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Post by p23w on Jan 6, 2020 17:54:06 GMT -5
How about if we judge him by the holes he's filled, one position at a time? Perez is the 5th starter by the way. I think that's quite clear. Why did you put him in the pen? I know you cannot judge Bloom until the season is underway. But DAMN, watching every team in the division improve is frustrating. They've got their backup catcher and the utility guy as you point out. But you left off Mazza. He may barely register above the horizon at this point, but he is a warm body for the pen. A lot of this will depend on if Price is traded. That should take them quite near to their target, but it will leave the team without a starter. Again, I'm willing to cut the guy some slack. He's doing what he was hired to do: get the roster built up, and get the salary pushed down. A lot will depend on the health of pitching staff. Not much room for Cora or the front office to make moves. This is shaping up to be a mid to low expectation season. (82-90 wins).
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Post by p23w on Dec 16, 2019 19:03:01 GMT -5
Dombrowski? Overrated IMO. Cashman? Couldn't sign his #1 pick the year the NYY's won their last WS. Paid a record amount for the same guy 10 years later after the failure of his "we can win it all with a monster bullpen" strategy failed. Bloom? Faced with a daunting task. Doesn't have Dombrowski's purse or farm system, doesn't have Tampa's young pitching talent and is in the same division as the "Juggernaut" Yankees. If he and Cora get this team to the post season in the next 2 years I'll be flabbergasted (delighted but flabbergasted). Best wishes to Bloom.
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Post by p23w on Dec 12, 2019 23:34:54 GMT -5
Anything more than 165 IP with league average ERA will be huge. Perez is here to eat innings, not be included on a playoff roster.
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Post by p23w on Nov 14, 2019 15:03:10 GMT -5
I think people are too obsessed with technology. If devious minds can make use of it to steal signs... they will. It is up to devious minds on the opposing side to defeat these attempts. If they can do it with technology so be it. If they can do it with subterfuge well fancy that. In motor sports the prevailing mindset is "it ain't cheating if you don't get caught".
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Post by p23w on Nov 1, 2019 14:53:58 GMT -5
The whole playoffs this year shows how magical 2018 was for us! Man, it was drama free lol They played an 18 inning game that literally screwed me up for like 2 weeks. Yeah. LA's "momentum builder". Screwed up my circadian rhythms too.
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Post by p23w on Oct 30, 2019 22:51:08 GMT -5
It's beginning to look a lot like Christmas.....
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Post by p23w on Oct 29, 2019 23:34:21 GMT -5
Sherzer Vs. Greinke. Holy guacamole! I'm liking this match up too. For the finale I want a close game. Don't care if it is 2-1 or 9-8. Fine by me if the last 6 batters get K'd a-la Red Sox and Dodgers.
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Post by p23w on Oct 29, 2019 22:22:52 GMT -5
Strausburg for the CG?
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Post by p23w on Oct 29, 2019 15:38:15 GMT -5
I like tonights pitching match up. Would love a game #7 with both Martinez and Hinch managing by their (seat of the pants) for Martinez and (excell spread sheet) for Hinch.
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Post by p23w on Oct 22, 2019 21:39:11 GMT -5
I'd really like to see this study, and for the next year run the exact same study with the subjects taking PEDs. I'd be interested to see if performance increased across the board and what if any difference there was between, say Human Growth Hormones and Steroids. Hell while we're at it, let's take some Nolan Ryan DNA and graft to a control group of accountants and see what happens.
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Post by p23w on Oct 21, 2019 21:04:59 GMT -5
Given the Yankees ability to spend and what they had long-term on the payroll for starters last off season it seems crazy to say you can't sign Corbin, because you want Cole. They have Tanaka for two more years at 22 and 23 million. Plus Happ who they signed over Corbin at 17 million. The true Yankees I grew up watching would have signed both and had a guy like Paxton and Tanaka as 4th starters. They have had so many chances to add starters and really haven't. They could have traded for Stroman if they wanted a cost controlled guy. I love watching the Yankees pinch pennies and not trade for guys year after year. The fact that some projections show the Astros might start spending as much as the Yankees is crazy. Just wait. Yankee's big rotation acquisition will be Zack Wheeler. God I hope not. If they do we may have to hope the law of averages comes into play with their offense next year. Problem is that it could be even better. Think is with their payroll, market fan base, and back to back 100 win seasons with nary even an appearance in the ALCS it could be that the 3rd time is the charm. I for one hope something bites them in the arse. It's been their starting pitching the past two years. We shall have to see how the game plays out for next year.
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Post by p23w on Oct 21, 2019 20:54:20 GMT -5
With respect to Corbin. Speculation either way. With Corbin in the rotation the bullpen is less stressed out (Octavino?) In any case we will see how Corbin fares and is used by Martinez against the Astro's. Making SABERMETRIC excuses/rationalizations for Cashman is to ignore his results. Bullpens are nice. Going long into games (especially in the playoffs) is better. "They would have won with Corbin" = speculation. "We can't say for sure if they would have won with Corbin" = statement of fact, not speculative. If people want to think that Cashman is actually a bad GM who's teams are somehow always fatally flawed despite winning a zillion games, and not just a real good GM who hasn't won in a while, well... I guess whatever helps you sleep at night. Another swing and miss. Corbin speculation is based on shrewd GM decision making. WITH Corbin, the Nationals won the NLCS. Without Corbin the Yankee bullpen was overused. Cashman could have had Corbin, wherein the speculation lies. Speculation now rests with how Martinez uses Corbin (the Astros' crush LHPSP) Again repeating myself for the Cashman apologists.... he whiffed 2 years in a row with respect to staring pitching. Counting on the Fat Man for X number of quality IP was a mistake. Not signing proven quality starting pitching (when much was available). Counting on Tanaka AND Paxton for Corbin and Cole like IP was sheer foolhardiness. Cashman put all his eggs in the bullpen, got really, really lucky with the offense and paid the price for his inability to respect what quality SP means to the success of the team. How you use your SP in the post season is the managers decision. Boone never got the chance that Cora or Cash had because Cashman whiffed when he failed to procure the assets to bring to bear (and please don't tell me the Twins were justification for Cashman. That would be compounding dumb with dumber.
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Post by p23w on Oct 21, 2019 15:47:51 GMT -5
1. The MLBTR projection on Corbin was $129M and the Nationals paid $140M. Unless you're going to do a whole talk radio "YOU CAN'T GET OUTBID" yelling session... sometimes you get outbid for the guy you want and you have to move on to option two. Corbin got a lot of money. 2. The Yankees won 103 games. Pretty hard to criticize the allocation of resources. 3. They still probably lose that series with Corbin. At the risk of repeating myself.... I don't care about the money (implying that the objective is to know your assets). The Yankees won 103 games and they're run differential projected 97 wins.... The differential was the result of incredible luck (good fortune?) with respect to their offensive production. The pitching (all things considered) was mediocre and certainly did not propel them to 103 wins or even represent a shrewd allocation of resources based on both the free agent signings and the pitching talent available via trades. With respect to Corbin. Speculation either way. With Corbin in the rotation the bullpen is less stressed out (Octavino?) In any case we will see how Corbin fares and is used by Martinez against the Astro's. Making SABERMETRIC excuses/rationalizations for Cashman is to ignore his results. Bullpens are nice. Going long into games (especially in the playoffs) is better. As an aside, sports talk radio is 95% buffoonery from what little of it I have heard.
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Post by p23w on Oct 21, 2019 14:19:46 GMT -5
I don't know that the Yankees would've been any further along if they traded Torres for Cole, though. It's possible they'd have been able to build a package around Andujar, but it's been pretty well established that the Pirates turned down the Sheffield/Frazier package and like the Astros package better. And while that wasn't consensus at the time, I have to say I'd take Musgrove/Feliz right now, too, even though if Moran ended up a tweener. I guess he could've been in on Corbin, but it's also not like the Nationals got him on the cheap - very, very possible they were simply outbid, and that Corbin (to his credit) made that contract worthwhile. It wasn't a universally-held opinion at the time that signing Corbin was a can't-miss move. For some dark humor, check out the offseason thread where people are showing genuine shock and amazement that Corbin got twice as much money as Eovaldi. And the Yankees did that knowing that signing Corbin would've made it unlikely they'd get a chance to make a run at Cole this year. If you realize your needs you make the deal. Cole has pitched 200+ (mostly effective) innings for 3 consecutive years. Corbin has pitched 200+ quality innings in his career three time (twice in the last two years.) Severino has pitched one quality 190IP year, period. Tanaka pitched his second most career IP in 2019, at 182 innings. Paxton has NEVER pitched more than 160 innings in any year. I don't care about the finances (or the trade deals). Cashman whiffed, plain and simple. Houston let Keuchel walk and took on Greinke. Rizzo splurged on Corbin despite having Sherzer, Straussberg and zip zilch for a bullpen. Seems to me Cashman decided that the best bullpen in history could overcome the shortage of quality innings from his starters. Think again. Stay with the Yankees Brian.
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Post by p23w on Oct 21, 2019 9:55:58 GMT -5
For some of us Sox fans seeing the Yankees lose is a good consolation prize. I think we all need to pause and take a moment to consider what an enormous victory this was for the Red Sox. We had a 108-win season last year, the most dominant season in Red Sox history. Magical. And of course it involved slaying the Yankees along the way. The Yankees, meanwhile, came right back in 2019 with the weirdest, most improbable, near-magical season of their own. The ridiculous rash of injuries, and then the even more ridiculous run of overperforming nobodies... it was completely insane. If they had parlayed this into a championship, they could have laid claim to having had as remarkable and great a season as the Sox did in 2018. It would have suuuuucked. But it didn't happen. (And who knows but that it might have, by the way, if Cashman had added a starter at the trade deadline; that could've come in handy in game 6.) And they've been locked out of the World Series for a full decade now. And we can all rest easy for at least the next 5 months.Personal bonus for me, too, as the Astros are my #2 team. Cashman whiffed twice. He could have had Cole 2 years ago, and he could have procured Corbin this year. Now both pitchers will participate in the Fall Classic and Cashman will be doing his couch potato impersonation. Going forward it will be doubtful that Cashman doesn't try to rectify his mistakes with respect to pitching in the future.
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Post by p23w on Oct 20, 2019 10:32:30 GMT -5
Thank God the ALCS is over. Two teams, I don't much care for (one team whose fans are obnoxious, the other teams fans that are barely tolerable). Hype beyond belief. I'm gearing up for a new wave of hype (Soto, Strausberg et al ;vs. Bergman, Verlander and company). Should be fun to watch with the mute button at the ready. Really interesting matchups between veteran pitching and youthful hitting. Can't wait.
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Post by p23w on Oct 18, 2019 21:35:33 GMT -5
Yesterday I had contempt for both teams (contempt edge going to the Yankees). Tonites' game ALL my contempt went to the Astro's (with the majority being given to their offense). Another game like this from the "Stros and I'm in The Who gives a crap who wins game #7. In either case I am lock solid behind the Nats for the WS. Very unusual position for me.
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Post by p23w on Oct 18, 2019 17:59:26 GMT -5
Bringing back Joe Kelly was totally on Roberts. Kelly had the knuckle curve working in the 9th, and in the 10th he couldn't throw it for a strike. I'd just as soon see Houston win the pennant tonite. I am anxious to to the match ups in a Houston V. Washington, D.C. series. After the way the Yanks have played they don't deserve to advance (which is fine by me). Yeah, Roberts waited too long. The thing is he only threw 10 pitches and was dominant, but when he walked Adam Eaton, I could see his pitches weren't doing anything and I knew they should yank him right there and then. When Kelly walks batters, trouble soon follows and then Roberts left him in to give up the double, the intentional walk and then the grandslam. That's the thing with Kelly. Dominance one inning, no command the next. The walk to Eaton told the story. Read more: forum.soxprospects.com/thread/5272/league-championship-series-gameday-thread?page=6#ixzz62kVRcxvI
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Post by p23w on Oct 18, 2019 11:24:10 GMT -5
If we were on Twitter I would Freezing Cold Takes you. That's fine. We all have cold takes from time to time and if I jinxed the Yankees with my statement, then fine, I'd rather be wrong and the Yankees lose than be right and the Yankees win. I just feel awful that I had defended Joe Kelly to my Dodgers fan friend and told him you'll experience the Jekyll and Hyde of him but come post-season you can count on him and sure enough I pointed that out to him after the 9th inning of Game 5 NLDS. So what happens, the Dodgers get Hyde Kelly in the 10th and season over and sure enough I get a message from my Dodgers fan friend saying, "F*** Joe Kelly. Send him back to Boston!!" Man, did I feel bad! I have thought all along that Houston IS the best team in baseball and should win this series, but I honestly believe if the Astros had let Game 2 slip away they wouldn't have walked into NY and won 2 or even possibly tonight. I think it would have been a very different series. I think thus far Carlos Correa's HR in Game 2 was the biggest hit of the series - the momentum changer. I think it's still reasonably possible that the series isn't over yet. If the Yankees somehow win tonight, it wouldn't surprise me to see them win the Severino/Urqidy game in Houston and force Game 7. If the Yankees do win, they'll have earned it, but I hope Houston is Houston and the Yankees are deflated enough that they're put away in NY. Bringing back Joe Kelly was totally on Roberts. Kelly had the knuckle curve working in the 9th, and in the 10th he couldn't throw it for a strike. I'd just as soon see Houston win the pennant tonite. I am anxious to to the match ups in a Houston V. Washington, D.C. series. After the way the Yanks have played they don't deserve to advance (which is fine by me).
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Post by p23w on Oct 17, 2019 23:27:38 GMT -5
Very Unenjoyable game to watch for this fan. I approve of the results so far, but the umpiring, the defense and the inability of the Astros to really cash in make this game very forgettable.
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Post by p23w on Oct 11, 2019 23:37:35 GMT -5
Bob Nightengale of USA Today is reporting that the Red Sox (and the Phillies) have a guy "with significant interest" in the vacant pitching coach job: Curt Schilling. Somehow, I just don't see this one happening, but I thought I'd pass on what I read in a WEEI article. I'm a big fan of #38. That said I have no clue as to what kind of pitching coach he would be. I have talked pitching with Shill and he is knowledgable. My guess is he's more into the mental/confidence aspect than he is into mechanics.
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Post by p23w on Oct 10, 2019 22:08:38 GMT -5
NL underdogs battle it out to face the AL big dawgs. Very interesting. I'm leaning towards a Nats vs 'Stros' WS.
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Post by p23w on Oct 9, 2019 17:22:26 GMT -5
Walks don't hurt half so bad if your pitcher has a good split or sinker. The Sox don't have those pitchers in their arsenal. Instead they have guys like Barnes and Pocello. Sox had the 3rd fewest DP's in the league. They also lead the league in batters faced and number of pitches thrown. Botton line, they need a minimum of 650 quality IP from Sale, Eovaldi, ERod and Price in order to be in contention for the playoffs. In 2019 they got 475 not so quality IP from this quartet. Long way to go. They need a surprise acquisition (or emergence) to give them 160+ quality IP next year. I don't care who gets credit (scouts or stat geeks), the fan in me wants this to happen. After a delirious season with 108 wins, 80 something feels like last place.
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Post by p23w on Sept 30, 2019 9:07:56 GMT -5
[quote author=" redsox04071318champs" source="/post/400038/thread" timestamp="1569850246" ]I expect that this will be a very sobering offseason.
Sobriety aside, I'm postulating angst, heart break, and remorse. This off season will not be pretty. I'm not sure how the math works. How do they get under 208 million? I guess for them it hinges on whether JDM opts out or not? If he does they can try to make their offer to Mookie, although I think the 10 year $300 figure that was thrown out in the first post of this thread would be well short of what it'll take to keep Mookie. I suspect it would take something like 33 million/year if not more for 11 years (if not a 12th season). I wish the Red Sox could find somebody to take half of Price's contract to free up money, not that it would be that easy to replace Price, but if a high priced (no pun intended) player had to go, I'd part with Price. But that's most likely just a wish. If JDM decides to opt out after next year then I don't see how the Sox keep Betts and stay under the limit. If I had to guess, I think JDM will opt out this offseason - it might not be as logical to do so, but it's a gut feeling I have. Whoever the new Sox GM is - I'm still sticking with Jed Hoyer - he's going to have his work cut out for him.
True dat. I'm just hoping that a post Dombrowski GM does not suffer the same fate as the post Dombrowski Tiger team did. Loosing Mookie/JDM/Porcello without a huge bounce back from Price/Sale/Eovaldi would be devastating. Ownership is expecting the Red Sox GM to be like Billy Beane circa 2002 when he had just lost Giambi, Damon, and Isringhausen after the 2001 season. I think that's quite a tall order. The Red Sox will likely need to replace one or two of Betts/JDM, find a new CF to replace JBJ if he's the way to stay under the luxury tax limit, get a cheap 2b, and add a starter to replace Porcello, find better starting depth options and better bullpen depth options, too. I honestly don't see how this can happen. I won't say it's impossible, but really, it's hard to see the Red Sox being a force in the AL next season. The Yankees are superior, despite their starting pitching issues, and frankly, I do think (yeah, I know - I always think the top free agents are coming to NY) that Gerrit Cole will be a Yankee next season - I've read that the Yankees have coveted him for some time - and let's face it, the one thing they truly need is starting pitching - they're strong everywhere else. I also miscalculated on the strength of other teams, like Cleveland, like Oakland, like Tampa, like Minnesota. These clubs are far better than I thought they'd be. I thought the 93 wins I figured the Sox for would easily get them into the post-season, and as Cleveland found out, that's not the case.
While I can sympathize, I think those teams records have much to do with just how poorly the O's, Royals and Mariner teams were this year. So, right now, despite the underachieving, the Red Sox are a middle of the pack AL team that should have been a bit better, but instead will lose some marquis players, and have no money to bring in the talent that is needed, and little help from the farm at this point - I would expect Dalbec to be the one prospect that can step in and contribute. If John Henry is so hell bent on getting below $208 million, the term "bridge year" might be a kind description of what 2020 will look like. And what sucks is, that I really don't believe, with all the revenue that they generate, that they can't afford to stay well above the luxury tax line. I won't call Henry cheap, because they do spend more than other teams, and they look around and see a team that pays the highest in the league while other teams have far lower payrolls and far more victories in 2019. I get that. They want a Moneyball GM, the modern version, so I guess we'll be seeing WAR/Win $ or whatever the stat is called rather than actual victories be the measuring stick going forward until the time they feel they're close enough to be in a position to go for it. Until their farm system improves drastically it's hard to see that day coming really soon. I don't think the Sox will really be a force in the league until after the upcoming strike settles.[/quote] The farm system is embarrassing at present. Don't know about a strike, but i do know their will be numerous new faces in the dugout next year and Cora needs to nurture better chemistry from day one of Spring Training.
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Post by p23w on Sept 28, 2019 15:30:14 GMT -5
Getting smoked by the team with the #2 draft pick, at home, to end the season is a disgrace for the 1918 World Champs.
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