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Recent Posts
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Post by Chris Hatfield on May 18, 2023 13:08:56 GMT -5
Went through the same thought process. Started the same day as Nail so it's possible they give Gambrell another day.
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Post by Chris Hatfield on May 18, 2023 10:44:42 GMT -5
TBD in Portland is almost certainly Gambrell.
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Post by Chris Hatfield on May 17, 2023 5:51:07 GMT -5
Bleis hasn't played since Thursday when he left the game with an apparent hand injury at the plate
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Post by Chris Hatfield on May 15, 2023 19:38:00 GMT -5
I still believe in Houck as a starter more than Whitlock, his sinker, slider, and splitter are all plus. He needs to differentiate between his sinker and 4 seam better and use his 4 seam more against lefties. I will die on this hill If he had three plus pitches he'd be a top 10 pitcher in baseball.
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Post by Chris Hatfield on May 15, 2023 15:33:08 GMT -5
Collazo and Badler said the same thing about Skenes. It's a universally held evaluation. Crews is just that good. There's an article on BA right now discussing whether he'll be a top 5 or 10 prospect in the game immediately upon being drafted. That's he Crews, not he Skenes, right? Yes.
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Post by Chris Hatfield on May 15, 2023 15:32:38 GMT -5
For all the grumbling about Casas and the persistent calls to send him down to AAA, it's interesting that not a single person has taken note of the fact that he's on a Duvall-like tear at the moment: .429/.556/.929 in his last 6 games. A 289 wRC+. In the last month he's hitting .238/.402/.413, a 129 wRC+.
I honestly haven’t seen that much grumbling. He’s been fine. Even in his worst stretches, he looks so much different from Dalbec, as a comp… Casas has never looked hopeless. Hard disagree about grumbling. My and the site account's mentions on Twitter being any indication, general fandom has been at least worried, if not upset, about his production.
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Post by Chris Hatfield on May 15, 2023 15:30:15 GMT -5
Cot's has them $16m under. That said, I just compared their spreadsheet to redsoxpayroll's and found 3 discrepancies, all of which I agree with redsoxpayroll on, so let's go with that number.
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Post by Chris Hatfield on May 15, 2023 14:22:00 GMT -5
Y'know, that's not a bad comp at all. I think the only big difference is that Espinoza, to me, felt like a big injury risk looking at his size compared to his stuff, which kind of bore out. Although it was such big stuff that maybe the injury risk brought him back into the Bleis range a bit? (For those who don't recall, think Perales but with even bigger stuff and smaller.)
They got 2.5 years of Pomeranz there, although my recollection, which is kind of confirmed by the trade analysis Ian wrote at the time, was that it was a very steep price to pay in a win-now deal, perhaps made a bit easier to swallow because the system was loaded in those days. We noted the deal allowed them to keep the Moncada, Benintendi, Devers trio, but that Espinoza was at the time better than Jay Groome (who signed the day of the trade!) and Michael Kopech.
I'll add though that even since just 2016, the landscape for trading minor leaguers below Double-A has changed drastically. I wonder if teams would make that deal today given the risk of exactly what happened to Espinoza happening. Teams want guys close to MLB now.
Wasn't that also the deal, though, where the Padres were being sketchy about Pomeranz' medicals?
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Post by Chris Hatfield on May 15, 2023 11:21:41 GMT -5
I'm at the point where, if these guys have superior command and control, and the requisite velo, then move them to MLB if there's a spot or AAA for 3-5 starts. If they're not getting lit up in AAA then right to the majors. Why waste the bullets when pitchers only have so many? Well, for one thing, you need to have a spot in MLB for the guy. They're not going to just DFA someone to rush Drohan to the bigs. Fwiw, Drohan is not the pitcher you are describing at all.
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Post by Chris Hatfield on May 15, 2023 11:19:11 GMT -5
Well herein lies the problem with watering down an evaluation to a single number, right?
He's a FV55 for Pipeline, but the ceiling is much higher while the floor is also much lower. Kind of narrows the kind of deal he even fits into.
For what it's worth though, had anyone labeled him as truly untouchable? Like you're not trading him for a half-year rental (as you allude to), but would anyone say they wouldn't move him for multiple years of team control of a proven MLB 55 or better?
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Post by Chris Hatfield on May 15, 2023 9:03:25 GMT -5
Interesting they've somewhat downgraded Bleis' projection closer to a 55 than 65. I don't understand how this is done in general when a guy has yet to see advanced pitching. My guess is it's pure guesswork by the evaluator. For those unaware, a 55 makes him an average to above average MLB player. A 65 is a perennial All Star. We shall see. A couple things here: 1) 55 = above-average. 50 = average. You're spot-on that a 65 is an all-star though 2) I think you might be mistaken that they ever had him graded as a 65. There isn't a single 65 on the list currently. If he was listed somewhere as a 65, then it almost certainly was a mistake.
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Post by Chris Hatfield on May 14, 2023 10:56:22 GMT -5
I believe they're shopping him. I do not believe there are multiple execs, at least those with decision-making power, that think he's a potential MLB regular, or at least that don't think that's any better than an absolute best case, 100th percentile outcome. Otherwise he'd have been dealt a long time ago.
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Post by Chris Hatfield on May 14, 2023 10:53:27 GMT -5
Law with some more draft tidbits, mostly about Langford (calling him a 70 runner seems reaaaaaaal generous), but some good nuggets on a few high schoolers with helium. theathletic.com/4503716/2023/05/10/mlb-draft-wyatt-langford-top-pick/Kind of an aside, but the whole "Langford would be #1 if not for Crews" thing really kinda drives it home for me - why aren't people talking about Skenes as being a better prospect than those two at all? I get the risks of drafting pitchers and all that, but the dude is sitting 98-100 with an easy delivery and at least one plus-to-better secondary and good control. Crews and Langford are obviously special bats but Skenes seems way too special in his own right for it to be as foregone a conclusion as it's been made to seem lately. Law actually said in his podcast with Darren Van Riper that Skenes is the best MLB pitching prospect since Strasburg and predicts he'll go 1/1. The only caveat is that some GMs prefer position players, especially in a spot like 1/1 or 1/2 because they are more likely to stay healthy. But he saw Skenes live and said that he could be starting in MLB 1-1.5 years after the draft for all 30 teams. Apparently in the start Law saw, Skenes hit 99-100 several times with and easy motion, command and control on three pitches and he has a plus-plus FB and two plus other pitches. He also ran down the Lankford and Crews, both of whom he saw live and detailed why they may go 1/1. The podcast is free through the Athletic. Collazo and Badler said the same thing about Skenes. It's a universally held evaluation. Crews is just that good. There's an article on BA right now discussing whether he'll be a top 5 or 10 prospect in the game immediately upon being drafted.
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Post by Chris Hatfield on May 12, 2023 10:07:40 GMT -5
Everything is entered by the team. MiLB doesn't have someone reaching out or anything.
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Post by Chris Hatfield on May 12, 2023 8:45:52 GMT -5
Eury Perez called up from AA Needs to be part of the next CBA that every time a player gets his first call-up it gets recorded. Inject this stuff into my veins.
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Post by Chris Hatfield on May 12, 2023 8:42:13 GMT -5
He's been riding the shuttle for them all year. Which is a hell of a thing. His player page says tonight was his first game. The good news for the Yankees, he didn't walk anyone. Wait am I dreaming he'd been up before? Am I thinking of someone else? My b.
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Post by Chris Hatfield on May 12, 2023 8:38:55 GMT -5
Oh wow, interesting that the projected is Paez. Love to see an actual short IL stint. And also the chance for the perfect thread title! Lol.
Also, Murphy moved up a day apparently.
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Post by Chris Hatfield on May 11, 2023 22:08:23 GMT -5
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Post by Chris Hatfield on May 11, 2023 19:34:47 GMT -5
Hernández only hits 5th against LHP. He moves down the order against RHP.
He started the year ice cold (.083/.233/.250 in 11g) but has been absolutely fine since (.296/.327/.398 in 25g). If Kiké is what you're complaining about, you're looking for something to complain about.
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Post by Chris Hatfield on May 11, 2023 13:26:47 GMT -5
That's definitely an issue, but Portland is a good place to have him with Epperson
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Post by Chris Hatfield on May 11, 2023 13:18:39 GMT -5
The second I saw that thing touch down and Rosario wasn’t at 10/10 levels of urgency I knew it was a double His acceleration off the first base bag is insane Just a guy clicking the stopwatch on his iPhone while watching that video, but to me that looks like 6.83 seconds from contact to touching second base. Did it twice with my just-as-inaccurate stopwatch on my Samsung watch and got 7.04 and 7.03. Do we have a 20-80 scale for home to second? 34th on the Baseball Savant sprint speed leaderboard at 28.9 ft/sec. 4.17 home to first 10th in baseball.
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Post by Chris Hatfield on May 11, 2023 13:08:47 GMT -5
Ryan Weber up to the Spankees He's been riding the shuttle for them all year. Which is a hell of a thing.
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Post by Chris Hatfield on May 11, 2023 9:07:21 GMT -5
Wouldn’t his arm be a problem out there, too? Have we tried forcing this guy to be a RHH, because aside from handedness he is a perfect complement to Valdez at 2B. I don't think taking a speed guy and moving him to the right side of the plate would be the move to make. (Understood that you're kidding)
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Post by Chris Hatfield on May 11, 2023 8:53:29 GMT -5
A premium pick on a pitcher, let alone a HS pitcher? That would be well outside the track record. Well, (a) new scouting director, so track record may not be a thing, and (b) the track record might just be that they take the best player on their board, and those have happened to be HS infielders lately.
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Post by Chris Hatfield on May 11, 2023 7:37:30 GMT -5
By the way, since we're all learning it, it's pronounced as though you are telling someone to back off: he's not Your Droth, he's My Droth. It's not pronounced as though you are living in the jungle: "You Tarzan, Me Droth."
This has been a public service announcement.
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