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2014 New England Patriots Thread
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Post by Don Caballero on Oct 17, 2014 23:11:52 GMT -5
They didn't do it last thursday in the Colts/Texans. I guess the NFL would die if there was any semblance of coherence and consistency in the enforcement or rules.
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Post by rangoon82 on Oct 21, 2014 17:28:13 GMT -5
Pats trade a a 6th rounder for Isaac Sopoaga Akeem Ayers
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Post by jmei on Oct 21, 2014 19:21:01 GMT -5
It's a sixth for Ayers and a seventh. Considering how bad the Titans are likely to be this year and how good the Patriots are likely to be, they got Ayers in return for basically moving down a dozen or so picks at the tail end of the draft, which is basically nothing.
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Post by texs31 on Oct 21, 2014 20:35:41 GMT -5
Also signed Alan Branch. Meanwhile, Chandler Jones out for a month with a hip injury.
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Post by mgoetze on Oct 22, 2014 4:23:16 GMT -5
The main difference between Ayers and Sopoaga is that Sopoaga had $1m in guaranteed year+1 salary left, which is currently dead money for the Pats, whereas Ayers is in the last year of his contract and has no guaranteed money left.
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Post by mgoetze on Oct 22, 2014 16:25:53 GMT -5
Revis was reportedly late for practice on Tuesday; the Hoodie sent him home and he did not participate.
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Post by mgoetze on Oct 22, 2014 21:23:26 GMT -5
Since the Percy Harvin trade, it has been en vogue to pretend that trades actually happen in the NFL. Here are my proposals:
Brandon Browner to Seahawks for Robert Turbin
Byron Maxwell was barely doing an adequate job opposite Richard Sherman, and now he's injured. With the Jets now paying Harvin, Seattle can afford to reunite the Legion of Boom. Robert Turbin is no beast mode, but he does a pretty decent job and could probably fill Ridley's shoes. Meanwhile Pats look fine at CB with Revis/Dennard/Ryan outside and Arrington in the slot.
Danny Amendola to Giants for a 6th round pick
They need a slot receiver and we have a spare. Odell Beckham can probably be more effective on the outside.
6th round pick to Buccaneers for Dane Fletcher
Fletcher preferred to go elsewhere because he thought he wouldn't get much defensive playing time in New England. Turns out that isn't as much as a problem after all. The Bucs are a mess and may as well give up on this season, and it's only a 1-year contract, so they should be happier with the draft pick. Would also consider offering them Tavon Wilson instead.
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Post by mgoetze on Oct 28, 2014 17:34:43 GMT -5
Pats 5th round pick to TB for LB Jonathan Casillas and Bucs 6th round pick. If that moves them down more than 10 spots in the draft then only because of comp picks.
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Post by pedroelgrande on Oct 29, 2014 18:26:37 GMT -5
Why does the media even try anymore? "Q: You've prepared to face a Peyton Manning offense more than 20 times in your coaching career. Is there one common thread that stands out to you over the years about how those preparations and then the game have unfolded? BB: I guess Manning."
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Post by mgoetze on Nov 2, 2014 18:08:51 GMT -5
Two awesome touchdowns and a critical catch in the 2 minute drill by Edelman, but I've got to hand the first half MVP to Rob Ninkovich - he is a BEAST!
I have mixed feelings about Brandon Browner - on the one hand he is a great matchup against big receivers like Brandon Marshall and Julius Thomas; on the other hand I rarely see him make a play without fearing for at least a short moment that we will get an expensive penalty.
Anyway, great play by the whole team so far, let's hope they can keep it up and beat the Broncos decisively!
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Post by mgoetze on Nov 2, 2014 18:17:52 GMT -5
Maybe we should have made a better offer to Sanders when he was a RFA...
Kyle Brasseur @kylebrasseur · 13 minutes ago
Revis receiver coverage by snaps:
Sanders - 18 D. Thomas - 16 Caldwell - 3 J. Thomas - 2 Latimer - 1 Tamme - 1
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Post by mgoetze on Nov 4, 2014 2:43:38 GMT -5
Is Patrick Chung the most surprising performer of the season? I have to admit I was kinda depressed when they signed him this offseason, because of a lot of bad memories of 2012, but by all accounts he played an excellent game on Sunday.
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Post by xxdamgoodxx on Nov 4, 2014 9:00:42 GMT -5
Chung is definitely playing better now that the rest of the secondary is not a slice of Swiss cheese. He can finally play his game and he is not forced to defend the deep parts of the field. Julius Thomas got him for a TD catch, but Thomas against any safety is a mismatch and the coverage wasn't terrible. He had some nice plays against Tamme in man-to-man and he had a good game overall. As a general question, how did our run D play so well? Denver's o-line is pretty good and our run d has been meh all year. It seemed like even when Denver was down and tried to sneak a draw for a few yards it was stuffed time after time (vice versa for the pats, but Denver has the #1 run D so it was to be expected).
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Post by jmei on Nov 4, 2014 9:46:35 GMT -5
Chung has always been decent in man coverage-- if you remember, the Patriots briefly used him as their slot corner, and he had some decent games there. He lacks the quickness to stick with Welker-esque waterbugs, but he can handle second-tier TEs like Tamme just fine (though he'll struggle against guys like J. Thomas with size and speed advantages). What really did in Chung was the fact that he is an awful single-high or cover-two safety, as he lacks the range and instincts to be effective playing those zone techniques. But as an in-box guy who covers TEs in man coverage, he can be solid enough. Now that they're playing a lot more cover one, man under, the scheme suits him a lot better than it did in 2012.
Wilfork was a monster on Sunday. Stood up against double-teams and even got penetration at times against the run. Hightower and Collins had good run fits as well. That and the fact that the Broncos got down early made them one-dimensional and meant the run D didn't get exposed.
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Post by xxdamgoodxx on Nov 4, 2014 12:46:43 GMT -5
Going into the game, I had some questions about how Browner would match up against J. Thomas. I thought Thomas was going to be quicker and he would be able to shake him when he was in the slot and Browner didn't have the sideline to help him in coverage. The Seahawks people, when he signed with the pats, said that he had a lot of trouble last year when he was a. covering small guys and b. covering in the slot/in space. It might just be because he's healthy, but he did some great work throughout.
It bothers me that the Broncos fans adamantly claim that they are the "more talented" team. I would call the defenses about even (Pats better in pass def and Broncos better in run def). The Broncos have better offensive weapons, but, with a healthy Gronk, the Pats are not far behind. The o-lines are about even. With Stork in there, the Pats group has really rounded into shape. The pats have a better rushing yds/game, but that does not account for the running ypg sans-Ridley. So I'd say that running is about even. Gostkowski is the best in the business and McManus is undergoing major struggles. Colquitt and Allen are both good, edge to Broncos because Colquitt has been doing it longer, but Pats definitely have the better special teams unit, as a whole. I don't see where this talent advantage is.
Beyond talent, the Broncos were definitely out-coached and the Brady vs. DelRio battle clearly favors Brady. Even if the AFCCG is in Denver, the stars aligned last time and it was a perfect, 65-degree day, where he would have no trouble passing the ball. I doubt that the conditions will be so kind a second time.
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Post by jmei on Nov 4, 2014 22:00:09 GMT -5
I wouldn't call the defenses even. The Patriots have better safeties and maybe better linebackers, but the Broncos have a much better defensive line (both vs the run and pass) and comparable corners (Chris Harris is chronically underrated). I think it's a lot closer than Denver fans may have given them credit prior to this week, but I do think the Broncos have the slightly more talented team.
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Post by mgoetze on Nov 4, 2014 22:12:51 GMT -5
Speaking of chronically underrated, Rob Ninkovich qualifies. I think with Wilfork, Ninkovich and Chandler Jones we have 3 very good players, if they are all at 100% then I find it hard to believe that another DL is "much better" unless that DL has J.J. Watt and Calais Campbell.
The problem for the Patriots is, or has been, depth and that other DT spot. On most NFL teams a starting DE plays 70-80% of the defensive snaps, Ninkovich and Jones generally play 99%. That's a problem when our offense is not clicking and they get gassed, and also when we have an injury like, uh, right now. But I am cautiously optimistic that Akeem Ayers and Dominique Easley can combine to solve this problem.
As for the 2nd DT, well, I really really wish we had kept Tommy Kelly. But if our top 3 linemen are healthy then we can certainly do well enough with a replacement-level player like Alan Branch or Chris Jones.
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Post by mgoetze on Nov 4, 2014 22:19:42 GMT -5
Speaking of depth I really love our CB depth. Dennard is in the doghouse right now for some reason but he has definitely shown the ability to play a good #2 CB in the past. Logan Ryan is inconsistent but has flashed playmaker potential, and Malcolm Butler is on the rise. And since Bellichick and Patricia have finally realised that Arrington should stick to what he does best - play in the slot - I am optimistic that we could overcome any injury at the position. That's not to say that Revis going down wouldn't be a huge loss - but we wouldn't implode the way, say, the Texans did on Sunday.
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Post by jmei on Nov 4, 2014 22:21:26 GMT -5
It's not that I dislike our DL (I think it's above-average, though far from elite), but Von Miller is one of the five or ten best defensive players in football, Ware has been pretty great this year, and they have a deep and effective stable of DTs. Ninkovich is underrated, but he's not much more than slightly above-average, and Chandler Jones may not be healthy again this year. The Broncos have a better defensive line, and it's not close.
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Post by mgoetze on Nov 4, 2014 22:26:44 GMT -5
Fair enough. I think Chandler Jones is right up there with players like Von Miller from a talent standpoint, it's just that the way the Patriots use him doesn't lead to quite as much recognition, but it's obviously a moot point until he recovers from his injury. And Terrance Knighton is certainly an above-average DT but you've still got to give the edge to Big Vince IMHO.
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Post by jmei on Nov 4, 2014 22:47:28 GMT -5
Chandler Jones is good enough, but he can't sniff Von Miller's jock. Jones has great length, but he doesn't have the explosiveness of guys like Miller or Wake and has yet to develop the full stable of pass-rushing moves necessary to be an elite edge player.
Wilfork is still elite versus the run, but he doesn't get as much pressure on the QB as he used to.
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Post by rjp313jr on Nov 5, 2014 9:22:58 GMT -5
The problem with comparing individual players or units from one team to another in football is they aren't asked to or expected to do the same things. It's not just about physical talent or how each individual performs but about communication and how the parts perform together. Coaching and scheme also plays a major role as well.
Are the Broncos defensive players more talented top to bottom than the Patriots? Quite possibly, but does that completely matter? Not at all.
Let's just assume they get Jones back healthy at some point. Maybe not a guarantee but a definite possibility just by virtue of him not being on IR. BB has been quick to put very good players on IR in the past even if it's possible they are back for the post season so the fact he's not on IR bodes well. Other injuries can certainly change the equations, but since we can assume any (other than talib jk) we need to go off how things are now.
I wouldn't trade the Pats defense for Denvers. I think the Ayers addition has and will work out better than BB ever dreamed it would. He's got the talent and he appears explosive and healthy. Casilas was also a sneaky good pick up. Both add quality depth and versatility that this defense has been lacking. Easily has been unspectacular but has steadily improved. Walker has been a great pick up for what he brings and time will tell on Branch but it's an upgrade on what they had.
The front 7 (especially the d-line) may not boast the "talent" of Denver, but their versatility is incredible.
The secondary is ridiculously good. It's big, it's physically, it's deep and it's incredibly versatile.
The common thread is versatility. Versatility is nice but doesn't mean much without talent and execution. Fortunately, the Patriots have all this. The edge players can rush the passer and drop into coverage. The MLBs can do the same. The secondary has the pieces to cover shifty slot guys, big quick TEs and bigger physical receivers. Patricia and BB finally have a complete defense with which to work with. Those pieces combined with BB intelligence is the game changer.
Denver's Middle Linebackers are terrible and they just got weaker with that injury to Irwin. . Their safeties aren't all that good in coverage. ward is not a very good cover guys, especially versus New England as he doesn't match up well with anyone, and Moore kind of blows. That create a huge hole in the middle of Denvers defense that Brady will just dominate with a healthy gronk.
The top 2 corners (Talib and Harris) are very good but Roby is their number three and he's just decent and only a rookie. After that, they have nothing. Patriots go 6 deep.
Denver has a chance to disrupt and quiet the Pats offense but only if they can get after Brady quick. The problem is, that still may not be enough if Gronk is healthy. Remember Slater and Mulligan and Thompkins were starting for the Pats in the AFCCG last year.
All things considered, the Pats defense as a unit (players, coaches, versatility, depth and scheme) is better than Denvers.
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Post by mgoetze on Nov 5, 2014 19:23:57 GMT -5
In other news, Ryan Mallet is now the starting QB for the Houston Patriots.
There is still enough season left for Mallet to play 40% of snaps and NE to get 6th instead of 7th round pick.
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Post by jmei on Nov 5, 2014 22:44:07 GMT -5
If we assume both defenses get their injured players back (Jones for NE, Trevathan for DEN), I'd easily take the Denver defense. By any performance-based measure, Denver's defense has easily outclassed New England's this year (ex: by defensive DVOA, Denver ranks 3rd, NE ranks 17th and it's 7th/15th in yards/game).
I agree that NE has slightly better linebackers (though Trevathan is pretty good), but having a great defensive line just matters much more than having a great linebacking corps, since the defensive line has an impact on every single play. I think you're fooling yourself if you think Ayers and Casillas are above-average players-- they're useful in limited roles, but there's a reason they were available as cheap as they were (ditto Walker and Branch). I'd take Miller and Ware over Jones, let alone Ninkovich, and after Knighton/Wilfork (which is close to push), I'd take Wolfe, Jackson, and Sly Williams over any NE DT.
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Post by rjp313jr on Nov 6, 2014 16:52:21 GMT -5
If you think week 9 DVO stats or stats of any kind matter in football then it's really not worth discussing. BB uses the first part of the season to build and later his teams. Those stats are heavily influenced by that. It's not the same defense, not even close - despite losing Mayo they are much stronger today.
As far as Ayers goes I never suggested he was a stud of a player but you shouldn't be quick to dismiss him either just because he was cheap to acquire. Football is different. Players become useless in certain systems or buried in certain situations and then turn out to be very good in others. I don't know what he will end up being, but in intrigued as he's already shown an ability to contribute when I half expected him to get cut by now. He comes with some pedigree too.
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