudt Would've been better if he were pitching against Coffey.
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Post by Chris Hatfield on Jun 1, 2023 8:33:53 GMT -5
It used to be that you had to trade "slots" of money. They changed it so that you can trade round amounts of $250k. I think it's just to simplify.
The "or what you have left" is just accounting for the fact that teams don't have round-numbered bonus pools so there not stuck with the pocket change in case teams want to use it.
I don't think there's anything more to it than just trying to keep it simple.
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Post by Chris Hatfield on Jun 1, 2023 5:17:11 GMT -5
As we all discussed above, all it takes is one other team that agrees with you and makes that offer.
It's not about what the industry thinks, it's their valuation of the player. Yes, to some degree if you know literally 29 other teams aren't going to approach that, then don't outbid yourself, but if they believed other teams might go there (and this maybe squares more with what you were saying), then go ahead and shoot your shot and get it done.
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Post by Chris Hatfield on May 31, 2023 17:10:40 GMT -5
Fwiw, I think it's been reported that the Red Sox didn't think their offer would blow other offers away - they figured there might be other teams in that range.
I mean, thinking about this regime, that kind of strategy would go against everything we know about how they approach team building, right? They make their offer and if they get outbid or if the price is too steep, so be it. They literally didn't get a right fielder last season rather than overpay for one.
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Noah Song
May 29, 2023 15:47:44 GMT -5
via mobile
Post by Chris Hatfield on May 29, 2023 15:47:44 GMT -5
Also losing one year of development in games is huge. The point nobody is picking up here is what foreverred9 is saying, that Song is doing what he'd probably have been doing anyway. At some point he'll get a 30-day rehab but at that point he's gotta come up, but again, it's not likely in the Red Sox system he'd be in Greenville or something.
There was a BA podcast about this in the offseason - teams just don't do this with guys who otherwise would be playing games. It never works out. It's an enormous missed time for development.
Using the Jimenez example, he needs SO much development, can you imagine if he suddenly, for the second time in four years (or really three years given the year he would've been considered was entering 2022), just didn't play any games? IMO, death sentence for his career.
Guys don't get picked in Rule 5, stashed on the MLB roster when they're not ready for a year, sent back to the minors the next year, and become good. The same certainly goes for sending a guy to Florida to collect an MLB paycheck for a year.
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Noah Song
May 29, 2023 11:37:37 GMT -5
via mobile
Post by Chris Hatfield on May 29, 2023 11:37:37 GMT -5
You can only put a player on the 60-day IL when you need the 40-man spot. It's always a countermove to someone being added. They've had other guys go on the 60-day first (Hall) because they were more certain to be out for 60 days. Sure but wouldn't it always be at least somewhat useful to have an active player on the 40 man ? Anyhow I think Song being activated or not to the 26 man before July 1st will be a tell. My guess is the Phillies will just keep Song on the 60 man until they have to add him (is that the end of the regular season or the final game of the World Series?). If that is what the Phillies do they have exposed a major loophole in the rules. Meant to respond to this. You only need 26 active players on the 40-man roster. If you have a guy you can 60-day at any time, then you can add whomever you want at the point you actually need them. This can include guys without options, etc. There's no reason to make that move until you need it. And July 3 is the date you're looking for. 90 days before the end of the season on 10/1. If he's not active by that point, he needs to start 2023 on the active roster (although, I would think of that more as a watch point rather than a cutoff point, given that starting the year with him on the roster for some de minimus time like a week or two won't mean much).
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Post by Chris Hatfield on May 29, 2023 8:31:44 GMT -5
The issue, if you want to change something, is that Song's time on the military list counted against his rule 5 eligibility clock. I thought you were going to go with "that Song's major league time" has started, so when he's returned to us we'll lose control over him in 2028 when he opts for free agency. Nah, there's a lot about the Rule 5 Draft that could be tweaked. Another is that 16yo IFAs get the same amount of time before they're eligible as 18/19yo high school draftees. That just doesn't make sense. There's a reason why most of the tough protection decisions (who aren't guys who suffered major injuries like TJS) are IFAs.
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Post by Chris Hatfield on May 29, 2023 8:27:23 GMT -5
I wonder about the cause/effect at play here though. It's it that he's choosing not to throw all 3 pitches to LHB or is it that he lacks feel for one or two that outing?
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