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Post by thegoodthebadthesox on May 5, 2023 20:36:08 GMT -5
The on-base streak is at 17 games! (I am possibly the only person who cares about this.) My entire stance is as long as Casas is walking I’m fine with giving him a leash to figure it out, so I care too!
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Post by thegoodthebadthesox on May 5, 2023 20:12:59 GMT -5
The difference between Valdez and Arroyo really lengthens our lineup. He's batting .343 in the 8 Hole Forget Arroyo he’s just a journeyman with control. Next year it’s Story at SS, but Valdez and Duran sticking is interesting. Kiké will be a FA, but the truth is he’s just not a good hitter at this juncture. So he might be forced back into taking the utility role he signed here for to begin with. CF is so thin in the MLB that he would probably land on his feet beyond what he deserves. The whole “Cora promised me we’d be good” thing really rubbed me wrong with Kiké this year. 1) you’re not a star 2) you were a big reason for the regression for the entire team last year. Life comes at you fast. Now you’re the worst hitter on the team excluding Reese McGuire, despite you needing a promise that everyone else was good enough I think it was Bloom that promised it but your point is fair
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Post by thegoodthebadthesox on May 5, 2023 19:55:22 GMT -5
Very random but I love that this guy is crushing the ball and I want more of it. Journeyman with a chance He’s a Yankee in like two months
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Post by thegoodthebadthesox on May 5, 2023 15:00:18 GMT -5
He's had stretches of being a serviceable major league reliever, there are certainly worse depth options out there.
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Post by thegoodthebadthesox on May 5, 2023 14:53:22 GMT -5
What if Fan Duel had another who is getting promoted each Red Sox affiliate? That would be cool. Getting odds to bet. I know the other kid was first but it would be cool for each league. Seems like it would involve parsing what counts as a "promotion" which isn't something that I'm guessing the gambling folks are interested in getting into. Like last year, Jordan DiValerio was assigned to Salem, pitched in one game in which allowed four runs in an inning, and then went up to Greenville the following day based on roster needs. Obviously not a promotion, but try telling that to someone who took 200 to 1 that he'd be promoted first. There's also a lag time between the promotion and when it gets broken (usually) as opposed to a game or a draft pick with a definitive, live result. So like, to use Chase Meidroth as an example, he could get told he's getting a promotion on a Tuesday night but the news doesn't come out until Wednesday. Well what's stopping the Meidroth family from placing a huge bet on him Tuesday night after they get the news but before the book can catch it? There's just no great way to regulate that type of activity.
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Post by thegoodthebadthesox on May 5, 2023 12:56:00 GMT -5
Seeing Florida this weekend (going tonight weather permitting as a fan and then ESPN work Saturday) which I may be looking forward to more than the LSU series because while I think Crews/Skenes are a little more exciting than Caglianone/Langford, Florida also has more players that I think could fit into the Red Sox draft plan this year (Waldrep, Sproat, Rivera).
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Post by thegoodthebadthesox on May 5, 2023 12:08:52 GMT -5
So you think that where Pipeline has him ranked is… more?? .. important than where they project he will actually go when evaluated by the actual league? Like I said, it’s just another data point, but I don’t think you are adequately taking in each data point for what they are. I’ll leave you to continue doing that should you so choose, given the complete temper tantrum you threw when the Yorke pick was made I’m really not gonna put a whole lot of stock into what you think of other analysts anyway. And I've admitted I was wrong about Yorke, everyone has some bad takes if you dig deep enough. But keep carrying Law's water, maybe he'll let you review some boardgame and then bake you a pie There’s a difference between able to interpret information rationally and carrying someone’s water, but honestly if the latter would get me free pie I’d consider it
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Post by thegoodthebadthesox on May 5, 2023 11:34:58 GMT -5
But why is the Dollander ranking the one that’s attention seeking and the Eldridge ranking the one that’s “oh, interesting to note that he’s got him this high”? It’s not a consistent interpretation. Anyway, that’s getting off the rails. The MLB mock had him at 9, if you want to argue that 4 spot difference is fundamentally massive, go ahead and do it, but I don’t think the idea that Dollander’s stock is falling at least a little bit is all that crazy, you’re just nitpicking the degree. Certainly your right, but I’ve just gotten tired of that particular discourse. The MLB pipeline mock might've had him going 9th, but was still ranked 6th, Law's rankings weren't a mock So you think that where Pipeline has him ranked is… more?? .. important than where they project he will actually go when evaluated by the actual league? Like I said, it’s just another data point, but I don’t think you are adequately taking in each data point for what they are. I’ll leave you to continue doing that should you so choose, given the complete temper tantrum you threw when the Yorke pick was made I’m really not gonna put a whole lot of stock into what you think of other analysts anyway. Also working the broadcast for a game against Bama next weekend which, given everything they’ve got going on, should be…. Interesting
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Post by thegoodthebadthesox on May 5, 2023 11:24:54 GMT -5
I don’t think it’s that extreme, it’s like 8 spots (and you’re not questioning Eldridge’s extreme rise in the same way likely because you agree with it, which I’d argue means you’re not approaching it objectively), he explains it in a way that at least makes sense whether or not you agree with it. Do I think that’s too low? Yes. Do I think it’s absurd? No. I hate how much I come off like a Law defender most of the time but I think the discourse around him has gotten ridiculous. It’s not against the law (pun not intended) to have an opinion if there’s reasonable justification behind it. Law has some real stinkers in his analysis sometimes, I think he tends to hyper-fixate, and I think he’s far from the best draft guy, but I also think that the general analysis of his analysis often ends up being more irrational that what his analysis is claimed to be. It’s just another data point. I never said the Eldridge ranking was correct... But why is the Dollander ranking the one that’s attention seeking and the Eldridge ranking the one that’s “oh, interesting to note that he’s got him this high”? It’s not a consistent interpretation. Anyway, that’s getting off the rails. The MLB mock had him at 9, if you want to argue that 4 spot difference is fundamentally massive, go ahead and do it, but I don’t think the idea that Dollander’s stock is falling at least a little bit is all that crazy, you’re just nitpicking the degree. Certainly your right, but I’ve just gotten tired of that particular discourse.
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Post by thegoodthebadthesox on May 5, 2023 11:05:26 GMT -5
Do you think that’s too low? Or do you not think he’s fallen enough? He’s certainly still worthy of being a high pick, maybe even still has the tools to validate a top 10 selection, but he hasn’t been particularly great this year (though he hasn’t struggled nearly as much as Chase Burns). It's an extreme drop that isn't reflected anywhere else in the industry. If he was scratched several times with arm or shoulder ailments, than ya I get it, but his stuff just wasn't as sharp this season, it didn't disappear completely. I don’t think it’s that extreme, it’s like 8 spots (and you’re not questioning Eldridge’s extreme rise in the same way likely because you agree with it, which I’d argue means you’re not approaching it objectively), he explains it in a way that at least makes sense whether or not you agree with it. Do I think that’s too low? Yes. Do I think it’s absurd? No. I hate how much I come off like a Law defender most of the time but I think the discourse around him has gotten ridiculous. It’s not against the law (pun not intended) to have an opinion if there’s reasonable justification behind it. Law has some real stinkers in his analysis sometimes, I think he tends to hyper-fixate, and I think he’s far from the best draft guy, but I also think that the general analysis of his analysis often ends up being more irrational that what his analysis is claimed to be. It’s just another data point.
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Post by thegoodthebadthesox on May 5, 2023 10:30:55 GMT -5
Dollander at 13 is WILD, feels like he's almost doing that stand out from the pack. He's got my personal draft crush, Bryce Eldridge, at 14 and that's definitely the highest I've seen him on lists Do you think that’s too low? Or do you not think he’s fallen enough? He’s certainly still worthy of being a high pick, maybe even still has the tools to validate a top 10 selection, but he hasn’t been particularly great this year (though he hasn’t struggled nearly as much as Chase Burns).
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Post by thegoodthebadthesox on May 5, 2023 10:23:10 GMT -5
Feels like the first series we’ve had relatively good luck with opposing starters (No Nola or Strahm) Zack Wheeler is a top 5 pitcher in baseball. I think that’s too strong but even if it were objectively true I’d rather face 1 good pitcher than 3, so it doesn’t even really affect my point.
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Post by thegoodthebadthesox on May 5, 2023 7:21:30 GMT -5
Feels like the first series we’ve had relatively good luck with opposing starters (No Nola or Strahm)
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Post by thegoodthebadthesox on May 4, 2023 10:16:28 GMT -5
People complain here about how the Yankees get overhyped by the media and whatnot, which I don’t really feel strongly about one way or the other, but not many people acknowledge the adverse effects of it cutting the other way - they’re currently get national media “what is wrong with this team and can they turn it around?” narratives when they are clearly injured and still two games over .500.
But speaking of “what is wrong with this team?”, the Cardinals’ roster is way, way too good to bad that bad.
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Post by thegoodthebadthesox on May 4, 2023 8:48:31 GMT -5
For those keeping score at home, the last place Yankees would be: - half a game out of first in the AL Central (what an absolute wasteland of a division) - third in the AL West, two games out of first - second in the NL East, 4.5 games out of first - third in the NL Central, 3.5 games out of first (how about those pirates!!) - Tied for third in the NL West, two games out of first
Also just looking at the standings it seems as if we’ve played the most games against teams above .500, the Orioles close to the least
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Post by thegoodthebadthesox on May 3, 2023 20:56:56 GMT -5
If you guys really want to get mad, look at all the lame prospects Kiley ranked on his top 100 instead of Yoshida that will end up costing us the 33rd pick in the draft or whatever it'll end up being Nah I fundamentally agree with him being left off of those lists
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Post by thegoodthebadthesox on May 3, 2023 20:56:32 GMT -5
All nine in the lineup getting a hit is one of the most satisfying team milestones in the game imo
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Post by thegoodthebadthesox on May 3, 2023 20:47:13 GMT -5
I would love to get a genuine, non-“told you so” reaction from the anonymous FO folks that panned the Yoshida deal and get their reflections on why their evaluations didn’t foresee this being at least a possibility. I mean, if this is genuinely him, that contract is a STEAL.
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Post by thegoodthebadthesox on May 3, 2023 20:14:50 GMT -5
Man, I was way too quick to be out on Wong early in the season, he is genuinely on a tear right now. Just need Casas and, truthfully, Raffy to get to form and this lineup is extremely dangerous.
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Post by thegoodthebadthesox on May 3, 2023 20:00:01 GMT -5
Aside from age and draft position what separates Yorke from Medorith? RH bat, bat control, contact skills, OBP guys, with reputation for all bat no glove? Better power potential from Yorke? The age thing is huge. Meidroth is playing at a level he’s too good and too experienced for. But he’s also still probably young for the level and if he gets a promotion based off of that level of skill advancement he’d also be way age advanced for AA
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Post by thegoodthebadthesox on May 3, 2023 19:59:12 GMT -5
No such thing as a bad way to score runs!
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Post by thegoodthebadthesox on May 3, 2023 19:12:42 GMT -5
Some inconsistency in baseball savant's logic - they have Varsho's homer as an .860 xBA but also a homer in 30/30 ball parks Isn’t one based on the batted ball metrics and the other on where it actually lands? Genuinely asking
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Post by thegoodthebadthesox on May 3, 2023 13:38:56 GMT -5
One thing that Kiley notes that I think may come into play with the Red Sox: I could easily see a Kyle Teel, Matt Shaw, or Tommy Troy type and save slightly on that pick to get a prep guy in the 2nd round and then try to save again for one more prep guy later. Would seem to fit the Red Sox MO. Maybe also go significantly under slot in both of the 4th round comp picks? MLB front offices clearly read my post
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Post by thegoodthebadthesox on May 3, 2023 10:42:02 GMT -5
If the Rays don't slow down I'm going to think there's some funny business going on down there. Was Chaim Bloom holding the Rays back? My column:
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Post by thegoodthebadthesox on May 2, 2023 22:09:08 GMT -5
It’s great knowing we already have a guaranteed spilt in the series And they’re still above .500 with a split
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