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Boston Celtics 2014 Offseason Thread
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Post by jmei on Jun 19, 2014 12:35:24 GMT -5
Yeah, I think getting Asik would be the logical and necessary next step after Love, but you need to keep enough assets to get that deal done. There aren't really any good centers in free agency (if Emeka Okafor is healthy, he'll get above-MLE offers, and if he's not, you don't want him; the next best options are the likes of Greg Stiemsma and Nazr Mohammed).
Good point about the timing of a potential Suns deal. That makes it a lot higher-risk for Minnesota.
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Post by texs31 on Jun 19, 2014 12:36:53 GMT -5
My conspiracy theory on Embiid. Cleveland wants to do the trade with Philly for Young and the #3 pick but they want Embiid and are afraid Milwaukee takes him at #2. Meanwhile, Tellum doesn't want his client in Milwaukee so the 2 conspire to force Milwaukee to either take Embiid without a meeting (and new concerns over a new injury) or pass and take Exum or Parker.
While Embiid would certainly want to go #1, Cleveland may be saying that they are trading the pick either way (ie you're not going #1 bc Philly wants Wiggins). So they say to Tellum/Embiid you can have #2 pick in Milwaukee or #3 pick in Cleveland (and try to convince them that Bron is coming back).
I know it's crazy but hey, it's that time of year. Clearly, I'm getting anxious about this offseason and want it to get going.
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Post by texs31 on Jun 19, 2014 14:13:01 GMT -5
Klay Thompson may now be a part of the Love offer (this coming right from Mychael Thompson on ESPN radio)
Marc Stein is reporting this as well
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Post by ctfisher on Jun 19, 2014 14:16:23 GMT -5
I actually thought the same thing about the embiid injury, but then again, I just saw Chad ford say that Bennett's finally in shape, so maybe they don't want another tweener forward, especially given the fact that bennett is likely going to be a better shooter than Thad young, especially from deep. Still, given that gilbert wants to win now, it might make sense to drop down a couple spots, get a quality player in return, and then pick up parker or wiggins, or maybe even exum, who might be more interesting to them than we might imagine, given that kyrie is a score-first pg, and they've had some issues moving the ball around. Exum and waiters would be a killer sub backcourt, and exam and kyrie is pretty attractive on the surface too
On the Love front, I think, given that the "win now" options for Minny give them almost no chance to actually win now, given the strength and depth of the West, they go with our offer at present. I'm also curious if we can put protections on the 1st rounders we got from Brooklyn- depending on the leverage we have/the other offers rumored to be on the table for the wolves, I'd like to put like a top-2 protection on the future Nets pick, or see if we could just send them the better pick between ours and Brooklyn's in 2016, or whenever it is we have the right to swap picks. Overall, I think some combo of olynyk, sully, 3 picks, and maybe a sign-and-trade of bradley gets it done. Probably 2 of those 3 players and some cap filler thrown in if necessary. But by the sound of it, the warriors won't budge on klay thompson, they'd be selling low on Barnes at this stage, and lee's not particularly impressive, the nuggets pieces could make them contend for the 8 seed out west, but without much chance of getting it, and chicago's offering some solid players, but taj gibson probably just about at his ceiling, butler will probably never be an all star, and how much are you going to get out of 16 and 19? If it were me, I'd take sully, 6, 17, and the clips 1st next year over that deal, never mind if we throw in the brooklyn pick. And, per Bill simmons and some others, the bulls are all in on melo right now and I don't think they have the cap space to do both, although amnestying boozer and shipping off some contracts might change the picture a little, I'm not too familiar with their payroll situation
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Post by jmei on Jun 19, 2014 14:22:22 GMT -5
Klay Thompson may now be a part of the Love offer (this coming right from Mychael Thompson on ESPN radio) Marc Stein is reporting this as well This might be enough to trump Boston's offer, although Minnesota would have to be comfortable giving Thompson a max extension in a few months. Klay is both a better present player and has more upside than someone like Sullinger.
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Post by pedroelgrande on Jun 19, 2014 14:52:52 GMT -5
I just saw the it's a fracture foot for Embiid and will have surgery on Friday.... I don't think he would fracture his foot intentionally to avoid Milwaukee I think now that it's a foot fracture the chances he slides to 6 grow.
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Post by texs31 on Jun 19, 2014 14:58:25 GMT -5
Never underestimate the lengths people would go to avoid Milwaukee (jk I actually don't mind Milwaukee, at least in the summer).
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Post by ctfisher on Jun 19, 2014 16:05:58 GMT -5
This might be enough to trump Boston's offer, although Minnesota would have to be comfortable giving Thompson a max extension in a few months. Klay is both a better present player and has more upside than someone like Sullinger. I don't think he gets a max extension, or even comes all that close. He can shoot and play defense, but he's a ball stopper, not a great athlete, and not great at creating his own shot. Probably someone who would thrive with rubio, and I could potentially see the TWolves taking a thompson, barnes, lee and a 1st offer, which probably allows them to contend for one of the lower seeds in the west next year and for a few years afterwards, but I still think it's very up in the air, cause the celtics can offer a package with way more upside, just from the picks. I don't think thompson or barnes will ever be more than borderline all stars at the very best for a few seasons, and that would be pretty optimistic in Barnes' case. Sullinger has a few areas it's not hard to imagine him making improvements in (jump shot, conditioning, defense, passing) while for thompson, I think he's much closer to having maxed out his natural talent. Also worth noting that sully put up a better PER than thompson this year, and his per 40 minute numbers are extremely good, he only played about 28 mpg this year.
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Post by FenwayFanatic on Jun 21, 2014 13:18:52 GMT -5
Chances Embiid falls to us? What are everyone's thoughts on who they're hoping for now? Im hoping for Vonleh, Embiid, i'd be happy with Smart or Gordon too.
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Post by pedroelgrande on Jun 21, 2014 14:05:52 GMT -5
I'd put it at 33%. He is not going 1-3 so then it comes to which team takes the risk. I say the Magic take that risk as they keep rebuilding
If he gets the Celtics they'll definitely, no questions asked take him.
As for who I hope for obviously Embiid and I'd be ok with any of the guys you mention.
With the other picks I'm hoping for Nik Staukas (pipe dream I know) Zach Lavine, PJ Harrison formerly of UNC but I haven't dug too deep into the draft so maybe other guys have a better idea.
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Post by FenwayFanatic on Jun 21, 2014 14:58:09 GMT -5
I'm feeling the same way. I think its kind of a shame people just gave up on following the Celtics while they're bad... I think its going to be really interesting to see how our prospects develop and how we use our future picks and assets.
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Post by xxdamgoodxx on Jun 23, 2014 14:16:58 GMT -5
Ford's latest mock has the C's selecting Embiid and Saric. If we don't get Love and our only route is to keep our picks/collect assets, then this is probably the best scenario on draft night as far as total value goes. Who's ready for tankapalooza 2.0?
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cdj
Veteran
Posts: 15,854
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Post by cdj on Jun 23, 2014 15:08:47 GMT -5
tanktanktanktanktank
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Post by texs31 on Jun 23, 2014 15:16:53 GMT -5
A couple other C's related bits:
a) Bulpett reported that the C's latest offer for Love is #6, #17, Olynyk and one of Boston's future picks. If that's true. I agree with Saunders. That's not very appealing (If I'm him, that is). I would think Boston would have to upgrade Olynyk to Sully and their own pick (Love, alone, puts that pick in the teens and Minny, correctly, probably envisions that Boston wouldn't stop there) to either one of Brooklyn's or you'd have to add another pick to it.
b) According to CSNNE.com, Boston is one of a few teams that will be able to get a look at Embiid's medicals following his surgery. This supports the rumor last week (after reports of the injury surfaced) that if Embiid couldn't go at the top of the draft, his agent would try and steer him to Boston or LA.
c) Embiid and Saric would be interesting. Gotta believe you trade Rondo if that's what happens.
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Post by xxdamgoodxx on Jun 23, 2014 15:29:47 GMT -5
Yeah, Rondo is pretty much gone if that happens. Probably do the Sacramento deal for #8 and McLemore.
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Post by texs31 on Jun 23, 2014 15:33:42 GMT -5
And then try to find a word that:
a) Means lose on purpose b) Rhymes with Mudiay
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Post by jmei on Jun 23, 2014 15:57:34 GMT -5
Flip Saunders is desperately trying to get the Celtics to up their offer. He knows they have the best potential chips of any of the teams in the bidding, and so he's been leaking stuff about other teams' purported offers to try and get Ainge to go all-in and include the Nets picks. Looks like a game of chicken, and I wonder who will blink first. I'm not so sure that Sullinger is more valuable than Olynyk, by the way. Jared has one fewer year of team control, really struggled with his weight last year, and probably has less upside than Kelly (the ability to legit stretch the floor from the PF spot is hugely valuable in today's game). The wild card is whether the Golden State folks stop messing around and just make Klay Thompson fully available. A Curry/Iguodala/Love/Bogut core is pretty great, even if you have to give up both Barnes/Thompson and take back Kevin Martin to get it (the deal would look like this). Frankly, this David Lee love is a little baffling-- he's a fine offensive player, but he gives all of that back and more on the defensive end. Considering his future salary, I don't think he's actually an asset, and I'd be thrilled to offload his salary if I were GS.
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Post by texs31 on Jun 23, 2014 16:02:03 GMT -5
Steve Kyler (Basketball Insiders) said as much in his chat (that the big hold up is not Klay Thompson but that Minny doesn't want Lee and GS doesn't want Martin).
I guess I'm higher on Sully than Olynyk (but can see others feeling the opposite is true).
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Post by jmei on Jun 23, 2014 16:07:33 GMT -5
If the Celtics do go full tank, I'd want more than #8 and McLemore for Rondo, but it's hard to see what else Sacramento could offer. The Kings don't have enough salary-matchers to take on Wallace's contract, and because of a pick owed to Chicago, they can't really trade any other future picks. They could include Derrick Williams, but I'm not sure he gets enough playing time behind Sullinger/Olynyk (and potentially any other PF-types the Celtics might draft) to make it worth taking him on. Maybe they bring in another team to flip another asset Boston's way, but the timing starts to get tricky if Minnesota takes its time making up its mind.
One way or another, draft night should be exciting. I'd be pretty happy walking away with Love and Asik, and maybe almost as happy walking away with Embiid, Smart, McLemore, and Saric.
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Post by texs31 on Jun 23, 2014 19:38:51 GMT -5
Utah supposedly offering Favors, Burks and #5 for #1 and Jarrett Jack. Jazz split on including Burks.
Jazz clearly want Parker.
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Post by texs31 on Jun 24, 2014 14:11:58 GMT -5
Actually heard that Utah might want Wiggins in that move.
Also, Chad Ford just tweeted that Randle skipped his second workout with Boston (for a meeting with GQ)
That's only smart if he has a promise elsewhere (top 5 or maybe 7 is close enough for him)
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Post by texs31 on Jun 24, 2014 14:34:23 GMT -5
I should probably stop posting these rumors but . . .
Stein is reporting that Detroit and Sacramento are discussing a deal involving Josh Smith (possibly For Thompson and Williams with Terry being another name mentioned).
I think we can all guess what Sacramento is hoping for here.
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Post by jmei on Jun 24, 2014 14:38:59 GMT -5
At the very least, the lack of shooting in a Rondo/Gay/Smith/Cousins core would be fascinating to watch.
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Post by texs31 on Jun 24, 2014 14:45:06 GMT -5
Their spacing would be ideal. They'd have a starting 5 (or 4 + whomever plays the 2 if McLemore is part of a Rondo deal) that is capable of missing shots from all over the court.
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Post by ctfisher on Jun 24, 2014 15:50:54 GMT -5
If the Kings were willing to throw another pick into that Rondo deal I'd do it. I think Mclemore still definitely has some upside in him, being a freak athlete with a great stroke is a good starting point. Otherwise we could probably get a good return out of Houston, but not really anything you'd want for a tanking team, probably asik, terence jones, and some picks. Other than that, unless we could get 4 and 12 out of orlando for him, which they might do, although he'd be tough to re-sign for them, I think we wait till next year's deadline and see what happens then. Now that embiid seems like he might slide, I'm less interested in Love. 6,17, Olynyk and a future boston 1st is all I'd do. Unless we can put protections on one of those Brooklyn picks, in which case I'd probably be willing to include one thats top 5-6 protected and becomes our 1st rounder the next year, or if they don't get that pick they get the right to swap picks with us/brooklyn the year we have the right to swap picks with brooklyn. I wouldn't want to include anything more than that though. If we walk away from the draft with embiid and lavine or TJ Warren I'd be pretty happy. I wouldn't mind someone like Saric or Rodney Hood either. It's also possible that we might provide some salary relief for some of these teams that want to make runs at melo and Lebron and get picks back too. I could see us taking on some of chicago's unwanted contracts along with one of those mid-1st rounders in exchange for bogans, who they can waive immediately, and we have trade exceptions that make it easy for us. If we did do that, we might be able to offer 4 1sts for Love as well, without sacrificing the brooklyn picks, along with sully/olynyk, which, especially with golden state unsure over thompson, probably looks pretty attractive given the depth of this draft.
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