|
Post by tjb21 on Oct 1, 2015 13:59:32 GMT -5
Really hope he makes a full recovery.
Don't want him as the manager for the Red Sox.
|
|
|
Post by tjb21 on Sept 29, 2015 12:48:38 GMT -5
It's difficult to root for losses -- even if it could eventually help the organization.
|
|
|
Post by tjb21 on Sept 22, 2015 14:17:58 GMT -5
I'm excited for this kid.
|
|
|
Post by tjb21 on Apr 22, 2015 8:02:00 GMT -5
And our AL East opponents really don't scare me at all. Especially the Rays and Yankees. Orioles are probably the biggest threat. It's a nice feeling, not having to play great to (possibly) win the division.
|
|
|
Post by tjb21 on Apr 20, 2015 13:50:04 GMT -5
Keep it rolling--however it happens, I'm happy with a win.
|
|
|
Post by tjb21 on Apr 9, 2015 14:25:13 GMT -5
Copying my findings from the gameday thread: Year | Bases empty K% | Bases empty BB% | Men on K% | Men on BB% | 2012 | 14.2% | 2.6% | 13.0% | 9.1% | 2013 | 21.7% | 4.0% | 15.6% | 8.3% | 2014 | 17.5% | 3.1% | 11.8% | 7.8% |
RISP numbers are even worse than overall men on numbers. Basically, Porcello has been pitching much worse with men on than with the bases empty. If better coaching / gamecalling could teach him to always pitch as well as he does with the bases empty, he could be pretty damn good. Thoughts? I'm confused. Why would you expect him to pitch better from the stretch than from the wind-up? This is all pretty logical. Unless you've got an MLB baseline to compare this to, I'm not seeing the problem. Also, why are we using strikeout percentage for a groundball pitcher? Not to Bobby V.
|
|
|
Post by tjb21 on Apr 6, 2015 7:56:15 GMT -5
Beautiful thread! Looking forward to another year of learning.
|
|
|
Post by tjb21 on Mar 18, 2015 12:58:10 GMT -5
Great posts Norm, appreciate the insights and links.
|
|
|
Post by tjb21 on Mar 16, 2015 14:09:48 GMT -5
Kelly leaving the game is obviously not good.
Hopefully Amaro asks for Owens + Swihart + Betts + YM, just so we can continually hear about Cole.
|
|
|
Post by tjb21 on Feb 23, 2015 9:33:23 GMT -5
Me happy.
|
|
|
Post by tjb21 on Feb 18, 2015 10:26:30 GMT -5
AL East shouldn't be a great division, which helps.
I'll predict 85-89 wins semi-confidently. With a top 3 offense.
|
|
|
Post by tjb21 on Feb 5, 2015 16:14:45 GMT -5
Really nice deal for Boston. Stability for Miley.
|
|
|
Post by tjb21 on Feb 2, 2015 16:11:37 GMT -5
Chris Crawford lists his Red Sox top 15 including write-ups. Good read. 1. Blake Swihart 2. Henry Owens 3. Eduardo Rodriguez 4. Manuel Margot 5. Rafael Devers 6. Garin Cecchini 7. Matt Barnes 8. Michael Chavis 9. Deven Marrero 10. Brian Johnson 11. Trey Ball 12. Sam Travis 13. Michael Kopech 14. Anderson Espinoza 15. Edwin Escobar www.drafttotheshow.com/top-15-in-15-boston-red-sox/ Crazy that Brian Johnson was born in 1996. I do enjoy reading these write-ups, even if it is a side project.
|
|
|
Post by tjb21 on Dec 12, 2014 9:30:19 GMT -5
I'll go 85-89 wins, prior to any more major moves.
I like what they've done, the offense should be terrific to watch.
|
|
|
Post by tjb21 on Dec 9, 2014 10:20:18 GMT -5
Will be interesting to see how Boston uses their draft allotment, now that they've gotten rid of their 2 second round picks.
Thanks for doing this all, it's very informative.
|
|
|
Post by tjb21 on Dec 9, 2014 8:46:19 GMT -5
Masterson to Boston for 1 year. Book it.
|
|
|
Post by tjb21 on Dec 8, 2014 16:50:15 GMT -5
This is only bad news imo if we end up losing one of betts, mookie or xander. The price tag just got way too high with Lester. Yep. Too many other options out there as well.
|
|
|
Post by tjb21 on Dec 4, 2014 15:12:43 GMT -5
$20 million is still $20 million. That's a lot of money.
I won't rip on anyone for taking that much more money, regardless of what they may have said before.
|
|
|
Post by tjb21 on Dec 3, 2014 10:20:12 GMT -5
Really interesting work from Rob Arthur on Sandoval's unique ability to hit good pitches: www.foxsports.com/mlb/just-a-bit-outside/story/sandoval-s-unique-talents-outweigh-red-sox-roster-juggling-problems-120214This trend is something others have noticed before. Vince Gennaro of SABR has been touting Sandoval's ability to hit top-tier pitching for years, and Sam Miller of BP has noted how Sandoval somehow maintains a similar BABIP on pitches in the zone as he does on pitches outside the zone (suggesting that he's an excellent bad-ball hitter and that it's tough for even good pitchers to get him out). Just this past fall, Jeff Sullivan discussed how Sandoval doesn't really have a weakness, because he can hit pitches anywhere even close to the zone. This skill (which appears consistent enough and is tied enough to scouting observations that I'm confident is not just small sample noise) explains some (but not all) of Sandoval's postseason success, and I'd bet that it was something the Red Sox considered in signing him. (Of course, this is not an entirely positive skill. It means that Sandoval isn't punishing meatballs as much as he should, which suggests that despite six+ years in the league, his plate discipline/approach hasn't improved much. It's also a skill that doesn't look to age well for most players, because it's really hard to maintain the physical tools (think quick wrists/forearms, elite hand-eye coordination, and top-end batspeed) necessary to consistently hit unhittable pitches. But maybe Sandoval will be an exception, as he already is.) Thanks for sharing. He is just a really interesting player to watch. Still not a huge fan of this signing, but that study was fascinating.
|
|
|
Post by tjb21 on Nov 26, 2014 14:59:42 GMT -5
I mean I still think they'll spend at or near the luxury tax regardless, so I guess I'd say the extra $75M from their "profits" or "bank account" as opposed to their MLB spending pool. It's an educated guess, but I would still expect them to spend towards the limit, much like they did when they posted $50M for Dice-k, since if I'm not mistaken, that didn't count towards the tax limit either It doesn't count against the cap, but it comes from somewhere. It's a little naive to think that John Henry is willing to just spend significantly more money on the team out of his fierce desire to compete. If that was true, they'd have spent more in the IFA market in the last ten years (they've been more of a middle-of-the-road team in that realm historically, spending far less than teams like the Yankees and the Rangers) and spent more on payroll (if ownership didn't care about turning a profit, they could have regularly spent above the luxury tax in the last few years a la the Dodgers or Yankees). There are opportunity costs for every dollar spent on Monacada. Apparently I'm bad at the quoting function... but this is spot on^.
|
|
|
Post by tjb21 on Nov 26, 2014 14:58:20 GMT -5
|
|
|
Post by tjb21 on Jun 5, 2014 14:04:44 GMT -5
This is the least amount of knowledge I've had going into the draft since I started visiting this site.
Can't wait to read the hate on the first 3 picks though. I'm easily amused.
|
|
|
Post by tjb21 on Oct 14, 2013 9:18:54 GMT -5
Not sure if this was intentional, but on the 2014 Projected Roster, under the Pawtucket Starting Pitchers sub-column, it says "RS" next to Acquisition.
|
|
|
Post by tjb21 on Oct 4, 2013 12:23:37 GMT -5
I doubt that Salty would sign a deal like that. He can probably get 4 years $50 million or something like that on the open market. There isn't much catching to be had and he's younger than most free agent catchers. That makes him pretty valuable to other teams in need of catching. I wouldn't expect him to be thrilled with a 3/$25million or 4/$35 million package. He'll get a qualifying offer from the Sox. No doubt about it, but my guess is that it will be the Sox giving him 4 years and $50 million. I don't see him getting that many years/dollars from Boston, especially with the young guys coming up in the system. Think he could re-sign, but I don't think for those amounts. He should get the QO, and it could depress his external market a little. My guess is he signs elsewhere for around your listed price.
|
|
|
Post by tjb21 on Oct 4, 2013 12:15:24 GMT -5
sure is quiet in here......calm before the storm? I think most people are trying to get their work done early. This has been a really fun year.
|
|