SoxProspects News
|
|
|
|
Legal
Forum Ground Rules
The views expressed by the members of this Forum do not necessarily reflect the views of SoxProspects, LLC.
© 2003-2024 SoxProspects, LLC
|
|
|
|
|
Forum Home | Search | My Profile | Messages | Members | Help |
Welcome Guest. Please Login or Register.
Recent Posts
|
Post by jmei on May 16, 2024 13:47:44 GMT -5
This is kind of what I'm talking about. It's literally in the rulebook that "overt actions indicating resentment to a call or no-call" results in a technical foul, but he keeps doing it in his seventh year in the league. It's a little thing but should be so easy to fix. Stuff like this and the iso pullup stuff has persisted across three coaching staffs so it's more of a Tatum issue than a coaching issue.
|
|
|
Post by jmei on May 16, 2024 13:40:43 GMT -5
I hope people fall for this meaningless crap so we can deal him for a real star or at least enough picks so we can find a real one. To be fair, he also shot 27.3% from three and 44.1% overall in this series (and 28.1%/43.0% for the playoffs). The rebounds and assists are a great sign, but the scoring has been pretty inefficient.
|
|
|
Post by jmei on May 16, 2024 9:30:42 GMT -5
Couple quick thoughts:
-Even really good teams lose sometimes, especially in this day and age when three-point shooting variance matters so much. Not a surprise that the two games they lost were games in which they shot really poorly and the other team shot really well. Because the Celtics shoot so many threes, they will be subject to a clunker every now and again based on variance alone. With that said, it's still frustrating to see them play inconsistently and they need to pick it up against better talent - but they've also shown the ability to do that.
-They really missed Porzingis both offensively and defensively versus the Cavs. On offense, his versatility on the pick and roll/pop and ability to post up mismatches really supercharges their offense and helps prevent those stagnant periods where they just pass the ball around the perimeter but don't get into the paint. Defensively, you saw both Horford and Kornet get hurt on switches and against a more athletic big in Mobley.
-The Cavs were definitely hurt by not having Mitchell (especially) and Allen, but it didn't hurt them as much as you'd think. They were able to fill in with players who were better at stretching the floor and needed the ball less in their hands (Strus, Wade, Morris, Niang, Merrill), which gave them better spacing and juiced up their offense. Of course, it also really hurt their defense, which sunk them in the end, but the point is that their regular starting lineup had some clunky fits (Mitchell/Garland and Allen/Mobley) and so losing those guys negatively impacted their team less than you'd expect based on talent alone.
|
|
|
Post by jmei on May 16, 2024 5:55:15 GMT -5
Save it for the Finals otherwise the team that made it to the Semi's going 8 and 2 winning nearly every game by double digits by definition makes you the boy that cried wolf. You are not a realist but a nervous nelly. It reminds me of my wife, she'll be wrong 9 times then right the tenth and I ask her do you think this justifies the other 9 times, and I'm dumbfounded when this intelligent person answers yes. Look back at nearly every single Championship year and there were bumps along the way, moments when you could whine about this or that. I'd rather hop on the bus and have it crash then be telling everyone on the bus we are about to crash the whole way. Sure you may be right here and there but good god it's annoying to everyone else. I'd rather take the gut wrenching punch to the stomach and be wrong and believe than tell everyone the sky is falling and be proud of myself the occasional time I'm right. But that's just me. I can take the disappointment because the trip is better when you enjoyed it along the way. This will always be true. The fact that you would keep track of 9 times your wife is wrong in a conversation is wild. I’m starting to get a unique insight into your psyche. For you, sports are not a realistic depiction of how one may overcome obstacles or fall short of doing so. For you sports are a whimsical escape from a nightmarish home life. I apologize for robbing you of the balm that has soothed the pounding of your very real trauma. I just warned you about steering clear of the personal stuff. Cut it out.
|
|
|
Post by jmei on May 15, 2024 14:00:53 GMT -5
The thing with Tatum is that his weaknesses are all judgment-based, not skill-based. It's not that he's just not a good enough shooter or that he can't keep up on defense. It's that he takes bad iso pull-up threes during clutch moments and complaints to the refs instead of getting back on D. Those are weaknesses that would seem so easy to fix to fans but which persist season after season.
|
|
|
Post by jmei on May 13, 2024 5:47:36 GMT -5
What I like is he complained that the 14 point lead should be 24 and that we won by 13 is just perfect. Just as I said Basketball is a game of runs and the fact that the game ended up only 1 point different than the very lead he complained about proved beyond any doubt it did in fact not matter and runs in fact do happen. I had Cleveland as a dark horse in the East before the year began, they are a solid team that deserves to be where they are. He had to belittle, 'the enjoy the journey', part to, smh, when you wrong your wrong, owe up and move on. No harm no foul. Here are a few rules of thumb for you Jody. 1. If you are so beside yourself that you can’t figure out who is posting what, take a deep breath, and walk away. 2. If the weight of your rage-typing prevents you from spelling correctly or forming coherent sentences, take a walk around the block and try again later. 3. If you begin engendering support from fellow posters as an exercise in logic, let the red drain from your face, and move on. If at any time you begin a rage response without comprehending the post you are responding to, feel free to consult rules 1 through 3 and start again. I’m coming in late here, but please knock off this kind of personal stuff. Thanks.
|
|
|
Post by jmei on May 7, 2024 19:57:38 GMT -5
When Tatum isn’t playing well offensively, it affects the rest of his game. He complains to the refs, doesn’t get back on defense, picks up frustration fouls and the like.
|
|
|
Post by jmei on May 7, 2024 19:40:50 GMT -5
Hero mode Tatum sucks. It kills the rest of the offense, he’s inefficient (taking the worst kind of contested long jumpers) and makes it easy for the other defense.
|
|
|
Post by jmei on May 3, 2024 6:42:52 GMT -5
I think it’s more about Kornet being good than Tillman being bad. Kornet has turned himself into a legit rotation big man who adds value on both ends.
|
|
|
Post by jmei on May 1, 2024 11:53:00 GMT -5
This new front office does seem to like its spaghetti against the wall more than the last one did.
|
|
|
Post by jmei on May 1, 2024 11:47:18 GMT -5
He's been pretty terrible offensively in the majors but has put up 93, 99 and 131 wRC+s in AAA the last three years. Don't have to squint too hard to conclude that he's worth a shot over Reyes and Hamilton, especially if you're primarily concerned about present value. He certainly looks like a better defender than both and projection systems think he's close enough offensively.
| ZiPS | Steamer | THE BAT X | Z. Short | 84 | 83 | 86 | P. Reyes | 92 | 91 | 77 | D. Hamilton | 88 | 85 | 76 |
|
|
|
Post by jmei on May 1, 2024 11:34:10 GMT -5
The primary reason companies hire consultants like this is to give them cover to make unpopular decisions that they have already decided that they're going to make. You pay a lot of money to hire a sophisticated, theoretically neutral third party to run a comprehensive formal process that results in a well-researched and well-written summary of issues you already know exist. Another signal that additional organizational changes (including personnel changes) are coming.
|
|
|
Post by jmei on Apr 30, 2024 13:21:37 GMT -5
Don't know how comparing a guy to Meyers became an insult. He's a clear #2 wide receiver and has been paid as such on the open market. That's a slam dunk good outcome for a second-round pick.
|
|
|
Post by jmei on Apr 30, 2024 12:59:47 GMT -5
I can't believe we're still arguing about this in the year of our lord 2024. Criticizing the projections for missing on players A, B and C is about as valuable a contribution to internet discourse as criticizing the weatherman for blowing the forecast. It shows a fundamental misunderstanding of statistics and probability that I had empathy for back in the 2002-ish Moneyball days, but now, more than 20 years later, most of which has been spent on this very forum, is just boring and played out reflexive tribalism. I don't even have it in me to try and provide a good faith explainer anymore. I get it, you're tired of the nerds being the smartest guys in the room and making you feel inadequate, so you beat your chests every time a projection system fails (which they do an overwhelming majority of the time). It's just not an interesting discussion anymore. /rant "There's no justification for not spending $10-15 million extra dollars to get a couple more wins". I don't know how many times this was repeated this offseason, but it was a lot; all the while using projections from ZiPS and Steamer and everywhere else. You even had people specifically saying why they don't like such and such projection. There wouldn't be as many people resistant to learning about statistics or accepting them, if there weren't so many people using them to hammer people over their heads about how right they are. It never starts out as a criticism of the projection, it always starts out with someone misusing them and then people reduce everything to the lowest common denominator and try to pick apart the projection because it is the lowest hanging fruit to say, Jorge Soler. I'm totally OK with criticizing misuse of projections. But the braggadocio about projections being wrong is so misguided.
|
|
|
Post by jmei on Apr 30, 2024 12:30:20 GMT -5
I can't believe we're still arguing about this in the year of our lord 2024. Criticizing the projections for missing on players A, B and C is about as valuable a contribution to internet discourse as criticizing the weatherman for blowing the forecast. It shows a fundamental misunderstanding of statistics and probability that I had empathy for back in the 2002-ish Moneyball days, but now, more than 20 years later, most of which has been spent on this very forum, is just boring and played out reflexive tribalism. I don't even have it in me to try and provide a good faith explainer anymore. I get it, you're tired of the nerds being the smartest guys in the room and making you feel inadequate, so you beat your chests every time a projection system fails (which they do an overwhelming majority of the time). It's just not an interesting discussion anymore. /rant
|
|
|
Post by jmei on Apr 29, 2024 13:51:41 GMT -5
Feels like there's always too much consternation about the 25th (now 26th, I guess) guy on the roster. Reyes is maybe a slightly better player than, say, Dalbec today, but he's got a pretty low ceiling and they have a glut of middle infielders who can't really play SS defensively (both in Boston and AAA), so he was getting DFAed eventually. Feels like a reasonable decision to use ceiling (where I think Reyes ranks the lowest of this quartet) as a tiebreaker for which bit of flotsam gets jettisoned first.
|
|
|
Post by jmei on Dec 3, 2023 14:24:14 GMT -5
Without Stevenson, every one of their offensive units (QB, RB, WR, TE, OL) is bottom 10 or worse.
|
|
|
Post by jmei on Dec 1, 2023 9:34:40 GMT -5
Easy to throw rocks with the power of hindsight. I don’t put a lot of weight in the “we had him high on our draft board” stuff that only comes out afterwards.
|
|
|
Post by jmei on Nov 28, 2023 17:45:06 GMT -5
Wouldn’t have guessed that catcher would be their worst projected position.
|
|
|
Post by jmei on Nov 28, 2023 12:30:25 GMT -5
I still think the Patriots are going to win a couple of these remaining games. Their defense and running game are decent enough and can’t get much worse at QB.
|
|
|
Post by jmei on Nov 27, 2023 10:58:16 GMT -5
They’ll definitely bring in competition for next season. But for the rest of the season, might as well see what he can do.
|
|
|
Post by jmei on Nov 26, 2023 22:04:23 GMT -5
I had assumed that Brisett and Svi would have been getting minutes in a game like this. But I like the outcome by a shorthanded team. I do kind of wish they could land on a backup wing or two to fit that spot in the rotation. That guy or guys is going to play a decent amount and they’ve been cycling through those two plus Banton.
|
|
|
Post by jmei on Nov 26, 2023 15:55:12 GMT -5
Beautiful stuff there.
|
|
|
Post by jmei on Nov 26, 2023 15:28:35 GMT -5
The defense really was terrible last year in a way that makes the pitching look a lot worse than it actually was.
|
|
|
Post by jmei on Nov 26, 2023 15:27:06 GMT -5
To be clear, for all the grief, Mac is still better than Zappe.
|
|
|