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Post by jimmydugan on Jun 26, 2019 19:12:45 GMT -5
This makes me miss Koji so bad, that mofo was money. I'm not arguing that Barnes>Koji, this just prompted me to do a couple seconds of research.. Barnes' FIP- is 54, which would rank as Koji's 2nd best in a Sox uni. Although to be fair, I'm assuming that's not including today. I don't know if that's necessarily the best stat to compare relievers across different periods. I'm just saying that Barnes is a lot better than most people give him credit for and it's been good to see him improving consistently year-to-year since he became a reliever. But yeah, i miss Koji.
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Post by jimmydugan on May 29, 2019 21:45:49 GMT -5
I don't use Twitter, so I don't can't respond to this from Chris: "Our internal rankings discussion for the month has revealed a clear top 4 in the system (with Chavis graduating). Who do you think it is, and what order will they be ranked in on 6/1?" ..But I'm going to guess Casas, Hernandez, Dalbec, Duran. Won't happen but I'd go Duran, Casas, Dalbec, Hernandez Why would you go with Duran at 1?
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Post by jimmydugan on May 29, 2019 19:43:14 GMT -5
I don't use Twitter, so I don't can't respond to this from Chris:
"Our internal rankings discussion for the month has revealed a clear top 4 in the system (with Chavis graduating). Who do you think it is, and what order will they be ranked in on 6/1?"
..But I'm going to guess Casas, Hernandez, Dalbec, Duran.
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Post by jimmydugan on May 10, 2019 21:17:53 GMT -5
Xander's offensive profile has completely changed since Cora and the new coaching staff turned him away from being a slap hitter. Between Barnes and Xander, those have been the coaching staff's best development from a player's standpoint. This coaching staff has turned these guys into consistent great players. I'm sure the coaching staff deserves credit, but isn't part of it 1) he's healthy/probably getting a little stronger and 2) he's shown the league that he can also go the other way for a base hit?
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Post by jimmydugan on Apr 27, 2019 15:03:26 GMT -5
While Boston is supposed to get a lot of rain in the next couple of weeks..according to weather.com there's a 0% chance of it raining tonight.
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Post by jimmydugan on Apr 22, 2019 18:40:38 GMT -5
I hadn't realized that his 8 MLB games in 2012 came mid-season instead of the end, so you're right. They could phantom IL him and send him down to rehab, or they could outright him. I don't think anyone claims him given his $1.75M salary. FYI: www.soxprospects.com/40man.htm40-man roster is good resource for Options remaining. See column on right. Reminder that players with 5 years mlb service cannot be optioned. such as Holt, Bradley (attained 5 this month). players with 5 years mlb service cannot be outrighted involuntarily, i.e. Thornburg. Thanks DFA. I never know a great place to find that info and I don't bother asking because I assume the mods have had to answer that question a dozen times already.
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Post by jimmydugan on Apr 21, 2019 18:58:42 GMT -5
Joey Gathright had 80 speed. He was in Pawtucket in 2009 & 2011. He ran 3.78 to first from the left side. You mean this guy? I'll be honest. I forgot he was ever a Red Sox. Apparently he went 81/111 in SB attempts in his career. Obviously this leaves a lot out in terms of the situation and even though its his entire career that's probably a small sample, but that still seems terrible for a guy with 80 grade speed.
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Post by jimmydugan on Apr 21, 2019 18:54:44 GMT -5
Joey Gathright had 80 speed. He was in Pawtucket in 2009 & 2011. He ran 3.78 to first from the left side. You mean this guy? I'll be honest. I forgot he was ever a Red Sox.
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Post by jimmydugan on Apr 21, 2019 18:28:54 GMT -5
He's got 70 speed. The single time was NEAR-75 speed, but he does not possess 75 speed. Sorry for being unclear. I'm not sure if you were directing that at me, but you were definitely clear. I was just trying to get a better understanding for the scale. I hope they give him a constant green light so he can refine his instincts. Maybe I'm daydreaming, but I'd love to see him in a Dave Roberts type role in September.
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Post by jimmydugan on Apr 20, 2019 22:52:43 GMT -5
That looked like a game that was going to slip away, but Chavis provided a breath of badly needed fresh air. He ripped that 99 MPH heater. Brasier wasn't exactly smooth in the 9th, but Vazquez's on the money throw saved him. The Red Sox owe the Rays a sweep after the Rays were the 1 team to kick Boston's butt last year in a series. If the Red Sox can pull off the sweep they'd be in shouting distance. If not, that's a big swing backwards - not that there's not enough time to catch up, but 7 games out vs 5 games out is a big difference. They have the right guy on the mound tomorrow in Price, and they've missed Snell because of his injury and I'm not sure if they miss that kid the Rays stole from Pittsburgh for the overrated Chris Archer. That was 99?? He clearly doesn't have a problem with the heat. My guess is that he gets significant ABs (say 200) in MLB this year and then struggles to make adjustments next year. But I pray to Jobu that I'm wrong on that. If he could help us on the right side of the infield next year that would be big.
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Post by jimmydugan on Apr 20, 2019 22:34:56 GMT -5
2nd game: Duran 3/4 with a BB, 2B, 3B I liked it. I was just sad that when he got on late in game 2, they were up 11 so he wasn't running. But as I reported in the Patreon Game Update, the scout I was sitting with timed him at 3.96 to first. That's nearly 75 speed. Have we seen a 75 grade in Boston before? (recently...i'm assuming nobody here was able to time Tris Speaker to first) I'm not sure how to look up speed grades from the past. Roughly where would guys like Crawford/Dave Roberts be on that scale?
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Post by jimmydugan on Apr 20, 2019 22:14:49 GMT -5
What exactly was JBJ working with JDM's hitting coach on? It always seemed like he would benefit greatly from either going the other way or getting the ball in the air, two things that JD's great at.
I was JBJ's biggest defender last year, but even i'm losing hope that he'll improve. Looks like he's hitting the ball weaker to the right side of the infield.
Don't get me wrong, I still think he should get the bulk of the playing time in CF. Worst case scenario, he's a solid 4th OF who gets a lot of playing time. It just seems like hasn't done anything (walk/keep K's reasonable/square a ball up) so far at the plate.
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Post by jimmydugan on Apr 19, 2019 21:01:38 GMT -5
28 batters faced 3 hits 1 walk 14 ks not bad. edit: corrected his strikeout numbers
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Post by jimmydugan on Apr 14, 2019 14:25:46 GMT -5
I haven't been able to watch many games yet. Does Nunez at least have his speed back? Seems like he could be somewhat useful if he does. I'm scared to death he's going to end up with 500 ABs again this season though. Looks like he's not chasing balls out of the zone nearly as much this year. Not sure if this is statistically meaningful yet however: baseballsavant.mlb.com/savant-player/eduardo-nunez-456488?stats=statcast-r-hitting-mlb
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Post by jimmydugan on Apr 14, 2019 13:25:58 GMT -5
Are my eyes deceiving me or did Nunez just take a walk??
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Post by jimmydugan on Mar 6, 2019 21:19:59 GMT -5
Steve Selsky? Best damn salesman in the business. Are you guys talking about Steve Selsky?? I know Steve Selsky!
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Post by jimmydugan on Mar 2, 2019 0:28:32 GMT -5
Agreed that KC being out of the hunt gives them even more reason to want Swihart. It seems like the Sox don't have much interest in keeping him and after a very quick glance at their system, it looks like they're deep when it comes to the type of player (spot starter/depth SP/middle RP with options) that I think the Sox are targeting.
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Post by jimmydugan on Nov 3, 2018 1:42:03 GMT -5
That's kinda the whole point, when Kimbrel is bad he still good enough to get the job done most nights. We've seen that for 3 years now. When a Joe Kelly goes bad he likely costs you a bunch of those games. You can't say it was luck, we've seen it for 3 years now. Heck maybe its a good thing for us and he signs for a lot less than people think. I'm so torn by Kimbrel. Yea I fear a huge big deal, yet elite relievers don't grow on trees and I fully believe the fangraphs take that they are undervalued. Overall I think fangraphs overvalues relievers. I'm pretty sure there was an article to start the season that made mention the Yanks could have an all-time great bullpen. The fact they were mentioning this- I just thought they were very good but all-time great I thought extreme. And I think Fangraphs stats weren't so enamored with the SOx was because they can't figure on starters being used as relievers. Before the Royals had their run - the analytics of the bullpen was undervaluing. Now imo it is overvaluing. I do agree it is so fantastic to have a guy you can rely on knowing that the one inning is his. Many times in tight games especially vs top teams Kimbrel has come through. I get that as if Fangraphs looks specifically on teh elite closer it appears they could be right. On the flip side the elite closers this year from Sox, LA, Brewers (the righty), and the Astros closer all melted down a bit. Instead if that money is used to get Eovaldi and Pearce -- while you still can get a good but not elite reliever - I'm all in for the Eovaldi's and Pearce's. A dude like Kelly Jansen has been considered elite. In W/S play he is hardly elite. The Sox don't "need" a super closer like Kimbrel imo. If they get a guy who isn't as good but at least can throw more strikes and let the defense defend and also maybe a guy you can use in other innings (not just the 9th) or use for more than one inning - while he still might not be as good as Kimbrel-- he will still be of quality. Projecting a super bullpen is a crapshoot. Elite relievers also struggle in post season too. As a side note- I believe if they don't go with Kimbrel that they need another solid starter so you aren't going to have to rely on many starts from Brian Johnson types. Brian isn't bad. But to rely on BJ and others of that ilk for many starts will tax the Sox brittle starting staff and the bullpen. IMO the overrating by Fangraphs and other sites regarding the bullpen (and possibly closers) is similar to the overrating of using "The Book" for batting orders and similar to those that overuse WAR. Did we watch the same playoffs?? Every pitching staff has injury concerns, but i think "brittle" is going a bit too far.
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Post by jimmydugan on Oct 27, 2018 21:29:08 GMT -5
hes a pretty bad hitter. How was he tiring ? Turners hit just barely got over the bag? and there was an HBP. He also had 2 outs. It was by far the most pitches he’d thrown in a month. His velo was declining. It was the third time through the order. He hadn't faced that many batters since 7/9. Before the DL stint. There weren't a lot of hard hit balls but it was clearly time to take him out.
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Post by jimmydugan on Sept 23, 2018 16:37:09 GMT -5
Shaw just hit his 30th HR of the season, his second season with 30+ dingers. That Thornburg trade will end in the trades hall of shame lol To be fair, he was a little bit more of who we thought he was this year, with the average and, correspondingly, slugging dropping 33 and 35 points, respectively. Also, it is much easier to put up 30 HRs as a lefty in Miller Park than Fenway.
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Post by jimmydugan on Jul 18, 2018 19:29:40 GMT -5
Per Rosenthal "Orioles getting Diaz, Kramer, Bannon, Pop, Valera, source tells The Athletic."
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Post by jimmydugan on Jun 27, 2018 11:05:39 GMT -5
During the game last night, Alex Speier mentioned that JBJ had great batted ball numbers in June which sounded a lot like the Baseball Savant link that jimed linked to (I believe he even used the phrase "Quality of Contact + K + BB").
Is it possible to filter these numbers by month? Or is this data listed publicly somewhere else that anyone is aware of?
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Post by jimmydugan on Jun 26, 2018 19:25:26 GMT -5
That HR by JBJ is proof that karma exists.
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Post by jimmydugan on Jun 2, 2018 11:31:51 GMT -5
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Post by jimmydugan on Apr 15, 2018 19:48:05 GMT -5
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