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Predicting The 2025 Opening Day Roster
nomar
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Post by nomar on Oct 12, 2024 15:14:21 GMT -5
Crotchet is a super overvalued asset IMO. Hasn’t proven he can give you innings and doesn’t have much team control.
Just sign a good FA pitcher for once
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Post by taiwansox on Oct 12, 2024 15:20:38 GMT -5
Crotchet is a super overvalued asset IMO. Hasn’t proven he can give you innings and doesn’t have much team control. Just sign a good FA pitcher for once This. Also he hasn’t even been a good pitcher consistently nevermind innings
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Post by thegoodthebadthesox on Oct 12, 2024 15:28:57 GMT -5
Crotchet is a super overvalued asset IMO. Hasn’t proven he can give you innings and doesn’t have much team control. Just sign a good FA pitcher for once This. Also he hasn’t even been a good pitcher consistently nevermind innings The workload thing is a super valid concern but the latter statement I’d like to hear some further justification on because that doesn’t seem correct to me
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Post by taiwansox on Oct 12, 2024 15:32:01 GMT -5
This. Also he hasn’t even been a good pitcher consistently nevermind innings The workload thing is a super valid concern but the latter statement I’d like to hear some further justification on because that doesn’t seem correct to me Look at his 2023 stats, he was also out for all of 2022. Super talented, former first round pick, but he doesn’t even have a consistent track record of performance as a reliever. That and the lack of controllable years
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Post by thegoodthebadthesox on Oct 12, 2024 15:36:29 GMT -5
The workload thing is a super valid concern but the latter statement I’d like to hear some further justification on because that doesn’t seem correct to me Look at his 2023 stats, he was also out for all of 2022. Super talented, former first round pick, but he doesn’t even have a consistent track record of performance as a reliever. That and the lack of controllable years Eh maybe we’re just talking about different things from a semantics perspective but I took that as you saying he hasn’t been a good pitcher when he’s pitched, which those whopping 12 innings in 2023 aside he very obviously has been. But if you just mean he hasn’t pitched consistently, sure. My stance on it is that every pitcher available is going to have warts, so it’s just picking your poison. I’d much rather have Crochet than Burns or Fried in a vacuum if I’m giving out a long-term contract, but these things obviously don’t exist in a vacuum. I think that signing Fried would be the ideal scenario but I also wouldn’t balk at a Crochet trade assuming the cost wasn’t as exorbitant as the guys speculated on the pod, because I don’t think pitching talents like that come available often and at a certain point you have to allow yourself some degree of risk. All my opinion of course, and there’s more than one way to build a viable pitching staff, but I’m considering myself open to anything.
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Post by taiwansox on Oct 12, 2024 15:49:03 GMT -5
Look at his 2023 stats, he was also out for all of 2022. Super talented, former first round pick, but he doesn’t even have a consistent track record of performance as a reliever. That and the lack of controllable years Eh maybe we’re just talking about different things from a semantics perspective but I took that as you saying he hasn’t been a good pitcher when he’s pitched, which those whopping 12 innings in 2023 aside he very obviously has been. But if you just mean he hasn’t pitched consistently, sure. My stance on it is that every pitcher available is going to have warts, so it’s just picking your poison. I’d much rather have Crochet than Burns or Fried in a vacuum if I’m giving out a long-term contract, but these things obviously don’t exist in a vacuum. I think that signing Fried would be the ideal scenario but I also wouldn’t balk at a Crochet trade assuming the cost wasn’t as exorbitant as the guys speculated on the pod, because I don’t think pitching talents like that come available often and at a certain point you have to allow yourself some degree of risk. All my opinion of course, and there’s more than one way to build a viable pitching staff, but I’m considering myself open to anything. The question is the price for sure. I’ve pushed for Alcantara who has a lot of risk post-TJ, but I view him as a better bet given his track record. We’d probably have to give up Mayer or Teel for Crochet, so the only way I see that as a reasonable move is we’re bearish on Mayer’s health like with Espinoza or Teel’s defense which is an open question. Get someone like George Kirby, I could see giving up Mayer and Abreu both as an overpay, but Crochet could really blow up in your face like the Shelby Miller DBacks deal. If we don’t have one of the Seattle pitchers on the trade market, I think you have to go free agency to improve rather than burn the top-20 prospects we have. There’s a big big difference trading a 50-100 prospect versus a top 20 prospect like our big 4. 50-100 is someone like Margot/Guerra/Espinoza instead of Devers/Moncada/Benintendi back in the day
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ematz1423
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Post by ematz1423 on Oct 12, 2024 16:01:40 GMT -5
Apparently Kim is hoping to be back by mid april-may from shoulder surgery. He's a guy who won't need a mega contract. Could be an option, especially if they really want to improve that defense. Not necessarily arguing for him one way or another but there's only so many FAs worthy of actually spending decent money on this year especially if they truly do have 60+M to spend. Another guy who could make Mayer or Campbell expendable for pitching, once again not that I'm arguing for that but just throwing it out since I don't think I've seen Kim really mentioned.
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Post by finaliz3d on Oct 12, 2024 16:07:23 GMT -5
Apparently Kim is hoping to be back by mid april-may from shoulder surgery. He's a guy who won't need a mega contract. Could be an option, especially if they really want to improve that defense. Not necessarily arguing for him one way or another but there's only so many FAs worthy of actually spending decent money on this year especially if they truly do have 60+M to spend. Another guy who could make Mayer or Campbell expendable for pitching, once again not that I'm arguing for that but just throwing it out since I don't think I've seen Kim really mentioned. Probably because any addition at that position would crowd up the infield further and take away resources away from spending on pitching.
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ematz1423
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Post by ematz1423 on Oct 12, 2024 16:14:29 GMT -5
Apparently Kim is hoping to be back by mid april-may from shoulder surgery. He's a guy who won't need a mega contract. Could be an option, especially if they really want to improve that defense. Not necessarily arguing for him one way or another but there's only so many FAs worthy of actually spending decent money on this year especially if they truly do have 60+M to spend. Another guy who could make Mayer or Campbell expendable for pitching, once again not that I'm arguing for that but just throwing it out since I don't think I've seen Kim really mentioned. Probably because any addition at that position would crowd up the infield further and take away resources away from spending on pitching. Kim is a plus defender at 2nd/SS/3rd. Like I said not really pushing for it one way or another but there are some rumors floating that they're interested in bregman/adames already. I'd rather have Kim than bregman if we're taking likely contract into consideration and can probably make an argument over adames too. Also like I said if they desire to go the trade route for said pitching addition signing Kim/bregman/adames makes it easier to deal Mayer or Campbell. I've made my stance known that I prefer to sign pitching vs trade for it but who knows, gotta keep every avenue open to try and push this team into contender status.
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Post by finaliz3d on Oct 12, 2024 16:23:02 GMT -5
Probably because any addition at that position would crowd up the infield further and take away resources away from spending on pitching. Kim is a plus defender at 2nd/SS/3rd. Like I said not really pushing for it one way or another but there are some rumors floating that they're interested in bregman/adames already. I'd rather have Kim than bregman if we're taking likely contract into consideration and can probably make an argument over adames too. Also like I said if they desire to go the trade route for said pitching addition signing Kim/bregman/adames makes it easier to deal Mayer or Campbell. I've made my stance known that I prefer to sign pitching vs trade for it but who knows, gotta keep every avenue open to try and push this team into contender status. And I gave you a reason why Kim hadn't been mentioned. It's already pretty niche for those who want Bregman or Adames or even Arenado, so a guy who has been injured and thus kind of forgotten about isn't going to be mentioned. I'm fine signing/trading, it all depends on what the deal is and who we are getting. I don't care how it gets done, just that we walk into March 2025 with a guy who isn't currently on the roster we feel comfortable with as a #1 in the rotation.
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Post by julyanmorley on Oct 12, 2024 16:44:15 GMT -5
MLBTR was speculating Kim won't even get the QO
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Post by dcb26 on Oct 12, 2024 16:46:07 GMT -5
Kim is a plus defender at 2nd/SS/3rd. Like I said not really pushing for it one way or another but there are some rumors floating that they're interested in bregman/adames already. I'd rather have Kim than bregman if we're taking likely contract into consideration and can probably make an argument over adames too. Also like I said if they desire to go the trade route for said pitching addition signing Kim/bregman/adames makes it easier to deal Mayer or Campbell. I've made my stance known that I prefer to sign pitching vs trade for it but who knows, gotta keep every avenue open to try and push this team into contender status. And I gave you a reason why Kim hadn't been mentioned. It's already pretty niche for those who want Bregman or Adames or even Arenado, so a guy who has been injured and thus kind of forgotten about isn't going to be mentioned. I'm fine signing/trading, it all depends on what the deal is and who we are getting. I don't care how it gets done, just that we walk into March 2025 with a guy who isn't currently on the roster we feel comfortable with as a #1 in the rotation. For the record, if the plan is to sign a FA infielder and reshuffle/trade existing IF options, I would strongly prefer Kim to Adames. Kim is a more versatile defender, hits LHP much better, and should be (significantly?) cheaper. When they're both healthy they are generally similar players, and Kim's injury is just an injury, he doesn't seem like any more of an injury risk than anyone else going forward.
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ematz1423
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Post by ematz1423 on Oct 12, 2024 16:48:54 GMT -5
MLBTR was speculating Kim won't even get the QO I did read that too, if he does not get the QO it's another potential plus to pursuing him over the likes of adames and bregman. Can't ignore that he's getting labrum surgery though and how that could impact his defense if his arm doesn't rebound well. Like I said just a thought but I certainly can get behind the thought of a Story Kim double play combo. Thatd be an elite fielding MIF with either Rafaela or Duran in CF would be elite up the middle.
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Post by finaliz3d on Oct 12, 2024 17:07:53 GMT -5
And I gave you a reason why Kim hadn't been mentioned. It's already pretty niche for those who want Bregman or Adames or even Arenado, so a guy who has been injured and thus kind of forgotten about isn't going to be mentioned. I'm fine signing/trading, it all depends on what the deal is and who we are getting. I don't care how it gets done, just that we walk into March 2025 with a guy who isn't currently on the roster we feel comfortable with as a #1 in the rotation. For the record, if the plan is to sign a FA infielder and reshuffle/trade existing IF options, I would strongly prefer Kim to Adames. Kim is a more versatile defender, hits LHP much better, and should be (significantly?) cheaper. When they're both healthy they are generally similar players, and Kim's injury is just an injury, he doesn't seem like any more of an injury risk than anyone else going forward. If the plan is that we have to sign an infielder, then yeah, I'd rather have Kim. I just don't think it makes much sense to sign an infielder whatsoever. Also... the only reason he might not get the QO is the Padres having such a high payroll they might not want to risk the chance he accepts because of his injury, he would have probably had another 4 WAR season if healthy. Or.. looking at it, he has a mutual option with the Padres for 7m which he's expected to opt out of... don't know what he'd get but i don't see a world where he's making less than 15m next year.
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Post by julyanmorley on Oct 12, 2024 17:19:37 GMT -5
It says Kim is targeting early May for a return to game action. I guess that means the beginning of a rehab stint, so add another couple weeks. And this is what is being said publicly on the eve of his free agency, so it may be wise to add a little extra pessimism.
I think the Padres are probably terrified of him paying $21 million for like 80 games of play while they're stressing about money. I don't really get why Kim wouldn't be able to get a 4 year/$70 million deal or something along those lines though
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Post by sxfan on Oct 12, 2024 20:34:35 GMT -5
I'm also leaning towards Max Fried myself.
His value isn't very high because he absolutely bombed his only postseason start. He's been inconsistent health wise.
Just remember though, if Max Fried is pitching play off games for you- He better have his curve ball working because the Padres exposed him and sat his on fastball/sinker combo.
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Post by sxfan on Oct 12, 2024 20:44:14 GMT -5
Kinda weird for multiple articles speculating on a Casas trade and nothing (that I've seen) speculating on an Abreu trade. He's easily the most obvious trade candidate. And the only trade-relevant quote from Breslow I've seen was about how "you can only have so many LHH outfielders and middle infielders," which are the obvious places where they do have depth to trade from. It makes a lot of sense to trade Abreu for Michael King. Stick Abreu in LF for the Padres. The Sox extend King, as a part of the deal. Go in King, Fried, Houck, Bello, Giollito/Crawford into 2025.
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Post by bellhorndingers21 on Oct 12, 2024 21:11:58 GMT -5
Kinda weird for multiple articles speculating on a Casas trade and nothing (that I've seen) speculating on an Abreu trade. He's easily the most obvious trade candidate. And the only trade-relevant quote from Breslow I've seen was about how "you can only have so many LHH outfielders and middle infielders," which are the obvious places where they do have depth to trade from. It makes a lot of sense to trade Abreu for Michael King. Stick Abreu in LF for the Padres. The Sox extend King, as a part of the deal. Go in King, Fried, Houck, Bello, Giollito/Crawford into 2025. No, it doesn't. Trading Abreu for 1 season of control for King would be terrible when they could spend what they would for extending King, without trading 5 years of Abreu.
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Post by finaliz3d on Oct 12, 2024 21:42:54 GMT -5
It makes a lot of sense to trade Abreu for Michael King. Stick Abreu in LF for the Padres. The Sox extend King, as a part of the deal. Go in King, Fried, Houck, Bello, Giollito/Crawford into 2025. No, it doesn't. Trading Abreu for 1 season of control for King would be terrible when they could spend what they would for extending King, without trading 5 years of Abreu. Okay, both of you, no. Wilyer Abreu does not have equal value to Michael King, nor does Wilyer Abreu somehow have even more value than Michael King. He has less value than Michael King.
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Post by redsox04071318champs on Oct 12, 2024 23:23:32 GMT -5
No, it doesn't. Trading Abreu for 1 season of control for King would be terrible when they could spend what they would for extending King, without trading 5 years of Abreu. Okay, both of you, no. Wilyer Abreu does not have equal value to Michael King, nor does Wilyer Abreu somehow have even more value than Michael King. He has less value than Michael King. Yeah, I'd trade a bunch of years of Abreu for a year of King and a chance to extend him, which would be very possible as I think hes from Massachusetts (could've wrong a out that, but I thought I heard he grew up in Mass). With Roman Anthony poised to take over RF I'd make that trade without hesitation. I guarantee you that while I'd make that trade there's no way in hell the San Diego Padres would make that deal. Crazy them, they want to win and feel having a top notch starter would help them. Plus they could easily spend the money to extend King or simply bring back Profat to play LF.
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Post by sxfan on Oct 12, 2024 23:49:53 GMT -5
Alright so let's see where the tradeable landscape is with the top of the rotation starter land is in 2025-
Michael King Crochet
Anyone else got any more suggestions? Mayer will cost you Crochet. I hesitate, but I'm willing to give that up as a last option. I don't want to do that, however.
Abreu is a guy that produced defensively and offensively more than what you could expect in your wildest dreams in 2024. Everyone is talking about taking advantage of Duran's high trade value, but same could be said about Abreu. He wasn't a top 100 prospect at any point in his career. While Duran was, and had the pedigree of being that type of player.
I'd 100 percent bet on Duran repeating a lot of his closer success of his offensive and defensive success versus Abreu. Abreu will probably repeat the defensive side, but no one can guarantee the offensive side.
That and you got to give to get. You got to be the best offer on the table to get one of those top of rotation types. A top 3 rookie of year candidate with 5 years control? At a position of need of one of their free agent holes?
Yeah that can get you King I think. No ones arguing against that. Everyone's arguing that's too much to give.
Again, welcome to the world of contending. What is the worst you're willing to give up to get that? This is the off-season to give it up.
The front office, the ownership, the whole franchise sounds like they're ready to go all out to get there. So get ready for the hurt folks.
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Post by redsox04071318champs on Oct 13, 2024 0:15:04 GMT -5
Alright so let's see where the tradeable landscape is with the top of the rotation starter land is in 2025- Michael King Crochet Anyone else got any more suggestions? Mayer will cost you Crochet. I hesitate, but I'm willing to give that up as a last option. I don't want to do that, however. Abreu is a guy that produced defensively and offensively more than what you could expect in your wildest dreams in 2024. Everyone is talking about taking advantage of Duran's high trade value, but same could be said about Abreu. He wasn't a top 100 prospect at any point in his career. While Duran was, and had the pedigree of being that type of player. I'd 100 percent bet on Duran repeating a lot of his closer success of his offensive and defensive success versus Abreu. Abreu will probably repeat the defensive side, but no one can guarantee the offensive side. That and you got to give to get. You got to be the best offer on the table to get one of those top of rotation types. A top 3 rookie of year candidate with 5 years control? At a position of need of one of their free agent holes? Yeah that can get you King I think. No ones arguing against that. Everyone's arguing that's too much to give. Again, welcome to the world of contending. What is the worst you're willing to give up to get that? This is the off-season to give it up. The front office, the ownership, the whole franchise sounds like they're ready to go all out to get there. So get ready for the hurt folks. Why must there be hurt? The team has a ton of money to spend and there are proven free agent top of the rotation starters available between Burnes, Fried, and potentially Snell. Why must the Red Sox trade away a prospect? Why should any of us care if they actually have to (gasp) spend money on a free agent pitcher? There's nothing saying that the Sox MUST trade for a starting pitcher. I understand the desire for efficiency in spending their money, but good lord, you'd think it's coming out of our pockets, that they're poor and can't afford it, and that life ends if the money isn't spent 100% efficiently? It's not a perfect world. Sometimes businesses have to overspend for quality. Really, not the end of the world. Can't have an entire roster of inefficient, but c'mon, there are quality pitchers out there that can help and signing them would allow the Sox to keep the best young up and coming core they've had in a decade. Let's not act like they have no way of helping themselves other than through trade. I mean, if they can trade from surplus like an Abreu or from lower tiered or blocked prospects (who aren't as good as the guys the Sox se as their core), then sure, go for a trade, but doing something dumb because they "must" seems kind of foolish to me given the position they're in.
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Post by sxfan on Oct 13, 2024 0:28:23 GMT -5
Alright so let's see where the tradeable landscape is with the top of the rotation starter land is in 2025- Michael King Crochet Anyone else got any more suggestions? Mayer will cost you Crochet. I hesitate, but I'm willing to give that up as a last option. I don't want to do that, however. Abreu is a guy that produced defensively and offensively more than what you could expect in your wildest dreams in 2024. Everyone is talking about taking advantage of Duran's high trade value, but same could be said about Abreu. He wasn't a top 100 prospect at any point in his career. While Duran was, and had the pedigree of being that type of player. I'd 100 percent bet on Duran repeating a lot of his closer success of his offensive and defensive success versus Abreu. Abreu will probably repeat the defensive side, but no one can guarantee the offensive side. That and you got to give to get. You got to be the best offer on the table to get one of those top of rotation types. A top 3 rookie of year candidate with 5 years control? At a position of need of one of their free agent holes? Yeah that can get you King I think. No ones arguing against that. Everyone's arguing that's too much to give. Again, welcome to the world of contending. What is the worst you're willing to give up to get that? This is the off-season to give it up. The front office, the ownership, the whole franchise sounds like they're ready to go all out to get there. So get ready for the hurt folks. Why must there be hurt? The team has a ton of money to spend and there are proven free agent top of the rotation starters available between Burnes, Fried, and potentially Snell. Why must the Red Sox trade away a prospect? Why should any of us care if they actually have to (gasp) spend money on a free agent pitcher? There's nothing saying that the Sox MUST trade for a starting pitcher. I understand the desire for efficiency in spending their money, but good lord, you'd think it's coming out of our pockets, that they're poor and can't afford it, and that life ends if the money isn't spent 100% efficiently? It's not a perfect world. Sometimes businesses have to overspend for quality. Really, not the end of the world. Hey champs, I respect your position on this, but- This all comes back to the best of the best. The most talented guys at the very top who you want at the top of the rotation starter pool. I think Crotchet and King are it while everyone you listed below, fall below and you'll get what you paid for at that point. No guarantee on any of this, but I think the franchise owes it to the fans to take a chance for the first time since the 2019 off-season to go for a shot at the post season. No one can seriously say they've made a effort to do that since then. The trade season is the off-season, even the mods here admitted to this. The dam has to break, at some point. Get the talent at the top of the rotation. You have the young lineup in place. I argue about Devers and Wong and their places in the lineup and where they play, but it's there. If Breslow is the GM I think he is, he can't sit and wait. That's what Bloom would do to be honest.
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Post by finaliz3d on Oct 13, 2024 0:40:33 GMT -5
Alright so let's see where the tradeable landscape is with the top of the rotation starter land is in 2025- Michael King Crochet Anyone else got any more suggestions? Mayer will cost you Crochet. I hesitate, but I'm willing to give that up as a last option. I don't want to do that, however. Abreu is a guy that produced defensively and offensively more than what you could expect in your wildest dreams in 2024. Everyone is talking about taking advantage of Duran's high trade value, but same could be said about Abreu. He wasn't a top 100 prospect at any point in his career. While Duran was, and had the pedigree of being that type of player. I'd 100 percent bet on Duran repeating a lot of his closer success of his offensive and defensive success versus Abreu. Abreu will probably repeat the defensive side, but no one can guarantee the offensive side. That and you got to give to get. You got to be the best offer on the table to get one of those top of rotation types. A top 3 rookie of year candidate with 5 years control? At a position of need of one of their free agent holes? Yeah that can get you King I think. No ones arguing against that. Everyone's arguing that's too much to give. Again, welcome to the world of contending. What is the worst you're willing to give up to get that? This is the off-season to give it up. The front office, the ownership, the whole franchise sounds like they're ready to go all out to get there. So get ready for the hurt folks. I think I threw out some names before, but here's an extended list: King, Crochet, Kirby, Gilbert, Miller, Webb, Gallen, Alcantara, Gray, Luzardo, Woo, Steele, Lodolo, Imanaga, Gausman, Lopez, Valdez, Lugo, Eflin, Cease, Civale, Manaea, probably some others but these are guys who weren't on playoff teams or are a year away from free agency. Not all of these guys are guys I'd necessarily want, or are guys who will be traded, but are guys who are considered a 1-3 starter. Probably forgot some guys.
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Post by sxfan on Oct 13, 2024 0:54:37 GMT -5
Alright so let's see where the tradeable landscape is with the top of the rotation starter land is in 2025- Michael King Crochet Anyone else got any more suggestions? Mayer will cost you Crochet. I hesitate, but I'm willing to give that up as a last option. I don't want to do that, however. Abreu is a guy that produced defensively and offensively more than what you could expect in your wildest dreams in 2024. Everyone is talking about taking advantage of Duran's high trade value, but same could be said about Abreu. He wasn't a top 100 prospect at any point in his career. While Duran was, and had the pedigree of being that type of player. I'd 100 percent bet on Duran repeating a lot of his closer success of his offensive and defensive success versus Abreu. Abreu will probably repeat the defensive side, but no one can guarantee the offensive side. That and you got to give to get. You got to be the best offer on the table to get one of those top of rotation types. A top 3 rookie of year candidate with 5 years control? At a position of need of one of their free agent holes? Yeah that can get you King I think. No ones arguing against that. Everyone's arguing that's too much to give. Again, welcome to the world of contending. What is the worst you're willing to give up to get that? This is the off-season to give it up. The front office, the ownership, the whole franchise sounds like they're ready to go all out to get there. So get ready for the hurt folks. I think I threw out some names before, but here's an extended list: King, Crochet, Kirby, Gilbert, Miller, Webb, Gallen, Alcantara, Gray, Luzardo, Woo, Steele, Lodolo, Imanaga, Gausman, Lopez, Valdez, Lugo, Eflin, Cease, Civale, Manaea, probably some others but these are guys who weren't on playoff teams or are a year away from free agency. Not all of these guys are guys I'd necessarily want, or are guys who will be traded, but are guys who are considered a 1-3 starter. Probably forgot some guys. Alright maybe I should be more clear, half those dudes aren't easily available through trade because their teams want them in their rotations beyond 2025. The Marlins pitchers aren't guaranteed to be top of the rotation types. They got the profile, but the Marlins aren't going to trade them now at their lowest point coming off injuries. (Eliminate them off the list unless you want to bank on them and give up a lot for a risk chance). The Mariners already said they're not trading their starting pitchers (you could change that if you overpay, but again that's not a readily available top of the rotation type I was describing). Guys like Gray, Lugo, Imanaga aren't guaranteed bets to be better than what you already have right now.
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