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Recent Posts
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Post by jrffam05 on Apr 11, 2015 0:46:36 GMT -5
These long games take forever to finish.
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Post by jrffam05 on Apr 11, 2015 0:45:05 GMT -5
Hanigan looks spent behind the plate.
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Post by jrffam05 on Apr 11, 2015 0:43:25 GMT -5
It's a little too late for me to be screaming at the tv.
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Post by jrffam05 on Apr 11, 2015 0:35:28 GMT -5
Ellsbury already had the ball before Hanley was at 2nd. That wasn't good base running at all.
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Post by jrffam05 on Apr 10, 2015 15:21:00 GMT -5
Looks like Nava is our starting RF against RHP.
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Post by jrffam05 on Apr 9, 2015 10:50:00 GMT -5
My apologies, I misread that.
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Post by jrffam05 on Apr 9, 2015 10:19:52 GMT -5
Just bet 100 bucks with my brother, who is a Cubs fan, that Porcello will have more WAR/$ through his contract than Lester through his. Pretty confident I'm going to win this one. You know Lester is signed for 6 years, Porcello only 5, right? You're banking on him having a terrible performance/injury in one of those years for this to be a fair bet.
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Post by jrffam05 on Apr 8, 2015 15:34:11 GMT -5
At least we're playing the Phillies.
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Post by jrffam05 on Apr 8, 2015 14:33:56 GMT -5
Ortiz against the lefty, Napoli against the righty... Makes sense. (I guess you can't have an opening day line up without Ortiz) Bogarts after Hanigan - interesting. And Nava gets the nod over Shane, even after the day off? Maybe Farrell will platoon them for much of the year (or the time until Shane is traded). I'd swap them too. Hanigan also did a pretty good job of clearing the 9 hole last game.
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Post by jrffam05 on Apr 8, 2015 13:56:19 GMT -5
Oregon Norm, are the Sox blacked out here in Portland again today? I just signed up for NESN only to discover that the Mariners apparently have territorial rights in Portland. All the games are going to get blacked out if you only signed up for NESN. You need the MLB package on cable or MLB.tv on computer/other media devices. This is the worst. I'm on the west side of CT where NESN isn't part of cable, and MLB.TV blacks out the Red Sox. Only option is the MLB package. Anyone else surprised Romine made it past waivers? I thought he'd be a great pickup www.mlbtraderumors.com/2015/04/yankees-outright-austin-romine.html
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Post by jrffam05 on Apr 8, 2015 13:38:07 GMT -5
Is that counting Craig's salary or his AAV? The latter is smaller than the former next year ... it's not a huge amount (~$3 million iirc), but it's a factor. Directly from Cots, which should be payroll due that year. Honestly I don't think the AAV matters much to the Sox anymore. They seem content to go over in consecutive years, just as long as they don't freeze themselves into the top tax bracket for eternity like the Yankees have. Boy I just don't agree with this. Marrero goes perfectly with the Red Sox philosophy of building a deep team. This is a guy who has all his options, and should be an above replacement level player right now based on his defense alone. He might not have a clear road to the show, but it is like having a young Brendan Ryan, or Alcides Escobar waiting as depth in the minors, with some chance to grow into an averaie-ish bat, and no real cost. If Xander goes down, the options are Hanley, Holt, or Marrero at SS before going externally. You can argue any case, but Marrero could be the best option with Porcello, Miley, Kelly, and Masterson generating all those ground balls (although Hanley there would help our OF logjam). For reference, Blue Jays backup SS is Steve Tolleson, Dodgers is Justin Turner, Angels is Josh Rutledge, Cardnals is Pete Kozma. Admittedly, I took these from Fangraphs/MLB.com, and don't know much about some of these guys. Kozma seems comparable to Marrero based on his Fangraphs stats.
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Post by jrffam05 on Apr 7, 2015 13:10:01 GMT -5
I just don't see any value in starting your rotation from best pitcher to worst pitcher just because that's the way you do it. I mean if every pitcher made their turn, there weren't days off, injuries, and the all star break, and you wanted your top 2 pitchers to get 33 starts instead of 32 I'd get it, but that's not how it works. Most teams don't have five good starters. Many don't have four. In those situations the best strategy is to maximize the appearances by the best pitchers. That means not going with a five man rotation continuously, but dropping the 5th, and sometimes even the 4th, pitcher from the rotation when the opportunity presents itself with days off, or rain-outs, and you keep the better pitchers in the every five day rotation. This way your top starters will get more than 33 starts and your worst will get less, maybe only 24 or 25, depending on the schedule and the weather. Yea, I get this, I just think this would normalize over the course of a dynamic season and not be completely dependent on the first 5 days of the season. Only 10 pitchers had 34 starts last year, no one had more. I would simplify that to a pitcher making every start, and gaining 1 start due to ASB.
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Post by jrffam05 on Apr 7, 2015 12:57:36 GMT -5
Cole Hamels would have cost 114M over the same time frame including this year, and required one of Betts or Swihart. Would you trade Porcello, Betts, and 20M for Hamels?
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Post by jrffam05 on Apr 7, 2015 12:42:59 GMT -5
You also missed Vazquez.
Let's just label both systems very good and call it a day.
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Post by jrffam05 on Apr 7, 2015 11:47:45 GMT -5
Overall I like the deal, it seems fair. Porcello get's a good AAV and free agency at age 30, Sox don't have to over commit on the years to a pitcher.
I will say, with all the spending the Red Sox have made recently, they may be limited some of their options going forward. They must be comfortable will the youth talent they have to fill out the roster for cheap in the future. As of now, we have 113M committed to 9 players for 2016, Porcello, Sandoval, Hanley, Pedroia, Castillo, Craig, Uehara, Miley and Hanigan. This doesn't count Ortiz's + Buchholz options, or Napoli's and Masterson's free agency (Victorino too), along with arbitration eligible, Kelly, Tazawa, Ogando, Nava, Varvaro, and Ross. They will be mostly cheap given their value, but a conservative guess is those 6 will cost at least another 10M.
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Post by jrffam05 on Apr 7, 2015 11:26:16 GMT -5
FWIW, I think the pitching rotation order doesn't really matter from a baseball perspective, I actually think there is more value in spacing out your rotation. If you have 2 guys who you expect to average 7 IP per start, one at 6 IP per, and 2 at 5 IP per, the bullpen gets taxed heavier 3 days in a row, that's why I like that our "inning eaters" Porcello and Miley, are spaced out. The other thing you can look at for opening day order is the schedule. Let's say for example today wasn't a day off and Hamel's started on the DL, I'd have no problem going with Miley as the opening day starter, followed by Masterson and Kelly (assuming health), then let Buch and Porcello start against the Yankees with Miley coming around. (this also doesn't look outside of the first 2 series, but you should get what I'm saying.
I just don't see any value in starting your rotation from best pitcher to worst pitcher just because that's the way you do it. I mean if every pitcher made their turn, there weren't days off, injuries, and the all star break, and you wanted your top 2 pitchers to get 33 starts instead of 32 I'd get it, but that's not how it works.
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Post by jrffam05 on Apr 7, 2015 9:21:30 GMT -5
They did bring in a lefty to face Craig, Betts, Pedroia, Napoli, and Hanley. About the only thing it did was put Craig into the game instead of Nava.
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Post by jrffam05 on Apr 6, 2015 16:04:08 GMT -5
This is the potential we all knew Buchholz had. It's the consistency and health that is the real worry. I will continue to be optimistic.
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Post by jrffam05 on Apr 6, 2015 15:42:11 GMT -5
I hope Buchholz made an "He's the ace" shirt for Hamels too.
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Post by jrffam05 on Apr 6, 2015 15:30:47 GMT -5
Well I'd say Pedroia feels good
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Post by jrffam05 on Apr 6, 2015 15:00:07 GMT -5
Baseball Is Coming! So excited although night games start at 1 am where I live heh. Mookie takes Hamels deep on the second pitch he sees! I am trying to follow on gamecast, was the Mookie HR on the 2nd pitch? First pitch of second at bat
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Post by jrffam05 on Apr 6, 2015 14:53:16 GMT -5
And to think, if Cafardo had his way that Betts homer off of Hamels would have been a run for Philly.
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Post by jrffam05 on Apr 6, 2015 13:44:07 GMT -5
Is there some way to see in gameday (or elsewhere) how many of what types of pitches Tanaka threw? Your avatar shows a pitch that demonstrates how inaccurate an indicator a two-dimensional strike zone outline is. The strike zone is a 3-dimensional concept, not two-dimensional. This preoccupation with the Yankees while waiting for the Sox game to start is amusing. I'm not sure if any part of this post was in any way related to my original post.
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Post by jrffam05 on Apr 6, 2015 13:11:27 GMT -5
Is there some way to see in gameday (or elsewhere) how many of what types of pitches Tanaka threw?
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Post by jrffam05 on Apr 6, 2015 12:14:28 GMT -5
Owens for Papelbon and Howard
I like the move from the Braves standpoint, I do think it'd would have been more advantageous if they shed the payroll in the offseason, so they had more opportunity to add to their team (potential midseason trade chips).
Padres are taking on payroll risk, they are 18M higher than 2014, which was 22M higher than 2013, so they're probably in the upper tier of what they could spend. I think closers can be over valued, and this Padres team isn't ready to compete with the Dodgers, so the move isn't for me. But I will say in a moment of hypocrisy I do like seeing some GM's being bold and aggressive. I hope it works out for them.
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