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jimoh
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Post by jimoh on Apr 28, 2024 9:36:01 GMT -5
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jimoh
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Posts: 3,972
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Post by jimoh on Apr 28, 2024 7:18:06 GMT -5
This is awesome. I hear he bats over .200, could hit cleanup for us! I jest, but still, he's a big upgrade offensively. Bobby's D has been refreshing, so I hope Cooper can carry that water on some level as well. I expect they'll DFA Dalbec, but I could see a Hamilton or Dalbec option with a 60-day DL for Mata or Walter instead. Advantage would be keeping depth?? I still can't get over that Bobby can be patient on pitches outside the zone AND hit in AAA, but can't even make solid contact in the show. There's a legit hitter in there somewhere (not great, but capable of hitting .220 or so at least). Dalbec hit 33 HRs - .269 BA - .938 OPS last year in Worcester. He is a legitimate All-star in AAA, maybe even a AAA MVP, but it has not translated into the MLB. It is both interest and strange that the contrast is so huge. Dalbec struck out almost 35% of the time last year in AAA as a 28-year-old hitting in a park that helps hitters.
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jimoh
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Post by jimoh on Apr 27, 2024 20:42:19 GMT -5
I think they should keep him on the roster. Having capable back up for 1st and 3rd matters more than having a 2nd back up middle infielder. The trouble with Dalbec is he only hits when he plays every day. Even a regular platoon messes up his timing. To be clear his hitting ceiling is Kyle Schwarber (currently .198 with 7 HR) or Joey Gallo but he's a much better and more versatile position player than Schwarber. He certainly would not be playing is Casas was healthy but I seriously doubt Garrett Cooper is better than Dalbec. The trouble with Dalbec is he hasn’t hit at all since he went ice cold near the end of 2021. Kyle Schwarber is hitting.198 .317 .406. 723 and was better the last three years. Basically major league pitchers know how to make pitches he simply cannot handle.
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jimoh
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Post by jimoh on Apr 27, 2024 6:05:47 GMT -5
Cooper Any team that wants him will have to pay the price in a trade. Unlikely that he's on waivers already. Cooper was designated for assignment Tuesday.
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jimoh
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Post by jimoh on Apr 26, 2024 15:36:10 GMT -5
Jared Walsh is a free agent as of Wednesday but has not hit lately. LHH.
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jimoh
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Posts: 3,972
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Post by jimoh on Apr 26, 2024 12:47:04 GMT -5
No thread for who should be playing 1b? I have nothing much to add, but would like to hear what people think. I’ve seen scattered comments in various threads
Is Dalbec salvageable? Is C.J. Cron toast? Garrett Cooper? How would an acquisition affect their chances of going over there tax threshold? Romy Gonzalez when healthy? Pablo Reyes? Rob Refsnyder? Nico Kavadas? Wong now and then? Will Middlebrooks? (35 years old, still tall) Devers?
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jimoh
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Posts: 3,972
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Post by jimoh on Apr 22, 2024 6:06:42 GMT -5
I'll be attending each of the Sunday games at Hadlock this year. Looking forward to getting a nice close-up look at some of these guys. Hopefully mother nature plays along. Hoping I'll be able to provide some insight or context to box scores. Let me know what you'd like to hear about. Thank you!!!
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jimoh
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Posts: 3,972
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Post by jimoh on Apr 21, 2024 12:48:45 GMT -5
Rafaela leading off, eh? I see Cora has finally given up trying to impose any sort of order on the season. Just revelling in the fundamental chaos of the universe, letting it wash over him.
ADD: nm, Cora is a genius
Rafaela earns a walk by chasing the first pitch a foot outside and fooling Perez into thinking he's going to chase anything, along with fouling off a couple.
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jimoh
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Post by jimoh on Apr 20, 2024 10:49:20 GMT -5
That’s a reasonable claim, but the near total absence of RHH on the forty and on the farm might suggests otherwise. And yet at the end of last year they had the same absence of RHH on the 40 and the farm and they let their 2 most productive power right-handed bats from last year leave. I do not understand why, but I have to agree with the original post. The Red Sox do not prioritize resigning their own players even when they have good years. I don't get it. You have insufficient comparable data to make that claim. Adam Duvall was old and declining as a defensive player. Justin Turner was REALLY OLD, and they wanted to get Yoshida off the field. O’Neill is 28, 29 in June. Also, paying older players for 2024 may have seemed to be a waste of money, while paying a couple of (slightly) older players to play with the kids in 2025 may seem like a good idea.
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jimoh
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Posts: 3,972
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Post by jimoh on Apr 20, 2024 6:45:51 GMT -5
Anyone like me checking to see Abreu’s updated wRC+ (which is now up to 106)? I think he’ll be alright. I’m hoping Yoshida can turn things around enough for the Sox to salary dump him at some point. I think Abreu, Anthony, Duran and Rafaela make a fine 3OF and DH rotation and I just don’t see Masa being an important part of the future. And this is ignoring O’Neill, who certainly seems to be finding his place and might not want to leave a coaching staff who believes in him and helps him. It’s a good logjam and Yoshida is by far the easiest to move on from. If O'Neil has a good year and stays healthy, I give it about a zero chance the Sox sign him long term. That’s a reasonable claim, but the near total absence of RHH on the forty and on the farm might suggests otherwise.
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jimoh
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Post by jimoh on Apr 15, 2024 20:57:25 GMT -5
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jimoh
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Posts: 3,972
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Post by jimoh on Apr 15, 2024 18:56:38 GMT -5
Same. Give Yoshida some reps in LF while they’re @ Fenway. I'm actually wondering if Yoshida isn't adjusting to being a DH. I've heard some guys talk about how much they hate it. MLB career LF - 86 G - 369 PA - .308/.350/.480/.829 41/18 k/bb DH - 64 G - 264 PA - .253/.318/.373/.692 46/20 k/bb Wasn't he a a DH a lot in recent years in Japan?
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jimoh
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Posts: 3,972
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Post by jimoh on Apr 10, 2024 18:05:16 GMT -5
Does the $4M buyout count as his 9th year guarantee or is it part of the 8 years of salary? It is part of the guaranteed $50M ($2M Bonus,$46M Salary,$4M Buyout). The Buyout is only payable if the Red Sox turn down the option year. Yeah I get that. If they turn down the option they pay him $4m. But does that make it 50/9 or 50/8 for the luxury tax?
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jimoh
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Posts: 3,972
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Post by jimoh on Apr 10, 2024 15:50:41 GMT -5
AAV is just total guaranteed salary divided by years, plus adjustments for salary deferrals. Signing bonus gets added to the salary pile like everything else. Does the $4M buyout count as his 9th year guarantee or is it part of the 8 years of salary?
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jimoh
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Posts: 3,972
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Post by jimoh on Apr 9, 2024 14:59:43 GMT -5
Romy has played 417 MLB innings at 2B in his career, like 85 in the OF, and less than 50 at other infield spots. Are we about to see a double L/R middle-infield platoon until they figure what they want do with Rafaela (or when Grissom returns?) That would be uh… something. Vs R - SS Hamilton 2B Valdez Vs L - SS Reyes 2B Romy Just a bummer that Bobby went from a fun if very flawed player to just unplayable. You’d like to think if you replayed his career over again there’s a universe where he’s an effective bench or platoon guy, but it just never clicked after 2021. It is very difficult to stay sharp with limited playing time, which is why it frustrates me so much that people are always so ready to move Refsnyder for someone with more perceived upside. Dalbec is an easy guy to like - good work ethic, good teammate, all of that stuff. It stinks that it hasn't worked out for him, but it's really hard to see him getting another chance in Boston and equally hard to see it working. Since the start of 2021, he's hit just .225/.287/.427 - and what's even more difficult is that almost all of that production came inside of a 32-game stretch from 8/11/21 to 9/21/21 where he hit .333/.434/.814 in 118 PA. Outside of that stretch, he's hit .209/.265/.370 with 281 strikeouts in 690 PA. The flaws have always been there, but major league pitchers have also largely succeeded in limiting his power production, which is really what's made him so ineffective. And remember, after that hot streak in 2021, he went 2 for 21 with 2 hr, 0 BB and 10 k for the rest of the season, then in the post-season Dalbec went 0 for 12 with 0 BB and 5 Ks. Amazing hot streak following by an amazing cold streak.
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jimoh
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Posts: 3,972
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Post by jimoh on Apr 9, 2024 13:15:49 GMT -5
This is with respect. But when we win in 2004 American pie was not the song. I stop myself there. Weird choice. The day the music died?
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jimoh
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Posts: 3,972
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Post by jimoh on Apr 8, 2024 20:08:44 GMT -5
Ian on the podcast describes Romy as a "45" SS.
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jimoh
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Posts: 3,972
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Post by jimoh on Apr 8, 2024 19:54:52 GMT -5
Romy Gonzalez up: Physical Description: Medium, athletic frame. Still has some room to add strength to his upper half even in his late 20s. Hit: Starts in a closed stance with hands held high. High toe tap. Smooth upward swing path. Swing can get long at times. Above-average hands, quick bat. Barrels up well but chases and whiffs at high rates. Fringe-average overall bat tool. Power: Above-average over the fence power. Run: Above-average to better speed. Smart baserunner. Defense: Utility man capable of playing all outfield and all infield positions. Best suited for middle infield. Average to better defender. Solid instincts and baseball IQ. Arm: Fringe-average arm strength. Career Notes: Spent three seasons playing for the University of Miami. Cape Leaguer All-Star with Orleans in 2017. Spent five seasons in the White Sox system. Summation: Valuable up-and-down player due to defensive versality, speed, and power. Note: This page will be updated with a complete scouting report after the scouting team has seen the player in person. www.soxprospects.com/players/gonzalez-romy.htm
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jimoh
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Posts: 3,972
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Post by jimoh on Apr 8, 2024 19:51:09 GMT -5
scoop for y'all, roster move coming → tomorrow Dalbec down per Cotillo
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jimoh
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Posts: 3,972
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Post by jimoh on Apr 3, 2024 19:47:28 GMT -5
I am glad to see that even with a new cast in the FO, you continue to work from the assumption that they know something no other person or organization does. I call it the “Eric Van/Zach Godley Hypothesis.” I hope you are right, but I’d say, for example, a 30-year old who has never pitched in America and was dumped by the Rays hardly counts as reliable depth. Maybe he is the next Koji-level discovery… but I am nervous to test that. Dumped by the Rays like ... Cooper Criswell?
Did you get that I implied that Uwasawa would be either the #7 or #8 starter? How high is that bar?
Track record of so far with non-established pitchers:
Traded Luis Urías to the Seattle Mariners. Received Isaiah Campbell. Traded Alex Verdugo to the New York Yankees. Received Richard Fitts (minors), Nicholas Judice (minors) and Greg Weissert. Traded Ryan Ammons (minors) to the New York Mets. Received Justin Slaten (minors). Signed Cooper Criswell as a free agent.
they know something no other person or organization does
No, no. The best organizations have figured out ways to make certain types of pitchers better. They have methodologies. It's not a mystic, guy-by-guy thing; it's "this guy fits the profile of guys who would benefit a lot from [X]."
[...] Is this similar to how the Red Sox must have figured out how to make Reese McGuire hit 337 .377 .500 .877 because that's what he did in 36 games for them in 2022? I seem to remember someone making that claim very confidently.
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jimoh
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Posts: 3,972
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Post by jimoh on Apr 2, 2024 6:10:33 GMT -5
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jimoh
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Post by jimoh on Apr 1, 2024 6:14:23 GMT -5
Forget Hamilton, Romy Gonzalez (second base) is off to the hottest season start. I wonder how his glove is. He's a super-utility guy who has played every position except 1B and C in 86 big league games (over 3 seasons with the White Sox). He's listed at 6'0", so there's no obvious reason why he couldn't try 1B. If they start working him out there in Worcester, that will be a telltale sign that Bobby's days are numbered. “Gonzalez, 27, caught Cora’s attention during spring training. “Besides versatility and being athletic, I think the offensive approach got better (during spring training),” Cora said. “We set some goals when he got there and he attacked it the right way. […]. I do believe halfway through camp he started using the big part of the field. He did yesterday. He hit two homers: one opposite field, one to center field. He hit the one (against) Minnesota (in spring training) to straight center. “He’s a good athlete,” Cora added. “He’s a big kid that can play good defense wherever we put him. He’s going to play first base a little bit down there, too. […] Gonzalez started at first base Friday and shortstop Saturday. www.masslive.com/redsox/2024/03/big-kid-on-red-sox-40-man-hit-2-hr-in-woosox-opener-has-alex-coras-eye.html
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jimoh
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Posts: 3,972
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Post by jimoh on Apr 1, 2024 6:11:29 GMT -5
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jimoh
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Post by jimoh on Mar 29, 2024 17:06:05 GMT -5
Apropos of nothing: I just walked past the beach house of Wayne Gomes, 2002 Red Sox pitcher, in Virginia.
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jimoh
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Posts: 3,972
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Post by jimoh on Mar 28, 2024 18:03:24 GMT -5
Can’t say for sure but I don’t think it comes with control beyond what he signed with Tampa. I don’t think you get any extra control on 30 YO minor league free agents (or major league for that matter) beyond the contract you sign them to, no? I think he only got a 1 year deal. I’d happily admit I’m wrong but I just don’t see how he’d have control beyond this year Everyone is subject to the same service time rules, but players coming over from Japan typically negotiate a contract saying they'll be released at the end so they become a free agent. I can’t find it now but I did read somewhere that he will be a free agent after this season.
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