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Post by tjb21 on Dec 13, 2022 10:03:13 GMT -5
Defensive guess: Start in LF at home and (mostly) DH on the road.
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Post by tjb21 on Dec 7, 2022 15:38:19 GMT -5
Kluber should be cheap based on what Quintana got (2/26M) I’d still prefer Hill over Kluber. Same contract? Give me Kluber.
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Post by tjb21 on Dec 7, 2022 11:21:24 GMT -5
The biggest part of this to me is shifting everyone down a slot. Barnes won’t close, but if he can keep his improvement from the end of the year, he could go back to being a good 8th inning guy. That frees Martin to be a jack-of-all-trades. That frees Whitlock to start. And in freeing Whitlock to start, it means that they really just need to sign one starter, not the two that had been tossed around. Hell, maybe even Houck gets freed up to start. Shifting everyone down the bullpen depth chart is certainly a major potential plus of this signing. *Apologies for sidetracking the Jansen conversation* Houck likely won't be a starter again with the Red Sox. That ship has (seemingly) sailed. Bullpen or traded. Whitlock was already freed to start, so this signing also didn't factor into that decision.
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Post by tjb21 on Nov 18, 2022 11:59:00 GMT -5
Let them all go. $5 million combined can get something decent (or contribute to getting something decent). You'd need to replace them with someone. Even if all replacements were league MIN, it wouldn't be $5M off the books. SPChris probably nails it with the NT then immediately re-sign on a split deal with Franchy and Yu. I have no idea what to do with Taylor. They seem to like Braiser too.
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Post by tjb21 on Nov 15, 2022 16:41:12 GMT -5
Nate declining the QO might be the best of all outcomes. His market will be depressed (possible re-signing discount) OR Boston gains a draft pick and signs an equal starter for similar money (without giving up a QO). I'm pumped by his decision!
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Post by tjb21 on Nov 15, 2022 13:50:41 GMT -5
With Eovaldi's age and injury history even this past year if he were to accept the QO am I crazy to think the Red Sox should just say okay Nate here's your 20M this year and not negotiate a longer term deal with him? Sure if he would accept the QO he may accept 2-3 years at 17ish AAV but part me would rather just pay him the QO for one year than give him a multi year deal. In my mind there's a decent case to be made that having him for 1 year at the QO is better than a longer term deal. This is exactly where I'm at. If we signed Nate to a 1yr/~$20M deal, I'd be very ok with it -- and that's what Boston is doing (or they get a pick if he walks). Much more excited for 1 year deal with Nate than anything more than a year. Let him pitch the year, see what happens and negotiate after 2023 ends (if Boston wants to).
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Post by tjb21 on Nov 15, 2022 10:27:56 GMT -5
Mayer and Bleis. These are the two building blocks.
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Post by tjb21 on Nov 10, 2022 17:29:18 GMT -5
Great thread so far, well done! QO Wacha, Eovaldi and Xander. 1 year (potential) deals with Wacha and Eovaldi are fine. They'll likely go over the tax next year, my guess at least. In retrospect, QO'ing Wacha seems silly to me now. Glad they gave it to Eovaldi. Still think they go over the tax in 2023.
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Post by tjb21 on Nov 10, 2022 14:02:31 GMT -5
I‘ve said it a million times, but if Verdugo could play RF well, it would make things so much simpler. I continue coming back to this thought too. Verdugo still seems like an odd fit at Fenway: not good enough defensively for RF, (maybe) not good enough offensively for LF either We'll see.
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Post by tjb21 on Oct 19, 2022 11:37:52 GMT -5
I agree Renfroe isn't my ideal type of player as I've never cared for high SLG low OBP players but looking at the potential options without projecting a trade there is basically Judge, Nimmo and Conforto as available free agents who could upgrade the Sox OF this offseason and Conforto is questionable anyway. If they aren't able to sign Nimmo or Conforto, I don't project them to sign Judge and a trade for a reasonable price isn't available they could do worse than bringing Renfroe back for just cash in essence for one season. When was/is the last date clubs could sign Conforto for the 2022 season? Once Boston was going over the tax threshold, I kept waiting for Boston to sign him to a 2022 contract + team option(s) in the future, so they could potentially get him for "cheaper" moving forward, while paying him guaranteed $$ for 2022.
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Post by tjb21 on Oct 12, 2022 14:38:28 GMT -5
Correa not having a QO attached is looking quite tempting. Sign a better player and get a pick from Xander leaving? I'm in.
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Post by tjb21 on Sept 23, 2022 12:48:04 GMT -5
McGuire has accumulated 1.6 WAR (Fangraphs) this year, compared to 1.1 WAR for Christian Vazquez. Weird how the world works sometimes. Has Vazquez even played with the Astros? I'm being sort of facetious but it's hard to do much when you don't play. Fair question. McGuire has 155 less PA's than Vazquez in 2022 (250 PA's vs 405 PA's), FWIW.
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Post by tjb21 on Sept 23, 2022 10:04:52 GMT -5
McGuire has accumulated 1.6 WAR (Fangraphs) this year, compared to 1.1 WAR for Christian Vazquez.
Weird how the world works sometimes.
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Post by tjb21 on Sept 12, 2022 13:50:30 GMT -5
I would've promoted German over Bazardo. I'll always take the guy with the livelier fastball whem it comes to bullpen arms. Is there a service time clock thing going on? Maybe thats why they haven’t promoted German. Good question, Chris and Ian talk about this on the podcast. Their take was: it's *likely* moreso to do with Bazardo needing a legit look, since they've made up their mind to add German already.
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Post by tjb21 on Sept 8, 2022 12:14:14 GMT -5
Great thread so far, well done!
QO Wacha, Eovaldi and Xander. 1 year (potential) deals with Wacha and Eovaldi are fine. They'll likely go over the tax next year, my guess at least.
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Post by tjb21 on May 19, 2022 14:06:03 GMT -5
Atta boy Bryan! Welcome back.
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Post by tjb21 on May 11, 2022 14:46:56 GMT -5
My assumption is Whitlock will head back to the bullpen once Sale/Paxton join the rotation. Whitlock will be getting closer to his innings threshold, and this will be the timeframe for him get back to the bullpen. As many others have said, if he was a starter all year, he'd be out of innings well before the season ended. This plan gets him exposure to starting, builds his innings and allows him to end the year in the bullpen.
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Post by tjb21 on May 6, 2022 13:59:12 GMT -5
It was his first week of games and was facing pitchers in their 3 or 4th A Ball outings while having just few Florida back fields at bats under him, it’s totally normal that he’ll struggle. First Week:25 PA, 1 BB, 15 K, 0 XBH 2nd Week:20 PA, 4 BB, 0 K, 3 XBH In his 3rd at bat today you can see that he finally found his rhythm: Took 2 borderline called strikes but didn’t expand while working from behind fouling 2 pitchs then lacing a line drive to CF. He’s one of the most polished hitters in the system and I’m expecting him to leapfrog Gilberto Jimenez in the rankings pretty soon. Lopez is a guy we all really like. He got assigned straight to Salem out of extended last year, but then got hurt. He's had some bad timing and bad luck with injuries, but I personally think he has the most upside of anyone outside the top 20 prospects. He's the only person outside the Top 30 where I could see everything clicking and him ending up in or around the top 10 within a year. Not sure "polished" is quite the word I'd use for him, but he's not as raw as a lot of guys with that kind of profile. Someone to watch, definitely. Wow! This is some high praise. I'll have to follow his progression closer.
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Post by tjb21 on May 4, 2022 12:42:53 GMT -5
I think there is gonna be a big 40 man crunch in the offseason. I was looking at it the other day & there looks to be 8 guys at least that are gonna need to be added. Think this is for a different thread, and will be the case for several teams this offseason.
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Post by tjb21 on Apr 21, 2022 9:24:10 GMT -5
I loved what I saw last night from Crawford. His stuff is even nastier than Whitlock's. In what way(s)?
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Post by tjb21 on Apr 18, 2022 11:31:30 GMT -5
Good for him! As @redsoxstats said on Twitter: "cautiously optimistic"
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Post by tjb21 on Mar 29, 2022 14:31:57 GMT -5
Bloom is being quite transparent here, for him.
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Post by tjb21 on Mar 25, 2022 11:52:22 GMT -5
Easy come. Easy go. Kyle Tyler DFAed by the Red Sox to make room for reliever Ralph Garza. Hope Tyler clears but doubt it. Guess Bloom prefers up and down reliever with interesting slider than spot starter? Think Bloom prefers both and is fine if Tyler gets claimed in the process.
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Post by tjb21 on Mar 25, 2022 11:40:57 GMT -5
Up: TMD, Murphy, Wallace
Down: Jimenez, Seabold, Cannon
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Post by tjb21 on Mar 22, 2022 8:09:03 GMT -5
This certainly got me excited about the signing.
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