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Post by umassgrad2005 on Nov 11, 2018 23:33:27 GMT -5
The Celtics officially have 2 buckets in their last 7 minutes of basketball. Wait I thought that couldn't happen with Irving?
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Post by pedrofanforever45 on Nov 11, 2018 23:44:06 GMT -5
The Celtics officially have 2 buckets in their last 7 minutes of basketball. Wait I thought that couldn't happen with Irving? I'm not the one who's trying to stop your Irving crusade here.
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mobaz
Veteran
Posts: 3,044
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Post by mobaz on Nov 12, 2018 9:02:15 GMT -5
Good thing the Sox won the World Series. I have to remind myself of this when Boston has awful days like this. Amazing how quickly we fall back into gloom and doom, but 100% feel the same way!
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Post by soxfansince67 on Nov 12, 2018 10:19:57 GMT -5
Boston fans and the ebb and flow. Sox on top of the world (and we are all in withdrawl!)....Celtics, so promising in cast and coach but taking time to figure it all out, Bruins looking solid with some blemishes but in good shape, and the Patriots - for which we are all so spoiled, either showing that a bit of decline is on the way....or simply a one game glitch by a banged up team likely looking forward to that bye week.
Yes, we are spoiled (but isn't it fun...we are damn lucky!)
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ianrs
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Posts: 2,451
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Post by ianrs on Nov 14, 2018 15:40:24 GMT -5
Very interesting chart by Kirk Goldsberry backing up some of your arguments that Butler might not actually make Philly better than they were.
Also, hoping the Celtics offense can get out of their funk tonight. Defensively they've been good, but offensively, really hard to watch. Wonder if moving Heyward to bench and trying some of the 2 guard lineups suggested by Umass makes sense. Need to get Brown going.
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Post by pedrofanforever45 on Nov 14, 2018 15:57:11 GMT -5
The Celtics were good in October defensively. Here in November, they've given well over 100 points a game. They have been bad on both sides of the ball and they need to fix that.
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Post by umassgrad2005 on Nov 14, 2018 16:41:44 GMT -5
Very interesting chart by Kirk Goldsberry backing up some of your arguments that Butler might not actually make Philly better than they were. Also, hoping the Celtics offense can get out of their funk tonight. Defensively they've been good, but offensively, really hard to watch. Wonder if moving Heyward to bench and trying some of the 2 guard lineups suggested by Umass makes sense. Need to get Brown going. I have to laugh at things like that because it's just cherry picking data. Saric wasn't good two years ago from deep, and hasn't been good this year from deep. 31.1, 39.3 and 30.0% the last three years. Butler has been 36.7, 35.0, and 37.8% the last three years and currently is attempting a career high amount of threes. This years Butler is way better spacing the floor and he's been better two out of the last three years. For all we know last year was more a fluke shooting season for Saric. I just love how they focus on the one year he was better and not look at all the numbers. Like Butler has been way better this year.
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Post by Don Caballero on Nov 14, 2018 19:30:23 GMT -5
I have to laugh at things like that because it's just cherry picking data. Saric wasn't good two years ago from deep, and hasn't been good this year from deep. 31.1, 39.3 and 30.0% the last three years. Butler has been 36.7, 35.0, and 37.8% the last three years and currently is attempting a career high amount of threes. This years Butler is way better spacing the floor and he's been better two out of the last three years. For all we know last year was more a fluke shooting season for Saric. I just love how they focus on the one year he was better and not look at all the numbers. Like Butler has been way better this year. Dude, seriously? I'm not even sure you can make the argument that Butler is a better shooter than Saric or Covington. He's not. Look at the amount of 3s they attempt. Butler has a mighty .224 3 point attempt rate for his career, while for Saric it's .416 and RoCo shoots a ridiculous .625. A lot of Butler's 3s aren't assisted, but mostly ALL of them by RoCo and Saric are. Butler is NOT a shooter and it's admirable that he's somewhat passable on that end, but he doesn't open the floor like Saric and Covington. You back against Butler and dare him to shoot, you pack the paint. You die if you try that against Covington. A line-up with Simmons, Butler, Fultz and Embiid borders on moronic. Unless they trade Fultz for a stretch 4 and play Redick some heavy minutes and hope he comes back to form.
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Post by pedrofanforever45 on Nov 14, 2018 20:02:11 GMT -5
Jesus Christ guys. The Bulls are one of the worst lottery teams in the NBA and you're losing by 5 points after the first quarter at HOME.
Pull your crap together. Get out of this funk man.
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Post by pedrofanforever45 on Nov 14, 2018 20:47:07 GMT -5
Much better. Winning by more than 20 like they should be doing against this lowly team. Any sort of momentum is what the Celtics need right now.
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Post by umassgrad2005 on Nov 14, 2018 21:22:54 GMT -5
I have to laugh at things like that because it's just cherry picking data. Saric wasn't good two years ago from deep, and hasn't been good this year from deep. 31.1, 39.3 and 30.0% the last three years. Butler has been 36.7, 35.0, and 37.8% the last three years and currently is attempting a career high amount of threes. This years Butler is way better spacing the floor and he's been better two out of the last three years. For all we know last year was more a fluke shooting season for Saric. I just love how they focus on the one year he was better and not look at all the numbers. Like Butler has been way better this year. Dude, seriously? I'm not even sure you can make the argument that Butler is a better shooter than Saric or Covington. He's not. Look at the amount of 3s they attempt. Butler has a mighty .224 3 point attempt rate for his career, while for Saric it's .416 and RoCo shoots a ridiculous .625. A lot of Butler's 3s aren't assisted, but mostly ALL of them by RoCo and Saric are. Butler is NOT a shooter and it's admirable that he's somewhat passable on that end, but he doesn't open the floor like Saric and Covington. You back against Butler and dare him to shoot, you pack the paint. You die if you try that against Covington. A line-up with Simmons, Butler, Fultz and Embiid borders on moronic. Unless they trade Fultz for a stretch 4 and play Redick some heavy minutes and hope he comes back to form. Wow, so players can't get better? I used to say the samething about Butler, but he's at almost 38% and had upped his volume to 4.5 attemps per game by far and away the higgest of his career, yet you think career numbers matter more? Like what he did his first two seasons means anything right now? The numbers say Saric shouldn't be shooting that many and I'm sorry but Covington looked like trash when you guard him. He was downright dreadful in the playoff series last year. Butler creates problems those guys just can't. Their two rookies are shooting well and Chandler just came back and he can shoot. I'm sorry but you make it sound like those two were sharpshooters or something, yet it was the fact they got crazy open looks. You act like Butler's three not being assisted is a bad thing and a plus for those two, it isn't. It just shows they can't create and took advantage of tons of wide open kickouts because of Embiid and Simmons. Everyone shoots better when they ard wide open, something people don't do with Butler. The only issue with Simmons, Butler, Fultz, and Embiid is Fultz, just like he was before the trade. Butler is taking more threes per game than Tatum, is he a non-shooter? You hate the trade OK, whatever but Butler just isn't the same player he once was. 4.5 attempts is a very good amount! People forget the magic last year was after the trade deadline when they picked up two solid Vets that could really shoot. So yea they need to add a little more bench shooting, but Butler won't be the issue and they lacked that bench shooting begore getting him. Man I thought a lot of people overvalued Butler, but wow you act like he's trash. Butler makes that team a harder out in the playoffs and he's not a Rondo/Smart like you make him out to be!
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Post by soxfansince67 on Nov 14, 2018 22:04:36 GMT -5
That was a good win to build on....it is going to be a process this year, but it is all there for this team to make a deep run. I have faith Stevens will sort out how to get this bunch to win consistently.
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Post by Don Caballero on Nov 14, 2018 22:23:45 GMT -5
Wow, so players can't get better? I used to say the samething about Butler, but he's at almost 38% and had upped his volume to 4.5 attemps per game by far and away the higgest of his career, yet you think career numbers matter more? Like what he did his first two seasons means anything right now? The numbers say Saric shouldn't be shooting that many and I'm sorry but Covington looked like trash when you guard him. He was downright dreadful in the playoff series last year. Butler creates problems those guys just can't. Their two rookies are shooting well and Chandler just came back and he can shoot. I'm sorry but you make it sound like those two were sharpshooters or something, yet it was the fact they got crazy open looks. You act like Butler's three not being assisted is a bad thing and a plus for those two, it isn't. It just shows they can't create and took advantage of tons of wide open kickouts because of Embiid and Simmons. Everyone shoots better when they ard wide open, something people don't do with Butler. The only issue with Simmons, Butler, Fultz, and Embiid is Fultz, just like he was before the trade. Butler is taking more threes per game than Tatum, is he a non-shooter? You hate the trade OK, whatever but Butler just isn't the same player he once was. 4.5 attempts is a very good amount! People forget the magic last year was after the trade deadline when they picked up two solid Vets that could really shoot. So yea they need to add a little more bench shooting, but Butler won't be the issue and they lacked that bench shooting begore getting him. Man I thought a lot of people overvalued Butler, but wow you act like he's trash. Butler makes that team a harder out in the playoffs and he's not a Rondo/Smart like you make him out to be! Even shooting more 3s this year, Butler's 3 point attempt rate is still a relatively tiny .287. He has the ball in his hands WAY more than Saric or RoCo so yeah he's going to shoot some 3s. RoCo and Saric got "crazy open looks" because that's exactly the style of ball that the 76ers should be playing. Put Embiid inside, drive Simmons, kick out to the open man. Butler isn't going to be that open man because a) he needs the ball and b) he isn't a 3 point shooter specialist. Like I said, he shoots at a respectable clip from there, but that's not his game. He's not a guy that stretches the floor, he plays a one on one game that's towards the basket. He's a driver, not a shooter. The fact that so few of Butler's attempts are assisted is pretty telling. He had a guy inside in KAT that you need to guard closely and Wiggins is an okay player, certainly someone that draws some of the defense's attention. Even in the Bulls there was some kickout opportunities to be had. He doesn't take many assisted shots because that's not what he does, that's not how he plays. And that's fine, but it's a terrible fit for Philly. Tatum's 3 point attempt rate is .331. Out of those, .818 are assisted. Butler's 3s are up because he's taking less 2 pointers from more than 10 feet away. You know where is the area where he gets the most shots? 0-3 feet from the basket. That's his game. That's not how Saric and Covington play basketball. So now they have to either play Embiid away from the basket, which is not good, or have Butler be a catch and shoot 3 point shooter, which doesn't play to his talents. Edit: look at his debut. He attempted 1 three pointer. Embiid attempted 7 (and granted he hit 4 of those, but still). They need guys that park outside of the 3 point line so Embiid can feast inside and Simmons can operate in between as a bridge.
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Post by umassgrad2005 on Nov 15, 2018 0:16:15 GMT -5
Wow, so players can't get better? I used to say the samething about Butler, but he's at almost 38% and had upped his volume to 4.5 attemps per game by far and away the higgest of his career, yet you think career numbers matter more? Like what he did his first two seasons means anything right now? The numbers say Saric shouldn't be shooting that many and I'm sorry but Covington looked like trash when you guard him. He was downright dreadful in the playoff series last year. Butler creates problems those guys just can't. Their two rookies are shooting well and Chandler just came back and he can shoot. I'm sorry but you make it sound like those two were sharpshooters or something, yet it was the fact they got crazy open looks. You act like Butler's three not being assisted is a bad thing and a plus for those two, it isn't. It just shows they can't create and took advantage of tons of wide open kickouts because of Embiid and Simmons. Everyone shoots better when they ard wide open, something people don't do with Butler. The only issue with Simmons, Butler, Fultz, and Embiid is Fultz, just like he was before the trade. Butler is taking more threes per game than Tatum, is he a non-shooter? You hate the trade OK, whatever but Butler just isn't the same player he once was. 4.5 attempts is a very good amount! People forget the magic last year was after the trade deadline when they picked up two solid Vets that could really shoot. So yea they need to add a little more bench shooting, but Butler won't be the issue and they lacked that bench shooting begore getting him. Man I thought a lot of people overvalued Butler, but wow you act like he's trash. Butler makes that team a harder out in the playoffs and he's not a Rondo/Smart like you make him out to be! Even shooting more 3s this year, Butler's 3 point attempt rate is still a relatively tiny .287. He has the ball in his hands WAY more than Saric or RoCo so yeah he's going to shoot some 3s. RoCo and Saric got "crazy open looks" because that's exactly the style of ball that the 76ers should be playing. Put Embiid inside, drive Simmons, kick out to the open man. Butler isn't going to be that open man because a) he needs the ball and b) he isn't a 3 point shooter specialist. Like I said, he shoots at a respectable clip from there, but that's not his game. He's not a guy that stretches the floor, he plays a one on one game that's towards the basket. He's a driver, not a shooter. The fact that so few of Butler's attempts are assisted is pretty telling. He had a guy inside in KAT that you need to guard closely and Wiggins is an okay player, certainly someone that draws some of the defense's attention. Even in the Bulls there was some kickout opportunities to be had. He doesn't take many assisted shots because that's not what he does, that's not how he plays. And that's fine, but it's a terrible fit for Philly. Tatum's 3 point attempt rate is .331. Out of those, .818 are assisted. Butler's 3s are up because he's taking less 2 pointers from more than 10 feet away. You know where is the area where he gets the most shots? 0-3 feet from the basket. That's his game. That's not how Saric and Covington play basketball. So now they have to either play Embiid away from the basket, which is not good, or have Butler be a catch and shoot 3 point shooter, which doesn't play to his talents. Edit: look at his debut. He attempted 1 three pointer. Embiid attempted 7 (and granted he hit 4 of those, but still). They need guys that park outside of the 3 point line so Embiid can feast inside and Simmons can operate in between as a bridge. You watched last years playoffs right? That team had as many shooters as a team can have and we destroyed them. Limited open looks and those guys couldn't make non wide open shots. What they needed was a secondary scorer, a guy that can shoot because you can limit Simmons by just playing the drive. That is Butler and Embiid can help space the floor with him doing his thing. I just don't see the issue. If Butler couldn't shoot it would be an issue, but no player in the league is going to not guard Butler, which is the point. Embiid being able to shoot changes everything for them. You really think Butler doesn't stretch the floor? That is kinda mind blowing stuff right there. His 0-3 rate is .299 and his 3 point rate is .287, almost the same. Come on you act like he's Simmons. His 0-3 rate was 25% last year, I just don't get the that is what he is talk, they are crazy close. You act like the fact that Saric can't make other shots is a plus or the fact that it's good him taking so many threes that he can't make. Saric attemps a lot more threes, yet makes less per game than Butler. Great floor spacing alright Have you looked at his assisted rates for his career? They have only gone down as he became by far and away the teams best player. When he played with a good Wade his assisted rates were crazy high. So its not like he can't play off the ball, he has before. Heck for the first four years of his career almost all his 3 point field goals were assisted, last year was 76%. Before this year his lowest amount was 64%. Simmons and Embiid are going to help Butler and vice versa. Acting like you need to take a crazy amount of threes and that is the game they should be playing is flawed. They need guys that can shoot, so defender can't flood the paint with Embiid and Simmons. Butler does that and I'd argue him taking that ball movement and using his grest mid-range game will be huge for that team. Live by the three, die by the three, Butler allows you to score in way other than just threes. I really hate how many threes the celtics have been taking. That isn't good Basketball and your basically saying you want or think the Sixers should be like last years playoff team. That sounds like a horrible idea and is why they lost. Again huge difference from guys that can space the floor and guys that can only space the floor, especially when one of those isn't even good at it. So one game proves your point? Basically no practice time, doesn't know the plays or heck almost anything, but yea that tells us a lot. Embiid shots 71.3% in the paint, he's a beast. Yet Butler shoots 70.2%, so yea it makes sense for Embiid to sometimes provide spacing and take threes while Butler does his thing. Get back at me by the end of the season when they have time to gel. If I'm wrong I'll take my licks, I just don't see it. It was an epic good deal for Philly. Now maxed out just go out and add another floor spacing big for the bench and that team is crazy good. That teams big issue is going to be Fultz, he has to learn to shoot or they have to trade him. He doesn't fit and you can't add another guy that needs the ball.
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Post by jmei on Nov 15, 2018 9:12:59 GMT -5
You have to stop with these back and forths that devolve into petty, repetitive squabbling. You’ve been warned about this many times before. Thanks.
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Post by Don Caballero on Nov 15, 2018 10:46:20 GMT -5
His 0-3 rate is .299 and his 3 point rate is .287, almost the same. Come on you act like he's Simmons. His 0-3 rate was 25% last year, I just don't get the that is what he is talk, they are crazy close. You act like the fact that Saric can't make other shots is a plus or the fact that it's good him taking so many threes that he can't make. Saric attemps a lot more threes, yet makes less per game than Butler. Great floor spacing alright Have you looked at his assisted rates for his career? They have only gone down as he became by far and away the teams best player. When he played with a good Wade his assisted rates were crazy high. So its not like he can't play off the ball, he has before. Heck for the first four years of his career almost all his 3 point field goals were assisted, last year was 76%. Before this year his lowest amount was 64%. Simmons and Embiid are going to help Butler and vice versa. Acting like you need to take a crazy amount of threes and that is the game they should be playing is flawed. They need guys that can shoot, so defender can't flood the paint with Embiid and Simmons. Butler does that and I'd argue him taking that ball movement and using his grest mid-range game will be huge for that team. Live by the three, die by the three, Butler allows you to score in way other than just threes. I really hate how many threes the celtics have been taking. That isn't good Basketball and your basically saying you want or think the Sixers should be like last years playoff team. That sounds like a horrible idea and is why they lost. Again huge difference from guys that can space the floor and guys that can only space the floor, especially when one of those isn't even good at it. You're confusing being able to shoot respectably with being a shooter. Butler's main offense is in the paint, it's going one on one or driving on the defense. And yes, I think the Sixers should be like last years playoff team, it's how you succeed when you have a generational talent big in Embiid and another guy that needs the paint clear in Simmons. You surround them with guys that park outside the 3 point line. Maybe they get Butler to be that guy, but it's a bad usage of him. Realistically, Embiid, Simmons and Butler all should operate in the same area in the field, that's how you maximize their talents. You can bet Stevens is hoping for that as well. Let's not monopolize the thread and let's agree to disagree. We'll see if it works. Maybe you're right and Butler being a better player than RoCo and Saric (which he certainly is) could lead to success, but I don't see it. I really dislike the fit there. Incidentally, I think Butler would be a much better option for the Celtics than the Sixers. But like I said, we'll see.
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Post by umassgrad2005 on Nov 15, 2018 10:59:22 GMT -5
You have to stop with these back and forths that devolve into petty, repetitive squabbling. You’ve been warned about this many times before. Thanks. I'll stop because you said so and I made my point already, but it was two posts each about one of the Celtics biggest rivals and likely playoffs match ups and if they are better. Maybe you think that is petty, but it actually a fairly huge deal for the Celtics if they are better or worse and how Butler fits. Kinda don't see the issue with two posts each frankly. I'm not the one that has like a half dozen posts on the Butler trade, yet its my fault. I didn't even respond to his post, he responded to my posts.
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Post by jmei on Nov 15, 2018 11:32:40 GMT -5
You have to stop with these back and forths that devolve into petty, repetitive squabbling. You’ve been warned about this many times before. Thanks. I'll stop because you said so and I made my point already, but it was two posts each about one of the Celtics biggest rivals and likely playoffs match ups and if they are better. Maybe you think that is petty, but it actually a fairly huge deal for the Celtics if they are better or worse and how Butler fits. Kinda don't see the issue with two posts each frankly. I'm not the one that has like a half dozen posts on the Butler trade, yet its my fault. I didn't even respond to his post, he responded to my posts. It's not that the issue is petty, it's that you in particular seem to always get stuck in these endless death spiral arguments that derail threads. Others will disagree with you. It doesn't mean that you should respond to every post that does so, especially when you do the thing where you pick out every single sentence or proposition that you disagree with and respond to it. That always devolves into bickering about side points and heated tempers and does not further good discussion. You've been warned about this before. Thanks.
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Post by umassgrad2005 on Nov 15, 2018 12:06:39 GMT -5
Here's an idea if you don't want to derail threads send someone a private message or simply say that's enough move on. The idea of complaining about derailing a thread after two posts is not something I've ever been warned about and this public scolding where you always make a point twice now to remind me of something I did in the past is very petty and everything that is wrong with this forum.
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Post by ramireja on Nov 15, 2018 13:49:53 GMT -5
Here's an idea if you don't want to derail threads send someone a private message or simply say that's enough move on. The idea of complaining about derailing a thread after two posts is not something I've ever been warned about and this public scolding where you always make a point twice now to remind me of something I did in the past is very petty and everything that is wrong with this forum. We'll have to agree to disagree. I think a majority of posters and viewers (who rarely post or don't post at all) would argue that the primary problem with this forum is that threads predictably become dominated by a vocal few. Further, those vocal few often get quarrelsome with each and it makes those threads unreadable. This isn't a guess, this is something we've been told privately and this is also a theme you can see mentioned in the 'In Search of New Members' thread. When there is a very visible core group of posters, I think its easy to forget just how many people view these threads that don't post here. We need to make this forum readable and inviting for everyone. You've been privately messaged numerous times in the past so please don't act like that hasn't been attempted by the staff. If you think that you're being called out over a mere two posts, please take a glance at all of the active threads across the board right now and count the # of bickering posts you've made since the Red Sox won the WS. I don't have the time to count them for you, but I can tell you it's far more than two. You've proven yourself to be unteachable. The fact that you're going to respond to this post to argue individual points is proof of that.
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Post by umassgrad2005 on Nov 16, 2018 13:38:04 GMT -5
Nice touch in that if I reply it makes you right.
I've been warned about monopolizing threads, with too many back and fourths and yes I've been guility of that in the past. Which is why I've limited the number I do, what you guys asked me to do! Just look at mine and Soxjims debate, he kept going and I stopped. I didn't derail a thread or monopolize it. If your issue is what I'm doing over multiple threads than say just that, don't pick one thread and act like that is the issue. If my posts are too long say that. I'm being targeted because yes in the past I did do things. I'm not breaking a single ground rule or doing anything I was asked to stop in the past.
If you don't want any debates just say so. I can't take this constant moving of the goal posts and you guys acting like its all the samething! It's like the Pedro thing all over again. He wasn't breaking a single ground rule, so a new rule was made up. Which is why a lot of the veteran posters had an issue with it.
I've made a point of not saying anything to new posters. The issue you have is that in a way they are clueless to what this board debates using advanced stats. So they'll say something that that all veterans think is crazy and get bombarded with replies why that is wrong. If they aren't thick skinned they will just run away and complain. Rather than take the time to learn the complicated in and outs of advanced stats. Just remember the Mods use this approach and will do the same exact thing. It was done to me when I was new.
I believe and I think most Veteran poster will agree that good debates using advanced stats are what we come to read. The amount of advanced information that will get thrown around is truly impressive. I don't think most people want to come on here and read nice win or the daily bitching when our teams are bad. They want that information on why you should or shouldn't sign Eovaldi or Kimbrel based on advanced stats. Or is Butler a good fit based on advanced stats compared to the players he replaced. That's what makes this site gold, the Veterans that have very informed opinions and back it up with a crazy amount of information.
If your goal is to make sure threads are readable then I can't for the life of me understand why this is happening in a thread when this site has private messages. If you want to teach someone you need to explain the issue in detail and stop with the blanket you've been warned before for something totally different crap.
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Post by pedrofanforever45 on Nov 16, 2018 19:37:30 GMT -5
What a game so far. Celtics might be finally playing up to their talent level finally.
Leonard is the real deal. Haven't watched him really at all, but what a player. Can see why there's so much hype with him and deservadly so.
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Post by pedrofanforever45 on Nov 16, 2018 20:04:13 GMT -5
The refs have been so one sided in this game, it's unbelievable. The fouls might be 10 for the Celtics and 2 for the Raptors.
Shouldn't the Celtics be getting the hometown calls here?
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wcp3
Veteran
Posts: 3,860
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Post by wcp3 on Nov 16, 2018 20:07:31 GMT -5
Another option would be to not blow a 13-point lead in minutes.
This team doesn’t get it.
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wcp3
Veteran
Posts: 3,860
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Post by wcp3 on Nov 16, 2018 20:12:16 GMT -5
It’s been awhile since I’ve seen a Celtics team with less of a killer instinct. They’re as soft as it gets right now.
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