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Patriots 2021 Offseason Thread
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Post by rjp313jr on Jun 25, 2021 5:39:03 GMT -5
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Post by rjp313jr on Jun 25, 2021 5:42:19 GMT -5
If Keene can become half as productive as Kittle the Pats will have another good weapon. He could be better or worse but the traits are there with his college experience, athleticism and size so we can hope. Just work on blocking, it's mostly effort and technique. Heck Johnson was good for a guy with little to no experience with some development. We can’t mention Kittle and Keane together unless you are listing tight ends alphabetically. I get Johnson is a nice story but you don’t get brownie points for having a cool story or being good for not having a lot of experience. He also had a significant enough injury that caused him to miss a year. Keane also doesn’t have a lot of experience there so if he can be close to as good as Johnson, then you go with his upside. If he can’t be, then I don’t know why you keep both. There is a roster crunch so spots are valuable.
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Post by voiceofreason on Jun 25, 2021 8:38:22 GMT -5
If Keene can become half as productive as Kittle the Pats will have another good weapon. He could be better or worse but the traits are there with his college experience, athleticism and size so we can hope. Just work on blocking, it's mostly effort and technique. Heck Johnson was good for a guy with little to no experience with some development. We can’t mention Kittle and Keane together unless you are listing tight ends alphabetically. I get Johnson is a nice story but you don’t get brownie points for having a cool story or being good for not having a lot of experience. He also had a significant enough injury that caused him to miss a year. Keane also doesn’t have a lot of experience there so if he can be close to as good as Johnson, then you go with his upside. If he can’t be, then I don’t know why you keep both. There is a roster crunch so spots are valuable. You don't keep both, Keene is the fullback/Hback. And I only mention Johnson to point out that learning how to block if you have the tools isn't the most difficult thing to do. If he can be adequate blocking he could be a dangerous weapon as a target. Don't get too caught up in last year as few offensive skill players are ever very productive in their rookie years for the Pats, plus he was injured. He showed he had some skill and versatility in college or BB wouldn't have taken him in the third so their is some talent there. He is also a beast who could actually put on weight with the frame he has and still be athletic. I'm just hoping and being optimistic for the guy they drafted and the skill set he showed in college to transfer to the NFL. When I said "better or worse", I meant Keene being better then last year not better than Kittle. I don't think it is far fetched to ask can he be half as productive as Kittle as a TE/FB hybrid. That brings a lot of versatility to the 2 TE set, heck go heavy with TE's and Keene and Harry on the field. That is a very heavy run blocking group that "could" be dangerous with the play action as the D would be forced out of nickle with a lot of field to protect. Johnson doesn't count against the roster so I would think they are both on the team this year as he basically gives the Pats an extra player to protect for depth.
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Post by texs31 on Jun 25, 2021 9:32:14 GMT -5
Johnson doesnt count against the camp roster but he WILL count against final 53 if he makes it. Same as prior years.
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Post by voiceofreason on Jun 25, 2021 9:49:11 GMT -5
Johnson doesnt count against the camp roster but he WILL count against final 53 if he makes it. Same as prior years. Thanks, I stand corrected on Johnsons roster status. Maybe he is an easy practice squad stash given the state of FB's in the league.
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Post by jmei on Jun 25, 2021 10:35:40 GMT -5
I actually think it’s really hard to become a good blocker. Regularly beating guys who outweigh you by 10 to 40 pounds is not easy. Guys like Gronk who can both catch and block are the exception, not the rule. Keene has a lean frame and is going to struggle to put on a lot of weight. It’s not like he was great at getting open before, so I’d rather him focus on the pass catching side of things and try to make the team as the third TE than try to reinvent himself as a road grading FB, which he probably doesn’t have the physical traits to succeed as anyways. A good outcome for him would be making the roster and getting meaningful playing time. The odds of him become half of Kittle (one of the best TEs in the league who can both catch and block) round to zero.
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Post by voiceofreason on Jun 25, 2021 11:04:37 GMT -5
I actually think it’s really hard to become a good blocker. Regularly beating guys who outweigh you by 10 to 40 pounds is not easy. Guys like Gronk who can both catch and block are the exception, not the rule. Keene has a lean frame and is going to struggle to put on a lot of weight. It’s not like he was great at getting open before, so I’d rather him focus on the pass catching side of things and try to make the team as the third TE than try to reinvent himself as a road grading FB, which he probably doesn’t have the physical traits to succeed as anyways. A good outcome for him would be making the roster and getting meaningful playing time. The odds of him become half of Kittle (one of the best TEs in the league who can both catch and block) round to zero. Oh ye of little faith.
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Post by umassgrad2005 on Jun 25, 2021 12:10:39 GMT -5
Keane is just another in a long line of Bill taking a player based on character and flexibility versus his production and game tape.
Mentioning Kittle is crazy because Keane did almost nothing in College. I watched so much tape on TEs that year and nothing Keane did was impressive. Huge red flag when guys highlight tape doesn't look good. He was a 6th/7th round guy.
I feel he needs to work on being a fullback because that's the only way he becomes good. I can see above average pass catching as a fullback, not a TE.
If you want to dream on a TE, dream on Asiasi his tape was very impressive in College. He showed good blocking, the ability to make big plays down field and the ability to make people miss in the open field. I could see him becoming half as good as Kittle.
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Post by beasleyrockah on Jun 25, 2021 12:39:21 GMT -5
From what I read, Asiasi was receiving a lot of praise during OTAs. He's definitely an important piece, it's not a given Smith or Henry will stay healthy, and having a viable third TE would allow them to continue to run heavy 12 personnel even if one of the top two guys miss time. There's also the possibility of some rare 3 TE packages in short yardage situations.
I agree with Umass, Keene was always a reach, especially given the trade up cost. To be fair to Keene, he's a decent athlete and Bill said there was nothing he did in college that they'd ask him to do here, he was a complete projection/project pick. For the draft cost I'd think Bill wants him to stick, it's tough to draft a guy that high and admit he's a total project who needs to do new things only to cut him in camp during year two. That said, it's tough to see how they waste a spot on him if he can't fill a role this season. Being able to contribute as a FB/H-back hybrid with some ST value could be enough to stick. If he's cut I'd bet he's added to some roster, so practice squad seems unlikely.
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Post by umassgrad2005 on Jun 25, 2021 13:22:28 GMT -5
I've thought Bill was crazy for years with the roster spots he uses on special teams versus the impact on the field. Do what the rest of the league does, draft upside guys that develop while playing special teams. What if his special team guys are more about character, Patriot type players, guys that will do anything Bill asks of them? Bolden doesn't keep making the team just because he's that good on special teams, yet because if Bill asked him to jump on a grenade he'd do it. Guys like Bolden are like old NBA vets that you add to the end of your bench to help everyone else.
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Post by voiceofreason on Jun 25, 2021 13:58:16 GMT -5
Keane is just another in a long line of Bill taking a player based on character and flexibility versus his production and game tape. Mentioning Kittle is crazy because Keane did almost nothing in College. I watched so much tape on TEs that year and nothing Keane did was impressive. Huge red flag when guys highlight tape doesn't look good. He was a 6th/7th round guy. I feel he needs to work on being a fullback because that's the only way he becomes good. I can see above average pass catching as a fullback, not a TE. If you want to dream on a TE, dream on Asiasi his tape was very impressive in College. He showed good blocking, the ability to make big plays down field and the ability to make people miss in the open field. I could see him becoming half as good as Kittle. Keene was more than Kittle productive in college by the way. And what I am dreaming on is a FB that can do more than block, there is no room at the TE spot for Keene as he is surely 4th amongst them.
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Post by umassgrad2005 on Jun 25, 2021 15:31:13 GMT -5
Keane is just another in a long line of Bill taking a player based on character and flexibility versus his production and game tape. Mentioning Kittle is crazy because Keane did almost nothing in College. I watched so much tape on TEs that year and nothing Keane did was impressive. Huge red flag when guys highlight tape doesn't look good. He was a 6th/7th round guy. I feel he needs to work on being a fullback because that's the only way he becomes good. I can see above average pass catching as a fullback, not a TE. If you want to dream on a TE, dream on Asiasi his tape was very impressive in College. He showed good blocking, the ability to make big plays down field and the ability to make people miss in the open field. I could see him becoming half as good as Kittle. Keene was more than Kittle productive in college by the way. And what I am dreaming on is a FB that can do more than block, there is no room at the TE spot for Keene as he is surely 4th amongst them. Have you watched the tape? Keene was used as basically a RB on receiving. Tons of short throws were he runs a little bit with it, decent speed yet no power or wiggle type stuff. Kittle was a big play weapon, tons of big plays doing legit down field stuff. You see him using power forcing his way into the end zone. That lack of production got Kittle drafted in the 5th round. He was criminally underutilized, yet was also splitting time with Fant who would go onto be a first round pick. Maybe I shouldn't say underutilized, I don't know what happened, maybe he was double teamed all the time or they kept him into block. If Keene had Kittle's tape I'd say sure and look at the production. He doesn't, it's why they said he'll be doing different stuff on the Patriots because NFL teams don't use TEs like Keene was used in College. VT basically found a say to make Keene valuable to them in a hybrid role, Iowa didn't do that, Kittle played a Gronk type role for them. Blocking TE that is a big down field threat and end zone target. All you see on tape from Keene is a decent blocker that is sound, that they move around to drop the ball off to him. Almost zero targeting him down field. His best play a 67 yards TD was basically a RB screen play. He's not fast enough or elusive enough to do that in the NFL. He's going to have to learn how to get open down field and you have just never seen him do that, something Kittle did a ton of in College. You basically have to think VT missed used Keene and thus you can get more out of him by using him differently. I fear it's the other way though, they maximized his value having him do things he can't in the NFL. I do agree his likely best spot is some hybrid FB/Extra blocker. He'd be well above average as a pass catching FB. Heck he looks like more of a FB on tape than TE, when he runs he gets low like RBs do.
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Post by voiceofreason on Jun 25, 2021 16:28:15 GMT -5
Everything you said supports what I have been saying, make him a FB period. He doesn't need to get open downfield. It was my mistake to compare him to Kittle, I was remembering a period of time where the Niners were lining him up in the backfield so I was thinking hybrid FB/TE, that isn't how he is used.
The Pats have had FBs that aren't much of a threat with the ball for the most part so he could be an upgrade.
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Post by rjp313jr on Jun 25, 2021 20:36:07 GMT -5
Would someone like to explain to me what “half of Kittle” means?
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Post by rjp313jr on Jun 26, 2021 6:31:45 GMT -5
Conversation piece… here is what Bédard thinks the trade value is for Pats players who could get dealt. I think he’s too high for some of these guys and many will likely be pick swaps.(see what autocorrect did to his name- why? I have no clue - not fixing it tho):
Stidham (4th or 5th) Harry 3rd-5th Cunningham 6th Keene 5th Michel ... contract year 5th Cowart 5th Winovich 3rd or 4th Gilmore 2nd
It would be nice, if the Pats can flip 2-4 excess players for future draft capital. That’s rarely done, but this season is kind of an anomaly with them clearly having extra quality players.
On this list above, I really don’t want them dealing Gilmore or Sony. Both are too valuable to next years roster.
I feel like Winovich should be dealt. He’s a bad fit fit this team and the way they play defense and now he’s squeezed out of an easy to see role. If you can get a 3 for him or even a conditional 2 (say if he reaches 10 sacks), they should jump on it.
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Post by jmei on Jun 26, 2021 8:00:35 GMT -5
Those estimates generally seem a few rounds too high to me.
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Post by umassgrad2005 on Jun 26, 2021 9:30:17 GMT -5
Would someone like to explain to me what “half of Kittle” means? For me it's half of his production.
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Post by texs31 on Jun 26, 2021 9:34:10 GMT -5
Some of the Pats "film watchers" that I follow, felt that in a SF style offense, Keane would be more like the Kyle Juszczyk role (with, Asiasi in the "Kittle" role). Of course that was before last season and this offseason.
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Post by voiceofreason on Jun 27, 2021 10:11:46 GMT -5
Would someone like to explain to me what “half of Kittle” means? Skittles come in 5 different colors. It would be like getting 2 or 3 of the colors in a bag, hence yeah know about half a bag or so.
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Post by voiceofreason on Jun 27, 2021 10:19:38 GMT -5
Some of the Pats "film watchers" that I follow, felt that in a SF style offense, Keane would be more like the Kyle Juszczyk role (with, Asiasi in the "Kittle" role). Of course that was before last season and this offseason. This is what I was getting at, I think. Is it too much to ask for a FB that is also capable of making plays? Especially one that can play like a Hback and split out? Keene was going to be a project regardless of how they develop him. I'm just being about the possibilities, I don't think you can say no that isn't going to happen.
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Post by jmei on Jun 27, 2021 10:36:20 GMT -5
The Patriots’ offensive system hasn’t historically used that kind of gadget fullback/H-back, though. You see that more often in west coast offenses that have a lot of misdirection in their running game. The Patriots have instead been more of a traditional power/counter-style running game with pulling guards, double teams at the point of attack, etc. where their fullbacks are the more traditional big dudes who can block (think James Develin). Even their tight ends have more been the bigger guys who block and run up the seam (think Ben Watson, Marcellus Bennett, Dwayne Allen, Michael Hoomanawanui, Jermaine Wiggins). The exception was, of course, Aaron Hernandez, but he’s really the only one I can think of. That’s not to say that they can’t evolve their system, but it would really be a departure from historical practice.
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Post by umassgrad2005 on Jun 27, 2021 13:31:03 GMT -5
James Develin was listed at 6'3" 255, Keene is listed at 6'4" 253, fairly sure that's why a lot of Patriot sport writers have made the connection. If FB isn't what they see Keene as, what is it? They passed on a bunch of better prospects that went in the 4th and later. Guys that put up big numbers or tested better than Keene. If he's not a FB, then we likely waisted a third round pick and we traded up making things even worse.
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Post by jmei on Jun 27, 2021 13:59:52 GMT -5
I mean, if you don’t believe me, here’s Belichick on Keene right after the draft: “I mean, when you watch Dalton play, you just don’t see a lot of things that we do. The Virginia Tech offense didn’t really translate too much to a New England Patriot offense. That’s not uncommon with other players as well. It is what it is. I think the things you saw him do, which was his blocking, his effort to block, his toughness, ability to make plays with the ball in his hands, and certainly the intent of the offense to get him the ball was impressive. They did a lot of things to try to get him the ball one way or another: hand it to him, throw it to him, put him in different locations so that he could run with it or catch it and run with it. That’s what you saw. [...] I’ve already talked to him about that, that it’s going to be a big transition for him in terms of learning our system, being I would say more detailed, more specific on a lot of assignments, particularly in the passing game, learning how to block in close quarters. Again, he shows plenty of ability to do that in size, quickness and so forth. Just he hasn’t done a lot of it. He played quite a bit in the backfield, not as a fullback, but kind of an off-the-ball, sometimes a fullback location, but not really lined up behind the quarterback, but lined in the backfield, off the lines. A little bit of a different location than what we would normally use. He’s a smart kid. He’s athletic. He’s strong. He’s tough. I don’t see any reason why he can’t and won’t make those adjustments in time. We’ll work on it.”
He played three snaps in the backfield as a rookie, per PFF (compared to 102 as an in-line tight end, 26 in the slot and nine split out wide). If they were going to turn him into a Swiss Army knife FB/H-back, we should have seen more of it last year, when they were short pass catchers in general and fullbacks in particular. The Belichick quote above and his usage last year strongly suggest that they were projecting him into a traditional TE role that he didn’t play in college. That didn’t look great in year one, but he basically didn’t have an offseason last year and also struggled with multiple injuries. I still think he has a chance to stick on the roster, but suspect it’d be more as a traditional tight end than a FB/H-back.
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Post by umassgrad2005 on Jun 27, 2021 14:25:38 GMT -5
Well I'd say the bigger issue last year was lack of TEs and a whole bunch has changed since last year. I'd say signing two big time free agents at TE tell you how Bill feels about Keene at TE. So why wouldn't you change things up?
The issue is really as you stated above, the Patriots have never used there fullbacks as offensive weapons. So they'd have to create basically a new scheme and Keene likely isn't good enough to do that. Yet it highlights RJPs points about the Patriots being easy to read. A FB that can be a weapon in both the running game and passing game will keep the defense guessing. As a FB I can see him forcing defenses to actually account for him. Below average TE, yet instantly one of the best catching FBs in football.
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Post by texs31 on Jul 6, 2021 13:17:15 GMT -5
N'Keal Harry's agent just requested a trade for his client.
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