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Post by redsox04071318champs on Aug 30, 2021 14:41:38 GMT -5
1. Let's call it a "hot streak" rather than a "breakout" Don't get me wrong, I enjoy his .400 BABIP fueled rampage as much as the next RS fan. Let's enjoy it while it lasts! He has a shot a finishing the year with a positive WAR...that's more than most of us expected. 2. Well...yes...because it made all the sense in the world. I would have liked to see a "real" 1B acquisition. We only learned after the deadline what CB learned before: there weren't many available (basically just Rizzo at a very high price). I think CB just accepted that and got creative...which lead to Schwarber and his exceptional 0.6 WAR for the RS. Nicely done!On point 2... I think you're right about all of that. Heck, even I thought they'd get a mid-tier first baseman. But then Bloom got Schwarber and I was like "Well that's a heck of a lot better than Jonathan Schoop!" A lot of people reacted, though, as if they'd rather have gotten Jonathan Schoop, so fixated were they on the idea that the team needed a first baseman.
On point 1... Yes, he could still fall back to earth! And in fact I'll go out on a limb and predict he *won't* maintain his 200 wRC+ that he's had in August, lol. The thing is, though, that he's up to a 99 wRC+ for the season. And you mention BABIP but in fact his wOBA still hasn't caught up to his xwOBA. SSS aside, his large sample sizes are looking better and better. Since April 11th - not exactly deep into the season! - he has a .787 OPS and a 107 wRC+. He's flat out been a better hitter than Rizzo over nearly the last 4 months. In fact he has a higher wRC+ than Rizzo since the start of 2020 - i.e., since his career began.
I think good pitching exposes Dalbec's issues. He has hit well against lesser pitching. I don't expect him to fare well against TB or NY or Houston. I'm pleased he has hit well against the pitchers he has faced. His defense isn't very good at 1b. It's not that hard to see why it was felt 1b could be upgraded. As it was, Bloom got Schwarber with the idea he winds up at 1b this season. And he went and got Shaw as well
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Post by jimed14 on Aug 30, 2021 19:10:19 GMT -5
On point 2... I think you're right about all of that. Heck, even I thought they'd get a mid-tier first baseman. But then Bloom got Schwarber and I was like "Well that's a heck of a lot better than Jonathan Schoop!" A lot of people reacted, though, as if they'd rather have gotten Jonathan Schoop, so fixated were they on the idea that the team needed a first baseman.
On point 1... Yes, he could still fall back to earth! And in fact I'll go out on a limb and predict he *won't* maintain his 200 wRC+ that he's had in August, lol. The thing is, though, that he's up to a 99 wRC+ for the season. And you mention BABIP but in fact his wOBA still hasn't caught up to his xwOBA. SSS aside, his large sample sizes are looking better and better. Since April 11th - not exactly deep into the season! - he has a .787 OPS and a 107 wRC+. He's flat out been a better hitter than Rizzo over nearly the last 4 months. In fact he has a higher wRC+ than Rizzo since the start of 2020 - i.e., since his career began.
I think good pitching exposes Dalbec's issues. He has hit well against lesser pitching. I don't expect him to fare well against TB or NY or Houston. I'm pleased he has hit well against the pitchers he has faced. His defense isn't very good at 1b. It's not that hard to see why it was felt 1b could be upgraded. As it was, Bloom got Schwarber with the idea he winds up at 1b this season. And he went and got Shaw as well That's about the same as every single major league hitter.
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manfred
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Post by manfred on Aug 31, 2021 9:34:21 GMT -5
1. Let's call it a "hot streak" rather than a "breakout" Don't get me wrong, I enjoy his .400 BABIP fueled rampage as much as the next RS fan. Let's enjoy it while it lasts! He has a shot a finishing the year with a positive WAR...that's more than most of us expected. 2. Well...yes...because it made all the sense in the world. I would have liked to see a "real" 1B acquisition. We only learned after the deadline what CB learned before: there weren't many available (basically just Rizzo at a very high price). I think CB just accepted that and got creative...which lead to Schwarber and his exceptional 0.6 WAR for the RS. Nicely done!On point 2... I think you're right about all of that. Heck, even I thought they'd get a mid-tier first baseman. But then Bloom got Schwarber and I was like "Well that's a heck of a lot better than Jonathan Schoop!" A lot of people reacted, though, as if they'd rather have gotten Jonathan Schoop, so fixated were they on the idea that the team needed a first baseman.
On point 1... Yes, he could still fall back to earth! And in fact I'll go out on a limb and predict he *won't* maintain his 200 wRC+ that he's had in August, lol. The thing is, though, that he's up to a 99 wRC+ for the season. And you mention BABIP but in fact his wOBA still hasn't caught up to his xwOBA. SSS aside, his large sample sizes are looking better and better. Since April 11th - not exactly deep into the season! - he has a .787 OPS and a 107 wRC+. He's flat out been a better hitter than Rizzo over nearly the last 4 months. In fact he has a higher wRC+ than Rizzo since the start of 2020 - i.e., since his career began.
ADD: Don't get me wrong - if I had to wager money, I'd put it on Rizzo being better than Dalbec for the rest of the season. But Dalbec has been better by so much in August that it's going to be really hard for Rizzo to end up with better post-trade deadline stats overall.
I’m not sure I’d put money on Rizzo over Dalbec for the rest of the season. Rizzo seems to be a bit over the hill and a bit under the weather.
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