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Post by pedrofanforever45 on Mar 25, 2017 18:48:02 GMT -5
That article says the cost to get Butler will most likely be less than a first round pick. Not sure how that article helps your case of Patriots getting a ton in trade. That article proves my point, we will get less for Butler than we gave up for Cooks! No it clearly states that while the Saints might not have to give up the number 11 pick overall, they still need to probably meet the equivalent to the value of that pick. The article also states that the Saints have to meet the Patriots asking price, which was also something you tried to disprove because of the value of the Cooks trade!!
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Post by umassgrad2005 on Mar 25, 2017 20:03:39 GMT -5
Where does it clearly say Saints might not have to give up 11 pick? It says he would be very surprised if they had to part with a first round pick. As in neither pick # 11 or #32. It says nothing about trading the equivalent of pick #11. Again your just making stuff up!
Again where does it say Saints need to meet Patriots asking price? It's talking about Butler agreeing to the Saints contract. Then trade talks can take off.
Oh course the Saints will have to work out a trade that Patriots agree to, that's not the Saints meeting the Patriots asking price that you think is pick #11. If they can't they would need to sign him to an offer sheet. Per report's thats not what they want to do. Show me some proof that Patriots asking price is pick #11 or picks that equal that. The article is very clear, but it doesn't even come close to saying what you think it does.
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Post by pedrofanforever45 on Mar 26, 2017 1:32:58 GMT -5
Malcom Butler can't get traded unless he signs the tender. Which he won't do, unless he gets a offer sheet. Your reports that the Saints won't sign him to a offer sheet are completely false.
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Post by umassgrad2005 on Mar 26, 2017 1:50:27 GMT -5
Malcom Butler can't get traded unless he signs the tender. Which he won't do, unless he gets a offer sheet. Your reports that the Saints won't sign him to a offer sheet are completely false. patriotswire.usatoday.com/2017/03/20/malcolm-butler-saints-playing-high-stakes-game-of-chicken/You really don't know how this works. He can sign tender and then get traded or Saints can sign him to an offer sheet which Patriots can match. It's a one or the other, not one leads to the other. If he signs an offer sheet with Saints there is no signing the tender afterwards. The offer sheet is his new contract. He would play under offer sheet for Saints or Patriots if they match. The Saints won't sign him to offer sheet right now because if Patriots didn't match, they give up pick #11. That's why if they go the offer sheet route, they would trade down from pick #11 first. That's why a likely Butler trade will happen after he signs his tender, with the knowledge that Saints and Patriots have a deal in place.
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Post by FenwayFanatic on Mar 26, 2017 7:07:54 GMT -5
Because people are overrating the value of pick 32. Pick 32 is a bust all the time. I'd rather have one year of Butler plus the right to franchise him in 2018 than pick 32. Thats before you take into account we have a loaded team and are by far Super Bowl favorites, and just letting Butler walk in free agency will net them a third back anyway. I don't think so. You should do some research before you say things my friend. Patriots last two picks at #32 were Logan Mankins and Malcom Brown. 5 years of those type of players is better than one year of Butler if can sign a guy like Revis to replace Butler. I did look at all the recent pick 32s. A lot of them were busts.
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Post by costpet on Mar 26, 2017 9:12:13 GMT -5
Of course Bill's going all in. Brady has a short time line, so he needs to do something now, not wait for the future. He's doing things now that he's never done before. Unless Butler's offer sheet is way out of line, he will match it to have the best cornerback tandem in the league. Then there's Jimmy G. If the Browns truly want a franchise type QB, it's there for the asking. But, they'll have to part with at least a number 1, perhaps two number 1s. There's no DE or OT that will take them to the Promised Land. Only a great QB can do that. Bill wants to crush the league while Brady is still standing. He has the cap space and the players to do it.
So, I think Butler stays and Jimmy G. gets the big trade to give the Pats some great draft choices. I've already preordered my SB Champs hat for next year.
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Post by digit on Mar 26, 2017 11:03:29 GMT -5
Malcom Butler can't get traded unless he signs the tender. Which he won't do, unless he gets a offer sheet. Your reports that the Saints won't sign him to a offer sheet are completely false. patriotswire.usatoday.com/2017/03/20/malcolm-butler-saints-playing-high-stakes-game-of-chicken/You really don't know how this works. He can sign tender and then get traded or Saints can sign him to an offer sheet which Patriots can match. It's a one or the other, not one leads to the other. If he signs an offer sheet with Saints there is no signing the tender afterwards. The offer sheet is his new contract. He would play under offer sheet for Saints or Patriots if they match. The Saints won't sign him to offer sheet right now because if Patriots didn't match, they give up pick #11. That's why if they go the offer sheet route, they would trade down from pick #11 first. That's why a likely Butler trade will happen after he signs his tender, with the knowledge that Saints and Patriots have a deal in place. Pedro is correct that the Patriots hold the cards in this scenario, because the rules requires that the Saints offer their own pick or better. They cannot trade down and then offer a lesser pick for signing Butler. The only way the Saints can sign Butler and offer a lower pick in trade is for Butler to sign a tender with the Patriots. At that point, the Pats can do whatever they want, including trading for a lower package, or just keeping him at that tender, but they cannot trade down then sign Butler and offer the lesser pick.
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Post by rjp313jr on Mar 26, 2017 12:00:30 GMT -5
Guys the Patriots are always doing things they've "never done before". That's why they are so good. The only thing that is remotely something they've never done before is trade the 32nd pick for a 23 year old WR that they have for 2 more years. Signing Gilmore is similar to when they signed Thomas. It's really no different. They've really done nothing to sacrifice the future. Going all-in does not equal trying to win. Going all in means putting ALL your chips in the basket to win now. Their abundant Cap Space, Allen being here instead of Bennett and the Hightower negotiations all pretty much show it's business as usual in a general sense.
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Post by pedrofanforever45 on Mar 26, 2017 13:10:34 GMT -5
I think the Patriots are going "more in," not going all in. The Patriots will never be fully in with BB the asset manager at GM.
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Post by umassgrad2005 on Mar 26, 2017 13:52:16 GMT -5
patriotswire.usatoday.com/2017/03/20/malcolm-butler-saints-playing-high-stakes-game-of-chicken/You really don't know how this works. He can sign tender and then get traded or Saints can sign him to an offer sheet which Patriots can match. It's a one or the other, not one leads to the other. If he signs an offer sheet with Saints there is no signing the tender afterwards. The offer sheet is his new contract. He would play under offer sheet for Saints or Patriots if they match. The Saints won't sign him to offer sheet right now because if Patriots didn't match, they give up pick #11. That's why if they go the offer sheet route, they would trade down from pick #11 first. That's why a likely Butler trade will happen after he signs his tender, with the knowledge that Saints and Patriots have a deal in place. Pedro is correct that the Patriots hold the cards in this scenario, because the rules requires that the Saints offer their own pick or better. They cannot trade down and then offer a lesser pick for signing Butler. The only way the Saints can sign Butler and offer a lower pick in trade is for Butler to sign a tender with the Patriots. At that point, the Pats can do whatever they want, including trading for a lower package, or just keeping him at that tender, but they cannot trade down then sign Butler and offer the lesser pick. profootballtalk.nbcsports.com/2017/03/20/patriots-saints-supposedly-wont-talk-about-a-trade-for-malcolm-butler/
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Post by digit on Mar 26, 2017 14:22:34 GMT -5
And what is that link supposed to prove?
The rules are very specific on this point: The Saints cannot make an offer sheet without that number 11 pick or better.
They could, in theory, negotiate a contract with Butler -and- then negotiate compensation with a lower pick. But they cannot make an offer sheet to Butler that Butler can sign WITH a lower pick.
If the Saints were to make a trade right now with their number 11 pick, they would be disqualified from making an offer sheet IMMEDIATELY because of that rule.
And they cannot discuss a trade with a player that's NOT under contract, so Butler would have to sign that tender. At that moment, he becomes Patriots property, and the Patriots do NOT have to trade him.
The Saints would, actually, in that scenario presented in the article, be in violation of the NFL rules because they cannot discuss trades with a player NOT under their control.
Why would you link that without even thinking about the implications? The rules are pretty specific on that they cannot offer a contract without their own pick. What makes you think they can collude with another team to offer the contract???
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Post by umassgrad2005 on Mar 26, 2017 14:26:19 GMT -5
Guys the Patriots are always doing things they've "never done before". That's why they are so good. The only thing that is remotely something they've never done before is trade the 32nd pick for a 23 year old WR that they have for 2 more years. Signing Gilmore is similar to when they signed Thomas. It's really no different. They've really done nothing to sacrifice the future. Going all-in does not equal trying to win. Going all in means putting ALL your chips in the basket to win now. Their abundant Cap Space, Allen being here instead of Bennett and the Hightower negotiations all pretty much show it's business as usual in a general sense. The thing is Rip it's about the degree you put all your chips in, no team has ever put all there chips in. No football team has maxed cap and traded all there draft picks. Sure we have signed Thomas and done trades for players like Welker. It's the fact we did it all in one offseason. Do you think Red Sox have gone all in? By your definition sports teams can't ever go all in, because they could have done more.
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Post by pedrofanforever45 on Mar 26, 2017 14:27:20 GMT -5
No. The Cubs went all in last year.
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Post by umassgrad2005 on Mar 26, 2017 14:41:00 GMT -5
And what is that link supposed to prove? The rules are very specific on this point: The Saints cannot make an offer sheet without that number 11 pick or better. They could, in theory, negotiate a contract with Butler -and- then negotiate compensation with a lower pick. But they cannot make an offer sheet to Butler that Butler can sign WITH a lower pick. If the Saints were to make a trade right now with their number 11 pick, they would be disqualified from making an offer sheet IMMEDIATELY because of that rule. And they cannot discuss a trade with a player that's NOT under contract, so Butler would have to sign that tender. At that moment, he becomes Patriots property, and the Patriots do NOT have to trade him. The Saints would, actually, in that scenario presented in the article, be in violation of the NFL rules because they cannot discuss trades with a player NOT under their control. Why would you link that without even thinking about the implications? The rules are pretty specific on that they cannot offer a contract without their own pick. What makes you think they can collude with another team to offer the contract??? Per NFL rules Saints and Patriots can't talk Butler trade because he hasn't signed tender, but we all know they have. Teams do it all the time because they don't get in trouble for it. Just look at Jets and Revis. What did they get a fine? He made those comments in public and it was easy to prove. It proves exactly what I said before, Saints can trade down and get Butler plus more, rather than just giving up the #11 pick. These are not my words, but from a sports writer. We are not getting the #11 pick or multiple picks that equal pick #11 for Butler like Pedro thinks.
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Post by digit on Mar 26, 2017 14:50:33 GMT -5
An example of a football team going all-in would've been the 2015 Broncos. They couldn't afford to keep all their players.
If the Patriots were going all-in, they almost assuredly would have signed in-his-prime Logan Ryan for what he cost, signed a few pass rushers who were almost assuredly better than a gamble in Ealy, signed Martellus Bennett for what he got rather than trade for a younger Dwayne Allen...
The moves the Patriots have made this year really doesn't seem all out of the norm, as they've been all made with similar fiscal analysis they've made in previous years. The only real outlier here seems to be Gilmore, but even -he- matches up with the Patriots paying Ty Law and Darrelle Revis as high-end cornerbacks.
This team actually got -younger-. It seems more like the Patriots took advantage of a different marketplace.
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Post by umassgrad2005 on Mar 26, 2017 14:51:12 GMT -5
No. The Cubs went all in last year. I agree the Cubs went all in. Thing is they didn't put all there chips in, so by Rips definition they didn't go all in. They could have done more, but they didn't need to do that.
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Post by pedrofanforever45 on Mar 26, 2017 14:53:09 GMT -5
No. The Cubs went all in last year. I agree the Cubs went all in. Thing is they didn't put all there chips in, so by Rips definition they didn't go all in. They could have done more, but they didn't need to do that. They mortgaged a big part of their future to fill the last need of the team. Why would they trade more to fill no other needs?
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Post by pedrofanforever45 on Mar 26, 2017 14:54:43 GMT -5
The fact that the Patriots hold all the leverage is why they would get the equivalent value of the 11 pick.
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Post by umassgrad2005 on Mar 26, 2017 15:07:57 GMT -5
An example of a football team going all-in would've been the 2015 Broncos. They couldn't afford to keep all their players. If the Patriots were going all-in, they almost assuredly would have signed in-his-prime Logan Ryan for what he cost, signed a few pass rushers who were almost assuredly better than a gamble in Ealy, signed Martellus Bennett for what he got rather than trade for a younger Dwayne Allen... The moves the Patriots have made this year really doesn't seem all out of the norm, as they've been all made with similar fiscal analysis they've made in previous years. The only real outlier here seems to be Gilmore, but even -he- matches up with the Patriots paying Ty Law and Darrelle Revis as high-end cornerbacks. This team actually got -younger-. It seems more like the Patriots took advantage of a different marketplace. I think Broncos went all in, but they didn't put all there chips in. They could have traded picks for Vets to help them. The only thing they did was use cap space. You just can't go completely all in like Rip is saying, sports aren't poker. They replaced Ryan with Gilmore as of right now, that's an all in move. They gave Gilmore more than double what Ryan got. What pass rusher was better than Elay to be our third DE? A player like Sheard wasn't going to resign to be our third DE. How is it a negative that Allen is younger? In football that's a positive.
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Post by umassgrad2005 on Mar 26, 2017 15:11:00 GMT -5
I agree the Cubs went all in. Thing is they didn't put all there chips in, so by Rips definition they didn't go all in. They could have done more, but they didn't need to do that. They mortgaged a big part of their future to fill the last need of the team. Why would they trade more to fill no other needs? That's my whole point, they wouldn't. Same reason Patriots aren't just going to blow money to fill needs that aren't there.
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Post by rjp313jr on Mar 26, 2017 15:11:47 GMT -5
No. The Cubs went all in last year. I agree the Cubs went all in. Thing is they didn't put all there chips in, so by Rips definition they didn't go all in. They could have done more, but they didn't need to do that. That's just not true, but let's see where this offseason leave us before we finish this conversation, but as of now the only evidence you have of them being out of the norm is trading for Cooks and despite 3 years in the league he's still only 23. Hardly a move for now that hurts the future. Gilmore? They done it before with an outside free agent (Thomas) and they've paid guy's at the top of the market before (Mankins, Wilfork, Gronk, and MCcourty to name a few). You think a team going all in would play hardball to that degree with Hightower? How's that make any sense? You're also going to have a hard time convincing people that a team has gone all in the same year they roll over more cap space than at any point in their history. But like you and I agree this offseason isn't over yet so time will tell. I've said all I care to about the all in stuff.
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Post by digit on Mar 26, 2017 15:12:14 GMT -5
Per NFL rules Saints and Patriots can't talk Butler trade because he hasn't signed tender, but we all know they have. Teams do it all the time because they don't get in trouble for it. Just look at Jets and Revis. What did they get a fine? He made those comments in public and it was easy to prove. It proves exactly what I said before, Saints can trade down and get Butler plus more, rather than just giving up the #11 pick. These are not my words, but from a sports writer. We are not getting the #11 pick or multiple picks that equal pick #11 for Butler like Pedro thinks. No, we don't know they have. Your article and what you're putting blind faith into is based on -speculation-. There is not one thing factual in there, and you cannot claim 'we all know they have', because that same article quite specifically says the Patriots and the Saints cannot talk trade because Butler -is not under contract-. Pedrofan45 over there is dealing with an absolute reality: The Saints cannot -make- an offer sheet without that 11 pick. Period. Which means the Patriots are within every right they have to demand at least that 11 pick if the Saints make an offer sheet right now. You're relying on 'speculation that the Patriots have talked' here. And to be frank, that is stupid as git, because if 'everyone knows the Patriots and Saints have talked', you can bet that the NFL would know, and they would have like, zero compunctions about punishing / suspending Belichick for doing -something- they weren't supposed to do. And if you think 'everyone does it' is a perfectly safe excuse, let me remind you of Deflategate and Spygate, then tell you you're absolutely nuts for thinking the NFL'd allow this sort of 'agreement'. That sort of 'nothing to see' treatment applies to the Jets and the Giants. NOT the Patriots. Also, Belichick has been on the record as saying they cannot discuss trade with Butler when Butler is NOT under contract and have NOT been talking contract, which is something more concrete than any 'we know they've been talking'. And really, honestly, while I agree with umassgrad that Butler is not being traded for the number 11 pick or equal picks, the reality is Pedro is correct on that the Saints -cannot- acquire Butler by trading down picks. The realistic scenarios, putting aside media speculations, under the current rules for RFA: 1) The Saints: have to give up an offer sheet -and- the number 11 pick (or better) to acquire him right now. At that point, the Patriots can match the contract offer OR accept the 11 pick. The Saints would have to be stupid to do that. And even if they managed a contract that was low enough to account for the value of the number 11 pick, the Patriots could just match the contract and KEEP Butler. 2) Butler signs the tender offer. At that point, the Saints -could- make an offer that's definitely lower than what the Patriots would expect. But at that point, the Patriots can do -anything- they want, including keeping Butler at the tender offer of 3.49 million. And I think that's what they would do. I think they're extremely malleable, though, in that they're just waiting to see what will happen with Butler before they decide, not pre-determine a path of 'trade him NOW' when they have a) no idea what the contract they'd have to match is and b) whether the Saints are actually silly enough to offer a contract -right now-. What the Saints cannot do right -now- as long as Butler remains unsigned, because of how the RFA rules work: 1) Trade down the number 11 pick and then offer Butler a contract. At that point, they're disqualified from making a contract offer because they do not have their original 1st round pick to offer. 2) Ask another team to sign Butler, then trade picks for Butler's new contract. (To say nothing of what happens to that trade if the Patriots simply match the other team's contract.) You need to have Butler -signed- by the Patriots in order to have the Saints work out a deal with lower picks. And at that point, the Patriots are going to do whatever they want.
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Post by umassgrad2005 on Mar 26, 2017 15:14:30 GMT -5
The fact that the Patriots hold all the leverage is why they would get the equivalent value of the 11 pick. You wanna make an avatar bet? If Butler is traded for close to pick #11 you can pick any Avatar for me for the whole football season. If Butler is traded and goes for around pick #32 or less I can pick your avatar for the football season.
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Post by digit on Mar 26, 2017 15:21:28 GMT -5
I think Broncos went all in, but they didn't put all there chips in. They could have traded picks for Vets to help them. The only thing they did was use cap space. You just can't go completely all in like Rip is saying, sports aren't poker. They replaced Ryan with Gilmore as of right now, that's an all in move. They gave Gilmore more than double what Ryan got. What pass rusher was better than Elay to be our third DE? A player like Sheard wasn't going to resign to be our third DE. How is it a negative that Allen is younger? In football that's a positive. Gilmore got paid 4 million more than Ryan. Gilmore is someone they projected to be a #1 CB, Ryan an #2 CB. As to who would've been better? Let's see... Ealy was available in the first place because Carolina signed Julius Peppers. Someone who, you know, would have been a lot more -reasonable- to sign because he at least had proven productions. A LOT more proven last year too, as Ealy slumped. Hell, they could simply have signed Sheard -instead- of Ealy, since Sheard -actually- was a better player last year. And if you're actually arguing 'putting all their chips in' means including trading chips, then I don't see it with the Patriots either. They got younger, they got better, and they didn't really give up anything major other than their first round pick, which I'd argue is fairly common with most teams, and they got a -twenty-three years old WR- they could keep for a while. The Patriots still have what, SEVEN picks in this year's draft? They aren't going all-in. \
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Post by umassgrad2005 on Mar 26, 2017 15:33:21 GMT -5
I think Broncos went all in, but they didn't put all there chips in. They could have traded picks for Vets to help them. The only thing they did was use cap space. You just can't go completely all in like Rip is saying, sports aren't poker. They replaced Ryan with Gilmore as of right now, that's an all in move. They gave Gilmore more than double what Ryan got. What pass rusher was better than Elay to be our third DE? A player like Sheard wasn't going to resign to be our third DE. How is it a negative that Allen is younger? In football that's a positive. Gilmore got paid 4 million more than Ryan. Gilmore is someone they projected to be a #1 CB, Ryan an #2 CB. As to who would've been better? Let's see... Ealy was available in the first place because Carolina signed Julius Peppers. Someone who, you know, would have been a lot more -reasonable- to sign because he at least had proven productions. A LOT more proven last year too, as Ealy slumped. Hell, they could simply have signed Sheard -instead- of Ealy, since Sheard -actually- was a better player last year. And if you're actually arguing 'putting all their chips in' means including trading chips, then I don't see it with the Patriots either. They got younger, they got better, and they didn't really give up anything major other than their first round pick, which I'd argue is fairly common with most teams, and they got a -twenty-three years old WR- they could keep for a while. The Patriots still have what, SEVEN picks in this year's draft? They aren't going all-in. \ Did you read the comments?? It's Rips theory that going all in means putting all your chips in one basket, I'm arguing the exact opposite. I would take the younger Elay over the aging Peppers any day of the week. He's going to be the next Van Noy, Bill will get the most out of him. You can't resign Sheard if he doesn't want to be here. Did you miss him getting benched and demoted last year? He was not going to resign to be our third DE, he wanted more playing time and to start. Same reason Long is not going to resign.
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