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Post by voiceofreason on Nov 14, 2021 9:43:40 GMT -5
Also, Collins to IR. Bower and LaCosse elevated. On Brown, some saying they could go a lot of 6 OL lineups. Hell yeah let’s get weird I was going to say this!!! Sure why not, have Brown and Onwenu side by side out on the right side and run, run run til the Browns can stop it. Heck the Pats already have plenty of 2 TE sets, just replace one with Brown for a series or 2 and see what happens. BB likes to push the envelope at times and this would be blowing the envelop wide open. If your a D coordinator how do you respond? You have to get big right. The Pats could still run play action and flood a zone to be a passing threat. Crazy, weird, whatever the Browns would have to respond and adjust to it. And it could ease Brown back in with minimal stats.
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Post by voiceofreason on Nov 14, 2021 9:01:35 GMT -5
Is anyone else as mentally disturbed as I am, in that I feel that Celtics loss means the Patriots will also lose to Cleveland? I know it doesn’t but I’m an idiot. Or maybe, I can spin it that the home teams win. Well there has been so symmetry to the teams these past few weeks. When one wins they all win and vice versa. Lets just hope the Pats follow the B's and win rather than the currently hapless C's. Just want to point out that Tatum has a bit of a history of starting slow. I am rather confident he will meet and build on the player he was last year as the season goes on. His FG% isn't going to end the season below 40 and his 3's will start to fall at better than 32%, pretty sure that is guaranteed. I have a feeling this team is going to be a lot better in the 2nd half.
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Post by voiceofreason on Nov 13, 2021 20:19:09 GMT -5
Freddie freeman is apparently looking for a 6 year deal in the 200 mil range. Quite a bit AAV but I wouldn't hate it if the sox jumped at that. As big a Casas fan as I am I don't hate the thought of signing Freddie and using Casas as a big time trade chip for a really good starter. It would have to be a very good pitcher with some financial control. Like maybe Montas from Oakland, he has 2 more arb years. Can't imagine that the new CBA would effect a guy in that position of control but who knows. Casas should return A LOT!!!
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Post by voiceofreason on Nov 13, 2021 12:15:56 GMT -5
So much focus on the D on the left side of the infield and how it is subpar, yet they are SS award winners once again. It is in the Red Sox genes to have a strong hitting team and sometimes that is at the expense of defense. Funny thing is that hitting is more expensive than D, preventing runs is less expensive as TBay proves yr in yr out.
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Post by voiceofreason on Nov 12, 2021 13:40:03 GMT -5
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Post by voiceofreason on Nov 12, 2021 13:18:17 GMT -5
We will see quite a bit of Jonnu in the backfield Sunday. If there is no Harris or Stevenson then Josh will be seriously tested with a game plan. Are they ready to win a game on Macs arm and throwing it 40+ times, we might find out. I actually do expect one will be available. Then again Cleveland could be in the same shoes, should be interesting.
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Post by voiceofreason on Nov 12, 2021 12:13:23 GMT -5
Exactly. If the price on Kyle is right, this is like buying land that you think they are going to build a railroad near. The fact that we could easily pay, say, half JD's salary means that some NL team could get a top DH (and influential veteran) for $10M makes even better. Unless if Bloom sees something other GMs don't and signs Schwarber for much less than his true value, I don't understand how this would be better than just signing someone who fits the team better. Everyone in the league, including Schwarber and his agent, know that the NL DH is likely and this should ultimately drive up his market value. Bloom would basically need to have strong reason to believe that 2021 is the new normal for his bat. I think as someone else pointed out earlier that finding someone with the same LH bat that he brings is not that easy. Not to mention the fit in the clubhouse.
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Post by voiceofreason on Nov 12, 2021 10:36:00 GMT -5
Seems like things are promising for Stevenson to play Good to hear!! I think he is ready for a real breakout performance and if he gets enough touches it could be this week.
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Post by voiceofreason on Nov 12, 2021 10:34:12 GMT -5
And right on cue another front runner loses to a losing team. What does the Ravens loss to Miami really mean? It has been an interesting season in that every time a team looks like they are going to go on a run and be dominant they take a bad loss.
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Post by voiceofreason on Nov 11, 2021 11:00:14 GMT -5
This game will fly under the radar but it was a tremendous win.Toronto was starting to creep back into this game in the 4th, and the Celts made three plays in a row that basically ended it. It’s the NBA, and that won’t always be the case, but they need to start finding ways to make things easier on themselves. Tonight was a great example of that. Interesting how playing great D with tenacity leads to good things. It isn't easy to maintain but the C;s are deep with guys capable of maintaining the intensity so as I have said it should be their calling card.
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Post by voiceofreason on Nov 10, 2021 14:07:43 GMT -5
With the caveat that they get a 2nd chance to react to other teams offers. If both players truly want to stay in Boston that doesn't seem like too much of an ask. Like BB does with the Pats, go out and see what your market is and give us a chance to match. I think 15m aav for Schwarber is fine but for more like 4 yrs and that could turn into a bargain or maybe not. ERod will get close to 20m AAV, who knows for how long. Fact is both players will be worth the investment, IMO. I'm not sure what is gained by saying we'll lowball you, but if you can do better come back to us. I'd get it if their market wasn't projected to be robust, but Schwarber is coming off a big year and is still young while E-Rod's stats beyond his ERA were excellent and he is young. I can see that attitude in certain scenarios but with these two, of course they'd get better offers, so what's the point of even starting with that. Neither one would be dumb enough to sign those kinds of deals and that offer would make them even more eager to see what else is out there. I just think it sends a bad message of, "our first priority is to sign you cheaply" rather than "we're serious about bringing you back", and that's a bad way to start a negotiation, especially when they do have plenty of other options. I didn't mean to endorse those offers. I would endorse offers that were reasonably thought out but had room for some give and take. You don't want to start a negotiation with your top end deal either. There is an in between that isn't offensive.
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Post by voiceofreason on Nov 10, 2021 13:59:02 GMT -5
Trent Brown at practice today I am hoping he can be a difference maker, first he has to stay on the field.
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Post by voiceofreason on Nov 10, 2021 12:38:03 GMT -5
Smells to me like the Red Sox are aggressively putting some team friendly deals in front of players that know would like to come back to Boston, at a time while other teams may be afraid to act due to CBA uncertainty. I wouldn't bother trying this with a Boras client! I could see them offering Schwarber 2/30 and Erod 4/65-4/70. Hoping that they bite. With the caveat that they get a 2nd chance to react to other teams offers. If both players truly want to stay in Boston that doesn't seem like too much of an ask. Like BB does with the Pats, go out and see what your market is and give us a chance to match. I think 15m aav for Schwarber is fine but for more like 4 yrs and that could turn into a bargain or maybe not. ERod will get close to 20m AAV, who knows for how long. Fact is both players will be worth the investment, IMO.
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Post by voiceofreason on Nov 9, 2021 18:46:28 GMT -5
Suzuki would probably cost $10-11 mil per season. The posting fee does not count against to luxury cap. Hunter is making $7.5 per and will earn a substantial raise due to his career year. A Suzuki signing would make him available to fetch a SP. Renfroe will be 30 in January. Suzuki is 27 entering his prime years. I would not be surprised if Suzuki goes for more like 15+, he could be close to 20 IMO. His K and walk rate are elite and he produces runs, also has a very good glove. If Chaim went in that direction I would not be disappointed as long as the value was there.
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Post by voiceofreason on Nov 9, 2021 9:56:13 GMT -5
The Simmons for Brown thing is just the media being the media. I am old enough to remember when the news was news and once in a while there would be speculation based on some minimal facts. Now their is a constant barrage of speculation and opinion that is nothing more than clickbait BS. As boring as BB is as head of the Pats he does it for a reason, the media will run with nothing let alone rumors. He went thru it all as HC of the Browns when they slipped out of Cleveland and went to Baltimore. That was a dark day in sports and he was in the middle of it, hence the man we see today, guarded at every turn.
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Post by voiceofreason on Nov 9, 2021 9:47:27 GMT -5
Pitchers aren't generally pulled after 5 innings because they are getting tired. Analytics show pitchers are significantly less effective when going through the order a third time. Some of that may be fatigue but I think it's more the case the batters become acclimatized to the pitcher. They have seen everything the pitcher has to offer. I think the same thing can happen in a long at bat. Yes, that happens when pitcher throw max efforts to bat dodge. That's what pitching is becoming these days. That's why they're pooped out in the 5th inning. I'm saying that I don't think it necessarily has to be that way. Not sure how to change that. It's above my pay grade and I do believe smarter minds like Theo Epstein is working on that problem. I think you are discounting the level of hitting in baseball now. Gone are the days of sacrificing offense up the middle for defense, maybe still at catcher but the slap hitting SS, 2nd and CF is not so prevalent today. Hitters are better, bigger, stronger and faster, it is true across all sports. Add in the offseason workout regimens, scouting reports and film study. Pitchers don't get away with as many mistakes or meatballs as they used to. The days of Rico Petrocelli drinking a six pack between double headers are over. I can't think of any other reason why pitchers can no longer throw 300 innings or 120+ pitches every 4th day. They are throwing harder and with more spin to make batters miss but all the while putting more stress on their arms.
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Post by voiceofreason on Nov 9, 2021 8:17:56 GMT -5
Guys Like Chris believe in hyped players, and will die looking deep into numbers, baseball is about momentum, and Rafaela is the Guy, how many times he was clutch for salem this year and never gets credit for it, if you wanna look at numbers chris look at his RBI’s Run scored stolen Bases when home runs how the guy led the league in triples how the guy leg out extra bases on base hits he didn’t hit for AVG overall but he had a 280 avg Ball hit in play, and lets not even talk about his defense plays above average at all these positions a kid that didn’t play outfield in 5+ years plays it again and give you that kind of performance you need to start respecting the Guy and stop comparing him to others and BTW nobody has a better baseball IQ than him in the entire Red Sox minors. "Hello, run on sentence police? Yeah, this post right here." ☝ LOL....
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Post by voiceofreason on Nov 8, 2021 8:30:46 GMT -5
Espn isn't the greatest these days but kiley McDaniel did put out a list of free agents and their projected contracts. Of guys I think maybe the sox could be interested in that had Bryant at 5 years 90, Ray 4 years 76, erod 3 years 51, Suzuki 4 years 48, stroman 3 years 48, Iglesias 3 years 45, Schwarber 3 years 45, Taylor 3 years 39. Don't want to type up the whole list but there were some other guys lower on the list who could be of interest. I think some of those sound low but if not hopefully the sox bust out the checkbooks and grab 2 maybe 3 of those guys. At those prices I would 3 thank you very much. With the number of high end guys out there this could be a year to get some decent deals. ERod Schwarber Stroman or Ray. If they all add up to around 50m aav I like the value. Makes for a great team next year with Price, Eovaldi and JD coming off at the end of the season so they aren't in cap hell as that would offset the signings. One season with a big budget and big expectations, why not!! Of course those numbers could be on the low side but with all the big names in FA maybe not. They are at least close.
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Post by voiceofreason on Nov 8, 2021 8:10:35 GMT -5
As I have stated I am in favor of keeping Schwarber and think it could work for a yr with JD and all etc etc, great lefty bat to have. But with all the talk here about his fit in the future at 1st, LF or DH, it is as if trades were not a thing anymore. If he mashes he will have value, so if the roster needs change then he can be moved. Heck he could at some point be a big deadline pickup for someone if he no longer fits in Boston. This is another reason why I wouldn't be afraid to sign him, I don't think Chaim is going to be shy about pulling the trigger on trades he sees value in.
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Post by voiceofreason on Nov 8, 2021 8:00:10 GMT -5
People need to readjust their thinking on starters, whether we like it or not. Take a look at the comparisons: 2010: 88 starters threw more than 170 innings 45 threw 200 or more League leader 250 2021: 29 starters who broke 170 innings pitched. 4 broke 200 League leader 213.1 If a guy pitches INTO the 6th consistently, not out of it, then you have an above average starter in terms of innings pitched goes. This is the new reality. I don't necessarily disagree, but 2021 isn't really the year to use to make the point, I don't think. After a short 2020 season, teams were clearly trying to protect arms (or the guys actually got hurt). The numbers you cited for 2019 are 51 pitchers who broke 170 IP, 15 who broke 200, and the league leader had 223. I don't think two seasons have had such a drastic sea change in talent and thinking necessarily for that to be the line cause of the drop to this year's numbers. Maybe a little, but not necessarily that much. You are correct about the short 2020 season and the effect on 2021 but it doesn't change the reality that this is the direction baseball is going in. The trend certainly hit a quick charge down and it could rebound a bit but it is still the direction pitching strategy is headed, the analytics are just too much to disregard. And when adding in the effect it has on keeping guys healthy for the long run it just makes that much more sense. So many top pitchers have gone thru TJ surgery I would think limiting pitch counts just for that group will be a thing moving forward. I know I would like to see the Sox be very cautious with Sale next season so he can be at his best in Sept and Oct next year. And I would imagine every team with playoff hopes and a starting pitcher with a TJ history would be thinking the same way. Maybe 2020 has a lot to do with it but it is a long list of top pitchers who were fatigued and needed time off around August this past season. It is really an interesting thing to dive into when thinking about guys throwing 300 innings 40 or so years ago. I am no expert but with the spin rates of today to create the needed movement to not throw meatballs is just too much for the arms to handle. In the old days the middle relievers were mop up guys, now they are some of the most important guys on the staff. And the Sox are fortunate to have some very good ones but they need more IMO.
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Post by voiceofreason on Nov 8, 2021 7:13:20 GMT -5
7-2 would look even better!!
This draft class IS looking like it is kick starting the Pats right back into a playoff level contender. The three of them certainly look like major parts to a very good team, can't say enough about their contributions. The nonfumble by Stevenson that cost him a few games could be a blessing in disguise when it comes to ball security.
The biggest thing though is obviously Mac Jones. When you look at all the franchises that struggle to compete for years because they can't find a QB it really is special and lucky. The Pats have their QB and he fits their system perfectly. And they didn't have to give up a single extra pick to get him. I don't want to do the research but how many top QBs cost the drafting team a boatload of picks. Then how many times did a team give up all those picks just to get a dud QB that didn't make it. The Pats and us fans are beyond fortunate to have drafted Mac at 15 and for him to be already proving that he is that guy who can lead a SB contender.
Pats have 5 wins at the halfway point and only 2 teams in the AFC have more, never seen such parity. And what is Buffalos problem? Are they too cocky, are they really not that great. They haven't looked all that good lately. Pats can definitely split with them so 10 wins looks reasonable maybe 11 with a little luck. My bet is looking better every week.
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Post by voiceofreason on Nov 7, 2021 18:05:52 GMT -5
Yup, just like last offseason, throw a bunch of stuff at the wall and see what sticks. Questions though, like what does this say about their thoughts on Duran, nothing? The Sox don't try to steal bases, will that change? My guesses: 1. Doesn't change how they think about Duran, but reinforces that Duran is going back to Worcester to work on improving. He's likely not part of the Red Sox 2022 plans. 2. I'm assuming the Red Sox don't try to steal because stealing bases is generally a low % play when trying to score runs. But they also haven't had great base stealers in a while. As Tim Locasto is 31/34 in SBA, it's likely he's good enough that they would try if/when he's on base (I don't think there's much point of having him as a 4th OF candidate if you won't let him steal). I would imagine that Duran will be headed back to AAA next year or maybe another team.
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Post by voiceofreason on Nov 7, 2021 17:33:32 GMT -5
I know I will be in the minority but I would like Schwarber back also. I don't think it would cost that much, could be wrong but 15m for 4 might be the neighborhood. Their are a lot of FA's out there who will be higher priorities and suck up a lot of the available cap space. That and his defensive drawbacks could make him affordable. One yr of both he and JD could be manageable to get a great lefty bat that can play a little first and OF. Not likely to happen but I wouldn't hate it.
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Post by voiceofreason on Nov 7, 2021 16:19:39 GMT -5
Jags knock off the Bills, complete shocker. Now just a half game back of the Bills, I ban referencing the Miami game for the next week. Beat me to it, right down to the Miami reference.
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Post by voiceofreason on Nov 7, 2021 13:37:44 GMT -5
Wynn with a major penalty, followed by Karras with a hold, followed by Jakobi with a bobble. All on the first drive :-) Get the mistakes out of the way and keep going. Winning the field position game right now, feels like the old days. Well that all changed in 30 freaking seconds. Hold them to a FG.
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