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Post by Chris Hatfield on May 10, 2024 8:46:18 GMT -5
Buffalo [TOR] (Aaron Sanchez) The year is 2031. Baseball has adopted an EH in addition to the DH and fields are made of a synthetic polymer created to stimulate the feel of grass perfectly, meaning teams don't need to employ groundskeepers any longer. The minor leagues have been contracted to just two levels in the US; smart teams have at least 5 DSL affiliates. The average fastball velocity is 103. The average exit velocity is 106. Teams routinely have upwards of 15 pitchers on the IL. Aaron Sanchez is your probable starter this evening for Toronto's minor league affiliate. Edit: For context, I saw Sánchez square off with Brian Johnson in Manchester in 2014.guess I should've made it 2034...
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Post by Chris Hatfield on May 10, 2024 8:40:51 GMT -5
Happy Birthday Paul David Hewson I'm going to Ireland in August and you bet your butt I'm working fanboy stops into our traipsing around Dublin.
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Post by Chris Hatfield on May 9, 2024 19:22:31 GMT -5
Have to suspect Bleis is right behind these guys, right? Nah. Bit of a slow start.
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Post by Chris Hatfield on May 9, 2024 14:31:36 GMT -5
The point is to keep teams from holding down top prospects to game service time and team control, not to reward player development. Through that lens it makes plenty of sense, imo. Would be nice to have a better mechanism to establish the list though. Counterpoint though.....if you're a good enough baseball player to win ROY, aren't you good enough to want to manipulate service time (add gain extra team control)? Well, I think we all (including me) forget that if a guy wins ROY or comes in second, he gets the full year of service time. That's the key thing to guard against manipulation of any player. The pick incentive is extra incentive for top guys. Given how hard it is to win ROY (or finish high enough in MVP voting), a team might be inclined to take its chances on a top guy not winning.
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Post by Chris Hatfield on May 9, 2024 14:02:14 GMT -5
Well I think the incentive exists because top prospects are much more likely to be victims of service time manipulation. A good, pertinent example of this would be that there was a pretty solid amount of discussion this past offseason on this board of what to do with Rafaela and the Opening Day roster from a service time perspective, whereas I don't think many of us, if any, were particular concerned about the service time implications of Abreu's arrival to the team. I think, to directly answer your question, "the harm" in extending it to all prospects is it completely misrepresents the point of the incentive. In fairness to the argument of abreu and Rafaela's service time out of ST. Abreu had already been in the MLB and accrued service time. It'd have been pretty hard to justify keeping him down for the 2 months or so of time vs the 1 month or so that Rafaela would have needed for the extra year. FYI, entering the year, Abreu had 41 days of ST and Rafaela had 35. They were in the same service time situation. As for limiting the PPI eligibility, keep in mind this was collectively bargained. This wasn't MLB saying, "hey, y'know what would be cool?" The union is interested in protecting the players most likely to be victims of service time manipulation and got this concession. If they wanted more, they probably would've needed to give up more. The point isn't to reward a team with a pick that's getting awarded every year. The point was to get rid of the Kris Bryant "he needs to go work on his fielding so he's starting in AAA" thing from happening. That's way more likely with a top prospect than an off-the-radar type.
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Post by Chris Hatfield on May 9, 2024 13:10:51 GMT -5
Nope, you need to be on top 100 lists and he was not Wow that’s crazy arbitrary and if anything you’d think rewarding a team for exceeding all expectations developing talent makes more sense. The point is to keep teams from holding down top prospects to game service time and team control, not to reward player development. Through that lens it makes plenty of sense, imo. Would be nice to have a better mechanism to establish the list though.
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Post by Chris Hatfield on May 9, 2024 12:00:21 GMT -5
The Battle of Luis A+ - Greenville (Luis Perales) vs Hickory [TEX] (Luis Ramirez) 7:05 pm We gotta go Yeah yeah yeah yeah yeah
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Post by Chris Hatfield on May 9, 2024 11:12:59 GMT -5
Nice to see that Monegro's injury didn't derail him for too long, hoping to see some really good strides from him this year. Also, it didn't 100% register with me that there are two guys in the system with the last name Asencio, so I thought they were pushing Vladimir real aggressively and it just went unnoticed lol To be clear, he wasn't injured. It wasn't clear if he was technically on the IL or dev list (I could've sworn I saw the former but he was clearly on the latter when he got sent to the FCL this morning), but he didn't come into camp as strong as they'd have liked shoulder-wise.
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Post by Chris Hatfield on May 9, 2024 10:02:29 GMT -5
Johanfran Garcia was placed on the full season IL. Brandon Walter transferred to the 60-day IL. I may have just missed it but was it confirmed that it was the ACL? Not yet but this seems to imply it
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Post by Chris Hatfield on May 9, 2024 6:01:57 GMT -5
How do you evaluate AAA hitters? A guy like Kavadas lighting it up, but then you look at Valdez and Dalbec who are also ripping up AAA but couldn't hit a thing in the MLB. Not by looking purely at results. Kavadas still swings and misses in the zone a decent amount. He sees a ton of pitches, which is good, but as a TTO guy with swing and miss, you've got to adjust expectations regarding what he'll do against MLB pitching. He's got good judgment as far as the zone, which is good, but I've always thought he'd have a hard time with pitchers who can throw quality pitches in the zone. Pretty big L/R split too. We recorded a pod last night and discussed a little about how maybe he gets a shot if one of the new guys is still really struggling after a month or so, but again, I'm tempering expectations.
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Post by Chris Hatfield on May 8, 2024 6:19:58 GMT -5
Houck’s career high innings total is 119 - majors or minors. He’s already almost halfway there. There may be workload factors into giving both Houck and Crawford extra days as the schedule allows. Our available starting pitchers were handled that way well into last summer until it was no longer feasible. He threw 139 in 2019 if you count the AFL and Premier12 tournament, fwiw.
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Post by Chris Hatfield on May 7, 2024 21:51:24 GMT -5
Can Valdez get some 1stbase rep? I know he just became an adequate 2nd baseman, but the Dom Smith, Garette Cooper hybrid ain't doing it for me (I know it's early in their Red Sox tenures) That said, not sure what the rush is to go back to Valdez at a position that puts even more pressure on the bat...
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Post by Chris Hatfield on May 7, 2024 20:01:33 GMT -5
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Post by Chris Hatfield on May 7, 2024 11:19:38 GMT -5
MLB.com updated the ROY after the first month and Wilyer is coming in at #5. Ceddanne also got a vote. The frightening Mason Miller comes in at #2. I can't recall a RP ever winning ROY but Miller could be the first. Would love for one of the Sox rookies to sneak into the top 2 but there are so many young studs in the game. 1. Cowser - 17 2. Mason Miller - 14 3. Evan Carter - 5 4. Wyatt Langford - 2 Relievers who've won rookie of the year: 2020: Devin Williams 2011: Craig Kimbrel 2010: Neftali Feliz 2009: Andrew Bailey 2005: Huston Street 2000: Kaz Sasaki 1999: Scott Williamson 1989: Gregg Olson 1986: Todd Worrell 1980: Steve Howe ... Etc. Etc.
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Post by Chris Hatfield on May 7, 2024 10:47:18 GMT -5
The one that stands out to me is Asencio. Aggressive ranking for a 17-year-old international signee who I don't think has played professionally yet. Hopefully BA is on to something there! He got a 7-figure bonus so I get the hedge. Plus there's always the phenomenon we discuss that if you have a certain number of spots, sometimes you're going to want to get certain guys on there, so you may be inclined to include them in, say, a top 30 whereas if you had 40 spots, that guy might rank a bit lower. Not saying that definitely happened here, and it's less of a thing now that BA updates more often, but it is a thing.
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Post by Chris Hatfield on May 7, 2024 10:45:08 GMT -5
Perhaps the confusion about eligibility stems from the fact that the three guys who graduated all did have prior service time entering the year. Slaten did not.
Also, the value is simply capped on relievers. That's doing a lot of work here too.
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Post by Chris Hatfield on May 6, 2024 14:49:04 GMT -5
Pablo Reyes cleared waivers and is staying with the Red Sox, per Cotillo. Same for Vladimir Gutierrez, per Francys Romero. They'll put the Red Sox one over on the domestic reserve list. My guess is something involving Walter, who doesn't seem close, or Roberto Perez, on whom there's been nothing.
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Post by Chris Hatfield on May 6, 2024 12:31:07 GMT -5
The way you read about him, I was thinking it was going to be insane stuff with buckshot accuracy, but it seems less interesting than that after a quick look. Guys with insane stuff and buckshot accuracy don't usually get sold for cash, jus sayin True. Sometimes they just get DFA'd.
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Post by Chris Hatfield on May 6, 2024 12:00:25 GMT -5
And fwiw, while he wasn't full time there, he was primarily a LF starting in like May of last year (coinciding roughly with Meidroth's promotion), also getting some time at 3B.
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Post by Chris Hatfield on May 6, 2024 9:44:02 GMT -5
This just reminded me that it's been yet another season of Lugo just hanging around the top 20 with absolutely no one having anything to say about him ever. Think this thread can make it to 20 comments before he starts in his first all-star game for Boston? Well, it's been another 17 months. Time to mention the guy again? I was wondering about his being a LFer now. Was the move because his defense didn't play in the infield, even at 3B, or because the team was prioritizing playing time for so many guys ahead of him?
Both.
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Post by Chris Hatfield on May 4, 2024 11:22:01 GMT -5
Raimundo De Los Santos batting second is interesting. They usually tell you what they think of everyone by the batting order. He signed a year late for under 10k and then didn't do great in the DSL. To your point, led off in July and August for one of the DSL affiliates. May have turned a corner in August looking at monthly splits.
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Post by Chris Hatfield on May 4, 2024 9:21:03 GMT -5
Cespedes middle of next week. Romero next week as well.
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Post by Chris Hatfield on May 4, 2024 8:47:39 GMT -5
FCL game 1 lineup: Franklin Arias SS Raimundo De Los Santos CF Kleyver Salazar C Andruw Musett 1B Starlyn Nunez 3B Karim Ayubi RF Yohander Linarez 2B Armando Sierra DH Kelvin Diaz LF Luis Jerez SP Cespedes might still be banged up. Also no Mikey Romero - I believe Speier said he would be rehabbing with the FCL to start their season. Hatfield said that. Looks like it's not happening yet.
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Post by Chris Hatfield on May 3, 2024 14:45:48 GMT -5
Of note, with the players coming up and Dalbec and Joely going down, I've got the domestic reserve list full at 165.
Presumably Alvaro Mejias, who I've confirmed got Tommy John, goes on long-term IL to open a spot, but something to watch there.
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Post by Chris Hatfield on May 3, 2024 13:40:31 GMT -5
Fwiw, in a SSS, the chase rate is much better this year. But on all of this stuff, I'm not drawing conclusions in either direction yet. Heck, look at what Campbell has done to his line in 3 games.
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