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2023 Trade Deadline Thread
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Post by greatscottcooper on Jun 10, 2023 15:37:35 GMT -5
If the Sox are in "go for it" mode I'd love to see what SS are available in the market. Even if they are in "straddle the deadline" mode and buy/sell at the same time it still makes sense. Ideally someone with 1.5 years left of control. That would set them up nicely for next year as well.
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Post by Guidas on Jun 10, 2023 15:38:22 GMT -5
Honestly I dont know if they have enough to trade that would get them much more than a middle reliever/utility player type. I think between Xander, JD Martinez, Eovaldi, Wacha, and Vazquez, they were in a much better position last season to get better returns than they would this season. Not sure I agree really. Turner>JDM (2022 version) Paxton>Eovaldi (2022 version) Duvall>Wacha Vazquez=meh
There's no one like Xander to trade this year, for sure. But it seems like they weren't going to trade Xander last year even if they had been out of the race at the trade deadline.
Duvall isn't much until he proves otherwise. He had a hot first 8 games, but he's only been a 2+ WAR player twice since 2017. Now, if he hits like he did the first week in April all through June and into July, then, sure, that's a playoff piece. Otherwise, he's meh unless someone needs a body in CF who might be able to run into one. Turner currently has a .403 SLG and a .340 OBP. Last year's version of JDM (.341/.448) was actually slightly better than that. If they're purging - and here's hoping they aren't - the pieces of value will probably Paxton if he can stay healthy and Jansen. The rest of the pick-ups in the lottery ticket bin are meh unless someone gets very hot and sustains it into mid July. ADDED: Kiké has some value based on his CF and 2nd base flexibility, and playoff record. But, again, you won't get much straight-up for him.
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Post by dirtywaterinla on Jun 10, 2023 15:55:01 GMT -5
Honestly with DeGrom out for the season, I've been salivating at the idea of trading Paxton to the Rangers. (I even put this in the previous series gamethread) Texas has 5 top 100 prospects and the number 4 overall pick in this draft. Currently, 11 of their top 13 prospects are either RHP or OF. Similarly 7 out of the top 8 prospects in the draft (all from mlb.com) are also RHP or OF. Meanwhile our best pitching prospect at the moment is either Mata, Walter, or Drohan. Drohan definitely hopped over Walter and Mata so far this season. It would be amazing if Walter & Mata turned into even serviceable relievers.
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Post by Guidas on Jun 10, 2023 16:11:41 GMT -5
The biggest issue that the team is going to face at the deadline is that the players mostly fit into two categories: underperforming vets or foundational youth. You’re not going to get much for the former and you don’t really want to trade the latter. I also wonder how last year’s mistakes will affect this deadline. You don’t want teams making unnecessary decisions based on prior mistakes, but I’d like to see that they learned something. This team is not built to be a contender right now. Don’t try and force it. I also wonder how much flexibility Bloom will have to deal. If the team is just a couple games out of the WC, how much latitude will Henry and Werner give him? In that case he probably needs to hold onto the short timers and deal from the farm to get an impact piece. If he's on the hot seat - and staring at another meh/.500 year around July 30-31 would likely mean it's pretty warm - he's going to want that piece or two to get into contention even more. I don't know if Henry lets him trade from the farm's top 10 prospects (let's say anyone but Mayer) to get, say, a #2 starter from Miami or Keller from Pitts or someone like that, or a controllable SS like Estrada from SF if they fall out of it (who's a capable SS but really a utility guy). Now, if they can go on a little 8-10 game streak and get solidly into #2 WC team territory, I think Bloom can deal. But on the cusp, it will be very interesting to watch.
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Post by incandenza on Jun 10, 2023 16:29:05 GMT -5
Not sure I agree really. Turner>JDM (2022 version) Paxton>Eovaldi (2022 version) Duvall>Wacha Vazquez=meh
There's no one like Xander to trade this year, for sure. But it seems like they weren't going to trade Xander last year even if they had been out of the race at the trade deadline.
Duvall isn't much until he proves otherwise. He had a hot first 8 games, but he's only been a 2+ WAR player twice since 2017. Now, if he hits like he did the first week in April all through June and into July, then, sure, that's a playoff piece. Otherwise, he's meh unless someone needs a body in CF who might be able to run into one. Turner currently has a .403 SLG and a .340 OBP. Last year's version of JDM (.341/.448) was actually slightly better than that. If they're purging - and here's hoping they aren't - the pieces of value will probably Paxton if he can stay healthy and Jansen. The rest of the pick-ups in the lottery ticket bin are meh unless someone gets very hot and sustains it into mid July. ADDED: Kiké has some value based on his CF and 2nd base flexibility, and playoff record. But, again, you won't get much straight-up for him. Turner's xwOBA is just about what JDM's was last year but he's cheaper; Duvall has been worth 3 WAR/600 PA since 2020, which is the relevant metric assuming he's healthy, and even if you think he's a 1.5-2 WAR player that's still a better piece, IMO, than what Wacha was last year.
The broader point is that (ex. Bogaerts) the shiny prizes the team had to trade last season weren't really as shiny as many people seem to think they were. Which probably had something to do with the fact that they didn't end up getting traded.
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carl4sox
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Post by carl4sox on Jun 10, 2023 16:37:14 GMT -5
What about a trade target? I think with the glut of middle infield prospects the reds have coming up, Jonathan India would be someone they may he able to get. Would you do a package built around Rafaela and Abreu? No. We need to keep Rafaela. We all hope Duvall is recovered and back to being amazing (for all 8 games). I have strong feelings about all the options, but here's hoping the Sox will be buyers, and that Story returns. Sale, too.
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Post by kingstephanos on Jun 10, 2023 17:00:10 GMT -5
No Thank You on "Trade Targets", please.
-Get your young players acclimated to the pace of big league play. -Target potential off season free agents -Trade current players you don't see as future roster mainstays (i.e. those previously mentioned) -Aggressively push your B/B- prospects. To challenge them and potentially use them as secondary trade chips etc.
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Post by dirtywaterinla on Jun 10, 2023 17:11:16 GMT -5
No Thank You on "Trade Targets", please. -Get your young players acclimated to the pace of big league play. -Target potential off season free agents -Trade current players you don't see as future roster mainstays (i.e. those previously mentioned) -Aggressively push your B/B- prospects. To challenge them and potentially use them as secondary trade chips etc. Yeah, I don’t think any youth should be traded unless the team is solidly in the WC standings and can get either Cease or Giolitto. Anyone else is just a big meh.
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Post by dirtywaterinla on Jun 10, 2023 17:13:22 GMT -5
What about a trade target? I think with the glut of middle infield prospects the reds have coming up, Jonathan India would be someone they may he able to get. Would you do a package built around Rafaela and Abreu? Hypothetically, a couple of trade targets I'd be interested in: Corbin Burnes (Brewers) - He's an ace and has this year plus one more before he's a free agent. He'd cost a fortune, but I think would be worth it. Brewers are in the third wild card spot, but would be smart to maximize his value. Dylan Cease (White Sox) - Also an ace, he's got this year plus two more. Again, a guy that would cost a small fortune but the White Sox may be willing sellers. Aaron Nola (Phillies) - The Sox probably don't need rentals and he's a free agent after the season so I'd prefer they just waited, but if they can do something reasonable and have an inside track on his free agency then it may be worth it. Ohtani - same as with Nola, but 200% more of it. Burnes, Nola and Ohtani would be a waste of resources and I don’t think their teams are in on trading them as all are in the hunt. Cease is really the only one I’d be interested in, but the team must be solidly in the 2nd wildcard spot if they’re going to pull off a trade for him.
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Post by julyanmorley on Jun 10, 2023 18:11:05 GMT -5
The problem with trading for guys is you have to outbid teams that are going to value their 2023 contributions a lot more than the Sox
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Post by alexcorahomevideo on Jun 11, 2023 5:39:42 GMT -5
Paxton Duvall and Kiké should not be on this team at the deadline. Get what you can and move on. Paxton himself looks really good but with the injury stigma I don't know if I would trust Bloom to get a top shelf prospect. Jansen is another guy who it would make sense to move but theres no rush with him or Martin even though the Sox aren't close to being contenders they could use them next year for the continued rebuilding effort.
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Post by kwodes on Jun 11, 2023 7:23:40 GMT -5
No Thank You on "Trade Targets", please. -Get your young players acclimated to the pace of big league play. -Target potential off season free agents -Trade current players you don't see as future roster mainstays (i.e. those previously mentioned) -Aggressively push your B/B- prospects. To challenge them and potentially use them as secondary trade chips etc. I agree we should avoid acquiring rentals, but I think adding someone who is young, good, and cost-controlled is absolutely something we should be open to.
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Post by umassgrad2005 on Jun 11, 2023 8:52:26 GMT -5
Yoshida because it feels like the rebuild is basically just starting and he's basically a DH.
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cdj
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Post by cdj on Jun 11, 2023 10:16:05 GMT -5
We’re basically a .500 team right now after tearing it down a couple years ago, I don’t think they’re at the beginning of a rebuild at all and I’d bet my left nut (not righty tho) they don’t trade Yoshida. They’re probably a couple impact guys away from being a legit playoff team, they aren’t THAT far off. This isn’t the 2020 roster or the Oakland A’s
For perspective they were way worse in 2020 than they are now and they were arguably a Laz Diaz away from the World Series the following season
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Post by julyanmorley on Jun 11, 2023 10:58:27 GMT -5
We’re basically a .500 team right now after tearing it down a couple years ago, I don’t think they’re at the beginning of a rebuild at all Yeah, things are looking fine for 2024.
This team is set to lose $50 million worth of departing free agents, offset by $25 million in salary increases. The pending free agents are on pace to only contribute a combined 2 WAR, so they should be able to profit by replacing them spending only the $25 million left.
The returning players should be an improvement. The biggest factor is that Trevor Story will likely play baseball next year, which he hasn't done at all this season. Whitlock, Bello, Houck and Casas, the team's group of talented young players, are on pace for a combined 3.2 WAR, you could see a big increase there. Unlikely to see much from new prospect graduations next year.
And then they probably increase payroll and shoot past the luxury limit. Add $35 million and that's another 4 wins.
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redsox04071318champs
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Post by redsox04071318champs on Jun 11, 2023 11:15:46 GMT -5
We’re basically a .500 team right now after tearing it down a couple years ago, I don’t think they’re at the beginning of a rebuild at all and I’d bet my left nut (not righty tho) they don’t trade Yoshida. They’re probably a couple impact guys away from being a legit playoff team, they aren’t THAT far off. This isn’t the 2020 roster or the Oakland A’s For perspective they were way worse in 2020 than they are now and they were arguably a Laz Diaz away from the World Series the following season I think the reason there was a quick turnaround in 2021 was because o think the core was better then than it is now. The core of 2018 was still pretty intact minus Price and the outfield, but Verdugo became part of the core. JD Martinez rebounded. Devers, Bogaerts, Vazquez, Eovaldi, Barnes, E-Rod and Sale came back, so that core from 2018 was still there and productive the way it was about 8 years earlier when the 2007 core was still largely intact for 2013 and Cherington actually did a great job filling out the rest of the roster. Bloom did a better job of filling out the 2021 roster with Whitlock his key pickup plus the freebie addition of Schwarber. I'd say the current core is nowhere near as talented or even stable, but where now is better than then the farm system is getting closer to helping. Other than Bello and maybe Whitlock the rotation features youngsters, although a number of them are probably better off in the pen. Mayer and Yorke and perhaps Meidroth look like they can help soon. Maybe Duran or even Abreu becomes a regular and I hope/think Casas is ready to blossom so they have better future options now than they did in 2020/2021, but again Bloom will have to make sure he fills out the roster well enough.
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TearsIn04
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Post by TearsIn04 on Jun 11, 2023 11:25:05 GMT -5
Thee Red Sox don't have great trade capital but they should make use of it where they can by moving what they have and subsidizing where they can to maximize the prospect return.
A highly subsidized KJ could bring back something. Paxton, if he's still in once piece, could too, especially since he's not expensive in real dollars or in AAV.
We have to be patient. The first year they have a shot at getting back to the top of the division, IMO, is 2025, so I hope they don't go over the LTT in 2024 and I don't mind them subsidizing some 2024 salaries for guys like KJ and Martin. They money available after this season is not enough to make a big impact in the FA market unless they go way over the limit.
There is zero chance they trade Yoshi. He will be a part of the next contending Red Sox team.
And nobody should be betting a nut - left, right, middle, upper or lower - on anything having to do with BB. 😊
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Post by umassgrad2005 on Jun 11, 2023 11:42:57 GMT -5
I said rebuild, not tear it all down or tanking. You have a ton of young guys playing, the future is them getting better and the next wave. Then money coming off for guys like Sale. Yeah looks like the start of a rebuild, where a GM spent money on some veterans trying to speed up the process. Get ride of salary, get more young guys playing time and prepare to be ready for Mayer time. If it works out, you should have the young guys, money and finally also a farm system to support a good size run.
Isn't that the goal?
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radiohix
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Post by radiohix on Jun 11, 2023 11:51:32 GMT -5
I would definitely trade Dave Bush for a PTBNL and cash considerations lol
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TearsIn04
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Post by TearsIn04 on Jun 11, 2023 12:10:31 GMT -5
We’re basically a .500 team right now after tearing it down a couple years ago, I don’t think they’re at the beginning of a rebuild at all and I’d bet my left nut (not righty tho) they don’t trade Yoshida. They’re probably a couple impact guys away from being a legit playoff team, they aren’t THAT far off. This isn’t the 2020 roster or the Oakland A’s For perspective they were way worse in 2020 than they are now and they were arguably a Laz Diaz away from the World Series the following season I think the reason there was a quick turnaround in 2021 was because o think the core was better then than it is now. The core of 2018 was still pretty intact minus Price and the outfield, but Verdugo became part of the core. JD Martinez rebounded. Devers, Bogaerts, Vazquez, Eovaldi, Barnes, E-Rod and Sale came back, so that core from 2018 was still there and productive the way it was about 8 years earlier when the 2007 core was still largely intact for 2013 and Cherington actually did a great job filling out the rest of the roster. Bloom did a better job of filling out the 2021 roster with Whitlock his key pickup plus the freebie addition of Schwarber. I'd say the current core is nowhere near as talented or even stable, but where now is better than then the farm system is getting closer to helping. Other than Bello and maybe Whitlock the rotation features youngsters, although a number of them are probably better off in the pen. Mayer and Yorke and perhaps Meidroth look like they can help soon. Maybe Duran or even Abreu becomes a regular and I hope/think Casas is ready to blossom so they have better future options now than they did in 2020/2021, but again Bloom will have to make sure he fills out the roster well enough. One reason I keep saying '25, '25, '25 is the core should be solid by then. This is due to my belief that Whitlock, Bello, Houck and Casas will be significant contributors by then. Raffy and Yoshi will be here and I still see Story as a good 2B, which is where he'll be playing then. They'll have to make a decision on Dugo. Other guys, like Wong, Duran, Kutter, Mayer, and fingers crossed on Rafaela and Yorke, won't be star level in 2025 but could all contribute at low cost. For me there are two questions. One is whether the crop of young players coming up, other than MM, will be enough of a supplement to that core to build a nice run starting in 2025. The other is whether the FO will make good use of the pile of money they'll have to spend during the '24-'25 off-season. They'll have a pot about the same size as they had last off-season. If they stay a .500 team this year, it'll mean they gained three wins over last year for about $80M in AAV.
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Post by kwodes on Jun 11, 2023 12:29:50 GMT -5
I said rebuild, not tear it all down or tanking. You have a ton of young guys playing, the future is them getting better and the next wave. Then money coming off for guys like Sale. Yeah looks like the start of a rebuild, where a GM spent money on some veterans trying to speed up the process. Get ride of salary, get more young guys playing time and prepare to be ready for Mayer time. If it works out, you should have the young guys, money and finally also a farm system to support a good size run. Isn't that the goal? I love the idea of just letting the young guys play. I think trading Verdugo would bring them back a good prospect or 2 and allows them to open up a spot for Abreu.
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Post by grandsalami on Jun 11, 2023 12:49:00 GMT -5
Yoshida because it feels like the rebuild is basically just starting and he's basically a DH. Lol no.
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TearsIn04
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Post by TearsIn04 on Jun 11, 2023 13:11:30 GMT -5
Yoshida because it feels like the rebuild is basically just starting and he's basically a DH. Lol no. He probably is a DH, but I'm Ok with a 135 wRC+ DH. That's roughly where JD Martinez was in 2019 for $22M. Hard no on trading him, unless of course another team is willing to do something stupid. Has Steve Cohen called?
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Post by pappyman99 on Jun 11, 2023 21:19:46 GMT -5
Turner, Martin, Duvall, Hernandez, Paxton, Pivetta, and Jansen should all be traded if possible, unless we go on some tear up to the all star break
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Post by bosoxnation on Jun 11, 2023 21:44:52 GMT -5
Turner, Martin, Duvall, Hernandez, Paxton, Pivetta, and Jansen should all be traded if possible, unless we go on some tear up to the all star break You want to trade both of our best relievers that are signed next year as well. Then next you will be mad we have the worst bullpen in baseball. That’s a downward spiral. You trade players you will have 0 intentions of resigning.
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