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Post by The Town Sports Cards on Nov 26, 2012 14:41:17 GMT -5
I think you have a MLB OF of Nava/Ellsbury/Swisher, with the bench of Gomes and Sweeney (Gomes in a platoon with Nava), and in AAA you have Sands at 1B, and Kalish/Hazelbaker/Brentz/Hassan rotating in the OF and DH, with Linares a bench player. So you think the guy they just signed for $5M/yr is going to be on the bench in favor of a guy with an option remaining who has never broke camp in the majors? I put Gomes on the "bench" only because he would be in a platoon with Nava in LF, and usually you play the RHP platoon more than the LHP platoon. So yes, if on opening day the Red Sox faced a RHP, Nava would start and Gomes would be on the bench.
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Post by The Town Sports Cards on Nov 26, 2012 7:12:01 GMT -5
I think you have a MLB OF of Nava/Ellsbury/Swisher, with the bench of Gomes and Sweeney (Gomes in a platoon with Nava), and in AAA you have Sands at 1B, and Kalish/Hazelbaker/Brentz/Hassan rotating in the OF and DH, with Linares a bench player.
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Post by The Town Sports Cards on Nov 23, 2012 10:51:29 GMT -5
I don't think the Sox need to be THAT concerned with Napoli's fielding at 1B for the 4th year, someone would need to replace Ortiz at DH eventually. Having a part time C/1B/DH sounds perfect for Napoli in 3-4 years
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Post by The Town Sports Cards on Nov 21, 2012 13:35:46 GMT -5
The research shown in the Moneyball book seemed to push that good OBP skills translate pretty well to the majors. That being said, all that means is Hassan would be good at taking walks, not that he can hit for a good avg. So while his .390 OBP might not be matched in the majors, it would be safe to assume his OBP would be a good chunk higher than whatever batting avg he puts up.
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Post by The Town Sports Cards on Nov 21, 2012 13:33:01 GMT -5
Seems like Gomes would be a platoon OF vs LHP as his career .284/.382/.512 line suggests. (vs just .223/.307/.425 against RHP). Maybe look to split time in LF with someone like Nava who is better against RHP.
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Post by The Town Sports Cards on Nov 7, 2012 9:59:24 GMT -5
I doubt the Sox will start the year without 7 relievers in the pen, I think you're going to have to lose someone off your bench (Sands, Kalish or Sweeney) to make room for another reliever.
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Post by The Town Sports Cards on Nov 5, 2012 13:10:44 GMT -5
Players should be played where their value is maximized; a player significantly out of his optimal position is worth more in trade than he is to his current team. It's a very simple principle, and let's use Middlebrooks as an example: Let's say he's a .750 OPS third baseman with good defense. That's a good player - at third base. Assume Xander comes up and fits best at third, and there's an opening at first base. Here's your choice: a) move WMB to first base b) trade WMB for equal value - say, an .850 OPS first baseman the same age and contract status Do you think the Red Sox would be better off with an .850 OPS first baseman or a .750 OPS first baseman? A or B, B or A? If you say C: put Xander at first base, you're missing the point, think it over again. i think it should be built like the moneyball A's. You have 1-9 hitters, and what position they play is relatively meaningless. Now i'm not saying put Ortiz at SS, but I would rather have Middlebrooks at 1B with a .750 OPS and avg defense BUT have him under cheap team control for years, than try to trade him just because Bogaerts is playing 3rd.
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Post by The Town Sports Cards on Nov 2, 2012 11:56:51 GMT -5
Yea im surprised by all the talk of moving prospects who are "blocked", whether on the Sox or talking of getting a guy like Andrus from TEX because of Profar. Very rarely can a player only fit 1 position, and usually these types of situations sort themselves out. You keep players at the position where they are at thier most valuable until you have no choice. Why move Bogaerts off of SS until he shows he's one of the worst feilding SS's? Why trade Middlebrooks or Cecchini because of Bogaerts maybe moving to 3rd? You should try to promote as many possible prospects to the majors because it is very cheap, and gives you years of controlling the players contract. The Sox should build the best 1-9 lineup, and then figure out where to plug them in defensively. If that means Cecchini at 2B or Middlebrooks at 1st, then who cares as long as the team wins games.
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Post by The Town Sports Cards on Oct 31, 2012 6:06:20 GMT -5
I think the reason Sands is at 1B, is you look at the Red Sox depth chart for that position, and your choices at AA or higher are Mauro Gomez, Jerry Sands, Travis Shaw, and Drew Hedman. And it's doubtful BA would make the stretch of having someone like Lavarnway or Middlebrooks be converted to 1B.
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Post by The Town Sports Cards on Oct 30, 2012 6:15:43 GMT -5
I say the sox start Iglesias at short for this season. Bogaerts is a much better hitter and isn't bad defensively. He can't play 3rd with middlebrooks there. If Iglesias starts to hit and shows promise then maybe the sox would transition Bogaerts to the OF. If Iglesias doesn't hit then the sox will have to figure out what to do with him in the offseason. This. Why not trot Iglesias out there in 2013 to see what you have? Maybe he hits .220 and his defense still gives him a 3+WAR a la Brendan Ryan. The Red Sox don't have too much to lose with a poor hit/good D #9 hitter, and if Bogaerts continues his rise through the minors, you have 1 of 2 things in Iglesias in about 2 years when Bogaerts is ready to play. Either his glove/bat pushes Bogaerts to the OF, or Iglesias is a trade chip to a team looking to upgrade defensively at SS to open the spot for Bogaerts.
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Post by The Town Sports Cards on Oct 30, 2012 6:05:46 GMT -5
$13-$18M a year seems like a lot to pay for .280/.350/.460 hitter with not much defense and a career average WAR of 2.2. Especially considering he's already hit his prime. Cody Ross put up a 1.6 last year for only $3M.
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Post by The Town Sports Cards on Oct 17, 2012 15:13:15 GMT -5
I actually meant 1 yr + a team option for Ortiz. If the Sox offer a straight up 1 yr deal I think he walks. Obviously he won't get as much money anywhere else, but he'll find someone to take him for cheap money just because he was "disrespected".
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Post by The Town Sports Cards on Oct 17, 2012 12:30:06 GMT -5
First Base: Mike Napoli 3 yrs and David Ortiz 2 yrs Outfield:Cody Ross 3 yrs and (Torii Hunter or Melky Cabrera) 1 yr Starting Pitcher: One of: Joe Saunders 2 yrs, Dan Haren 1 yr, Shaun Marcum 1 yr, Hiroki Kuroda 1 yr
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Post by The Town Sports Cards on Oct 10, 2012 9:20:01 GMT -5
C Lavarnway 1B Napoli 2B Pedroia SS Iglesias 3B Middlebrooks LF Ross CF Melky/Victorino/Swisher(RF) RF Kalish DH Ortiz BN Butler BN Ciriaco BN Sands BN Nava/Podsednik/Hazelbaker etc
SP Lester SP Buchholz SP Harden/Kuroda/McCarthy/Marcum/Saunders SP Doubront SP Lackey RP Miller RP Morales RP Melancon RP Breslow RP Tazawa RP Bard CL Bailey
Trade Saltalamacchia for B-C level Prospect(s) Trade Ellsbury for SP or SP prospect(s) Trade/release/send to AAA:Mortensen, Atchison, Aceves, Padilla, Hill, Gomez, Aviles, Loney
FA Signings: Melky/Swisher/Victorino: 1 yr for Melky, 2 for Victorino, and 2 for Swisher Napoli: 2-3 yrs to be the 1B, occasional C, and eventual DH successor to Ortiz Ortiz:1-2 years Ross:2-3 years Harden/Kuroda/McCarthy/Marcum/Saunders: 1 yr deals for any of them
My strategy is to treat this year as a try out for some younger players to prove themselves over a full season (Kalish, Iglesias, Lavarnway, Doubront, Middlebrooks, and Sands) while still keeping some veterans around to keep the team competitive, without being locked into long term deals that will block the incoming prospects.
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Post by The Town Sports Cards on Oct 10, 2012 8:50:11 GMT -5
That's right, missed him since he's been out for the past month, but still, that's 4 all stars, 4 roll players, 2 "rookies". You take the Sox lineup of Ellsbury, Ortiz, Pedroia there's 3 All Stars. Ross, and Salty are 2 role players, and Middlebrooks and Iglesias as your "rookies". The Sox sign two role players/all stars like Napoli or Laroche for 1st and pick up an everyday LF/RF, they easily have a contending lineup. The rotation would just need to be mediocre, which granted would be a HUGE step up from this year, but a staff ERA of around 4.00(which would have been 17th in the league this year) instead of 4.70 and the Sox are in the thick of the playoff race.
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Post by The Town Sports Cards on Oct 10, 2012 6:07:34 GMT -5
I completely agree with sdiaz, having a team that can "contend" isn't actually too difficult. Look at the roster for this year's Orioles. Yes they got VERY lucky on 1 run and extra inning games, but who is thier ace? And their lineup consists of 4 guys on 2nd or last chances (Davis, Thome, Reynolds, McClouth), 3 actual stars (Hardy, Weiters, Jones), a rule 5 pick (Flaherty) and a top rated rookie (Machado). That doesn't exactly scream "contender".
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Post by The Town Sports Cards on Oct 8, 2012 8:13:17 GMT -5
I feel the best course of action is to trade Saltalamacchia for a decent prospect, sign Napoli to play 1B and occasionally catch, and bring up Butler as the defensive backup. Napoli is somewhat redundant to Salty with low avg, high power numbers, except Napoli can play a decent 1B (and would cost a lot more). Overall the roster would have more flexibility.
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Post by The Town Sports Cards on Sept 20, 2012 10:17:05 GMT -5
I would love to see the Sox make a trade for him in the offseason. Obviously he would be tough to get being under team control for another 4 years, but with Pujols and Morales the Angels have a logjam at 1B. What kind of package would you build to try to get him? I'd be thinking to build something with Doubront to start. We have some SP depth in the 3-5 spots with Lackey, Morales, Aceves, Stewart, Hernandez, plus the usual lower level pitching FA's that can be picked up. Thoughts?
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