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Patriots 2021 Offseason Thread
cdj
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Post by cdj on Mar 27, 2021 8:05:29 GMT -5
So I watched Kellen Mond's tape. Was on my list, yet after seeing someone rank him fourth I moved him up. Better than I expected, like I don't agree with my draft magazines ranking him 4/5th round. Watch his highlights and you think he's first round talent. Athletic, can move around, really run it and has very good arm strength. Can make NFL throws and has really improved from his early years. Watch the Bama tape highlights, again why isn't he a first/second round guy? Watch advanced film breaking down his NFL level throws, he makes a ton of them. Now watch Bama tape, every play of his in that game. There it is, his mechanics can breakdown and result in a lot of bad throws. I mean BAD throws, like not even close. Both Bama and senior bowl he starts out slow and then gets going. When he's right he looks like a 1st/2nd round guy, when he's off he doesn't look like he belongs in the NFL. Mac Jones and Trask put on clinics with accuracy compared to Mond. Yet Mond is a much better athlete with a stronger arm. Second most game played of any QB in the draft. He's got starter upside, it's just can you improve his mechanics, his feet and coach him up more on advanced stuff? You watch Mac Jones/Trask and you see Patriot type QBs. Advanced level QBs that really run an offense that are highly accurate. The misses are close, very few horrible balls. Mond had like 15 horrible throws versus just Bama, yet also some really good NFL quality ones. I can see it, yet your drafting him with the hopes of what you can make him into, how much you believe in the player and his ability to keep getting better. I can certainly see someone ranking him over Trask based on upside, yet if you rank him over Fields/Lance that says more about them than him. He’s a clear cut 2nd round guy in my opinion, and he’s also somebody I could see BB liking a lot I will fight Chris Simms if I ever see him in public for ranking Trey Lance 6th among QBs
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mobaz
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Post by mobaz on Mar 27, 2021 8:47:16 GMT -5
I will fight Chris Simms if I ever see him in public for ranking Trey Lance 6th among QBs And for sending Mac Jones 3rd to the 49ers... I don't know when the 49ers trade/release Jimmy G, but if it's before the draft there's no way they are taking Lance at 3. Fields would be so good for them, and should be ready earlier. I'm getting tired of the hate. This resembles the picking apart of Watson that led him to drop to 12. I get if the 49ers like Lance more, but people need to stop saying Fields is a one-read/4th rounder/product of Ryan Day. It's nonsense.
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Post by beasleyrockah on Mar 27, 2021 11:02:08 GMT -5
If all the QB's are gone at #15 I'd be fine with a trade, assuming they can acquire something like a 2022 1st and a 2021 2nd. If they miss out on their QB of the future this draft, they really should start stockpiling ammunition to land a guy next offseason. I know people are already hating on the next QB class, but we don't know what the QB trade market will be next year either. Maybe they get lucky like the Dolphins after the Tunsil trade and the 1st rounder turns into a high pick. Otherwise, if the Pats make the postseason next year they'll have less draft capital than other QB needy teams and will be in a tough position again.
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Post by ghostofrussgibson on Mar 27, 2021 16:35:13 GMT -5
Since the price of admission into the top eight or so is now so high, what's NE's best bet? If Jones slips past the likely buyers, then there's a decent chance he falls to NE. NE may still want to trade up a couple spots to block Tampa Bay. While I'd love to get excited about drafting our "QB of the future" - maybe it's Stidham all along. COVID didn't give either Newton or Stidham the optimal ramp-up time last year. I'm somewhat optimistic that this new year and new weapons will bring out the best in both of them. And there's always the likelihood NE drafts a QB in rounds 2, 3 or 4. My sense is that Bill goes heavy on defense. Corner, Linebacker, Safety, D-Line.
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Post by rjw on Mar 27, 2021 18:21:00 GMT -5
I'll make my guess, which will most likely be 100% wrong, but what the hell.
I think he will use some of his picks to move up in spots here and there. (That is possibly the only thing I might be right about).
My guess is his first pick will be one of the star WRs (Devonta?). His next pick on Trask, and his next pick on a speedy linebacker.
After that who knows, I'm likely only 1 for 4 on my guesses here.
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Post by congusgambler33 on Mar 28, 2021 2:33:09 GMT -5
Micah parsons, Micah Parsons,Micah Parsons...that is the pick.
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Post by rjp313jr on Mar 29, 2021 6:34:33 GMT -5
Micah parsons, Micah Parsons,Micah Parsons...that is the pick. I’m high on Zaven Collins, if Parsons character issues are legit, then I don’t want him running the defense.
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Post by umassgrad2005 on Mar 29, 2021 7:22:49 GMT -5
Parsons issues after looking them up, accused of starting a riot in highschool, tweeting after visiting Ohio State and got into a fight with another player.
I'd have to know more about the starting a riot thing, yet the tweeting and the fight is crap a ton of players do.
It's that time of year, where people try and destroy people life's just because they can.
If he's truly a bad guy, okay I'm fine passing on him. Yet let's make sure that's actually true. I've seen nothing about character issues till this crap just popped up.
The player is the perfect finishing piece to this D and a long-term Hightower replacement.
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Post by umassgrad2005 on Mar 29, 2021 8:10:24 GMT -5
Is this the deepest group of QBs in recent memory? 2018 you had five QBs go in the first, yet you didn't have the depth of guys behind them. This will really depend on how you grade Mond, Trask, Mills and Newman. Yet by my count I have nine guys that have realistic starter upside. That's not just a top heavy group in the first, yet some real interesting options after the first.
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Post by rjp313jr on Mar 29, 2021 8:33:30 GMT -5
Parsons issues after looking them up, accused of starting a riot in highschool, tweeting after visiting Ohio State and got into a fight with another player. I'd have to know more about the starting a riot thing, yet the tweeting and the fight is crap a ton of players do. It's that time of year, where people try and destroy people life's just because they can. If he's truly a bad guy, okay I'm fine passing on him. Yet let's make sure that's actually true. I've seen nothing about character issues till this crap just popped up. The player is the perfect finishing piece to this D and a long-term Hightower replacement. There are also things about locker room bullying which is more the part I worry about. You want a guy who can be a team leader in that spot on the defense. Otherwise, I agree. Have you watched film on Collins?
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Post by umassgrad2005 on Mar 29, 2021 9:48:02 GMT -5
www.thecutffb.com/post/are-the-risks-too-severe-to-draft-micah-parsons-in-the-top-10This explains things more in depth, the high school riot wasn't anything. A dumb tweet. The hazing suit names four players and was thrown out twice due to lack of merit. I don't support hazing, yet the fact four people are named tells me it was a team type thing that we all know happens everyday in sports to some degree. Digging deeper the lawsuit states Parsons threw water on Humphries waking him up, which I certainly don't agree with, yet I bet is very common in College sports. Those age old school crap that upperclassmen due to freshman to toughen them up. Humphries fights back, at one point pulling a knife out. That starts a downward trend, where it seems other players start hazing him because he pulled a knife and started a fight over a prank that likely happens to every freshman. I would for sure dig deeper. Maybe he's not a good person or maybe he just did what was done to him as a freshman and this is more a case of a freshman pushing back against decades old tradition type crap.
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Post by umassgrad2005 on Mar 29, 2021 10:15:39 GMT -5
Parsons issues after looking them up, accused of starting a riot in highschool, tweeting after visiting Ohio State and got into a fight with another player. I'd have to know more about the starting a riot thing, yet the tweeting and the fight is crap a ton of players do. It's that time of year, where people try and destroy people life's just because they can. If he's truly a bad guy, okay I'm fine passing on him. Yet let's make sure that's actually true. I've seen nothing about character issues till this crap just popped up. The player is the perfect finishing piece to this D and a long-term Hightower replacement. There are also things about locker room bullying which is more the part I worry about. You want a guy who can be a team leader in that spot on the defense. Otherwise, I agree. Have you watched film on Collins? No I've just focused on the QBs, like last year with TE's. That alone is a massive undertaking unless you just watch highlights and that won't tell the full story. Watch highlights, watch advanced film breakdown then watch a couple of the players big games every play is 1-2 hours per prospect. I also find given my time constraints that just focusing on one group leads to a better evaluation, than jumping around to multiple positions. I see the Collins fit, yet Parons seems better. Biggest thing being Parons can take on blocks and still make plays, that's listed as a negative for Collins. Historically that's a trait Bill really values in his LBs.
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Post by congusgambler33 on Mar 29, 2021 12:41:19 GMT -5
If Bill sees him a good fit, he will straighten out his shenanigans. It could be that he just sees these problems not worth the pick. To me, He seems to be the perfect pick for the team.
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Post by texs31 on Mar 29, 2021 14:15:25 GMT -5
The dream reunion is over. Danny Shelton to the Giants.
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Post by rjp313jr on Mar 29, 2021 16:52:42 GMT -5
The dream reunion is over. Danny Shelton to the Giants. I know you are half joking but is there even a roster spot for him here?
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Post by texs31 on Mar 29, 2021 17:34:33 GMT -5
Probably not.
Couldn't remember if it was UMass who wanted it so I went with the generic dream.
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cdj
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Post by cdj on Mar 29, 2021 20:21:15 GMT -5
The most recent Deshaun stuff doesn’t look good for Deshaun
My opinion has done a 180 from the start of this and I think he may be a predator
It’s a nice reminder for me to let things play out
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Post by costpet on Mar 30, 2021 7:32:47 GMT -5
Makes him untradable at this point. Could be suspended for a length of time. Can things get any worse for Houston.?
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Post by rjp313jr on Mar 30, 2021 15:54:40 GMT -5
Makes him untradable at this point. Could be suspended for a length of time. Can things get any worse for Houston.? Honestly, a year suspension probably helps the Texans long term. They get about 15m in cap space back from salary and signing bonus he has to repay. They’d blow so would get a high pick / maybe even number 1 and if a QB emerges next year they can sell that pick and get a lot of draft capital back.
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Post by umassgrad2005 on Mar 30, 2021 16:56:49 GMT -5
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Post by umassgrad2005 on Apr 2, 2021 11:22:17 GMT -5
sports.yahoo.com/patriots-7-round-mock-draft-123049280.html?.tsrc=fp_deeplinkIt's interesting in the way they move back, yet also trade up, while stocking up picks for next year. Something that Bill would actually do. I haven't watched tape on Toney, yet I watched so much tape on Trask you can't help put notice Toney, Pitts and Grimes. I'm not against Toney if you think he can adjust, yet he wasn't used like a normal WR. More just as a weapon they used in many different ways. He's got the talent to be picked top 20, yet he's going to need the right system and the ability to learn traditional WR things. Phillips is again a huge boom or bust guy. It's not crazy, yet he has injury concerns and is more of a 4-3 DE. That could be a very risky first round. A little while back I basically shared his opinion on Trask, yet the 49ers trade kinda changed the market. The chances a Mac Jones slips far or a Fields/Lance just became unlikely. So you'd be risking a ton by going after Trask in the third. Not that I can't see him going 3rd/4th, yet I can now see mid second round also. Keep those seconds and take Daviyon Nixon DT and Trask in the second. Nixon is slipping on boards, yet every draft magazine is much higher on him 1st/2nd round grades. Some calling him the best pass rushing DT in the draft. Kinda of player we haven't had in a long time. A DT that can apply pressure on the regular and he's from Iowa Bill's good friend.
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Post by umassgrad2005 on Apr 2, 2021 12:20:32 GMT -5
2020 draft- Not what I would have done, yet outside Keene and that kicker they took players ranked where they were projected and in areas we needed. Taking Keene was just a head scratcher in the third. He just didn't show anything like that on tape and to make matters much worse they traded up while giving up a bunch to get him. I still consider this a good solid draft, just with two mistakes.
2019- I wasn't a fan of Harry's I don't target big guys that aren't fast and certainly not in the first round. I wasn't even considering him. Williams was taken around his projection, yet trading up for a guy who happens to play the position with the greatest depth on the team didn't look too smart. Yet currently looks to be the #3 CB so maybe he finally breaks out. I loved the rest of the draft, a lot of value picks. Even with Froholdt gone and Cajuste yet to play those were solid picks value wise. Harry is the real issue on what otherwise is a very solid if not really good draft.
The issues are really 2018 and 2017. 2017 you only have Wise and that's just horrible, yet they also traded a bunch of picks for players.
2018- If Wynn can stay healthy that would go a long way. Michel helped you win a superbowl, yet value wise isn't close to great for a first round pick. Dawson bombs and if I remember right we traded up for him, yet picked where he was ranked. The rest of the draft is basically Bentley so that's not good.
Yet let's not forget about undrafted free agents.
2017- Adam Butler
2018- JC Jackson
2019- Meyers and Gunner
2020- Myles Bryant and JJ Taylor
The drafting hasn't been great, yet it hasn't been close to horrible either. Last year was just as much about dead money, opt outs and replacing a legend QB than bad drafts. Hopefully they can focus on best available players and have a HR draft. They have the picks and the roster to do almost anything. Yet finding a franchise QB is never easy and we're asking Bill to do it for the third time without a top ten pick.
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Post by rjp313jr on Apr 2, 2021 14:38:10 GMT -5
If 5 QBs want to get taken in the top 10 then the Pats should sit at 15 and take best player available and draft Mond.
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Post by umassgrad2005 on Apr 2, 2021 17:27:18 GMT -5
I've been asking that very question, what do you do if you can't get an elite QB and what if they don't love Trask the way I do.
My QB rankings based on Patriots taking them, not overall.
1/2- Lawrence and Wilson that you have no chance at. 3. Fields- his processing speed and issues with pressure and with creative defenses gives me pause, the rest doesn't. Yet he's not as pro-ready as some think or needs a good landing spot that plays up his strengths. 4. Jones- He just fits the Patriots style, yet his value is getting kinda crazy 5. Lance- Massive upside, yet he'd have a long way to go in our system. Kinda of QB you gamble on, yet not top 5 for me, more like top 15. He’s just raw like we've never seen 6. Trask- He fits what we do and I believe he still has upside. 7. Mills- A smart upside guy, who has the Brady like ability to dart passes. Huge risks, offense wasn't NFL caliber, has a long way to go. Yet has big arm talent, accurate and gets the ball out quickly. 8. Newman- I like the physical package. Good arm, good athlete, can do some scrambling. Only one year of big production and looked lost when his top WR went down. 9. Mond- I might be ranking him crazy low, I just can't get over the bad tape. You aren't running our offense with him, you'd have to tailor it to him. Newman and Mund were the two least accurate guys I watched, Newman just did more when he had his guys. Another big part of this is that I see Mond going high, like 2nd round and that's too high for me. He's kinda like Lance, not that I don't like him, just not where he's projected to go.
If Fields slides I'm crazy interested. Trask is still the best value to fit in my book. Yet Mills would be my next target after him. I want to love Mond, I just can't get over his bad throws.
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Post by beasleyrockah on Apr 2, 2021 18:52:50 GMT -5
I definitely wouldn't take any of the non-top 5 QB's before the third round.
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