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Post by jchang on Apr 11, 2015 14:07:23 GMT -5
Now that all five pitchers have a start, I am glad we did not trade for a "1" pitcher.
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Post by jchang on Apr 8, 2015 14:54:12 GMT -5
A "proven 15 game winner" is someone who has several 15 win seasons, such that he is probably well over 30, ... oh yeah, probably on the downside of a very good career,
just like Pujols was a proven 328/420/617 hitter when the Angels signed him.
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Post by jchang on Apr 8, 2015 12:21:01 GMT -5
I saw in my cristal ball this morning Porcello having an RBI hit today. smart to not specify the exact pitch number. Great prediction on the Mookie HR in gm 1, too bad it was on the 3rd pitch?
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Post by jchang on Apr 7, 2015 7:50:30 GMT -5
Fun with small samples. Pedroia accumulated 0.4 fWAR yesterday. In addition to he his 624 wRC+ he also had one DRS. On pace for the first 64 WAR player in baseball history. fWAR baseline is 52 wins, so Pedy + replacement level = 116 W, if we throw HR, then we be north of 162W?
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Post by jchang on Apr 6, 2015 16:58:01 GMT -5
a HR is not a BABIP? so we still have a BABIP problem?
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Post by jchang on Apr 6, 2015 14:57:53 GMT -5
Baseball Is Coming! So excited although night games start at 1 am where I live heh. Mookie takes Hamels deep on the second pitch he sees! I am trying to follow on gamecast, was the Mookie HR on the 2nd pitch?
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Post by jchang on Apr 3, 2015 12:00:07 GMT -5
In another market. 82 wins would be a positive view. In bos anything less than serious WS contention is negative. Also factor the perspective relative to 162 win expectation in 2011.
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Post by jchang on Mar 16, 2015 12:57:47 GMT -5
Betts for Trout straight up seems fair to me, plus cash
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Post by jchang on Mar 15, 2015 10:21:26 GMT -5
I am anxiously waiting for a report on Travis Shaw. Is he going to be more than an up and down (grade 3). So if any one has seen him, please pass along any observations.
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Post by jchang on Mar 15, 2015 10:12:02 GMT -5
If you are throwing a pitch that is highly deceptive to the batter, perhaps control problems are not unexpected, otherwise it might not be too deceptive?
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Post by jchang on Feb 28, 2015 17:29:29 GMT -5
You would probably run faster when jj watt or clay matthews was gunning for you.
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Post by jchang on Feb 24, 2015 16:02:33 GMT -5
I think a 20-year lease at a nominal rate makes more sense than gifting the land. If the plot were larger than necessary for a ball park, then it could make sense to grant sufficient land for a ballpark, making the remaining land more valuable. That's the US government acquired DC.
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Post by jchang on Feb 23, 2015 14:29:32 GMT -5
Consider that Owens 3 full season progression, 101 -> 135 -> 159 IP, average 4.4, 5.2 and 6.1 IP per start, every indication is that he is getting stronger each season, as would be expected for a person from age 19 to 21. He has been effective with his combination of pitches, with the FB at 88-90 during this entire period. The conclusion should be that he is not pitching for the radar gun. I do find the last 6 six games in AAA interesting. His ERA went up. Some suggested this could be simply fatigue, it is definitely also a very small sample size. I am not convinced it is fatigue, as he did continue his 6+ IP per game pace, including on 8 IP. It could be that the more experienced AAA hitters are better at judging his pitches. If Owens continues to be successful with a 88-90 FB, I don't see why he would try to throw harder.
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Post by jchang on Feb 23, 2015 14:17:28 GMT -5
Greenville and Salem both have great stadiums. As much as Portland is a great city, the stadium is not up to par with A/A+. I have not been to McCoy, but if its better than Portland, that would be the more practical move.
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Post by jchang on Aug 15, 2014 17:29:34 GMT -5
one of the prospects mentioned that their food allowance was $25 per day. funny, I can draw 61/day depending on the location, but I don't eat 1/3 as much when I was young. Perhaps there should be a special double/triple allowance for the skinning DR kids that we want to fill out?
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Post by jchang on Aug 12, 2014 19:55:01 GMT -5
Almanzar has enough AB now to say that he is not a hot streak and he is a decent prospect, not one who belongs at 46. I would like to him in the top 20, but considering the other prospects in the 21-30 group, somewhere in there is good.
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Post by jchang on Aug 11, 2014 10:15:26 GMT -5
there was a consistent pattern to Owens starts in Greenville in the first several games. he would get strikeouts in the first 3 innings, then get hit in the fourth. after that, he had a pretty good run on starts with 5+ IP. So you could immediately see that there was something to build on. Ball had two 5IP games at the begining, then 0.2 IP in starts #4 and 6. Perhaps people panicked because Ball was a #7 pick versus #36 for Owens
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Post by jchang on Aug 10, 2014 20:18:42 GMT -5
I can see Ball working his way into the top 10 sometime next year. I should be able to catch some of his games in Salem. will speculate then.
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Post by jchang on Aug 7, 2014 17:11:02 GMT -5
I can wait till late May for Sam to make it to Salem. Both Potomac and Frederick are close, and Salem is a 3.5hr drive.
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Post by jchang on Aug 7, 2014 16:59:25 GMT -5
the original quote was "without a ton of movement" which is not the same as no movement. So JD is saying that location + pitchability + movement on the secondary pitches can dominate in the minors. I don't its worth arguing over whether Johnson could project as more than a 4/5 starter. He is playing good enough that he could a shot in Boston mid/late next year. Other people pine for a 1/2 starter, but those are hard to find. A good 4 starter playing for min salary saves the club $10M/yr on a free agent starter, that could be used elsewhere.
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Post by jchang on Aug 7, 2014 10:40:06 GMT -5
He gets up to 94, but he sits at 88-90, without a ton of movement. funny that with a 88-90 FB without a ton of movement, Johnson can lead all of AA (Eastern,Southern and Texas) in ERA, and between all of AA & AAA, only one other pitcher has better ERA
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Post by jchang on Aug 6, 2014 12:40:05 GMT -5
HOF ability is really tough to project on any young pitcher. Amen. We're complaining that its difficult for us to project HOF? what burden does it put on the prospect who might be 18-20yr old?
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Post by jchang on Aug 5, 2014 21:55:36 GMT -5
Johnson's homepage "Projects as a reliever, but has ceiling of a No. 5 starter" of course, that was probably at the beginning of the season (or when he was drafted?) when he was grade 4? grade 5 does correspond to project as 4/5 starter, but the words has not been updated since? Ah, thanks for the heads up. We just updated. For another pitcher having a good year, I would have been patient waiting for this off-season for the words to be adjusted. But most of our highly regarded pitching prospects ran into trouble at AA. Owens broke the pattern. And then Johnson, who wasn't even that highly regarded at the beginning of the season, followed in such spectacular fashion, so I felt we should acknowledge his season.
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Post by jchang on Aug 5, 2014 21:29:54 GMT -5
Johnson's homepage "Projects as a reliever, but has ceiling of a No. 5 starter" of course, that was probably at the beginning of the season (or when he was drafted?) when he was grade 4? grade 5 does correspond to project as 4/5 starter, but the words has not been updated since?
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Post by jchang on Aug 5, 2014 21:11:10 GMT -5
I think it is time to raise Johnson's projection from reliever & 5th starter ceiling to 4/5 starter. Why is it people cannot let go of the radar gun and judge on pitching. Has Ball shown enough progress that he could start in Salem next year?
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